Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 28 August 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
Progressief Nederland (S&D) 0.0% 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
50Plus (EPP) 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 0.7% 0.5–0.9% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.0% 0.4–1.2%
De Nederlandse Alliantie (*) 0.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 4 4 4 4–5 4–5
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 4 4 4 4 3–4
Progressief Nederland (S&D) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3 3–4 3–4 3–4
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 3 3 3 3 3–4
50Plus (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
De Nederlandse Alliantie (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 10% 100%  
5 90% 90% Median
6 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 88% 100% Median
5 11% 12%  
6 0.7% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 90% 93% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 96% 99.9% Median
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 1.4% 100%  
4 98.6% 98.6% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Progressief Nederland (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 37% 100%  
4 63% 63% Median
5 0% 0%  

Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 93% 100% Median
4 7% 7%  
5 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 98.8% 100% Median
4 1.2% 1.2%  
5 0% 0%  

50Plus (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

De Nederlandse Alliantie (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the De Nederlandse Alliantie (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–10
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 4 0% 4 4 4–5 4–5
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 5 0% 5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 4 0% 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2

Democraten 66 (RE) – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.3% 100%  
8 89% 99.7% Median
9 10% 11%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 96% 99.9% Median
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 10% 100%  
5 90% 90% Median
6 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 90% 93% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) – Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 80% 100% Last Result, Median
1 13% 20%  
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations