Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 9–10 April 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 20.6% | 19.7–21.6% | 19.4–21.9% | 19.2–22.1% | 18.8–22.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 16.0% | 15.1–16.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 32 | 32 | 32–33 | 32–33 | 28–34 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 26 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 14 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–16 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 98.5% | |
| 32 | 93% | 98% | Median |
| 33 | 5% | 6% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 24 | 19% | 97% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.6% | 78% | |
| 26 | 77% | 78% | Median |
| 27 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 10% | 100% | |
| 16 | 70% | 90% | Median |
| 17 | 15% | 20% | Last Result |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 63% | 98.8% | Median |
| 15 | 22% | 36% | Last Result |
| 16 | 14% | 14% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 79% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 94% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 10 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 19% | 100% | |
| 7 | 80% | 81% | Median |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 78% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 7 | 20% | 22% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 71% | 99.6% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 29% | Last Result |
| 6 | 11% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 18% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 81% | 82% | Median |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 97% | 99.0% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 21% | 100% | |
| 3 | 26% | 79% | Last Result |
| 4 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 76% | 77% | Median |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 68% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 32% | 32% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 60% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 40% | 40% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 85 | 100% | 85–86 | 85–87 | 82–87 | 82–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 83 | 100% | 83–85 | 83–85 | 80–85 | 80–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 75 | 36% | 75–78 | 74–78 | 74–78 | 69–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 76 | 96% | 76–78 | 76–78 | 73–78 | 73–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 72 | 0.7% | 71–75 | 71–75 | 71–75 | 66–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 72 | 0% | 72–73 | 72–73 | 68–73 | 68–73 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 70 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 68–71 | 66–71 | 65–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 67 | 0% | 65–67 | 65–67 | 64–67 | 63–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 62 | 0% | 61–65 | 61–65 | 61–66 | 57–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 61 | 60 | 0% | 60–61 | 60–62 | 57–62 | 56–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 59 | 0% | 59–61 | 59–61 | 59–61 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 59 | 0% | 59–61 | 59–61 | 58–61 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 56 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–58 | 56–58 | 52–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 56 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–58 | 55–58 | 51–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 55 | 0% | 55–57 | 55–57 | 55–57 | 52–58 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 49 | 0% | 49–50 | 47–50 | 46–50 | 45–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 46 | 0% | 46–48 | 46–48 | 46–48 | 42–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 41 | 41 | 38–43 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 40 | 0% | 40–41 | 39–41 | 37–41 | 36–41 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 27 | 0% | 27–30 | 27–30 | 27–30 | 26–30 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 23 | 0% | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–25 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 85 | 53% | 96% | Median |
| 86 | 36% | 42% | |
| 87 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 83 | 71% | 96% | Median |
| 84 | 15% | 25% | |
| 85 | 10% | 10% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 7% | 98% | |
| 75 | 55% | 91% | Median |
| 76 | 17% | 36% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 19% | Last Result |
| 78 | 15% | 15% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 76 | 53% | 96% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 33% | 43% | |
| 78 | 10% | 10% | Last Result |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 8% | 98% | |
| 72 | 53% | 90% | Median |
| 73 | 17% | 36% | |
| 74 | 4% | 19% | Last Result |
| 75 | 14% | 15% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 72 | 78% | 96% | Median |
| 73 | 17% | 17% | Last Result |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 97% | |
| 69 | 85% | 92% | Median |
| 70 | 0.3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 71 | 6% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 65 | 20% | 97% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 78% | |
| 67 | 77% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 61 | 9% | 98% | |
| 62 | 53% | 90% | Median |
| 63 | 17% | 37% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 19% | |
| 65 | 14% | 19% | |
| 66 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 60 | 75% | 96% | Median |
| 61 | 15% | 22% | Last Result |
| 62 | 6% | 7% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 59 | 53% | 98% | Median |
| 60 | 11% | 45% | |
| 61 | 33% | 34% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 59 | 63% | 97% | Median |
| 60 | 19% | 34% | Last Result |
| 61 | 15% | 15% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 56 | 53% | 98% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 45% | |
| 58 | 32% | 33% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 56 | 65% | 97% | Median |
| 57 | 18% | 33% | Last Result |
| 58 | 14% | 15% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 55 | 61% | 98% | Median |
| 56 | 21% | 37% | |
| 57 | 15% | 15% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 47 | 5% | 97% | |
| 48 | 1.3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 49 | 73% | 91% | Median |
| 50 | 17% | 18% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 46 | 61% | 98% | Median |
| 47 | 18% | 37% | |
| 48 | 18% | 19% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 41 | 96% | 98% | Median |
| 42 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 40 | 73% | 91% | Median |
| 41 | 18% | 18% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 54% | 99.4% | Median |
| 28 | 19% | 46% | |
| 29 | 11% | 26% | Last Result |
| 30 | 15% | 15% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 65% | 98% | Median |
| 24 | 19% | 33% | Last Result |
| 25 | 14% | 15% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–10 April 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.19%