Opinion Poll by NC Report for La Razón, 19–22 September 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 39.6% 25.1% 23.6–26.7% 23.1–27.2% 22.8–27.6% 22.1–28.4%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 17.9% 17.2% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.1% 15.2–19.4% 14.6–20.1%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 12.7% 13.7% 12.5–15.0% 12.2–15.4% 11.9–15.7% 11.4–16.4%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 39.6% 12.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3% 10.9–14.6% 10.4–15.3%
Catalunya en Comú 8.9% 11.6% 10.5–12.9% 10.2–13.2% 10.0–13.5% 9.5–14.1%
Partit Popular 8.5% 10.8% 9.8–12.0% 9.5–12.4% 9.2–12.7% 8.7–13.3%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 8.2% 5.6% 4.8–6.5% 4.6–6.8% 4.4–7.0% 4.1–7.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí 20 39 37–42 36–43 36–43 34–44
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25 24 21–25 20–26 20–26 19–28
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 16 18 16–20 15–21 15–22 15–22
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 29 19 17–21 17–21 16–22 15–23
Catalunya en Comú 11 14 13–17 12–17 12–17 11–18
Partit Popular 11 14 13–16 12–16 12–17 12–19
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 10 8 5–8 5–9 4–9 3–9

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100% Last Result
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0.2% 99.9%  
34 0.3% 99.8%  
35 2% 99.4%  
36 4% 98%  
37 18% 93%  
38 25% 76%  
39 13% 51% Median
40 11% 38%  
41 12% 27%  
42 7% 15%  
43 6% 8%  
44 1.4% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.2%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.6% 100%  
20 5% 99.4%  
21 5% 94%  
22 13% 89%  
23 12% 77%  
24 36% 64% Median
25 22% 29% Last Result
26 5% 7%  
27 1.2% 2%  
28 0.4% 0.6%  
29 0.2% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.4% 100%  
15 6% 99.6%  
16 25% 93% Last Result
17 16% 68%  
18 24% 52% Median
19 8% 29%  
20 15% 21%  
21 3% 6%  
22 3% 3%  
23 0.4% 0.4%  
24 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 2% 99.9%  
16 2% 98%  
17 23% 96%  
18 23% 73%  
19 17% 51% Median
20 11% 33%  
21 18% 22%  
22 2% 4%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Catalunya en Comú

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.9% Last Result
12 8% 98.9%  
13 6% 90%  
14 35% 84% Median
15 26% 49%  
16 10% 23%  
17 12% 13%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
12 5% 99.7%  
13 32% 94%  
14 43% 63% Median
15 10% 20%  
16 7% 10%  
17 1.3% 3%  
18 1.2% 2%  
19 0.4% 0.5%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 2% 100%  
4 1.1% 98%  
5 10% 97%  
6 9% 87%  
7 19% 77%  
8 51% 59% Median
9 8% 8%  
10 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Catalunya en Comú 60 72 98% 70–76 69–77 68–77 67–78
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular 63 70 86% 67–73 66–74 65–74 64–76
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 59 65 14% 62–68 61–69 61–70 59–71
Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 49 58 0% 55–61 54–62 54–63 53–64
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular 52 55 0% 52–58 51–59 51–60 49–61

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Catalunya en Comú

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100% Last Result
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.4% 99.9%  
67 1.1% 99.5%  
68 3% 98% Majority
69 6% 96%  
70 9% 90%  
71 17% 81%  
72 16% 65% Median
73 17% 48%  
74 12% 31%  
75 8% 19%  
76 6% 11%  
77 4% 5%  
78 1.3% 2%  
79 0.3% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100% Last Result
64 1.1% 99.8%  
65 2% 98.7%  
66 4% 97%  
67 7% 93%  
68 13% 86% Majority
69 16% 73%  
70 17% 57% Median
71 15% 40%  
72 12% 24%  
73 7% 13%  
74 3% 5%  
75 1.3% 2%  
76 0.4% 0.6%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
60 1.3% 99.4%  
61 3% 98%  
62 7% 95%  
63 12% 87%  
64 15% 76%  
65 17% 60%  
66 16% 43% Median
67 13% 27%  
68 7% 14% Majority
69 4% 7%  
70 2% 3%  
71 1.1% 1.3%  
72 0.2% 0.2%  
73 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100% Last Result
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.4% 99.9%  
53 1.2% 99.5%  
54 5% 98%  
55 10% 93%  
56 13% 84%  
57 16% 71%  
58 16% 55% Median
59 15% 38%  
60 10% 23%  
61 7% 13%  
62 4% 7%  
63 2% 3%  
64 0.5% 0.6%  
65 0.1% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Partit Popular

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.5% 99.9%  
50 2% 99.4%  
51 3% 98%  
52 5% 95% Last Result
53 10% 89%  
54 17% 80%  
55 18% 63%  
56 18% 46% Median
57 12% 28%  
58 8% 16%  
59 5% 8%  
60 2% 3%  
61 0.9% 1.1%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations