Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 21–23 May 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
22.9% |
21.2–24.6% |
20.8–25.1% |
20.4–25.6% |
19.6–26.4% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
15.9% |
14.5–17.5% |
14.1–18.0% |
13.8–18.3% |
13.2–19.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
11.1% |
9.9–12.5% |
9.6–12.8% |
9.3–13.2% |
8.7–13.9% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
8.7% |
7.7–10.0% |
7.4–10.3% |
7.1–10.6% |
6.6–11.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.7% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.7–7.1% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–7.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.2% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
4.0–6.8% |
3.7–7.3% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
4.3% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.0% |
2.4–4.2% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.0–4.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.2–4.3% |
1.9–4.8% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.5% |
1.1–2.1% |
1.0–2.3% |
0.9–2.4% |
0.7–2.8% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
1.3% |
0.9–1.9% |
0.8–2.0% |
0.7–2.2% |
0.6–2.5% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.5–1.3% |
0.5–1.4% |
0.4–1.6% |
0.3–1.8% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.1% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
14% |
98.8% |
|
32 |
3% |
85% |
|
33 |
2% |
82% |
|
34 |
20% |
80% |
Last Result |
35 |
20% |
60% |
Median |
36 |
6% |
40% |
|
37 |
3% |
34% |
|
38 |
2% |
31% |
|
39 |
29% |
30% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
28% |
100% |
|
20 |
11% |
72% |
|
21 |
5% |
62% |
|
22 |
4% |
56% |
|
23 |
3% |
52% |
Median |
24 |
23% |
49% |
Last Result |
25 |
12% |
26% |
|
26 |
4% |
14% |
|
27 |
3% |
10% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
8% |
|
29 |
3% |
7% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
31 |
4% |
4% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
2% |
100% |
|
13 |
4% |
98% |
|
14 |
3% |
94% |
|
15 |
9% |
91% |
|
16 |
4% |
82% |
|
17 |
45% |
78% |
Last Result, Median |
18 |
15% |
33% |
|
19 |
2% |
18% |
|
20 |
12% |
16% |
|
21 |
4% |
4% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
4% |
100% |
|
11 |
15% |
96% |
|
12 |
14% |
80% |
|
13 |
6% |
66% |
|
14 |
12% |
60% |
Median |
15 |
8% |
48% |
Last Result |
16 |
40% |
41% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
9 |
20% |
96% |
Last Result |
10 |
52% |
76% |
Median |
11 |
6% |
24% |
|
12 |
16% |
18% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
14 |
2% |
2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
7 |
7% |
99.1% |
|
8 |
20% |
92% |
|
9 |
50% |
72% |
Median |
10 |
13% |
22% |
|
11 |
9% |
9% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
7 |
20% |
96% |
|
8 |
52% |
77% |
Median |
9 |
7% |
24% |
Last Result |
10 |
7% |
17% |
|
11 |
10% |
10% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
3% |
100% |
|
5 |
6% |
97% |
|
6 |
41% |
92% |
|
7 |
36% |
51% |
Median |
8 |
14% |
15% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
16% |
98.9% |
|
5 |
34% |
83% |
Median |
6 |
20% |
49% |
|
7 |
25% |
29% |
|
8 |
2% |
4% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
3 |
27% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
4 |
46% |
72% |
Median |
5 |
15% |
26% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
11% |
|
7 |
0.6% |
11% |
|
8 |
10% |
10% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
3% |
100% |
|
3 |
5% |
97% |
|
4 |
54% |
93% |
Median |
5 |
21% |
39% |
Last Result |
6 |
18% |
18% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
38% |
94% |
Last Result |
4 |
49% |
56% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
6% |
|
6 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
10% |
100% |
|
2 |
13% |
90% |
|
3 |
39% |
77% |
Median |
4 |
19% |
38% |
|
5 |
19% |
19% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
63% |
90% |
Median |
3 |
16% |
26% |
Last Result |
4 |
10% |
11% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
30% |
100% |
|
1 |
33% |
70% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
35% |
37% |
|
3 |
2% |
2% |
|
4 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
57% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
35% |
35% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
82% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
14% |
18% |
Last Result |
2 |
4% |
4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
87 |
88 |
100% |
80–89 |
79–90 |
79–91 |
79–92 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
86 |
85 |
90% |
77–86 |
75–87 |
75–87 |
75–88 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
77 |
80% |
70–79 |
69–81 |
69–82 |
69–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie |
77 |
73 |
33% |
65–79 |
65–79 |
65–79 |
65–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
73 |
8% |
65–75 |
65–76 |
65–77 |
65–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
68 |
0.1% |
64–72 |
64–74 |
64–75 |
63–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
69 |
0.1% |
62–75 |
62–75 |
62–75 |
62–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
67 |
0% |
61–72 |
59–72 |
58–72 |
58–72 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
70 |
66 |
0% |
62–69 |
62–70 |
62–71 |
61–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
58 |
58 |
0% |
54–65 |
54–65 |
54–65 |
53–65 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
61 |
58 |
0% |
53–62 |
51–62 |
51–63 |
51–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
61 |
55 |
0% |
50–62 |
50–62 |
50–62 |
49–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie |
60 |
55 |
0% |
50–62 |
50–62 |
49–62 |
49–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
52 |
0% |
47–58 |
47–58 |
47–58 |
45–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
52 |
0% |
47–58 |
47–58 |
46–58 |
44–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
49 |
0% |
45–55 |
45–55 |
42–55 |
42–55 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
48 |
47 |
0% |
41–50 |
41–51 |
41–52 |
41–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
45 |
0% |
41–49 |
41–49 |
41–49 |
40–50 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
37 |
0% |
32–40 |
31–41 |
31–41 |
31–45 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
29 |
29 |
0% |
25–32 |
24–32 |
24–32 |
24–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
24 |
24 |
0% |
21–26 |
19–26 |
19–27 |
19–27 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
10% |
100% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
90% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
83 |
0.8% |
88% |
|
84 |
3% |
87% |
|
85 |
2% |
84% |
|
86 |
12% |
82% |
Median |
87 |
17% |
70% |
Last Result |
88 |
42% |
54% |
|
89 |
3% |
12% |
|
90 |
4% |
8% |
|
91 |
2% |
4% |
|
92 |
2% |
2% |
|
93 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
94 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
10% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
90% |
Majority |
77 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
78 |
2% |
89% |
|
79 |
3% |
87% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
84% |
|
81 |
3% |
83% |
|
82 |
9% |
80% |
|
83 |
20% |
71% |
Median |
84 |
0.8% |
51% |
|
85 |
39% |
51% |
|
86 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result |
87 |
6% |
8% |
|
88 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
10% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
72 |
2% |
89% |
|
73 |
2% |
86% |
|
74 |
3% |
84% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
81% |
|
76 |
12% |
80% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
26% |
68% |
|
78 |
31% |
43% |
Last Result |
79 |
4% |
11% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
81 |
5% |
8% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
12% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
2% |
88% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
86% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
86% |
|
69 |
2% |
85% |
|
70 |
16% |
83% |
|
71 |
3% |
67% |
|
72 |
4% |
64% |
|
73 |
14% |
60% |
Median |
74 |
1.5% |
45% |
|
75 |
11% |
44% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
33% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
32% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.9% |
29% |
|
79 |
28% |
28% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
90% |
|
67 |
2% |
89% |
|
68 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
69 |
3% |
85% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
82% |
|
71 |
22% |
82% |
|
72 |
2% |
60% |
Median |
73 |
18% |
58% |
Last Result |
74 |
28% |
39% |
|
75 |
3% |
11% |
|
76 |
4% |
8% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
11% |
98% |
|
65 |
13% |
88% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
75% |
|
67 |
3% |
74% |
Last Result |
68 |
40% |
71% |
Median |
69 |
2% |
31% |
|
70 |
4% |
30% |
|
71 |
14% |
26% |
|
72 |
5% |
12% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
6% |
|
75 |
4% |
4% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
12% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
2% |
88% |
|
64 |
3% |
86% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
66 |
12% |
82% |
|
67 |
2% |
70% |
|
68 |
6% |
68% |
|
69 |
13% |
63% |
Median |
70 |
4% |
50% |
|
71 |
2% |
45% |
|
72 |
11% |
44% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
32% |
|
74 |
4% |
31% |
Last Result |
75 |
28% |
28% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
4% |
100% |
|
59 |
2% |
96% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
61 |
11% |
94% |
|
62 |
12% |
83% |
|
63 |
3% |
72% |
|
64 |
2% |
68% |
|
65 |
4% |
66% |
|
66 |
2% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
67 |
25% |
60% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
35% |
|
69 |
5% |
33% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
28% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
28% |
|
72 |
28% |
28% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
10% |
98% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
88% |
|
64 |
29% |
87% |
|
65 |
6% |
58% |
|
66 |
6% |
52% |
Median |
67 |
13% |
46% |
|
68 |
11% |
33% |
|
69 |
14% |
22% |
|
70 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
71 |
5% |
5% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
8% |
98% |
|
55 |
11% |
90% |
|
56 |
2% |
79% |
|
57 |
14% |
77% |
|
58 |
19% |
63% |
Last Result |
59 |
2% |
43% |
Median |
60 |
3% |
42% |
|
61 |
5% |
39% |
|
62 |
4% |
34% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
28% |
|
65 |
28% |
28% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0% |
90% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
90% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
55 |
2% |
89% |
|
56 |
32% |
87% |
|
57 |
2% |
54% |
|
58 |
4% |
52% |
Median |
59 |
16% |
48% |
|
60 |
13% |
33% |
|
61 |
4% |
20% |
Last Result |
62 |
11% |
16% |
|
63 |
3% |
4% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
9% |
98% |
|
51 |
4% |
89% |
|
52 |
4% |
85% |
|
53 |
10% |
81% |
|
54 |
2% |
71% |
|
55 |
24% |
68% |
|
56 |
6% |
45% |
Median |
57 |
2% |
38% |
|
58 |
2% |
36% |
|
59 |
3% |
35% |
|
60 |
3% |
32% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
28% |
Last Result |
62 |
28% |
28% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
10% |
96% |
|
51 |
1.5% |
86% |
|
52 |
4% |
85% |
|
53 |
14% |
81% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
67% |
|
55 |
23% |
66% |
|
56 |
6% |
42% |
Median |
57 |
2% |
37% |
|
58 |
2% |
35% |
|
59 |
4% |
33% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
29% |
Last Result |
61 |
0.1% |
28% |
|
62 |
28% |
28% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
11% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
3% |
88% |
|
49 |
14% |
85% |
|
50 |
2% |
71% |
|
51 |
14% |
69% |
|
52 |
12% |
55% |
Median |
53 |
5% |
43% |
|
54 |
2% |
38% |
|
55 |
2% |
36% |
|
56 |
3% |
34% |
|
57 |
2% |
31% |
|
58 |
28% |
28% |
Last Result |
59 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.0% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
47 |
11% |
97% |
|
48 |
2% |
86% |
|
49 |
15% |
85% |
|
50 |
4% |
69% |
|
51 |
13% |
66% |
|
52 |
11% |
53% |
Median |
53 |
5% |
41% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
36% |
|
55 |
2% |
35% |
|
56 |
4% |
32% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
28% |
Last Result |
58 |
28% |
28% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
45 |
16% |
96% |
|
46 |
12% |
80% |
|
47 |
13% |
68% |
|
48 |
4% |
55% |
|
49 |
12% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
50 |
5% |
39% |
|
51 |
5% |
34% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
29% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
28% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
28% |
|
55 |
28% |
28% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
89% |
|
44 |
1.5% |
89% |
|
45 |
30% |
88% |
|
46 |
7% |
58% |
|
47 |
13% |
51% |
Median |
48 |
4% |
38% |
Last Result |
49 |
12% |
34% |
|
50 |
15% |
22% |
|
51 |
3% |
6% |
|
52 |
3% |
4% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
13% |
99.0% |
|
42 |
3% |
86% |
|
43 |
3% |
83% |
Last Result |
44 |
26% |
80% |
|
45 |
6% |
54% |
Median |
46 |
9% |
48% |
|
47 |
3% |
39% |
|
48 |
5% |
36% |
|
49 |
29% |
31% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
10% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
90% |
|
33 |
3% |
90% |
|
34 |
2% |
87% |
|
35 |
30% |
85% |
|
36 |
3% |
55% |
|
37 |
12% |
52% |
Median |
38 |
16% |
40% |
|
39 |
3% |
24% |
Last Result |
40 |
16% |
21% |
|
41 |
4% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
43 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
45 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
24 |
5% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
15% |
95% |
|
26 |
2% |
80% |
|
27 |
12% |
78% |
|
28 |
5% |
66% |
Median |
29 |
14% |
61% |
Last Result |
30 |
32% |
47% |
|
31 |
4% |
16% |
|
32 |
12% |
12% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
7% |
100% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
21 |
11% |
92% |
|
22 |
5% |
81% |
|
23 |
13% |
77% |
|
24 |
14% |
63% |
Last Result, Median |
25 |
3% |
49% |
|
26 |
42% |
47% |
|
27 |
4% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 21–23 May 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1010
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.59%