Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10.7% | 9.5–13.5% | 9.2–13.7% | 8.9–13.9% | 8.4–14.2% |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.8–13.8% | 12.7–14.0% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.3% |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
10.4% | 9.7–11.2% | 9.5–11.4% | 9.3–11.6% | 9.0–12.0% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
10.0% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.1–12.2% |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8.8% | 8.1–9.6% | 7.9–9.8% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.4–10.4% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.3% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.6–11.4% |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8.5% | 7.8–9.4% | 7.6–9.6% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.0–10.2% |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.6% | 8.0–9.3% | 7.8–9.5% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.0% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.3% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.2–11.8% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 8.9–11.1% | 8.6–11.5% |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
9.2% | 8.4–10.1% | 8.2–10.4% | 8.0–10.6% | 7.6–11.1% |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
9.7% | 8.9–10.6% | 8.7–10.9% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.1–11.5% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9.9% | 8.9–10.9% | 8.7–11.2% | 8.5–11.5% | 8.0–12.0% |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.0% | 9.5–10.5% | 9.3–10.6% | 9.2–10.7% | 9.0–11.0% |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.0% | 13.9–16.2% | 13.6–16.6% | 13.3–16.9% | 12.8–17.5% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 12.6% | 11.6–13.7% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.1–14.3% | 10.7–14.8% |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
16.5% | 15.4–17.6% | 15.1–18.0% | 14.8–18.3% | 14.3–18.9% |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 15.4% | 14.5–16.4% | 14.2–16.7% | 14.0–17.0% | 13.5–17.5% |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
17.3% | 16.1–18.6% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.5–19.3% | 15.0–19.9% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 14.8% | 13.9–15.8% | 13.6–16.1% | 13.4–16.4% | 13.0–16.8% |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 16.6% | 15.8–17.5% | 15.5–17.8% | 15.3–18.0% | 14.9–18.5% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
19.4% | 18.2–20.7% | 17.8–21.1% | 17.5–21.4% | 16.9–22.1% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 16.7% | 15.7–17.8% | 15.4–18.1% | 15.2–18.4% | 14.7–18.9% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
18.1% | 16.9–19.4% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.3–20.1% | 15.7–20.7% |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 17.3% | 16.4–18.2% | 16.2–18.5% | 16.0–18.7% | 15.6–19.1% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 16.4% | 15.3–17.5% | 15.1–17.8% | 14.8–18.1% | 14.3–18.6% |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 16.6% | 15.8–17.5% | 15.5–17.8% | 15.3–18.0% | 14.9–18.5% |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 17.3% | 16.4–18.2% | 16.2–18.5% | 16.0–18.7% | 15.6–19.1% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
18.1% | 16.9–19.4% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.3–20.1% | 15.7–20.8% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 15.5% | 14.5–16.6% | 14.3–16.9% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.6–17.6% |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.5–16.2% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.1–16.6% | 13.7–17.1% |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.3% | 14.8–17.2% | 14.5–17.6% | 14.2–17.9% | 13.7–18.5% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 12.6% | 11.7–13.5% | 11.4–13.8% | 11.2–14.1% | 10.8–14.5% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
14.4% | 13.3–15.6% | 13.0–15.9% | 12.7–16.2% | 12.2–16.8% |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 13.4% | 12.5–14.4% | 12.3–14.6% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.6–15.3% |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.3% | 14.2–16.5% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.6–17.1% | 13.1–17.8% |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 14.1% | 13.1–15.2% | 12.8–15.5% | 12.6–15.7% | 12.1–16.2% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
14.4% | 13.5–15.9% | 13.2–16.2% | 13.0–16.5% | 12.5–17.1% |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 13.9% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.7–15.2% | 12.5–15.5% | 12.0–16.0% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
14.7% | 14.2–16.6% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.7–17.2% | 13.1–17.8% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 13.5% | 12.6–14.5% | 12.3–14.8% | 12.1–15.0% | 11.7–15.5% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.0% | 14.2–16.5% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.6–17.2% | 13.1–17.8% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.7–13.1% | 10.4–13.3% | 10.0–13.8% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 13.2% | 12.3–14.1% | 12.0–14.4% | 11.8–14.7% | 11.4–15.1% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.7–14.0% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.4–14.3% | 12.1–14.6% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
15.0% | 14.2–16.5% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.6–17.2% | 13.1–17.8% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
13.4% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.2% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 11.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 11% | 99.2% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 33% | 89% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 20% | 55% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 35% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 24% | 33% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 9% | 9% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
|||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 64% | 97% | Median |
| 5 | 33% | 33% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |