Democraten 66
Voting Intentions
Last result: 15.0% (General Election of 17 March 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.0% | 5.1–7.6% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.9–8.1% | 4.7–8.6% |
| 21 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | 5.0–5.7% | 4.9–5.8% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.6–6.1% |
| 19–21 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% |
| 20–21 November 2023 | I&O Research | 6.0% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.7–7.4% |
| 18–20 November 2023 | I&O Research | 5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| 12–14 November 2023 | I&O Research | 4.7% | 4.2–5.3% | 4.1–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% |
| 10–13 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
6.1% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| 10–11 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 6–7 November 2023 | I&O Research | 5.1% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% |
| 3–4 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 27–30 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
5.6% | 4.6–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.7% |
| 27–28 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 22–24 October 2023 | I&O Research | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 20–21 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 13–14 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 6–9 October 2023 | I&O Research | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.0% |
| 6–7 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 September 2023 | I&O Research | 3.7% | 3.1–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.2% |
| 22–24 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 22–23 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 8–11 September 2023 | I&O Research | 4.1% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.3–5.2% | 3.0–5.6% |
| 8–9 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 1–4 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
6.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.8–9.1% |
| 1–2 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 25–26 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 4.6% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 23–24 August 2023 | I&O Research | 4.5% | 3.9–5.2% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.4–5.9% |
| 18–19 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| 21 August–24 July 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 14–17 July 2023 | I&O Research | 5.6% | 4.9–6.4% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.3–7.2% |
| 14–15 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 23–25 June 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
7.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 16–17 June 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.6% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 9–12 June 2023 | I&O Research | 6.6% | 6.0–7.3% | 5.8–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% |
| 26–29 May 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
7.3% | 6.3–8.4% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.8–9.0% | 5.4–9.6% |
| 19–20 May 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 12–15 May 2023 | I&O Research | 5.9% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.6–7.4% |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 April 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 21–22 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 14–17 April 2023 | I&O Research | 6.2% | 5.6–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.6% |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| 24–27 March 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 23–24 March 2023 | Peil.nl | 6.0% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.1–7.0% |
| 17–27 February 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9.4% | 8.9–9.9% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.6–10.2% | 8.4–10.5% |
| 24–25 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 17–18 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 13 February 2023 | I&O Research | 7.6% | 7.0–8.4% | 6.8–8.6% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.4–9.1% |
| 10–11 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 January 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 13–16 January 2023 | I&O Research | 8.1% | 7.4–8.8% | 7.2–9.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% |
| 13–14 January 2023 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 16–19 December 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.6–11.1% |
| 16–17 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 9–12 December 2022 | I&O Research | 7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.5% | 5.9–8.9% |
| 2–3 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| 25–28 November 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
10.9% | 9.7–12.2% | 9.4–12.6% | 9.1–12.9% | 8.6–13.6% |
| 25–26 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 11–14 November 2022 | I&O Research | 7.8% | 7.1–8.6% | 6.9–8.8% | 6.7–9.0% | 6.4–9.4% |
| 11–12 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 21–24 October 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
10.3% | 9.1–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| 22–23 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 14–17 October 2022 | I&O Research | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.1% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.6–9.6% |
| 14–15 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 23–26 September 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
10.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 23–24 September 2022 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| 9–12 September 2022 | I&O Research | 9.6% | 8.8–10.6% | 8.5–10.8% | 8.3–11.1% | 7.9–11.6% |
| 26–29 August 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
11.3% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.5–13.4% | 9.0–14.1% |
| 26–27 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.3–8.9% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 5–6 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 22–25 July 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 15–18 July 2022 | I&O Research | 8.7% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.0% | 7.2–10.5% |
| 8–9 July 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 24–27 June 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 24–25 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 17–18 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| 10–13 June 2022 | I&O Research | 8.7% | 7.9–9.6% | 7.7–9.8% | 7.5–10.1% | 7.2–10.5% |
| 10–11 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 27–30 May 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 May 2022 | Kantar | 8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.3% |
| 13–16 May 2022 | I&O Research | 8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.1–9.8% | 6.7–10.2% |
| 13–14 May 2022 | Peil.nl | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| 22–25 April 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 22–23 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| 8–11 April 2022 | I&O Research | 11.0% | 10.2–11.9% | 9.9–12.1% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.4–12.8% |
| 8–9 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 1–2 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 March 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.7–14.0% | 10.4–14.3% | 9.8–15.0% |
| 25–26 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 18–19 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 11–12 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 March 2022 | Kantar | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| 25–28 February 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
12.8% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.2–14.6% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 26–27 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| 18–19 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| 11–14 February 2022 | I&O Research | 11.9% | 11.1–12.8% | 10.9–13.1% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.3–13.8% |
| 11–12 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 4–5 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–31 January 2022 | Kantar | 12.6% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% |
| 28–29 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| 21–24 January 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–13.9% | 9.4–14.6% |
| 21–22 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 14–17 January 2022 | I&O Research | 11.3% | 10.5–12.3% | 10.3–12.5% | 10.1–12.7% | 9.7–13.2% |
| 14–15 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 15–20 December 2021 | Kantar | 9.8% | 8.6–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 17–20 December 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.5–15.0% | 11.2–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| 17–18 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 12 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| 3–6 December 2021 | I&O Research | 11.3% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 10.0–12.8% | 9.6–13.2% |
| 3–5 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 26–29 November 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.6% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
| 26–27 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 19–20 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| 12–15 November 2021 | I&O Research | 9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% |
| 5–9 November 2021 | Kantar | 13.0% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.1% |
| 7 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 October 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| 15–16 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 October 2021 | I&O Research | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 September 2021 | Ipsos | 12.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 September 2021 | Kantar | 13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 September 2021 | I&O Research | 11.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 August 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 August 2021 | Peil.nl | 12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 July 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
13.7% | 12.4–15.2% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.1–16.8% |
| 23–24 July 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 9–12 July 2021 | I&O Research | 13.7% | 12.8–14.7% | 12.5–15.0% | 12.3–15.3% | 11.9–15.7% |
| 25–28 June 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.2% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| 27 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 20 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 12 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 4–7 June 2021 | I&O Research | 13.5% | 12.5–14.6% | 12.2–14.9% | 12.0–15.1% | 11.5–15.7% |
| 4–5 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 28–29 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| 21–23 May 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
15.9% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.1–18.0% | 13.8–18.3% | 13.2–19.1% |
| 21–22 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| 14–15 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| 7–9 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| 30 April–3 May 2021 | I&O Research | 14.3% | 13.4–15.5% | 13.1–15.8% | 12.9–16.0% | 12.4–16.6% |
| 30 April–1 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 23–24 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| 16–19 April 2021 | Ipsos | 16.7% | 15.2–18.3% | 14.8–18.7% | 14.5–19.1% | 13.8–19.9% |
| 16–17 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 15.9% | 15.1–16.8% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.7% |
| 9–12 April 2021 | I&O Research | 16.5% | 15.5–17.6% | 15.2–17.9% | 15.0–18.2% | 14.5–18.7% |
| 9–10 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 16.0% | 15.1–16.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.8% |
| 3–4 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 16.6% | 15.8–17.5% | 15.5–17.8% | 15.3–18.0% | 14.9–18.5% |
| 26–27 March 2021 | Peil.nl | 16.0% | 15.1–16.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.3% | 14.3–17.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Democraten 66.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 32% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 32% | 68% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 24% | 36% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 11% | 12% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 24 seats (General Election of 17 March 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| 21 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| 19–21 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
11 | 11 | 11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| 20–21 November 2023 | I&O Research | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 |
| 18–20 November 2023 | I&O Research | |||||
| 17–18 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| 12–14 November 2023 | I&O Research | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 10–13 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 10–11 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 6–7 November 2023 | I&O Research | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 3–4 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 5 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 27–30 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 27–28 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 22–24 October 2023 | I&O Research | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 20–21 October 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 13–16 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 13–14 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 |
| 6–9 October 2023 | I&O Research | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| 6–7 October 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 22–25 September 2023 | I&O Research | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| 22–24 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
10 | 10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–13 |
| 22–23 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 |
| 8–11 September 2023 | I&O Research | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| 8–9 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 1–4 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–15 |
| 1–2 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 25–26 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 7 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 23–24 August 2023 | I&O Research | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| 18–19 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 6–10 |
| 21 August–24 July 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 |
| 14–17 July 2023 | I&O Research | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| 14–15 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| 23–25 June 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–16 |
| 16–17 June 2023 | Peil.nl | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| 9–12 June 2023 | I&O Research | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 |
| 26–29 May 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 7–15 |
| 19–20 May 2023 | Peil.nl | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| 12–15 May 2023 | I&O Research | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 6–11 |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 24 April 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| 21–22 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–12 |
| 14–17 April 2023 | I&O Research | 9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 24–27 March 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
9 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| 23–24 March 2023 | Peil.nl | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
| 17–27 February 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 |
| 24–25 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| 17–18 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 13 February 2023 | I&O Research | 13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 10–11 February 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 27–30 January 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–17 |
| 13–16 January 2023 | I&O Research | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 13–14 January 2023 | Peil.nl | 10 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
| 16–19 December 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13–14 |
| 16–17 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 9–12 December 2022 | I&O Research | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 2–3 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 |
| 25–28 November 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 13–21 |
| 25–26 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
| 11–14 November 2022 | I&O Research | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
| 11–12 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
| 21–24 October 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
16 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–22 |
| 22–23 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 |
| 14–17 October 2022 | I&O Research | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–14 |
| 14–15 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| 23–26 September 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
15 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 |
| 23–24 September 2022 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 9–13 |
| 9–12 September 2022 | I&O Research | 14 | 14–15 | 13–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 26–29 August 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
19 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 14–23 | 14–25 |
| 26–27 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 5–6 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| 22–25 July 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
17 | 16–17 | 16–18 | 14–20 | 14–20 |
| 15–18 July 2022 | I&O Research | 15 | 13–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 8–9 July 2022 | Peil.nl | 15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| 24–27 June 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
15 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| 24–25 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 13 | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–14 |
| 17–18 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| 10–13 June 2022 | I&O Research | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| 10–11 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 27–30 May 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 25–27 May 2022 | Kantar | 9 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 9–15 |
| 13–16 May 2022 | I&O Research | 11 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–16 |
| 13–14 May 2022 | Peil.nl | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
| 22–25 April 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
15 | 13–16 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| 22–23 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 11 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| 8–11 April 2022 | I&O Research | 17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 |
| 8–9 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 19 | 19 | 17–19 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| 1–2 April 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 25–27 March 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
16 | 16–21 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 15–24 |
| 25–26 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 |
| 18–19 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 |
| 11–12 March 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 9–11 March 2022 | Kantar | |||||
| 4–5 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 21 | 20–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| 25–28 February 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
18 | 18–21 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 |
| 26–27 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19–21 |
| 18–19 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 21 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 17–22 |
| 11–14 February 2022 | I&O Research | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 15–20 |
| 11–12 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 4–5 February 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 27–31 January 2022 | Kantar | 20 | 18–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 14–24 |
| 28–29 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 21–24 January 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
17 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 21–22 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 18 | 18 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 18–20 |
| 14–17 January 2022 | I&O Research | 18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 |
| 14–15 January 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 24–25 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 18–20 |
| 15–20 December 2021 | Kantar | 17 | 14–17 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 12–19 |
| 17–20 December 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
18 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 |
| 17–18 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 18–20 |
| 12 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 |
| 3–6 December 2021 | I&O Research | 16 | 16–18 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 3–5 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 26–29 November 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
19 | 19–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| 26–27 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 19–20 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 12–15 November 2021 | I&O Research | 15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 5–9 November 2021 | Kantar | 20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 17–25 |
| 7 November 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29–30 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 22–25 October 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
16 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 14–22 |
| 15–16 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 8–11 October 2021 | I&O Research | |||||
| 8–9 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 1–2 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 24–27 September 2021 | Ipsos | |||||
| 24–25 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 17–20 September 2021 | Kantar | |||||
| 17–18 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 10–13 September 2021 | I&O Research | |||||
| 10–11 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–4 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 27–30 August 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
|||||
| 20–21 August 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 23–26 July 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
19 | 19 | 19–23 | 18–26 | 18–26 |
| 23–24 July 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 21–23 |
| 9–12 July 2021 | I&O Research | 20 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 |
| 25–28 June 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
26 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 |
| 27 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 20 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 |
| 20 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 20 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–24 |
| 12 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22–24 | 21–25 |
| 4–7 June 2021 | I&O Research | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19–22 | 18–22 |
| 4–5 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 24 | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 |
| 28–29 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 23–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–27 |
| 21–23 May 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
23 | 19–27 | 19–29 | 19–31 | 19–31 |
| 21–22 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 23–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–27 |
| 14–15 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 23–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–27 |
| 7–9 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 22 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 20–27 |
| 30 April–3 May 2021 | I&O Research | 22 | 22 | 21–23 | 21–25 | 20–25 |
| 30 April–1 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 20–23 |
| 23–24 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 20–23 |
| 16–19 April 2021 | Ipsos | 25 | 24–27 | 24–29 | 24–31 | 21–32 |
| 16–17 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 23 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 |
| 9–12 April 2021 | I&O Research | 25 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 22–27 |
| 9–10 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 26 | 24–26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 |
| 3–4 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| 26–27 March 2021 | Peil.nl | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23–24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Democraten 66.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 47% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 10 | 0.7% | 33% | |
| 11 | 32% | 32% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |