Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | JxSí | PDeCAT | JuntsxCat | ERC | Cs | PSC | CatComú | PP | CUP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 September 2015 | General Election | 39.6% 62 |
39.6% 29 |
39.6% 29 |
39.6% 20 |
17.9% 25 |
12.7% 16 |
8.9% 11 |
8.5% 11 |
8.2% 10 |
| N/A | Poll Average | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
12–23% 18–37 |
18–27% 27–43 |
18–26% 25–37 |
11–18% 15–24 |
5–10% 5–12 |
4–8% 3–11 |
4–8% 3–10 |
| 13–20 December 2017 | Feedback The National |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
18–23% 26–34 |
19–24% 28–36 |
20–25% 26–34 |
13–17% 16–23 |
6–10% 6–11 |
5–8% 5–10 |
5–8% 5–10 |
| 16–18 December 2017 | GESOP El Periòdic |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
15–21% 23–31 |
20–26% 31–41 |
20–26% 27–36 |
13–18% 16–24 |
7–11% 8–14 |
3–6% 3–8 |
4–7% 3–8 |
| 12–16 December 2017 | Netquest L’Indépendant |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
15–20% 23–30 |
19–25% 30–38 |
21–26% 29–37 |
13–18% 16–24 |
5–8% 5–9 |
4–7% 3–9 |
5–9% 7–11 |
| 11–15 December 2017 | GAD3 ABC |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
17–21% 26–32 |
18–22% 27–34 |
23–27% 31–38 |
14–18% 18–24 |
6–9% 5–9 |
4–7% 4–8 |
4–7% 4–9 |
| 11–14 December 2017 | Top Position | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
20–25% 32–39 |
16–20% 25–32 |
22–27% 31–39 |
10–14% 13–18 |
5–7% 4–8 |
4–7% 5–9 |
6–9% 8–11 |
| 1–14 December 2017 | SocioMétrica El Español |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
18–22% 28–34 |
19–23% 29–35 |
21–25% 27–34 |
12–16% 15–22 |
8–11% 8–13 |
4–7% 5–8 |
5–7% 5–9 |
| 11–13 December 2017 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
15–19% 23–29 |
20–25% 31–38 |
21–25% 28–34 |
14–17% 17–23 |
6–9% 6–11 |
5–7% 5–9 |
5–8% 7–10 |
| 4–13 December 2017 | NC Report La Razón |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
14–19% 21–29 |
20–25% 30–38 |
19–24% 26–34 |
14–18% 17–24 |
6–9% 6–11 |
6–9% 6–12 |
5–7% 4–9 |
| 5–13 December 2017 | MyWord Cadena SER |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
16–20% 23–30 |
22–27% 32–42 |
20–25% 26–34 |
13–17% 16–23 |
7–11% 8–13 |
4–6% 3–7 |
4–7% 3–8 |
| 4–13 December 2017 | Metroscopia El País |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
13–16% 19–23 |
22–25% 33–38 |
24–27% 33–37 |
13–16% 16–21 |
8–10% 9–13 |
5–6% 5–7 |
6–7% 8–9 |
| 4–13 December 2017 | Infortécnica Segre |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
16–21% 24–31 |
21–26% 32–39 |
21–26% 28–35 |
15–20% 19–25 |
4–7% 4–7 |
5–8% 5–10 |
4–7% 3–8 |
| 11–13 December 2017 | A+M 20minutos |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
16–20% 23–30 |
22–27% 34–41 |
22–27% 30–36 |
14–17% 17–23 |
5–7% 4–8 |
4–7% 4–8 |
5–7% 4–9 |
| 30 November–7 December 2017 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
14–19% 20–29 |
20–26% 30–39 |
19–25% 26–34 |
14–19% 17–24 |
6–10% 6–12 |
5–9% 5–11 |
5–9% 5–10 |
| 23–27 November 2017 | IMOP Insights CIS |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
16–18% 23–29 |
19–22% 30–35 |
21–24% 29–33 |
15–17% 19–23 |
8–10% 8–11 |
5–7% 5–8 |
6–8% 8–9 |
| 13–23 November 2017 | Advice Strategic Consultants El Confidencial |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
11–14% 17–21 |
25–29% 39–46 |
17–20% 24–28 |
13–16% 16–22 |
8–11% 9–13 |
7–9% 8–12 |
5–7% 7–9 |
| 27 September 2015 | General Election | 39.6% 62 |
39.6% 29 |
39.6% 29 |
39.6% 20 |
17.9% 25 |
12.7% 16 |
8.9% 11 |
8.5% 11 |
8.2% 10 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Parliament of Catalonia (95% confidence interval)
- JxSí: Junts pel Sí
- PDeCAT: Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
- JuntsxCat: Junts per Catalunya
- ERC: Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
- Cs: Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
- PSC: Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
- CatComú: Catalunya en Comú
- PP: Partit Popular
- CUP: Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts pel Sí | 39.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 39.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Junts per Catalunya | 39.6% | 17.6% | 14.2–21.0% | 12.7–22.1% | 12.0–22.9% | 11.1–24.2% |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 39.6% | 22.5% | 19.7–25.5% | 18.7–26.5% | 17.8–27.2% | 16.6–28.3% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 17.9% | 23.2% | 20.6–25.4% | 18.9–26.0% | 18.1–26.4% | 17.1–27.2% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.2–17.1% | 12.2–17.6% | 11.4–18.2% | 10.4–19.1% |
| Catalunya en Comú | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8–9.6% | 5.4–9.9% | 5.1–10.2% | 4.6–10.9% |
| Partit Popular | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.4–8.0% | 4.2–8.4% | 3.7–9.1% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.3–8.0% | 3.8–8.7% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 3% | 98% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 4% | 95% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 10% | 91% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 15% | 81% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 17% | 66% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 18% | 49% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 13% | 31% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 8% | 18% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 5% | 10% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 3% | 5% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 3% | 95% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 5% | 93% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 7% | 88% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 12% | 81% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 18% | 69% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 18.5–19.5% | 13% | 35% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 9% | 23% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 6% | 13% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 4% | 7% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 3% | 98.8% | Last Result |
| 18.5–19.5% | 3% | 96% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 3% | 93% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 8% | 90% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 18% | 82% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 22% | 64% | Median |
| 23.5–24.5% | 19% | 42% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 14% | 23% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 97% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 7% | 94% | Last Result |
| 13.5–14.5% | 20% | 86% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 26% | 67% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 23% | 41% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 12% | 18% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 16% | 93% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 77% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 24% | 59% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 25% | 35% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 9% | 10% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 33% | 93% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 36% | 61% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 14% | 24% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 10% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 23% | 95% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 41% | 72% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 25% | 31% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts pel Sí | 62 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 29 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Junts per Catalunya | 29 | 26 | 21–32 | 19–34 | 18–37 | 17–38 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí | 20 | 34 | 30–39 | 29–42 | 27–43 | 26–45 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25 | 31 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–38 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 16 | 20 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 |
| Catalunya en Comú | 11 | 9 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| Partit Popular | 11 | 6 | 5–10 | 4–10 | 3–11 | 3–12 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 10 | 8 | 5–9 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 28 | 2% | 97% | |
| 29 | 3% | 95% | |
| 30 | 5% | 92% | |
| 31 | 9% | 87% | |
| 32 | 14% | 77% | |
| 33 | 7% | 64% | |
| 34 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 35 | 12% | 49% | |
| 36 | 11% | 37% | |
| 37 | 9% | 26% | |
| 38 | 6% | 17% | |
| 39 | 2% | 11% | |
| 40 | 2% | 9% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98% | |
| 19 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 21 | 3% | 93% | |
| 22 | 4% | 90% | |
| 23 | 8% | 86% | |
| 24 | 12% | 78% | |
| 25 | 9% | 67% | |
| 26 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 27 | 7% | 46% | |
| 28 | 6% | 39% | |
| 29 | 12% | 33% | Last Result |
| 30 | 7% | 22% | |
| 31 | 4% | 15% | |
| 32 | 4% | 11% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 26 | 4% | 96% | |
| 27 | 3% | 93% | |
| 28 | 4% | 89% | |
| 29 | 6% | 86% | |
| 30 | 10% | 79% | |
| 31 | 20% | 69% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 50% | |
| 33 | 12% | 37% | |
| 34 | 13% | 25% | |
| 35 | 6% | 12% | |
| 36 | 3% | 6% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98% | |
| 16 | 7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 17 | 9% | 88% | |
| 18 | 11% | 79% | |
| 19 | 13% | 69% | |
| 20 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 21 | 9% | 45% | |
| 22 | 20% | 36% | |
| 23 | 12% | 16% | |
| 24 | 4% | 4% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 10% | 98% | |
| 6 | 10% | 89% | |
| 7 | 6% | 78% | |
| 8 | 20% | 72% | |
| 9 | 22% | 52% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 30% | |
| 11 | 16% | 23% | Last Result |
| 12 | 5% | 7% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 2% | 97% | |
| 5 | 25% | 95% | |
| 6 | 28% | 70% | Median |
| 7 | 15% | 42% | |
| 8 | 10% | 28% | |
| 9 | 6% | 18% | |
| 10 | 8% | 11% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 2% | 96% | |
| 5 | 9% | 94% | |
| 6 | 4% | 85% | |
| 7 | 8% | 80% | |
| 8 | 43% | 73% | Median |
| 9 | 25% | 30% | |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú | 60 | 69 | 70% | 65–74 | 64–75 | 64–76 | 62–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 59 | 68 | 62% | 65–73 | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–76 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular | 63 | 67 | 38% | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–72 | 59–73 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú | 47 | 63 | 9% | 56–67 | 50–69 | 48–70 | 46–72 |
| Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 49 | 61 | 2% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 54–69 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular | 52 | 58 | 0.1% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 | 50–66 |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 6% | 95% | |
| 66 | 8% | 89% | |
| 67 | 11% | 81% | |
| 68 | 12% | 70% | Majority |
| 69 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 45% | |
| 71 | 10% | 34% | |
| 72 | 7% | 24% | |
| 73 | 5% | 17% | |
| 74 | 4% | 12% | |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 64 | 5% | 96% | |
| 65 | 8% | 91% | |
| 66 | 10% | 83% | |
| 67 | 11% | 73% | |
| 68 | 12% | 62% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 13% | 50% | |
| 70 | 12% | 36% | |
| 71 | 8% | 24% | |
| 72 | 6% | 16% | |
| 73 | 4% | 10% | |
| 74 | 3% | 6% | |
| 75 | 2% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 4% | 94% | |
| 63 | 6% | 90% | Last Result |
| 64 | 8% | 84% | |
| 65 | 12% | 76% | |
| 66 | 13% | 64% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 50% | |
| 68 | 11% | 38% | Majority |
| 69 | 10% | 27% | |
| 70 | 8% | 17% | |
| 71 | 5% | 9% | |
| 72 | 3% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 56 | 2% | 91% | |
| 57 | 3% | 90% | |
| 58 | 5% | 86% | |
| 59 | 5% | 82% | |
| 60 | 7% | 76% | |
| 61 | 8% | 70% | |
| 62 | 10% | 62% | |
| 63 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 64 | 11% | 42% | |
| 65 | 10% | 31% | |
| 66 | 7% | 21% | |
| 67 | 5% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 9% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 5% | 96% | |
| 57 | 7% | 91% | |
| 58 | 8% | 83% | |
| 59 | 9% | 76% | |
| 60 | 11% | 66% | Median |
| 61 | 14% | 55% | |
| 62 | 12% | 41% | |
| 63 | 9% | 29% | |
| 64 | 7% | 21% | |
| 65 | 6% | 14% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 52 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 53 | 4% | 95% | |
| 54 | 6% | 91% | |
| 55 | 8% | 86% | |
| 56 | 10% | 78% | |
| 57 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 58 | 12% | 57% | |
| 59 | 12% | 45% | |
| 60 | 11% | 33% | |
| 61 | 9% | 22% | |
| 62 | 6% | 13% | |
| 63 | 4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |