Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 19.3% | 16.3–23.2% | 16.0–23.8% | 15.7–24.2% | 15.2–25.0% |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | 18.7–19.9% | 18.5–20.0% | 18.4–20.2% | 18.1–20.5% |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
16.7% | 15.8–17.6% | 15.5–17.9% | 15.3–18.1% | 14.9–18.6% |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
22.6% | 21.2–24.1% | 20.9–24.5% | 20.5–24.8% | 19.9–25.5% |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 18.6% | 17.7–19.5% | 17.5–19.8% | 17.2–20.0% | 16.8–20.5% |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
18.5% | 17.5–19.5% | 17.2–19.8% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.5–20.6% |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
20.6% | 19.4–22.0% | 19.0–22.4% | 18.7–22.7% | 18.1–23.4% |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 20.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
20.2% | 19.1–21.4% | 18.8–21.7% | 18.5–22.0% | 18.0–22.6% |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.9% | 19.0–20.9% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.5–21.4% | 18.1–21.9% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.9–25.4% |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.3% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.5–22.2% |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | 18.4–20.2% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.9–20.7% | 17.5–21.2% |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | 18.4–20.2% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.9–20.7% | 17.5–21.2% |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
19.9% | 18.8–21.1% | 18.4–21.4% | 18.2–21.7% | 17.6–22.3% |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 18.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
19.5% | 18.4–20.7% | 18.1–21.0% | 17.8–21.3% | 17.3–21.9% |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
21.0% | 19.7–22.4% | 19.3–22.8% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.4–23.8% |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.9% | 19.3–20.6% | 19.1–20.8% | 18.9–20.9% | 18.6–21.3% |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 18.6% | 17.7–19.5% | 17.5–19.8% | 17.2–20.0% | 16.8–20.5% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
19.7% | 18.4–21.0% | 18.0–21.4% | 17.7–21.7% | 17.1–22.4% |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 17.4% | 16.3–18.6% | 16.0–19.0% | 15.7–19.3% | 15.2–19.9% |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | 18.4–20.2% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.9–20.7% | 17.5–21.2% |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
20.8% | 19.6–22.1% | 19.3–22.5% | 19.0–22.8% | 18.4–23.4% |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.9% | 19.0–20.9% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.5–21.4% | 18.1–21.9% |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 19.2% | 18.2–20.3% | 17.9–20.6% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.1–21.4% |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
22.0% | 20.7–23.3% | 20.3–23.7% | 20.0–24.1% | 19.4–24.7% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 20.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 19.0% | 18.0–20.1% | 17.7–20.4% | 17.4–20.7% | 16.9–21.2% |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 20.6% | 19.7–21.6% | 19.4–21.9% | 19.2–22.1% | 18.8–22.6% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
18.4% | 17.2–19.7% | 16.8–20.1% | 16.5–20.4% | 16.0–21.0% |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 18.3% | 17.3–19.4% | 17.0–19.7% | 16.7–20.0% | 16.2–20.5% |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
18.8% | 17.6–20.1% | 17.2–20.5% | 16.9–20.8% | 16.4–21.5% |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 18.6% | 17.7–19.6% | 17.5–19.8% | 17.3–20.1% | 16.9–20.5% |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 17.9% | 16.8–19.0% | 16.5–19.4% | 16.3–19.6% | 15.8–20.2% |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | 18.4–20.3% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.9–20.8% | 17.5–21.2% |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 19.3% | 18.4–20.3% | 18.1–20.5% | 17.9–20.8% | 17.5–21.2% |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
19.9% | 18.6–21.2% | 18.3–21.6% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.4–22.6% |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 19.2% | 18.1–20.3% | 17.8–20.6% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.1–21.5% |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 20.0% | 19.1–20.9% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.1–21.9% |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
21.9% | 21.3–24.0% | 20.9–24.4% | 20.6–24.8% | 20.0–25.4% |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 21.3% | 20.4–22.3% | 20.1–22.6% | 19.9–22.8% | 19.4–23.3% |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 21.9% | 20.8–23.1% | 20.5–23.4% | 20.2–23.7% | 19.6–24.3% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
24.2% | 22.8–25.6% | 22.4–26.0% | 22.1–26.4% | 21.5–27.1% |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 22.6% | 21.7–23.6% | 21.4–23.9% | 21.2–24.2% | 20.7–24.7% |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 22.0% | 20.9–23.2% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.3–23.8% | 19.8–24.3% |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
24.3% | 22.9–25.7% | 22.5–26.1% | 22.2–26.4% | 21.6–27.1% |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 23.3% | 22.3–24.3% | 22.1–24.6% | 21.8–24.9% | 21.4–25.3% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 23.2% | 22.0–24.5% | 21.7–24.9% | 21.4–25.2% | 20.8–25.8% |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
26.5% | 25.8–28.8% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.1–29.6% | 24.4–30.3% |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.0–26.6% | 23.8–26.9% | 23.3–27.4% |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 23.7% | 22.5–25.0% | 22.2–25.3% | 21.9–25.6% | 21.3–26.2% |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.0–26.6% | 23.8–26.9% | 23.3–27.4% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
25.6% | 24.6–27.4% | 24.2–27.8% | 23.8–28.2% | 23.2–28.8% |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 24.8% | 23.6–26.0% | 23.3–26.4% | 23.0–26.7% | 22.4–27.3% |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 24.6% | 23.6–25.7% | 23.4–26.0% | 23.1–26.2% | 22.6–26.7% |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 26.6% | 25.6–27.7% | 25.3–28.0% | 25.1–28.3% | 24.6–28.8% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
26.7% | 25.9–28.8% | 25.5–29.2% | 25.2–29.6% | 24.5–30.3% |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 25.9% | 24.6–27.2% | 24.3–27.6% | 24.0–27.9% | 23.4–28.5% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 27.0% | 25.8–28.2% | 25.5–28.6% | 25.2–28.9% | 24.6–29.5% |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.5–26.1% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.1–26.5% | 23.7–26.9% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
24.9% | 24.5–27.4% | 24.1–27.8% | 23.8–28.1% | 23.2–28.8% |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
25.8% | 24.8–28.4% | 24.4–28.9% | 23.9–29.4% | 23.1–30.3% |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 25.3% | 24.3–26.3% | 24.0–26.6% | 23.8–26.9% | 23.3–27.4% |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | 27.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
29.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 12% | 98% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 15% | 86% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 71% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 10% | 42% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 5% | 33% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 28% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 11% | 18% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 24 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 23–24 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 17–20 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 17 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 13–15 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 10–13 October 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 10 October 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–6 October 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 3 October 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 26 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| 19 September 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 13–15 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 6 September 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | Ipsos I&O Pauw & De Wit |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 25 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 25–26 July 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 20–23 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 |
| 21 June 2025 | Peil.nl | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 13–16 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 6–9 June 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 30–31 May 2025 | Peil.nl | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 |
| 9–12 May 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| 25–28 April 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 25–26 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 |
| 11–14 April 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| 28–29 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–9 |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
8 | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 14–17 March 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 7–8 March 2025 | Peil.nl | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
| 21–22 February 2025 | Peil.nl | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 |
| 14–17 February 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Verian EenVandaag |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 24–25 January 2025 | Peil.nl | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 17–20 January 2025 | Ipsos I&O | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 24–28 December 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| 13–14 December 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| 22–25 November 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
| 22–23 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 9–11 November 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
| 8–9 November 2024 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 |
| 18–21 October 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 12 October 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 28 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| 20–23 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Ipsos I&O | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 |
| 14–15 September 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | Verian EenVandaag |
10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 |
| 26–29 July 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
10 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 6 July 2024 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| 28–29 June 2024 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O EenVandaag |
|||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | Ipsos I&O |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 55% | 91% | Median |
| 8 | 23% | 36% | |
| 9 | 4% | 13% | |
| 10 | 9% | 9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |