Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 21.9% (General Election of 17 March 2021)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 17.7% 16.7–19.7% 16.4–20.1% 16.2–20.5% 15.6–21.1%
21 November 2023 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.7–17.9% 16.5–18.1% 16.3–18.3% 16.0–18.6%
19–21 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 19.2% 18.2–20.3% 17.9–20.7% 17.7–20.9% 17.2–21.5%
20–21 November 2023 I&O Research 17.4% 16.4–18.5% 16.1–18.8% 15.8–19.1% 15.3–19.6%
18–20 November 2023 I&O Research 17.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 November 2023 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.4–18.2% 16.2–18.4% 15.9–18.7% 15.5–19.1%
12–14 November 2023 I&O Research 17.3% 16.4–18.4% 16.1–18.7% 15.9–18.9% 15.4–19.5%
10–13 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.0% 17.5–19.7% 17.2–20.0% 16.9–20.3% 16.4–20.9%
10–11 November 2023 Peil.nl 17.9% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
6–7 November 2023 I&O Research 16.5% 15.5–17.5% 15.2–17.8% 15.0–18.1% 14.5–18.6%
3–4 November 2023 Peil.nl 17.2% 16.3–18.1% 16.1–18.3% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.0%
27–30 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.0% 17.3–19.6% 17.0–20.0% 16.8–20.3% 16.3–20.8%
27–28 October 2023 Peil.nl 17.2% 16.4–18.2% 16.1–18.4% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.1%
22–24 October 2023 I&O Research 16.5% 15.3–17.8% 15.0–18.1% 14.7–18.4% 14.2–19.1%
20–21 October 2023 Peil.nl 17.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.9% 16.4–19.5% 16.0–20.0% 15.6–20.4% 15.0–21.2%
13–14 October 2023 Peil.nl 17.2% 16.4–18.2% 16.1–18.4% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.1%
6–9 October 2023 I&O Research 16.7% 15.8–17.8% 15.5–18.1% 15.3–18.3% 14.8–18.8%
6–7 October 2023 Peil.nl 16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 September 2023 I&O Research 17.3% 16.0–18.6% 15.7–19.0% 15.4–19.3% 14.8–20.0%
22–24 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.2% 15.7–18.8% 15.3–19.2% 15.0–19.6% 14.3–20.4%
22–23 September 2023 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
8–11 September 2023 I&O Research 16.5% 15.4–17.7% 15.0–18.1% 14.8–18.4% 14.3–19.0%
8–9 September 2023 Peil.nl 17.2% 16.4–18.2% 16.1–18.4% 15.9–18.6% 15.5–19.1%
1–4 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.1% 15.6–18.8% 15.2–19.3% 14.8–19.7% 14.1–20.5%
1–2 September 2023 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.7–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.4%
25–26 August 2023 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.7–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.4%
23–24 August 2023 I&O Research 13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.6–15.4% 12.4–15.6% 11.9–16.2%
18–19 August 2023 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.5% 17.5–19.8% 17.2–20.0% 16.8–20.5%
21 August–24 July 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.6% 15.3–20.0% 14.6–20.8%
14–17 July 2023 I&O Research 15.5% 14.4–16.7% 14.1–17.0% 13.8–17.3% 13.3–17.8%
14–15 July 2023 Peil.nl 16.5% 15.7–17.4% 15.4–17.7% 15.2–17.9% 14.8–18.4%
30 June–1 July 2023 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
23–25 June 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.2% 15.9–20.6% 15.2–21.4%
16–17 June 2023 Peil.nl 13.2% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
9–12 June 2023 I&O Research 13.7% 12.8–14.7% 12.6–14.9% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6%
26–29 May 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.9% 17.4–20.6% 17.0–21.1% 16.6–21.5% 15.9–22.3%
19–20 May 2023 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
12–15 May 2023 I&O Research 14.9% 13.9–16.0% 13.6–16.3% 13.4–16.6% 12.9–17.1%
5–6 May 2023 Peil.nl 12.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 April 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.3% 15.8–18.9% 15.4–19.3% 15.0–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
21–22 April 2023 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
14–17 April 2023 I&O Research 11.8% 10.9–12.7% 10.7–13.0% 10.5–13.2% 10.1–13.7%
31 March–1 April 2023 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
24–27 March 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.2% 15.8–18.8% 15.3–19.3% 15.0–19.7% 14.3–20.5%
23–24 March 2023 Peil.nl 12.6% 12.0–13.4% 11.8–13.5% 11.6–13.7% 11.3–14.1%
17–27 February 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.5% 17.9–19.3% 17.7–19.4% 17.5–19.6% 17.2–20.0%
24–25 February 2023 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
17–18 February 2023 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.4% 14.1–16.6% 13.7–17.1%
13 February 2023 I&O Research 14.8% 13.9–15.8% 13.7–16.0% 13.5–16.3% 13.1–16.8%
10–11 February 2023 Peil.nl 14.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 January 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.5% 17.0–20.1% 16.5–20.6% 16.2–21.0% 15.5–21.8%
13–16 January 2023 I&O Research 15.0% 14.1–15.9% 13.8–16.2% 13.6–16.4% 13.2–16.9%
13–14 January 2023 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
16–19 December 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 16.7% 15.4–18.4% 15.0–18.9% 14.6–19.3% 14.0–20.0%
16–17 December 2022 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
9–12 December 2022 I&O Research 12.9% 12.0–13.9% 11.7–14.1% 11.5–14.4% 11.1–14.9%
2–3 December 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
25–28 November 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 16.9% 15.5–18.5% 15.1–18.9% 14.8–19.3% 14.1–20.1%
25–26 November 2022 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
11–14 November 2022 I&O Research 13.6% 12.7–14.6% 12.4–14.9% 12.2–15.1% 11.7–15.6%
11–12 November 2022 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
21–24 October 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.2% 15.8–18.8% 15.4–19.3% 15.0–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
22–23 October 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
14–17 October 2022 I&O Research 13.2% 12.3–14.2% 12.1–14.5% 11.9–14.7% 11.5–15.2%
14–15 October 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
23–26 September 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 16.1% 14.6–17.6% 14.3–18.1% 13.9–18.5% 13.3–19.2%
23–24 September 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
9–12 September 2022 I&O Research 14.6% 13.6–15.7% 13.3–16.0% 13.0–16.3% 12.5–16.9%
26–29 August 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 17.1% 15.6–18.7% 15.2–19.1% 14.9–19.5% 14.2–20.3%
26–27 August 2022 Peil.nl 13.4% 12.6–14.2% 12.4–14.5% 12.2–14.7% 11.9–15.1%
5–6 August 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
22–25 July 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 18.6% 17.1–20.3% 16.7–20.8% 16.3–21.2% 15.7–22.0%
15–18 July 2022 I&O Research 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.7–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
8–9 July 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
24–27 June 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 19.2% 17.6–20.8% 17.2–21.3% 16.9–21.7% 16.2–22.5%
24–25 June 2022 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
17–18 June 2022 Peil.nl 14.6% 13.8–15.5% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.0–16.4%
10–13 June 2022 I&O Research 15.3% 14.3–16.4% 14.1–16.8% 13.8–17.0% 13.3–17.6%
10–11 June 2022 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.4% 14.1–16.6% 13.7–17.1%
27–30 May 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 20.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 May 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 May 2022 Kantar 18.9% 17.5–20.5% 17.0–21.0% 16.7–21.4% 16.0–22.2%
13–16 May 2022 I&O Research 17.4% 16.2–18.6% 15.9–19.0% 15.6–19.3% 15.1–19.9%
13–14 May 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
22–25 April 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.8% 18.0–24.6%
22–23 April 2022 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.2% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
8–11 April 2022 I&O Research 17.6% 16.6–18.7% 16.3–19.0% 16.1–19.3% 15.6–19.8%
8–9 April 2022 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.4–18.2% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.1%
1–2 April 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–27 March 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 20.6% 19.1–22.3% 18.6–22.8% 18.3–23.2% 17.5–24.0%
25–26 March 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
18–19 March 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
11–12 March 2022 Peil.nl 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 March 2022 Kantar 21.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 March 2022 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.2% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
25–28 February 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.6% 16.9–23.4%
26–27 February 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
18–19 February 2022 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.4% 14.1–16.6% 13.7–17.1%
11–14 February 2022 I&O Research 16.8% 15.9–17.9% 15.6–18.2% 15.3–18.4% 14.9–18.9%
11–12 February 2022 Peil.nl 14.6% 13.8–15.5% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.0–16.4%
4–5 February 2022 Peil.nl 14.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–31 January 2022 Kantar 20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–24.0%
28–29 January 2022 Peil.nl 14.6% 13.8–15.5% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.0–16.4%
21–24 January 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 19.2% 17.7–20.9% 17.3–21.4% 16.9–21.8% 16.2–22.6%
21–22 January 2022 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.4% 14.1–16.6% 13.7–17.1%
14–17 January 2022 I&O Research 17.0% 16.1–18.2% 15.8–18.4% 15.6–18.7% 15.1–19.2%
14–15 January 2022 Peil.nl 16.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 December 2021 Peil.nl 17.9% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
15–20 December 2021 Kantar 20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–24.0%
17–20 December 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 19.6% 18.1–21.3% 17.7–21.8% 17.3–22.2% 16.6–23.0%
17–18 December 2021 Peil.nl 17.9% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.1% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
12 December 2021 Peil.nl 20.0% 19.1–20.9% 18.8–21.2% 18.6–21.4% 18.1–21.9%
3–6 December 2021 I&O Research 18.2% 17.2–19.4% 16.9–19.7% 16.6–20.0% 16.1–20.5%
3–5 December 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
26–29 November 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 21.4% 19.8–23.2% 19.4–23.7% 19.0–24.1% 18.3–24.9%
26–27 November 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
19–20 November 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
12–15 November 2021 I&O Research 20.1% 19.0–21.3% 18.7–21.7% 18.4–21.9% 17.9–22.5%
5–9 November 2021 Kantar 21.0% 19.5–22.8% 19.0–23.3% 18.7–23.8% 17.9–24.6%
7 November 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 October 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 October 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 21.6% 20.0–23.4% 19.6–23.8% 19.2–24.3% 18.5–25.1%
15–16 October 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 October 2021 I&O Research 21.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 October 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–2 October 2021 Peil.nl 23.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 September 2021 Ipsos 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 September 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 September 2021 Kantar 22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–18 September 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 September 2021 I&O Research 20.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 September 2021 Peil.nl 24.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 September 2021 Peil.nl 24.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–30 August 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 24.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 August 2021 Peil.nl 23.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 July 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 23.3% 21.7–25.1% 21.2–25.6% 20.8–26.0% 20.0–26.9%
23–24 July 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
9–12 July 2021 I&O Research 21.5% 20.4–22.7% 20.1–23.0% 19.8–23.3% 19.3–23.9%
25–28 June 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 24.6% 23.0–26.4% 22.5–26.9% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.3%
27 June 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
20 June 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
12 June 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
4–7 June 2021 I&O Research 22.8% 21.5–24.1% 21.2–24.4% 20.9–24.7% 20.3–25.4%
4–5 June 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
28–29 May 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% 21.6–23.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.1–24.1% 20.7–24.6%
21–23 May 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 22.9% 21.2–24.6% 20.8–25.1% 20.4–25.6% 19.6–26.4%
21–22 May 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% 21.6–23.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.1–24.1% 20.7–24.6%
14–15 May 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% 21.6–23.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.1–24.1% 20.7–24.6%
7–9 May 2021 Peil.nl 22.6% 21.6–23.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.1–24.1% 20.7–24.6%
30 April–3 May 2021 I&O Research 21.5% 20.4–22.8% 20.1–23.2% 19.8–23.5% 19.2–24.1%
30 April–1 May 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
23–24 April 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
16–19 April 2021 Ipsos 22.5% 20.9–24.2% 20.4–24.7% 20.0–25.2% 19.3–26.0%
16–17 April 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
9–12 April 2021 I&O Research 21.6% 20.5–22.8% 20.1–23.2% 19.9–23.5% 19.3–24.1%
9–10 April 2021 Peil.nl 20.6% 19.7–21.6% 19.4–21.9% 19.2–22.1% 18.8–22.6%
3–4 April 2021 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.6% 17.5–19.8% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.5%
26–27 March 2021 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0.3% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 7% 99.6%  
16.5–17.5% 36% 93%  
17.5–18.5% 27% 57% Median
18.5–19.5% 18% 30%  
19.5–20.5% 10% 12%  
20.5–21.5% 2% 2%  
21.5–22.5% 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
22.5–23.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 34 seats (General Election of 17 March 2021)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 28 27–30 27–30 27–30 26–31
21 November 2023 Peil.nl 27 27 27 27–28 26–28
19–21 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 30 27–30 27–30 27–30 27–32
20–21 November 2023 I&O Research 30 28–30 28–30 26–30 22–30
18–20 November 2023 I&O Research          
17–18 November 2023 Peil.nl 29 26–29 25–31 25–31 23–31
12–14 November 2023 I&O Research 25 25–28 25–28 25–29 24–29
10–13 November 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 30 30 30 30 30
10–11 November 2023 Peil.nl 31 28–31 27–31 26–31 25–31
6–7 November 2023 I&O Research 26 24–27 24–27 24–28 22–30
3–4 November 2023 Peil.nl 26 25–26 24–28 24–28 24–29
27–30 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 26–28 26–31 26–33 25–33
27–28 October 2023 Peil.nl 27 25–27 24–28 24–30 23–31
22–24 October 2023 I&O Research 22 22 22–23 22–24 22–27
20–21 October 2023 Peil.nl          
13–16 October 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 27 27 27 27
13–14 October 2023 Peil.nl 30 26–30 26–30 26–30 24–30
6–9 October 2023 I&O Research 27 23–28 23–28 23–28 23–29
6–7 October 2023 Peil.nl          
22–25 September 2023 I&O Research 28 25–28 24–29 22–29 21–29
22–24 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 26 26–31 24–31 24–31 22–32
22–23 September 2023 Peil.nl 26 26 24–26 24–26 24–27
8–11 September 2023 I&O Research 25 24–26 22–27 22–27 22–28
8–9 September 2023 Peil.nl 27 26–28 26–29 26–30 25–30
1–4 September 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 25–28 24–31 23–31 22–31
1–2 September 2023 Peil.nl 26 24–26 24–26 24–27 24–29
25–26 August 2023 Peil.nl 26 24–26 24–28 24–29 24–29
23–24 August 2023 I&O Research 22 21–25 21–25 21–25 18–25
18–19 August 2023 Peil.nl 30 28–30 28–30 27–33 27–33
21 August–24 July 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 24 24–27 24–27 24–30 22–30
14–17 July 2023 I&O Research 26 26 24–29 24–29 22–29
14–15 July 2023 Peil.nl 23 23–27 23–27 23–27 22–29
30 June–1 July 2023 Peil.nl 19 19–20 19–20 19–20 19–22
23–25 June 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 28 27–28 25–30 24–30 24–31
16–17 June 2023 Peil.nl 21 20–21 19–21 19–21 17–23
9–12 June 2023 I&O Research 23 21–25 19–25 19–25 19–25
26–29 May 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 25–32 25–32 25–32 25–37
19–20 May 2023 Peil.nl 19 19 19 19 18–21
12–15 May 2023 I&O Research 22 20–27 20–27 20–27 20–27
5–6 May 2023 Peil.nl          
24 April 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 24–27 24–28 24–28 22–28
21–22 April 2023 Peil.nl 18 16–18 16–18 16–18 15–19
14–17 April 2023 I&O Research 17 17–20 17–21 16–21 16–23
31 March–1 April 2023 Peil.nl 19 19 19 19 19
24–27 March 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 25–27 25–27 25–27 25–27
23–24 March 2023 Peil.nl 19 18–19 18–19 18–21 18–23
17–27 February 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 29 28–30 28–31 27–31 27–32
24–25 February 2023 Peil.nl 21 20–22 20–23 20–23 20–23
17–18 February 2023 Peil.nl 24 24–25 22–26 22–26 22–27
13 February 2023 I&O Research 24 22–24 22–25 22–25 21–26
10–11 February 2023 Peil.nl          
27–30 January 2023 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 30 26–30 26–30 26–30 25–34
13–16 January 2023 I&O Research 23 23–25 22–25 22–25 21–25
13–14 January 2023 Peil.nl 19 19 19–20 19–21 19–24
16–19 December 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 25 25 25 25 25
16–17 December 2022 Peil.nl 21 21 21 21 20–22
9–12 December 2022 I&O Research 20 20 20 20 19–20
2–3 December 2022 Peil.nl 22 20–22 20–22 20–22 20–22
25–28 November 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 23 22–29 22–29 22–29 21–31
25–26 November 2022 Peil.nl 21 19–21 19–21 19–21 19–24
11–14 November 2022 I&O Research 23 21–23 20–23 20–23 19–23
11–12 November 2022 Peil.nl 21 19–21 19–21 19–21 19–24
21–24 October 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 23–29 23–29 23–31 22–31
22–23 October 2022 Peil.nl 21 21 21–22 21–22 21–22
14–17 October 2022 I&O Research 21 19–21 19–21 19–23 18–23
14–15 October 2022 Peil.nl 22 22–23 22–23 22–23 22–23
23–26 September 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 25 23–27 23–27 23–27 21–28
23–24 September 2022 Peil.nl 21 21–22 21–22 20–24 19–24
9–12 September 2022 I&O Research 21 21–25 21–25 21–26 20–26
26–29 August 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 24 22–30 22–30 22–31 21–32
26–27 August 2022 Peil.nl 21 18–23 18–23 18–23 18–23
5–6 August 2022 Peil.nl 21 20–22 20–22 19–24 19–25
22–25 July 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 26–28 26–29 25–31 24–35
15–18 July 2022 I&O Research 21 21–22 21–22 19–23 18–25
8–9 July 2022 Peil.nl 22 22 22 22 20–24
24–27 June 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 30 26–32 25–34 25–34 25–38
24–25 June 2022 Peil.nl 21 21 21–22 21–22 21–22
17–18 June 2022 Peil.nl 23 23 23 23 22–24
10–13 June 2022 I&O Research 23 22–25 22–27 22–27 21–28
10–11 June 2022 Peil.nl 22 22 22 22 22
27–30 May 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
27–28 May 2022 Peil.nl          
25–27 May 2022 Kantar 26 26–30 26–31 24–32 24–33
13–16 May 2022 I&O Research 28 25–28 25–29 25–30 23–31
13–14 May 2022 Peil.nl 24 24–26 24–26 22–27 22–27
22–25 April 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 37 30–37 30–37 28–37 28–37
22–23 April 2022 Peil.nl 30 28–30 28–30 26–30 26–30
8–11 April 2022 I&O Research 27 26–28 25–29 24–29 22–30
8–9 April 2022 Peil.nl 26 26–27 25–27 25–28 25–29
1–2 April 2022 Peil.nl          
25–27 March 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 32 29–36 29–36 27–36 27–37
25–26 March 2022 Peil.nl 26 25–27 25–27 24–27 22–28
18–19 March 2022 Peil.nl 26 25–27 25–27 24–27 22–28
11–12 March 2022 Peil.nl          
9–11 March 2022 Kantar          
4–5 March 2022 Peil.nl 25 24–29 24–29 24–30 24–31
25–28 February 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 27 27–33 27–33 27–33 24–36
26–27 February 2022 Peil.nl 29 29 24–29 24–29 24–29
18–19 February 2022 Peil.nl 23 23–24 22–24 21–24 21–25
11–14 February 2022 I&O Research 28 28 28 26–28 25–28
11–12 February 2022 Peil.nl 22 22 22 22 22
4–5 February 2022 Peil.nl          
27–31 January 2022 Kantar 30 29–33 29–33 27–33 24–38
28–29 January 2022 Peil.nl 22 22 22 22 22
21–24 January 2022 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 26 26–30 26–32 25–32 24–32
21–22 January 2022 Peil.nl 23 23 23 23–24 23–25
14–17 January 2022 I&O Research 30 29–30 29–30 28–30 23–30
14–15 January 2022 Peil.nl          
24–25 December 2021 Peil.nl 29 29 28–29 26–29 26–29
15–20 December 2021 Kantar 30 29–30 29–30 29–31 28–35
17–20 December 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 30 29–34 29–34 28–34 26–34
17–18 December 2021 Peil.nl 29 29 28–29 26–29 26–29
12 December 2021 Peil.nl 30 30–32 30–34 29–34 28–34
3–6 December 2021 I&O Research 29 27–30 26–30 25–30 24–30
3–5 December 2021 Peil.nl 34 32–35 31–35 30–35 29–35
26–29 November 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 32 31–34 31–36 29–36 29–41
26–27 November 2021 Peil.nl 34 32–35 31–35 30–35 29–35
19–20 November 2021 Peil.nl 34 32–35 31–35 30–35 29–35
12–15 November 2021 I&O Research 30 30–34 30–34 30–34 28–34
5–9 November 2021 Kantar 33 30–36 30–36 30–37 28–39
7 November 2021 Peil.nl          
29–30 October 2021 Peil.nl          
22–25 October 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 34 33–36 32–37 29–37 28–37
15–16 October 2021 Peil.nl          
8–11 October 2021 I&O Research          
8–9 October 2021 Peil.nl          
1–2 October 2021 Peil.nl          
24–27 September 2021 Ipsos          
24–25 September 2021 Peil.nl          
17–20 September 2021 Kantar          
17–18 September 2021 Peil.nl          
10–13 September 2021 I&O Research          
10–11 September 2021 Peil.nl          
3–4 September 2021 Peil.nl          
27–30 August 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		          
20–21 August 2021 Peil.nl          
23–26 July 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 39 39 34–39 31–41 31–41
23–24 July 2021 Peil.nl 37 35–40 35–40 35–40 35–40
9–12 July 2021 I&O Research 33 31–36 31–36 31–36 30–37
25–28 June 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 40 40 40–42 38–42 36–42
27 June 2021 Peil.nl 36 34–36 34–36 34–36 34–37
20 June 2021 Peil.nl 36 34–36 34–36 34–36 34–37
12 June 2021 Peil.nl 36 36 36 36 35–38
4–7 June 2021 I&O Research 34 34 34–36 34–36 34–39
4–5 June 2021 Peil.nl 33 33–39 33–39 33–39 33–39
28–29 May 2021 Peil.nl 37 35–37 33–37 33–37 31–38
21–23 May 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag		 35 31–39 31–39 31–39 30–39
21–22 May 2021 Peil.nl 37 35–37 33–37 33–37 31–38
14–15 May 2021 Peil.nl 37 35–37 33–37 33–37 31–38
7–9 May 2021 Peil.nl 35 33–37 33–38 33–38 31–38
30 April–3 May 2021 I&O Research 36 33–36 33–36 33–36 32–38
30 April–1 May 2021 Peil.nl 34 34 32–34 32–34 32–34
23–24 April 2021 Peil.nl 34 34 32–34 32–34 32–34
16–19 April 2021 Ipsos 35 30–38 30–38 29–38 29–38
16–17 April 2021 Peil.nl 35 33–35 32–36 31–36 30–36
9–12 April 2021 I&O Research 33 33–35 32–35 31–35 30–35
9–10 April 2021 Peil.nl 32 32 32–33 32–33 28–34
3–4 April 2021 Peil.nl 29 29 29 29 29
26–27 March 2021 Peil.nl 34 34 34 34 34–37

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.3% 100%  
23 0% 99.7%  
24 0.1% 99.7%  
25 0.1% 99.6%  
26 1.0% 99.5%  
27 37% 98%  
28 15% 62% Median
29 0.9% 46%  
30 45% 45%  
31 0.4% 0.8%  
32 0.4% 0.4%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0% Last Result