Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 20.2% | 18.7–23.2% | 18.3–23.8% | 18.0–24.2% | 17.4–25.0% |
14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 19.2% | 18.1–20.3% | 17.8–20.6% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.1–21.5% |
7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 20.0% | 19.1–20.9% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.1–21.9% |
21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
22.6% | 21.3–24.0% | 20.9–24.4% | 20.6–24.8% | 20.0–25.4% |
21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 21.3% | 20.4–22.3% | 20.1–22.6% | 19.9–22.8% | 19.4–23.3% |
14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 21.9% | 20.8–23.1% | 20.5–23.4% | 20.2–23.7% | 19.6–24.3% |
24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
24.2% | 22.8–25.6% | 22.4–26.0% | 22.1–26.4% | 21.5–27.1% |
24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 22.6% | 21.7–23.6% | 21.4–23.9% | 21.2–24.2% | 20.7–24.7% |
17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 22.0% | 20.9–23.2% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.3–23.8% | 19.8–24.3% |
24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
24.3% | 22.9–25.7% | 22.5–26.1% | 22.2–26.4% | 21.6–27.1% |
13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 23.3% | 22.3–24.3% | 22.1–24.6% | 21.8–24.9% | 21.4–25.3% |
6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 23.2% | 22.0–24.5% | 21.7–24.9% | 21.4–25.2% | 20.8–25.8% |
22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
26.5% | 25.8–28.8% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.1–29.6% | 24.4–30.3% |
22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.0–26.6% | 23.8–26.9% | 23.3–27.4% |
9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 23.7% | 22.5–25.0% | 22.2–25.3% | 21.9–25.6% | 21.3–26.2% |
8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.0–26.6% | 23.8–26.9% | 23.3–27.4% |
25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
25.6% | 24.6–27.4% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.8–28.2% | 23.2–28.8% |
18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 24.8% | 23.6–26.0% | 23.3–26.4% | 23.0–26.7% | 22.4–27.3% |
12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 24.6% | 23.6–25.7% | 23.4–26.0% | 23.1–26.2% | 22.6–26.7% |
28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 26.6% | 25.6–27.7% | 25.3–28.0% | 25.1–28.3% | 24.6–28.8% |
20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
26.7% | 25.9–28.8% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.2–29.6% | 24.5–30.3% |
20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 25.9% | 24.6–27.2% | 24.3–27.6% | 24.0–27.9% | 23.4–28.5% |
13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 27.0% | 25.8–28.2% | 25.5–28.6% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.6–29.5% |
14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.5–26.1% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.1–26.5% | 23.7–26.9% |
23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
24.9% | 24.5–27.4% | 24.1–27.8% | 23.8–28.1% | 23.2–28.8% |
26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
25.8% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.4–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.0–26.6% | 23.8–26.9% | 23.3–27.4% |
28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 27.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 7% | 99.2% | |
18.5–19.5% | 23% | 92% | |
19.5–20.5% | 27% | 69% | Median |
20.5–21.5% | 13% | 42% | |
21.5–22.5% | 11% | 29% | |
22.5–23.5% | 11% | 18% | |
23.5–24.5% | 5% | 7% | |
24.5–25.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
25.5–26.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 |
18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 |
14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 |
26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
10 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
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14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0% | 100% | |
7 | 26% | 100% | |
8 | 32% | 74% | Median |
9 | 42% | 43% | |
10 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
11 | 0% | 0% |