50Plus
Voting Intentions
Last result: 1.0% (General Election of 17 March 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0.2% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% |
| 21 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% |
| 19–21 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.2% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
| 20–21 November 2023 | I&O Research | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 18–20 November 2023 | I&O Research | 0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 12–14 November 2023 | I&O Research | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% |
| 10–13 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 10–11 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 6–7 November 2023 | I&O Research | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% |
| 3–4 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 27–30 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% | 0.0–0.6% |
| 27–28 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 22–24 October 2023 | I&O Research | 0.5% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% |
| 20–21 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.4% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| 13–14 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 6–9 October 2023 | I&O Research | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 6–7 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 September 2023 | I&O Research | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
| 22–24 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| 22–23 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 8–11 September 2023 | I&O Research | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% |
| 8–9 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 1–4 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.2% |
| 1–2 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 25–26 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 23–24 August 2023 | I&O Research | 0.5% | 0.4–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% |
| 18–19 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 21 August–24 July 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 14–17 July 2023 | I&O Research | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.4% |
| 14–15 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 23–25 June 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.7% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| 16–17 June 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 9–12 June 2023 | I&O Research | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
| 26–29 May 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.7% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| 19–20 May 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 12–15 May 2023 | I&O Research | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 April 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.2% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% | 0.0–0.9% |
| 21–22 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 14–17 April 2023 | I&O Research | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.6–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 24–27 March 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| 23–24 March 2023 | Peil.nl | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.1–1.7% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.9% |
| 17–27 February 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.8% | 0.7–1.0% | 0.6–1.0% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% |
| 24–25 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 17–18 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 13 February 2023 | I&O Research | 0.5% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 10–11 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 January 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 13–16 January 2023 | I&O Research | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 13–14 January 2023 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 16–19 December 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 16–17 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 9–12 December 2022 | I&O Research | 1.0% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% |
| 2–3 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 25–28 November 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.5% |
| 25–26 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 11–14 November 2022 | I&O Research | 1.2% | 0.9–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
| 11–12 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 21–24 October 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| 22–23 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 14–17 October 2022 | I&O Research | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% |
| 14–15 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 23–26 September 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 23–24 September 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 9–12 September 2022 | I&O Research | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
| 26–29 August 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 26–27 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 5–6 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 22–25 July 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| 15–18 July 2022 | I&O Research | 1.1% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| 8–9 July 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 24–27 June 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.7% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.7% |
| 24–25 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 17–18 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 10–13 June 2022 | I&O Research | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–1.0% |
| 10–11 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 27–30 May 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 May 2022 | Kantar | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.1% |
| 13–16 May 2022 | I&O Research | 0.7% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.5% |
| 13–14 May 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 22–25 April 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| 22–23 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 8–11 April 2022 | I&O Research | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% |
| 8–9 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 1–2 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 March 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.8% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.4–1.5% | 0.3–1.8% |
| 25–26 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 18–19 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 11–12 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 March 2022 | Kantar | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 25–28 February 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| 26–27 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 18–19 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 11–14 February 2022 | I&O Research | 1.1% | 0.9–1.4% | 0.8–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| 11–12 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 4–5 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–31 January 2022 | Kantar | 1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| 28–29 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 21–24 January 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.9% | 0.6–1.4% | 0.5–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% | 0.4–2.0% |
| 21–22 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 14–17 January 2022 | I&O Research | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% |
| 14–15 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 15–20 December 2021 | Kantar | 1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
| 17–20 December 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.1–1.4% |
| 17–18 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 12 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 3–6 December 2021 | I&O Research | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| 3–5 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 26–29 November 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| 26–27 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 19–20 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 12–15 November 2021 | I&O Research | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% |
| 5–9 November 2021 | Kantar | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| 7 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 October 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.0% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.1–1.4% |
| 15–16 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 October 2021 | I&O Research | 0.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 October 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 September 2021 | Ipsos | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 September 2021 | Kantar | 0.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 September 2021 | I&O Research | 0.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 September 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 August 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 August 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 July 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 23–24 July 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 9–12 July 2021 | I&O Research | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
| 25–28 June 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.6% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% | 0.2–1.6% |
| 27 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 20 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 12 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 4–7 June 2021 | I&O Research | 0.5% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% |
| 4–5 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 28–29 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 21–23 May 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
| 21–22 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 14–15 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 7–9 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 30 April–3 May 2021 | I&O Research | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.3–1.3% |
| 30 April–1 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 23–24 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 16–19 April 2021 | Ipsos | 0.8% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.5–1.4% | 0.4–1.6% | 0.3–1.8% |
| 16–17 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
| 9–12 April 2021 | I&O Research | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.5% |
| 9–10 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 3–4 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 26–27 March 2021 | Peil.nl | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for 50Plus.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 14% | 14% | Last Result |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 17 March 2021)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–21 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–21 November 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 18–20 November 2023 | I&O Research | |||||
| 17–18 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–14 November 2023 | I&O Research | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 10–13 November 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–11 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–7 November 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–4 November 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27–30 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 27–28 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–24 October 2023 | I&O Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–21 October 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 13–16 October 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–14 October 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–9 October 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–7 October 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 22–25 September 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–24 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–23 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–11 September 2023 | I&O Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 8–9 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–4 September 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 1–2 September 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–26 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–24 August 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–19 August 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21 August–24 July 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 14–17 July 2023 | I&O Research | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–15 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 June–1 July 2023 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–25 June 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 16–17 June 2023 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–12 June 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 26–29 May 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 19–20 May 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–15 May 2023 | I&O Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 5–6 May 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 24 April 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–22 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–17 April 2023 | I&O Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 31 March–1 April 2023 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 24–27 March 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23–24 March 2023 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–27 February 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24–25 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–18 February 2023 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13 February 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–11 February 2023 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 27–30 January 2023 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–16 January 2023 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–14 January 2023 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–19 December 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–17 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9–12 December 2022 | I&O Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2–3 December 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 25–28 November 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25–26 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–14 November 2022 | I&O Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 11–12 November 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–24 October 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 22–23 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–17 October 2022 | I&O Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 14–15 October 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–26 September 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 23–24 September 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–12 September 2022 | I&O Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 26–29 August 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 26–27 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–6 August 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 22–25 July 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 15–18 July 2022 | I&O Research | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 8–9 July 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 24–27 June 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 24–25 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–18 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 10–13 June 2022 | I&O Research | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–11 June 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 27–30 May 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 25–27 May 2022 | Kantar | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| 13–16 May 2022 | I&O Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 13–14 May 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 22–25 April 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 22–23 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–11 April 2022 | I&O Research | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 8–9 April 2022 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 1–2 April 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 25–27 March 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25–26 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 18–19 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 11–12 March 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 9–11 March 2022 | Kantar | |||||
| 4–5 March 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25–28 February 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 26–27 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 18–19 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–14 February 2022 | I&O Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–12 February 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4–5 February 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 27–31 January 2022 | Kantar | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–5 |
| 28–29 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 21–24 January 2022 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 21–22 January 2022 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14–17 January 2022 | I&O Research | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 14–15 January 2022 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 24–25 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–20 December 2021 | Kantar | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 17–20 December 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–18 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–6 December 2021 | I&O Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| 3–5 December 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26–29 November 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
| 26–27 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–20 November 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–15 November 2021 | I&O Research | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–9 November 2021 | Kantar | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 7 November 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 29–30 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 22–25 October 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–16 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 8–11 October 2021 | I&O Research | |||||
| 8–9 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 1–2 October 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 24–27 September 2021 | Ipsos | |||||
| 24–25 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 17–20 September 2021 | Kantar | |||||
| 17–18 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 10–13 September 2021 | I&O Research | |||||
| 10–11 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 3–4 September 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 27–30 August 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
|||||
| 20–21 August 2021 | Peil.nl | |||||
| 23–26 July 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–24 July 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–12 July 2021 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 25–28 June 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 27 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–7 June 2021 | I&O Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–5 June 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28–29 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–23 May 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 21–22 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–15 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–9 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 April–3 May 2021 | I&O Research | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 30 April–1 May 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–24 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–19 April 2021 | Ipsos | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–4 |
| 16–17 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9–12 April 2021 | I&O Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–10 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–4 April 2021 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 26–27 March 2021 | Peil.nl | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for 50Plus.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |