Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 12.7% (General Election of 27 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 15.2% 13.2–17.1% 12.2–17.6% 11.4–18.2% 10.4–19.1%
13–20 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.2–16.9% 12.8–17.3% 12.2–18.0%
12–19 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
16–18 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 15.4% 13.8–17.1% 13.4–17.6% 13.0–18.0% 12.3–18.9%
11–18 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 14.7% 13.3–16.2% 13.0–16.7% 12.6–17.0% 12.0–17.8%
15–17 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 15.9% 14.3–17.6% 13.9–18.1% 13.5–18.6% 12.8–19.4%
10–17 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 14.1% 12.8–15.6% 12.4–16.0% 12.1–16.4% 11.5–17.1%
12–16 December 2017 Netquest
L’Indépendant		 15.1% 13.7–16.7% 13.3–17.2% 12.9–17.6% 12.3–18.4%
14–16 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 16.9% 15.3–18.7% 14.8–19.2% 14.4–19.6% 13.7–20.5%
9–16 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 14.3% 13.0–15.8% 12.6–16.2% 12.3–16.6% 11.6–17.4%
13–15 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 17.1% 15.5–18.9% 15.1–19.4% 14.7–19.9% 13.9–20.8%
11–15 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 15.8% 14.7–17.1% 14.3–17.5% 14.1–17.8% 13.5–18.4%
8–15 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
11–14 December 2017 Top Position 11.7% 10.5–12.9% 10.2–13.3% 10.0–13.6% 9.4–14.3%
1–14 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 13.9% 12.8–15.2% 12.5–15.5% 12.3–15.8% 11.8–16.4%
12–14 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 16.9% 15.3–18.7% 14.8–19.2% 14.4–19.6% 13.7–20.5%
12–14 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 16.3% 14.9–17.9% 14.5–18.3% 14.1–18.7% 13.5–19.5%
7–14 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.2–16.9% 12.8–17.3% 12.2–18.0%
11–13 December 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 15.4% 14.3–16.7% 14.0–17.0% 13.7–17.3% 13.2–17.9%
4–13 December 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 15.9% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–17.9% 13.8–18.3% 13.1–19.1%
5–13 December 2017 MyWord
Cadena SER		 15.1% 13.8–16.7% 13.4–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.3%
4–13 December 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 14.3% 13.5–15.1% 13.3–15.3% 13.1–15.5% 12.8–15.9%
4–13 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 17.3% 15.9–18.7% 15.6–19.1% 15.2–19.5% 14.6–20.2%
11–13 December 2017 A+M
20minutos		 15.3% 14.2–16.6% 13.9–16.9% 13.6–17.3% 13.1–17.9%
5–12 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 15.2% 13.8–16.8% 13.4–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
3–11 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 13.0–16.5% 12.7–16.9% 12.1–17.6%
1–9 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14.1% 12.8–15.5% 12.5–15.9% 12.1–16.3% 11.6–17.0%
27 November–8 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14.4% 13.1–15.8% 12.7–16.2% 12.4–16.6% 11.8–17.3%
4–8 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 15.9% 14.5–17.5% 14.1–17.9% 13.8–18.3% 13.1–19.1%
7 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 16.3% 15.0–17.7% 14.6–18.1% 14.3–18.5% 13.7–19.2%
4–7 December 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 16.5% 15.1–18.1% 14.7–18.5% 14.3–18.9% 13.7–19.7%
3–7 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 15.3% 13.9–16.9% 13.5–17.3% 13.2–17.7% 12.6–18.4%
30 November–7 December 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 16.1% 14.6–17.9% 14.1–18.4% 13.7–18.8% 13.0–19.7%
1–5 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
29 November–2 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 19.0% 17.3–20.9% 16.8–21.4% 16.4–21.9% 15.7–22.8%
27–30 November 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 15.2% 13.7–17.0% 13.3–17.5% 12.9–17.9% 12.2–18.8%
23–27 November 2017 IMOP Insights
CIS		 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
13–23 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 14.8% 13.2–16.6% 12.7–17.1% 12.3–17.6% 11.6–18.5%
13–23 November 2017 Advice Strategic Consultants
El Confidencial		 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.1–16.2%
20–22 November 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 14.9% 13.8–16.2% 13.5–16.6% 13.2–16.9% 12.7–17.5%
15–18 November 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 18.1% 16.5–20.0% 16.0–20.5% 15.6–21.0% 14.8–21.9%
13–16 November 2017 GAD3
ABC		 15.1% 13.6–16.8% 13.2–17.3% 12.8–17.8% 12.1–18.6%
30 October–3 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 13.7% 12.1–15.4% 11.7–15.9% 11.3–16.4% 10.6–17.3%
30 October–3 November 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 14.6% 13.3–16.1% 12.9–16.6% 12.6–16.9% 11.9–17.7%
27–31 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
16–29 October 2017 GESOP
CEO		 13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.2–15.8% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.9%
23–26 October 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.3–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
16–21 October 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.6–16.1%
16–19 October 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 14.5% 13.0–16.2% 12.6–16.7% 12.2–17.1% 11.5–18.0%
4–9 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 9.5% 8.3–11.0% 7.9–11.4% 7.7–11.7% 7.1–12.5%
19–22 September 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 13.7% 12.5–15.0% 12.2–15.4% 11.9–15.7% 11.4–16.4%
12–15 September 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 14.8% 13.2–16.5% 12.8–17.0% 12.5–17.4% 11.8–18.2%
28 August–1 September 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 10.1% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 8.1–12.6% 7.5–13.4%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.6% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 2% 99.3%  
11.5–12.5% 3% 97%  
12.5–13.5% 7% 94% Last Result
13.5–14.5% 20% 86%  
14.5–15.5% 26% 67% Median
15.5–16.5% 23% 41%  
16.5–17.5% 12% 18%  
17.5–18.5% 4% 6%  
18.5–19.5% 1.2% 1.4%  
19.5–20.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 16 seats (General Election of 27 September 2015)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20 16–23 16–23 15–24 14–25
13–20 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 19 16–22 16–23 16–23 15–24
12–19 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 17 16–20 15–21 15–22 14–23
16–18 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 21 17–23 16–23 16–24 15–25
11–18 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 19 16–22 16–22 16–23 15–23
15–17 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 22 18–23 17–24 17–24 16–25
10–17 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 14–23
12–16 December 2017 Netquest
L’Indépendant		 20 18–23 17–23 16–24 16–24
14–16 December 2017 GESOP
El Periòdic		 23 20–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
9–16 December 2017 Feedback
The National		 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 15–23
13–15 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 23 21–25 19–25 19–26 17–28
11–15 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 21 19–23 18–23 18–24 17–24
8–15 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 17 15–20 15–21 15–22 14–22
11–14 December 2017 Top Position 15 14–16 14–17 13–18 12–19
1–14 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 17 16–20 16–21 15–22 15–22
12–14 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 23 20–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
12–14 December 2017 GAD3
ABC		 22 19–24 18–24 17–24 16–25
7–14 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 19 16–22 16–23 16–23 15–24
11–13 December 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 21 18–23 18–23 17–23 16–24
4–13 December 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 22 19–23 18–24 17–24 16–25
5–13 December 2017 MyWord
Cadena SER		 20 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–24
4–13 December 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 18 17–20 16–21 16–21 16–22
4–13 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 23 21–24 20–25 19–25 18–26
11–13 December 2017 A+M
20minutos		 20 17–22 17–23 17–23 16–24
5–12 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 20 17–22 16–23 16–23 15–24
3–11 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 19 16–22 16–22 16–23 15–23
1–9 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 17 16–21 16–22 15–22 15–23
27 November–8 December 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 19 16–22 16–22 16–23 15–23
4–8 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 21 18–23 17–24 17–24 16–25
7 December 2017 Infortécnica
Segre		 22 19–23 18–24 17–24 17–25
4–7 December 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 22 19–24 18–24 18–25 17–26
3–7 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 20 17–23 17–23 16–24 16–24
30 November–7 December 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 22 18–23 17–24 17–24 16–25
1–5 December 2017 Feedback
El Nacional		 16 15–19 15–20 14–21 14–22
29 November–2 December 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 25 23–28 23–29 22–30 21–31
27–30 November 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 21 17–23 17–24 16–24 16–25
23–27 November 2017 IMOP Insights
CIS		 22 21–23 20–23 19–23 18–24
13–23 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 20 16–23 16–23 15–23 15–24
13–23 November 2017 Advice Strategic Consultants
El Confidencial		 19 17–21 16–21 16–22 16–23
20–22 November 2017 Metroscopia
El País		 19 17–22 16–22 16–23 16–23
15–18 November 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 24 22–26 21–27 21–29 19–30
13–16 November 2017 GAD3
ABC		 20 17–23 16–23 16–24 15–24
30 October–3 November 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 17 15–21 15–22 14–22 14–23
30 October–3 November 2017 GAD3
La Vanguardia		 19 16–22 16–22 16–23 15–23
27–31 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 16 14–17 14–18 14–19 12–20
16–29 October 2017 GESOP
CEO		 17 16–20 15–21 15–22 14–23
23–26 October 2017 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 20 17–23 16–23 16–23 16–24
16–21 October 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 16 15–20 15–20 14–21 14–22
16–19 October 2017 GESOP
El Periódico		 20 16–22 16–23 16–23 15–24
4–9 October 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 12 11–14 9–15 9–15 8–16
19–22 September 2017 NC Report
La Razón		 18 16–20 15–21 15–22 15–22
12–15 September 2017 Celeste-Tel
eldiario.es		 19 16–22 16–23 15–23 15–24
28 August–1 September 2017 SocioMétrica
El Español		 14 11–15 11–15 10–16 9–17

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.9%  
14 1.3% 99.8%  
15 3% 98%  
16 7% 95% Last Result
17 9% 88%  
18 11% 79%  
19 13% 69%  
20 11% 55% Median
21 9% 45%  
22 20% 36%  
23 12% 16%  
24 4% 4%  
25 0.6% 0.8%  
26 0.1% 0.2%  
27 0% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%