Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 4–7 June 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 22.8% | 21.5–24.1% | 21.2–24.4% | 20.9–24.7% | 20.3–25.4% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.5–14.6% | 12.2–14.9% | 12.0–15.1% | 11.5–15.7% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.3–10.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.9–10.6% | 7.5–11.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.7–9.2% | 6.4–9.7% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8–7.3% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.4–7.7% | 5.1–8.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1–6.5% | 4.9–6.7% | 4.7–6.9% | 4.4–7.3% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2–5.5% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.9–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8–5.1% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.4% | 3.3–5.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9–2.8% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.5–3.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2–1.9% | 1.1–2.0% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.4% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34–36 | 34–36 | 34–39 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19–22 | 18–22 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 14–16 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 13 | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 93% | 99.9% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 36 | 3% | 6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 20 | 0% | 96% | |
| 21 | 92% | 96% | Median |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 94% | 99.9% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 98% | |
| 12 | 0% | 94% | |
| 13 | 93% | 94% | Median |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 10 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 11 | 7% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 98% | 99.8% | Median |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 94% | 96% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 5% | 98% | |
| 7 | 90% | 93% | Median |
| 8 | 0% | 3% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 97% | |
| 6 | 93% | 95% | Median |
| 7 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 90% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 3% | 7% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 95% | 97% | Median |
| 6 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 94% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 95% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 90% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 6% | 10% | |
| 3 | 3% | 3% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 83 | 100% | 83 | 82–83 | 82–88 | 77–88 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 82 | 100% | 82 | 82–84 | 80–86 | 77–86 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 73 | 4% | 73 | 73–74 | 71–77 | 68–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 69 | 0% | 69 | 69–70 | 67–72 | 67–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 68 | 0% | 68 | 68–70 | 64–71 | 64–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 65 | 0% | 65 | 65–68 | 64–69 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 66 | 0% | 66 | 66–67 | 65–68 | 65–70 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 65 | 0% | 65 | 63–65 | 60–67 | 57–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 61 | 0% | 61 | 61–63 | 60–63 | 60–65 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 61 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 57–58 | 53–61 | 51–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57 | 56–60 | 55–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 55 | 0% | 55 | 55–56 | 52–57 | 52–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 55 | 0% | 55 | 55–56 | 52–56 | 52–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 52 | 0% | 52 | 52–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 52 | 0% | 52 | 52–53 | 50–53 | 50–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 47 | 0% | 47 | 47–49 | 45–49 | 45–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 44–47 | 44–47 | 44–47 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 41–44 | 39–46 | 38–46 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 34 | 0% | 34 | 31–34 | 30–35 | 29–35 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 28 | 0% | 28 | 28–29 | 24–30 | 22–30 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 23 | 0% | 23 | 22–23 | 20–24 | 18–24 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 82 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 83 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 84 | 0% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 3% | Last Result |
| 88 | 3% | 3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 82 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 83 | 0% | 5% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0% | 3% | |
| 86 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 72 | 0% | 96% | |
| 73 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 97% | |
| 69 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 70 | 3% | 7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 72 | 3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 4% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0% | 96% | |
| 67 | 0% | 96% | |
| 68 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 69 | 0% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 5% | |
| 71 | 3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 66 | 0% | 6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 5% | Last Result |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 67 | 3% | 7% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0% | 97% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 0% | 94% | |
| 65 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 66 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 67 | 3% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 62 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 63 | 3% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 97% | |
| 58 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 3% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 92% | 96% | Median |
| 58 | 0% | 4% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 4% | |
| 60 | 3% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 56 | 2% | 7% | |
| 57 | 5% | 5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0% | 97% | |
| 55 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 56 | 7% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 97% | |
| 52 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 53 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 54 | 5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 97% | |
| 52 | 91% | 97% | Median |
| 53 | 3% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 90% | 96% | Median |
| 48 | 0% | 6% | |
| 49 | 5% | 6% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 44 | 91% | 99.9% | Median |
| 45 | 3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 47 | 5% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 0% | 94% | |
| 43 | 0% | 94% | |
| 44 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 45 | 0% | 4% | |
| 46 | 3% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 96% | |
| 32 | 0% | 94% | |
| 33 | 0% | 94% | |
| 34 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 35 | 3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 98% | |
| 24 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 25 | 0% | 97% | |
| 26 | 0% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 28 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 29 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 30 | 3% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 98% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 0% | 97% | |
| 22 | 3% | 97% | |
| 23 | 90% | 94% | Median |
| 24 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4–7 June 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1824
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.39%