Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 7–9 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 22.6% | 21.6–23.6% | 21.4–23.9% | 21.1–24.1% | 20.7–24.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 35 | 33–37 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 31–38 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 22 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 20–27 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–21 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 6–11 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 33 | 11% | 98% | |
| 34 | 33% | 87% | Last Result |
| 35 | 25% | 54% | Median |
| 36 | 5% | 29% | |
| 37 | 16% | 24% | |
| 38 | 7% | 7% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 20% | 100% | |
| 21 | 10% | 80% | |
| 22 | 42% | 70% | Median |
| 23 | 15% | 28% | |
| 24 | 5% | 13% | Last Result |
| 25 | 5% | 8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 15% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 12% | 85% | Last Result |
| 18 | 8% | 73% | |
| 19 | 63% | 65% | Median |
| 20 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 25% | 93% | |
| 11 | 15% | 68% | |
| 12 | 24% | 53% | Median |
| 13 | 28% | 29% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 37% | 97% | |
| 9 | 45% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 8% | 15% | |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 32% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 44% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 19% | 24% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 24% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 23% | 76% | Last Result |
| 9 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 38% | 97% | |
| 7 | 37% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 23% | Last Result |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 95% | Last Result |
| 7 | 55% | 88% | Median |
| 8 | 33% | 33% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 20% | 96% | |
| 6 | 54% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 20% | 21% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 47% | 98.9% | |
| 5 | 46% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 6% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 27% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 19% | 72% | |
| 6 | 54% | 54% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 64% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 34% | 36% | Last Result |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 41% | 100% | |
| 3 | 44% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 15% | 15% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 75% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 7% | 7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 52% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 48% | 48% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 81 | 100% | 81–85 | 79–85 | 79–85 | 79–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 80 | 99.4% | 76–83 | 76–84 | 76–84 | 75–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 76 | 52% | 73–77 | 72–77 | 72–77 | 71–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 73 | 5% | 70–75 | 70–76 | 70–77 | 68–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 73 | 0% | 70–75 | 70–75 | 69–75 | 68–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 69 | 0.1% | 65–71 | 65–71 | 65–72 | 64–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 64 | 0% | 64–70 | 64–70 | 64–70 | 63–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 66 | 0% | 62–66 | 62–66 | 62–66 | 60–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 70 | 63 | 0% | 60–65 | 59–66 | 59–66 | 59–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 58 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 52–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 58 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 52–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 55 | 0% | 52–58 | 52–58 | 52–58 | 50–58 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 61 | 54 | 0% | 52–56 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 51–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 55 | 0% | 52–56 | 51–56 | 51–56 | 50–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 55 | 0% | 52–56 | 51–56 | 51–56 | 50–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 47 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 43–48 | 42–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 44 | 0% | 42–47 | 42–47 | 42–47 | 39–47 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 43 | 0% | 41–44 | 40–45 | 40–45 | 40–48 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 34 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 31–39 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 25 | 0% | 24–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–27 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 21 | 0% | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 17–24 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 79 | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 92% | |
| 81 | 51% | 90% | |
| 82 | 4% | 40% | |
| 83 | 11% | 35% | Median |
| 84 | 10% | 24% | |
| 85 | 12% | 14% | |
| 86 | 2% | 2% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 76 | 10% | 99.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 78 | 20% | 90% | |
| 79 | 7% | 69% | |
| 80 | 36% | 62% | |
| 81 | 2% | 26% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 24% | |
| 83 | 14% | 19% | |
| 84 | 3% | 5% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 73 | 15% | 95% | |
| 74 | 21% | 80% | |
| 75 | 7% | 59% | |
| 76 | 5% | 52% | Majority |
| 77 | 47% | 47% | Last Result, Median |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 72 | 26% | 89% | |
| 73 | 32% | 64% | |
| 74 | 12% | 32% | Median |
| 75 | 14% | 20% | |
| 76 | 3% | 5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 16% | 97% | |
| 71 | 15% | 81% | |
| 72 | 11% | 66% | |
| 73 | 6% | 55% | |
| 74 | 2% | 49% | Last Result |
| 75 | 47% | 47% | Median |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 65 | 10% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 89% | |
| 67 | 22% | 88% | |
| 68 | 6% | 66% | |
| 69 | 39% | 61% | Median |
| 70 | 7% | 22% | |
| 71 | 12% | 14% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 54% | 98.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 45% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 43% | Median |
| 67 | 8% | 42% | Last Result |
| 68 | 10% | 34% | |
| 69 | 11% | 23% | |
| 70 | 12% | 12% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 19% | 98% | |
| 63 | 4% | 79% | |
| 64 | 14% | 75% | |
| 65 | 7% | 61% | |
| 66 | 53% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 67 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 5% | 100% | |
| 60 | 20% | 94% | |
| 61 | 2% | 74% | |
| 62 | 7% | 73% | |
| 63 | 41% | 66% | |
| 64 | 3% | 25% | Median |
| 65 | 15% | 22% | |
| 66 | 5% | 7% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 9% | 98% | |
| 55 | 9% | 90% | |
| 56 | 7% | 80% | |
| 57 | 10% | 73% | |
| 58 | 61% | 63% | Median |
| 59 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 9% | 98% | |
| 55 | 9% | 90% | |
| 56 | 7% | 80% | |
| 57 | 10% | 73% | |
| 58 | 61% | 63% | Median |
| 59 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 52 | 8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 2% | 90% | |
| 54 | 8% | 88% | |
| 55 | 31% | 80% | |
| 56 | 27% | 49% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 23% | |
| 58 | 10% | 10% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 32% | 94% | |
| 53 | 4% | 62% | |
| 54 | 28% | 58% | |
| 55 | 7% | 30% | Median |
| 56 | 15% | 23% | |
| 57 | 3% | 9% | |
| 58 | 5% | 6% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 10% | 91% | |
| 53 | 3% | 81% | |
| 54 | 6% | 77% | |
| 55 | 23% | 72% | |
| 56 | 47% | 48% | Median |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 8% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 10% | 91% | |
| 53 | 3% | 81% | |
| 54 | 6% | 77% | |
| 55 | 23% | 72% | |
| 56 | 47% | 48% | Median |
| 57 | 0.9% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 11% | 98.7% | |
| 44 | 7% | 87% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 46 | 5% | 80% | |
| 47 | 56% | 74% | Median |
| 48 | 18% | 19% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 42 | 36% | 98% | |
| 43 | 2% | 62% | Last Result |
| 44 | 28% | 60% | Median |
| 45 | 7% | 31% | |
| 46 | 4% | 25% | |
| 47 | 20% | 21% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 31% | 93% | |
| 42 | 8% | 61% | |
| 43 | 29% | 53% | Median |
| 44 | 16% | 24% | |
| 45 | 7% | 8% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 1.2% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 29% | 86% | |
| 33 | 4% | 57% | |
| 34 | 13% | 53% | Median |
| 35 | 35% | 40% | |
| 36 | 2% | 5% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 23 | 3% | 97% | |
| 24 | 22% | 95% | |
| 25 | 45% | 73% | |
| 26 | 24% | 28% | Median |
| 27 | 4% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 4% | 98.9% | |
| 19 | 20% | 95% | |
| 20 | 12% | 75% | |
| 21 | 60% | 64% | Median |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–9 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.02%