Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 11.1% | 9.0–12.4% | 8.6–12.7% | 8.3–12.9% | 7.8–13.3% |
14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 11.2% | 10.3–12.1% | 10.1–12.4% | 9.9–12.6% | 9.5–13.1% |
7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.3% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.6–11.4% |
21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.1–11.3% | 8.9–11.5% | 8.5–11.9% |
24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
10.2% | 9.3–11.3% | 9.0–11.6% | 8.8–11.8% | 8.4–12.3% |
24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 10.1% | 9.3–11.0% | 9.1–11.2% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% |
24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
10.4% | 9.4–11.4% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.5–12.5% |
13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 8.7% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.1–10.5% |
22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.5% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.5–9.9% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.6% |
22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.5% | 5.9–8.9% |
8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.8% | 7.2–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.4–9.9% |
18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.8–8.6% |
12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.0% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.2–8.4% |
20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.4% | 6.3–8.6% | 6.0–9.0% |
13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 6.2% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.7% |
14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.9–7.8% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% |
23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
5.6% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.0–7.0% |
26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
5.7% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 4% | 99.9% | |
8.5–9.5% | 16% | 96% | |
9.5–10.5% | 16% | 79% | |
10.5–11.5% | 27% | 63% | Median |
11.5–12.5% | 29% | 36% | |
12.5–13.5% | 7% | 7% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 |
6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
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14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 21% | 100% | |
4 | 30% | 79% | Median |
5 | 50% | 50% | |
6 | 0% | 0% |