DENK (*)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.7% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.5% | 1.6–3.7% | 1.4–4.0% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3.1% | 2.7–3.6% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.0% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.2% | 1.9–2.7% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.5% | 2.1–3.1% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.6–3.7% |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 3.2% | 2.8–3.7% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–4.0% |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.6% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.1% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.7% | 2.3–3.2% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.5% | 1.9–3.8% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
3.1% | 2.2–3.3% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.6–3.4% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.2% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.6% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.7% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2.1% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.4–3.0% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.8% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.9% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2.7% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for DENK (*).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 40% | 98% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 53% | 58% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
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| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for DENK (*).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 31% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |