Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 30 April–1 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 21.3% | 20.3–22.3% | 20.1–22.5% | 19.8–22.8% | 19.4–23.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.6% | 7.2–8.8% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.8–9.3% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 34 | 34 | 32–34 | 32–34 | 32–34 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 20–23 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 19 | 19 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 17–20 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12–15 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8–10 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–7 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 34 | 92% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 22 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 98% | 99.8% | Median |
| 13 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 1.4% | |
| 15 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 9 | 0.6% | 2% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 10 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 10 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 98.7% | |
| 7 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 7 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 8% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 91% | 99.6% | Median |
| 6 | 8% | 8% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | |
| 1 | 91% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 83 | 100% | 83 | 81–83 | 81–83 | 80–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 80 | 100% | 80 | 77–80 | 77–80 | 77–81 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 77 | 93% | 77 | 75–77 | 75–77 | 75–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 75 | 0.2% | 75 | 72–75 | 72–75 | 72–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 73 | 1.4% | 73 | 71–73 | 71–73 | 71–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 66–69 | 66–69 | 66–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 67 | 0% | 67 | 64–67 | 64–67 | 63–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 65 | 0% | 65 | 62–65 | 62–65 | 62–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 70 | 64 | 0% | 64 | 63–64 | 63–64 | 63–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 57–58 | 57–58 | 55–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 57–58 | 57–58 | 55–60 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 61 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 55–56 | 55–56 | 55–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 54–56 | 54–56 | 53–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 54–56 | 54–56 | 53–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 56 | 0% | 56 | 54–56 | 54–56 | 53–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 46 | 0% | 46 | 44–46 | 44–46 | 44–49 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 44–45 | 44–45 | 42–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 42–44 | 42–44 | 41–44 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 35 | 0% | 35 | 34–35 | 34–35 | 32–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 26 | 0% | 26 | 26–27 | 26–27 | 26–29 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 22 | 0% | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21–24 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 83 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 84 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 7% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 93% | |
| 80 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 81 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 93% | Majority |
| 77 | 92% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 74 | 2% | 92% | Last Result |
| 75 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 73 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 74 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 7% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 69 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 70 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 66 | 0% | 91% | |
| 67 | 91% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 7% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 65 | 91% | 93% | Median |
| 66 | 1.3% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 91% | 93% | Median |
| 65 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 59 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 59 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 56 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 57 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 56 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 57 | 1.4% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 56 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 57 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 46 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 47 | 0% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 45 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 46 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 1.4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 44 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 45 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 91% | 92% | Median |
| 36 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 91% | 99.7% | Median |
| 27 | 7% | 9% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 98% | 99.2% | Median |
| 23 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 April–1 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.95%