Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 21–24 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 12.5% 11.3–13.8% 11.0–14.2% 10.7–14.5% 10.2–15.2%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 11.3% 10.2–12.6% 9.9–13.0% 9.6–13.3% 9.1–13.9%
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 10.8% 9.7–12.1% 9.4–12.4% 9.2–12.7% 8.7–13.3%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 10.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.6–11.5% 8.4–11.8% 7.9–12.4%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.6% 7.6–10.9% 7.1–11.5%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 8.8% 7.8–9.9% 7.5–10.2% 7.3–10.5% 6.8–11.1%
Progressief Nederland (S&D) 0.0% 8.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.9–10.1% 6.5–10.6%
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.3% 7.4–9.5% 7.1–9.8% 6.9–10.1% 6.5–10.6%
50Plus (EPP) 0.0% 3.4% 2.8–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.3–5.0%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.9%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.2%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.4% 2.1–3.6% 1.9–3.8% 1.7–4.2%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.5% 1.5–3.9%
DENK (*) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.8% 1.1–3.2%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 1.4% 1.0–1.9% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–5
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 3 3 3 2–3 2–4
Progressief Nederland (S&D) 0 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
50Plus (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 6% 99.9%  
5 94% 94% Median
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 37% 100%  
4 58% 63% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 86% 87% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 4% 100%  
3 69% 96% Median
4 25% 27%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 12% 99.9%  
4 88% 88% Median
5 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 96% 97% Median
4 1.4% 1.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Progressief Nederland (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.5% 100%  
3 97% 99.5% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 95% 99.7% Median
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0%  

50Plus (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 91% 91% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 79% 100% Last Result, Median
1 20% 21%  
2 0.6% 0.6%  
3 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 56% 100% Last Result, Median
1 44% 44%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 45% 100% Last Result
1 55% 55% Median
2 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 9 0% 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 3 0% 3 3 2–3 2–4
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 38% 99.7%  
9 61% 62% Median
10 0.5% 0.6%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 10% 100%  
4 77% 90% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 13% 100%  
4 86% 87% Median
5 0.4% 0.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 3% 100%  
3 96% 97% Median
4 1.4% 1.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 54% 100% Last Result, Median
1 26% 46%  
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations