Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 25–28 September 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0.0% 12.7% 11.6–14.0% 11.3–14.4% 11.0–14.7% 10.5–15.3%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0.0% 11.5% 10.4–12.7% 10.1–13.1% 9.8–13.4% 9.3–14.0%
Democraten 66 (RE) 0.0% 11.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9% 9.7–13.2% 9.2–13.8%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0.0% 9.6% 8.6–10.7% 8.3–11.0% 8.0–11.3% 7.6–11.9%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0.0% 9.2% 8.2–10.3% 7.9–10.6% 7.7–10.9% 7.2–11.5%
Progressief Nederland (S&D) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.6–10.3% 7.4–10.5% 7.0–11.1%
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.6–10.3% 7.4–10.5% 7.0–11.1%
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0.0% 6.9% 6.0–7.9% 5.8–8.1% 5.6–8.4% 5.2–8.9%
50Plus (EPP) 0.0% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.5–5.3%
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1% 2.0–4.5%
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.6% 2.2–3.8% 2.1–3.9% 1.8–4.3%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7% 1.7–4.0%
DENK (*) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6%
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.3% 1.8–3.0% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6%
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0.0% 1.3% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1% 0.7–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) 0 4 4 4–5 4–5 3–5
Democraten 66 (RE) 0 4 4 4 3–4 3–5
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Progressief Nederland (S&D) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
50Plus (EPP) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
ChristenUnie (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
DENK (*) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 91% 92% Median
6 0.8% 0.9%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 2% 100%  
4 89% 98% Median
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 94% 95% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 39% 99.9%  
4 61% 61% Median
5 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 26% 99.7%  
4 74% 74% Median
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Progressief Nederland (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 79% 99.9% Median
4 20% 21%  
5 0% 0%  

Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 80% 99.9% Median
4 19% 20%  
5 0.3% 0.3%  
6 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 28% 100%  
3 72% 72% Median
4 0% 0%  

50Plus (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100% Last Result
1 84% 91% Median
2 7% 7%  
3 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 23%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 6%  
2 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

DENK (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0% 0%  

Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.4% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.6% 0.6%  
2 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 7–9 6–9
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) 0 5 0% 5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Forum voor Democratie (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 1.4% 100%  
7 3% 98.6%  
8 85% 96% Median
9 10% 10%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 8% 100%  
5 91% 92% Median
6 0.8% 0.9%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 37% 100%  
4 58% 63% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 28% 100%  
3 72% 72% Median
4 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 22% 23%  
2 1.0% 1.0%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations