Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 16–19 April 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 22.5% 20.9–24.2% 20.4–24.7% 20.0–25.2% 19.3–26.0%
Democraten 66 15.0% 16.7% 15.2–18.3% 14.8–18.7% 14.5–19.1% 13.8–19.9%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.2–13.5% 9.9–13.9% 9.3–14.6%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 7.7% 6.7–8.9% 6.4–9.2% 6.2–9.5% 5.8–10.1%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.5%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
GroenLinks 5.2% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
Volt Europa 2.4% 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.1%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.2% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.2% 2.2–4.4% 2.0–4.9%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.6%
DENK 2.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.8%
50Plus 1.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.4% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.8%
Bij1 0.8% 0.7% 0.5–1.2% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 35 30–38 30–38 29–38 29–38
Democraten 66 24 25 24–27 24–29 24–31 21–32
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 18 16–19 14–19 14–21 13–22
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 11 9–14 9–14 9–15 7–17
Partij van de Arbeid 9 9 8–10 8–11 8–11 6–13
Partij voor de Dieren 6 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 5–11
GroenLinks 8 7 5–9 5–10 5–10 5–10
Socialistische Partij 9 6 5–9 5–9 5–9 5–9
Forum voor Democratie 8 6 5–7 5–7 5–9 4–10
Volt Europa 3 6 5–7 4–7 4–7 3–7
ChristenUnie 5 5 4–5 4–6 3–6 3–8
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 4 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–6
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 1–5
DENK 3 3 2–4 1–4 1–4 1–4
50Plus 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–4
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Bij1 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 3% 99.8%  
30 14% 97%  
31 3% 83%  
32 4% 80%  
33 0.5% 76%  
34 2% 75% Last Result
35 40% 73% Median
36 1.3% 33%  
37 1.0% 32%  
38 30% 31%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.2% 0.3%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.4% 100%  
21 0.5% 99.6%  
22 0.8% 99.1%  
23 0.4% 98%  
24 47% 98% Last Result
25 1.5% 51% Median
26 11% 49%  
27 31% 39%  
28 0.2% 8%  
29 3% 8%  
30 1.4% 5%  
31 3% 4%  
32 0.8% 0.9%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 5% 99.4%  
15 0.4% 94%  
16 11% 94%  
17 31% 82% Last Result
18 5% 51% Median
19 42% 46%  
20 1.4% 4%  
21 1.1% 3%  
22 2% 2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.8% 100%  
8 1.3% 99.2%  
9 32% 98%  
10 4% 66%  
11 28% 63% Median
12 5% 34%  
13 9% 29%  
14 17% 21%  
15 1.3% 3% Last Result
16 0.1% 2%  
17 2% 2%  
18 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.5% 100%  
7 0.2% 99.5%  
8 24% 99.3%  
9 62% 75% Last Result, Median
10 4% 14%  
11 7% 10%  
12 1.3% 2%  
13 0.9% 1.0%  
14 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 2% 100%  
6 1.1% 98% Last Result
7 46% 97%  
8 9% 51% Median
9 11% 42%  
10 30% 31%  
11 0.3% 0.5%  
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 29% 99.9%  
6 7% 71%  
7 32% 64% Median
8 11% 32% Last Result
9 14% 21%  
10 6% 6%  
11 0% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.3% 100%  
5 32% 99.7%  
6 41% 68% Median
7 2% 27%  
8 8% 24%  
9 16% 16% Last Result
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 32% 99.4%  
6 54% 67% Median
7 9% 13%  
8 0.6% 4% Last Result
9 2% 3%  
10 0.9% 0.9%  
11 0% 0%  

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 2% 100% Last Result
4 4% 98%  
5 42% 94%  
6 36% 51% Median
7 15% 16%  
8 0.2% 0.2%  
9 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 5% 99.9%  
4 18% 95%  
5 71% 77% Last Result, Median
6 5% 6%  
7 0.7% 2%  
8 1.0% 1.0%  
9 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.4% 100%  
3 12% 99.6% Last Result
4 78% 88% Median
5 9% 10%  
6 0.5% 0.6%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.8% 100%  
2 21% 99.2%  
3 39% 78% Last Result, Median
4 35% 39%  
5 4% 4%  
6 0.3% 0.3%  
7 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 9% 99.9%  
2 28% 91%  
3 31% 63% Last Result, Median
4 32% 32%  
5 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 38% 100%  
1 29% 62% Last Result, Median
2 31% 33%  
3 0.3% 2%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0%  

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 9% 100%  
1 48% 91% Last Result, Median
2 43% 43%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 82% 84% Last Result, Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 87 85 100% 80–90 80–92 80–92 80–94
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 86 82 100% 80–88 80–89 79–89 77–90
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 78 76 50% 72–81 72–82 71–83 70–84
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 71 35% 71–76 69–78 69–78 68–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 70 33% 68–76 68–78 68–78 67–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 69 1.0% 67–73 66–74 64–75 64–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 67 68 2% 62–74 62–74 62–74 62–76
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 70 62 0% 60–68 60–72 60–72 59–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 63 0% 61–68 60–68 59–68 59–69
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 61 57 0% 54–62 54–65 54–66 52–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 56 0% 53–58 52–62 52–63 51–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 54 0% 52–57 52–60 51–62 51–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 58 53 0% 52–58 52–59 51–60 51–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 52 0% 50–55 49–59 49–59 48–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 50 0% 50–54 48–58 48–58 48–59
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 48 46 0% 42–49 42–53 42–54 41–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 44 0% 44–49 43–49 43–51 41–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 43 44 0% 38–47 38–47 37–47 37–48
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 38 0% 33–40 33–43 33–45 32–47
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 29 25 0% 23–27 23–29 23–30 22–31
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 24 20 0% 18–22 18–23 18–25 17–28

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100% Majority
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 0% 99.7%  
80 14% 99.7%  
81 0.8% 86%  
82 32% 85%  
83 2% 53%  
84 0.7% 51%  
85 1.1% 50% Median
86 1.1% 49%  
87 11% 48% Last Result
88 2% 37%  
89 3% 36%  
90 26% 33%  
91 0.1% 6%  
92 5% 6%  
93 0.1% 1.0%  
94 0.8% 1.0%  
95 0.2% 0.2%  
96 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.2% 100% Majority
77 0.8% 99.7%  
78 0.2% 98.9%  
79 2% 98.7%  
80 30% 97%  
81 15% 66%  
82 2% 51%  
83 1.0% 49% Median
84 4% 48%  
85 0.6% 44%  
86 27% 43% Last Result
87 4% 16%  
88 2% 12%  
89 8% 10%  
90 1.2% 1.3%  
91 0% 0.1%  
92 0% 0.1%  
93 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0.8% 99.8%  
71 2% 99.0%  
72 15% 97%  
73 29% 82%  
74 2% 53%  
75 0.5% 51%  
76 6% 50% Median, Majority
77 0.2% 44%  
78 0.9% 44% Last Result
79 9% 43%  
80 2% 34%  
81 27% 32%  
82 1.4% 5%  
83 3% 4%  
84 0.9% 1.1%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 1.5% 99.6%  
69 4% 98%  
70 4% 94%  
71 51% 91%  
72 2% 40%  
73 2% 38% Median
74 0.3% 36%  
75 0.5% 36%  
76 28% 35% Majority
77 1.0% 7% Last Result
78 5% 6%  
79 0.5% 1.3%  
80 0.7% 0.8%  
81 0.1% 0.2%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0.2% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 2% 99.5%  
68 46% 98%  
69 1.0% 52%  
70 2% 51%  
71 3% 49% Median
72 1.1% 45%  
73 2% 44% Last Result
74 9% 42%  
75 0.5% 34%  
76 27% 33% Majority
77 0.1% 6%  
78 5% 6%  
79 1.0% 1.0%  
80 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.3% 100%  
64 3% 99.7%  
65 0.4% 97%  
66 2% 97%  
67 32% 94%  
68 9% 63%  
69 15% 54%  
70 3% 38% Median
71 0.8% 36%  
72 0.4% 35%  
73 26% 34%  
74 5% 9% Last Result
75 2% 3%  
76 0.2% 1.0% Majority
77 0.2% 0.7%  
78 0% 0.6%  
79 0.5% 0.5%  
80 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.2% 100%  
62 14% 99.8%  
63 0.1% 86%  
64 0.5% 86%  
65 1.4% 85%  
66 0.3% 84%  
67 2% 83% Last Result
68 32% 81%  
69 7% 49% Median
70 2% 42%  
71 2% 40%  
72 5% 38%  
73 2% 33%  
74 29% 31%  
75 0% 2%  
76 2% 2% Majority
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.4% 99.7%  
60 30% 99.4%  
61 0.2% 70%  
62 28% 69%  
63 0.7% 42% Median
64 1.2% 41%  
65 4% 40%  
66 3% 35%  
67 1.3% 32%  
68 22% 31%  
69 2% 9%  
70 2% 8% Last Result
71 0.1% 5%  
72 4% 5%  
73 0.8% 1.2%  
74 0.3% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.1% 99.9%  
58 0.1% 99.8%  
59 4% 99.7%  
60 3% 96%  
61 31% 93%  
62 6% 62%  
63 19% 56%  
64 0.3% 37% Median
65 4% 37%  
66 0.8% 33% Last Result
67 3% 32%  
68 28% 29%  
69 0.7% 0.9%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 0.4% 99.7%  
53 0.5% 99.4%  
54 30% 98.8%  
55 1.0% 69%  
56 0.7% 68%  
57 27% 67% Median
58 3% 40%  
59 16% 37%  
60 6% 21%  
61 0.1% 15% Last Result
62 9% 15%  
63 0.2% 6%  
64 0.5% 6%  
65 0.3% 5%  
66 4% 5%  
67 0% 1.1%  
68 0.8% 1.0%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.3% 100%  
48 0% 99.7%  
49 0% 99.7%  
50 0.1% 99.7%  
51 1.2% 99.6%  
52 3% 98%  
53 18% 95%  
54 3% 77%  
55 0.5% 74%  
56 30% 74% Median
57 26% 43%  
58 7% 17%  
59 4% 10%  
60 0.8% 6%  
61 0.2% 5% Last Result
62 2% 5%  
63 3% 3%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.3% 100%  
48 0% 99.7%  
49 0.1% 99.7%  
50 0.1% 99.6%  
51 3% 99.5%  
52 17% 96%  
53 5% 80%  
54 29% 74%  
55 2% 45% Median
56 1.4% 42%  
57 32% 41%  
58 3% 9%  
59 1.0% 6%  
60 0.6% 5% Last Result
61 0.1% 5%  
62 5% 5%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 3% 99.6%  
52 15% 96%  
53 32% 82%  
54 0.5% 49%  
55 5% 49% Median
56 10% 43%  
57 2% 33%  
58 26% 31% Last Result
59 0.3% 5%  
60 3% 5%  
61 0% 2%  
62 0% 2%  
63 2% 2%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 0% 99.6%  
48 1.3% 99.6%  
49 4% 98%  
50 5% 95%  
51 15% 90%  
52 30% 74%  
53 0.7% 45% Median
54 28% 44%  
55 8% 16%  
56 2% 8%  
57 0.1% 6%  
58 0.2% 6% Last Result
59 6% 6%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.2% 100%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.6%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 5% 99.5%  
49 2% 95%  
50 48% 93%  
51 3% 45%  
52 0.3% 43% Median
53 2% 42%  
54 32% 41%  
55 1.0% 8%  
56 2% 7%  
57 0.6% 6% Last Result
58 3% 5%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 0% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.8%  
41 1.5% 99.7%  
42 30% 98%  
43 0.7% 69%  
44 1.2% 68%  
45 2% 67% Median
46 15% 65%  
47 37% 50%  
48 0.7% 13% Last Result
49 3% 13%  
50 1.4% 10%  
51 1.4% 9%  
52 1.2% 7%  
53 3% 6%  
54 2% 3%  
55 0.2% 1.0%  
56 0% 0.8%  
57 0.8% 0.8%  
58 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.3% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.2% 99.6%  
42 1.1% 99.4%  
43 7% 98%  
44 46% 92%  
45 4% 45%  
46 0.2% 42% Median
47 4% 42%  
48 7% 38%  
49 26% 31% Last Result
50 0.1% 5%  
51 3% 5%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 3% 100%  
38 14% 97%  
39 0.1% 83%  
40 0.8% 83%  
41 2% 82%  
42 2% 80%  
43 10% 78% Last Result
44 30% 69% Median
45 1.2% 38%  
46 6% 37%  
47 30% 31%  
48 1.0% 1.1%  
49 0% 0.2%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.2% 100%  
31 0.1% 99.8%  
32 2% 99.7%  
33 29% 98%  
34 0.9% 68%  
35 0.7% 67%  
36 6% 67% Median
37 1.2% 60%  
38 41% 59%  
39 7% 18% Last Result
40 4% 11%  
41 0.2% 7%  
42 1.3% 7%  
43 2% 6%  
44 0.4% 4%  
45 3% 3%  
46 0% 0.8%  
47 0.8% 0.8%  
48 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 2% 99.5%  
23 31% 98%  
24 0.6% 66%  
25 28% 66% Median
26 25% 38%  
27 6% 13%  
28 2% 7%  
29 1.3% 6% Last Result
30 2% 4%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0% 0.2%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 2% 99.9%  
18 31% 98%  
19 0.4% 66%  
20 27% 66% Median
21 11% 39%  
22 21% 28%  
23 3% 7%  
24 1.5% 5% Last Result
25 1.2% 3%  
26 0.1% 2%  
27 0.2% 2%  
28 2% 2%  
29 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations