Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.3% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.3–6.0% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.0–6.6% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.8% | 4.3–5.5% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.1% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4.4% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.0% | 3.7–4.4% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
4.6% | 4.0–5.4% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.4–6.2% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2.2% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 8% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 54% | 92% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 29% | 38% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
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| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 30% | 94% | |
| 2 | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |