Opinion Poll by Verian for EenVandaag, 23–26 October 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0.0% | 13.4% | 12.2–14.7% | 11.9–15.0% | 11.6–15.3% | 11.1–16.0% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0.0% | 10.4% | 9.4–11.6% | 9.1–11.9% | 8.9–12.2% | 8.4–12.8% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0.0% | 10.3% | 9.3–11.4% | 9.0–11.8% | 8.7–12.1% | 8.2–12.6% |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0.0% | 9.4% | 8.4–10.5% | 8.2–10.9% | 7.9–11.1% | 7.5–11.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0.0% | 9.3% | 8.4–10.5% | 8.1–10.8% | 7.8–11.1% | 7.4–11.6% |
| Progressief Nederland (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.1–11.3% |
| Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.6–10.7% | 7.1–11.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.8–9.9% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.4–10.5% | 6.9–11.0% |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.6–5.4% |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.6–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.3% | 2.1–4.7% |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.1% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.5% |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.2% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.4–3.7% |
| DENK (*) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–1.9% | 0.6–2.2% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Progressief Nederland (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 50Plus (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| ChristenUnie (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| DENK (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 45% | 48% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 45% | 100% | |
| 4 | 47% | 55% | Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 23% | 100% | |
| 4 | 68% | 77% | Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 88% | 99.9% | Median |
| 4 | 12% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 82% | 99.1% | Median |
| 4 | 17% | 17% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Progressief Nederland (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 52% | 95% | Median |
| 4 | 41% | 43% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progressief Nederland (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 43% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 65% | 99.5% | Median |
| 4 | 34% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 55% | 75% | Median |
| 2 | 20% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 80% | 80% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 68% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 32% | 32% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 69% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 31% | 31% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 97% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 3% | 3% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
DENK (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Forum voor Democratie (ESN) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (RE) – Democraten 66 (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 18% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 65% | 81% | Median |
| 8 | 17% | 17% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 45% | 48% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 (ECR) – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 43% | 100% | |
| 4 | 48% | 57% | Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 65% | 99.5% | Median |
| 4 | 34% | 34% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij (GUE/NGL) – Partij voor de Dieren (GUE/NGL)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 61% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 25% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Verian
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 October 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1286
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.41%