Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 14–15 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 22.6% | 21.6–23.6% | 21.4–23.9% | 21.1–24.1% | 20.7–24.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.4–16.1% | 14.2–16.4% | 14.0–16.6% | 13.6–17.0% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 37 | 35–37 | 33–37 | 33–37 | 31–38 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 23 | 23–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 21–27 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 20 | 18–20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–23 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 33 | 4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 95% | Last Result |
| 35 | 15% | 94% | |
| 36 | 5% | 79% | |
| 37 | 72% | 74% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 23 | 75% | 93% | Median |
| 24 | 15% | 18% | Last Result |
| 25 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 7% | 98% | Last Result |
| 18 | 2% | 91% | |
| 19 | 6% | 89% | |
| 20 | 76% | 83% | Median |
| 21 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0% | 7% | |
| 23 | 7% | 7% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 28% | |
| 11 | 14% | 22% | |
| 12 | 2% | 9% | |
| 13 | 6% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 96% | |
| 9 | 17% | 93% | Last Result |
| 10 | 75% | 76% | Median |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 8 | 81% | 99.4% | Median |
| 9 | 7% | 18% | Last Result |
| 10 | 8% | 12% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 78% | 98.9% | Median |
| 7 | 14% | 20% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 13% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 7 | 82% | 87% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 85% | 86% | Median |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 6 | 93% | 99.1% | Median |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 96% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 88% | 100% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 12% | |
| 5 | 8% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 85% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 14% | 15% | Last Result |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19% | 100% | |
| 3 | 80% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 13% | 100% | |
| 3 | 83% | 87% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 88% | 88% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 82 | 100% | 82–84 | 82–86 | 82–86 | 81–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 80 | 100% | 80–82 | 80–82 | 80–83 | 78–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 74 | 2% | 74–75 | 73–75 | 72–75 | 71–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 0% | 70–74 | 69–75 | 69–75 | 68–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 69 | 0% | 68–71 | 66–72 | 66–72 | 66–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 69 | 0% | 69–70 | 68–70 | 67–71 | 66–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 68 | 0% | 66–68 | 66–71 | 66–71 | 65–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 66 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–69 | 62–69 | 61–69 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 70 | 61 | 0% | 61–64 | 61–65 | 61–66 | 61–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 54 | 0% | 54–56 | 54–57 | 53–58 | 52–59 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 61 | 51 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 51–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 51 | 0% | 51–52 | 51–54 | 51–55 | 49–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 51 | 0% | 51–52 | 51–54 | 51–55 | 49–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 49 | 0% | 49 | 49–52 | 48–53 | 47–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 49 | 0% | 49 | 49–52 | 48–53 | 47–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 46 | 0% | 46 | 46–48 | 44–48 | 43–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 45 | 0% | 43–45 | 42–47 | 42–47 | 40–47 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 40 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–45 | 40–46 | 40–46 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 32 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–36 | 32–37 | 32–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 22 | 0% | 22–26 | 22–27 | 22–28 | 22–28 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 17 | 0% | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 17–23 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 78% | 99.3% | Median |
| 83 | 9% | 21% | |
| 84 | 6% | 12% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 86 | 5% | 6% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 99.0% | |
| 80 | 76% | 98.9% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 22% | |
| 82 | 9% | 11% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 72 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 2% | 96% | |
| 74 | 76% | 93% | Median |
| 75 | 15% | 18% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 69 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 92% | |
| 71 | 77% | 90% | Median |
| 72 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 11% | |
| 74 | 4% | 11% | |
| 75 | 7% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 66 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 93% | |
| 68 | 3% | 91% | |
| 69 | 77% | 89% | Median |
| 70 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 11% | |
| 72 | 10% | 10% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 96% | |
| 69 | 75% | 93% | Median |
| 70 | 14% | 18% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 74 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 10% | 98% | |
| 67 | 9% | 88% | Last Result |
| 68 | 73% | 79% | Median |
| 69 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 71 | 5% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 7% | 97% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 89% | |
| 66 | 78% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 67 | 4% | 10% | |
| 68 | 0% | 7% | |
| 69 | 7% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 62 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 63 | 6% | 28% | |
| 64 | 12% | 22% | |
| 65 | 6% | 10% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 79% | 96% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 17% | |
| 56 | 4% | 13% | |
| 57 | 5% | 9% | |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 52 | 0% | 28% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 28% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 55 | 11% | 26% | |
| 56 | 9% | 15% | |
| 57 | 4% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 78% | 98.8% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 21% | |
| 53 | 3% | 8% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 78% | 98.8% | Median |
| 52 | 13% | 21% | |
| 53 | 3% | 8% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 87% | 96% | Median |
| 50 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 51 | 3% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 87% | 96% | Median |
| 50 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 51 | 3% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 53 | 3% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 46 | 89% | 96% | Median |
| 47 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 50 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 8% | 94% | Last Result |
| 44 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 45 | 79% | 85% | Median |
| 46 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 47 | 6% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 41 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 42 | 5% | 28% | |
| 43 | 8% | 23% | |
| 44 | 4% | 14% | |
| 45 | 6% | 10% | |
| 46 | 4% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 76% | 99.9% | Median |
| 33 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 34 | 10% | 24% | |
| 35 | 7% | 14% | |
| 36 | 2% | 7% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 23 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 24 | 9% | 27% | |
| 25 | 2% | 18% | |
| 26 | 10% | 16% | |
| 27 | 2% | 5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 72% | 100% | Median |
| 18 | 0.2% | 28% | |
| 19 | 11% | 28% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 17% | |
| 21 | 11% | 17% | |
| 22 | 3% | 6% | |
| 23 | 3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–15 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.92%