Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.9% | 7.7–11.6% | 7.4–11.9% | 7.2–12.2% | 6.7–12.6% |
| 24–27 April 2026 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.3% | 7.4–9.4% | 7.1–9.7% | 6.9–10.0% | 6.5–10.5% |
| 24 April 2026 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| 17–18 April 2026 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 April 2026 | Ipsos I&O | 8.5% | 7.7–9.3% | 7.5–9.6% | 7.3–9.8% | 7.0–10.2% |
| 27–30 March 2026 | Verian | 9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 March 2026 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 March 2026 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 March 2026 | Ipsos I&O | 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 March 2026 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 February 2026 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 February 2026 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 February 2026 | Ipsos I&O | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 February 2026 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 January–2 February 2026 | Ipsos I&O | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 January 2026 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 January 2026 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 January 2026 | Ipsos I&O | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–17 January 2026 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 December 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 December 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 6.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 November 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 November 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 November 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 November 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 6.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 1.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
1.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 1.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
0.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 0.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 31% | 93% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 25% | 62% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 7% | 37% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 19% | 31% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 11% | 11% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 61% | 98% | Median |
| 4 | 16% | 37% | |
| 5 | 21% | 21% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |