Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 12 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
Democraten 66 15.0% 14.6% 13.8–15.5% 13.6–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.0–16.4%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.6% 6.1–7.3% 5.9–7.4% 5.8–7.6% 5.5–7.9%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 6.0% 5.4–6.6% 5.3–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 4.9–7.2%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4%
GroenLinks 5.2% 4.7% 4.2–5.2% 4.1–5.3% 4.0–5.5% 3.7–5.8%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 4.7% 4.2–5.2% 4.1–5.3% 4.0–5.5% 3.7–5.8%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
Volt Europa 2.4% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
DENK 2.0% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Bij1 0.8% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%
50Plus 1.0% 0.2% 0.1–0.3% 0.1–0.4% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 36 36 36 36 35–38
Democraten 66 24 22 22 22 22–24 21–25
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 19 19 19 17–19 16–19
Partij van de Arbeid 9 10 10 10 9–10 8–10
Socialistische Partij 9 8 8 8 8–9 8–10
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 8 8 8 8 6–10
GroenLinks 8 8 8 8 7–8 6–8
Partij voor de Dieren 6 6 6 6 6–7 6–8
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 5 5 5 5–6 5–6
Volt Europa 3 6 6 6 6–7 6–7
ChristenUnie 5 4 4 4 4 4–5
Forum voor Democratie 8 6 6 6 5–6 4–6
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 5 5 5 5 4–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 3 3 2–3 2–3
DENK 3 3 3 3 2–3 2–3
Bij1 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
50Plus 1 0 0 0 0 0

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0% 100% Last Result
35 0.7% 100%  
36 97% 99.3% Median
37 0% 2%  
38 2% 2%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.6% 100%  
22 97% 99.4% Median
23 0.1% 3%  
24 0.7% 3% Last Result
25 2% 2%  
26 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 2% 100%  
17 0.7% 98% Last Result
18 0% 97%  
19 97% 97% Median
20 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 1.3% 100%  
9 2% 98.7% Last Result
10 97% 97% Median
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 97% 100% Median
9 0.7% 3% Last Result
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 2% 100%  
7 0% 98%  
8 97% 98% Median
9 0.6% 1.3%  
10 0.7% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.7% 100%  
7 3% 99.3%  
8 97% 97% Last Result, Median
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 97% 100% Last Result, Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0.6% 0.6%  
9 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 97% 100% Median
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0% 100%  
5 0.1% 100%  
6 97% 99.9% Median
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 98.7% 100% Median
5 1.3% 1.3% Last Result
6 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.7% 100%  
5 2% 99.3%  
6 97% 97% Median
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 2% 100%  
5 98% 98% Median
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100%  
3 97% 97% Last Result, Median
4 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 3% 100%  
3 97% 97% Last Result, Median
4 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 87 80 100% 80 80 80–82 79–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 86 78 100% 78 78 78–80 78–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 78 70 0% 70 70 70–73 70–74
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 72 0% 72 72 68–72 67–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 66 0% 66 66 66–69 66–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 69 0% 69 69 66–69 65–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 67 68 0% 68 68 68 65–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 63 0% 63 63 62–63 60–64
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 70 60 0% 60 60 60–61 58–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 58 54 0% 54 54 53–54 53–54
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 53 0% 53 53 51–53 51–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 53 0% 53 53 51–53 51–53
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 61 52 0% 52 52 51–52 50–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 50 0% 50 50 49–50 49–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 50 0% 50 50 49–50 49–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 43 46 0% 46 46 46 43–47
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 44 0% 44 44 44 44–45
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 48 40 0% 40 40 40 38–42
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 30 0% 30 30 30–31 30–34
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 29 22 0% 22 22 22 19–23
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 24 18 0% 18 18 17–18 15–18

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.6% 100%  
80 97% 99.4% Median
81 0% 3%  
82 3% 3%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 97% 100% Median
79 0% 3%  
80 3% 3%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 97% 100% Median
71 0.6% 3%  
72 0% 3%  
73 2% 3%  
74 0.8% 0.8%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 2% 100%  
68 0.7% 98%  
69 0% 97%  
70 0.1% 97%  
71 0% 97%  
72 97% 97% Median
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 97% 100% Median
67 0% 3%  
68 0% 3%  
69 3% 3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 2% 100%  
66 0.7% 98%  
67 0% 97%  
68 0.1% 97%  
69 97% 97% Median
70 0.6% 0.6%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.6% 100%  
66 0% 99.4%  
67 0.7% 99.4% Last Result
68 97% 98.7% Median
69 0% 2%  
70 0% 2%  
71 0% 2%  
72 2% 2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 2% 100%  
61 0% 98%  
62 0.7% 98%  
63 97% 97% Median
64 0.6% 0.6%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.6% 100%  
59 0% 99.4%  
60 97% 99.4% Median
61 2% 3%  
62 0.7% 0.8%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 3% 100%  
54 97% 97% Median
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
59 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 3% 99.9%  
52 0% 97%  
53 97% 97% Median
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 3% 99.9%  
52 0% 97%  
53 97% 97% Median
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.6% 100%  
51 2% 99.4%  
52 97% 97% Median
53 0.7% 0.8%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 3% 99.9%  
50 97% 97% Median
51 0.6% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 3% 99.9%  
50 97% 97% Median
51 0.6% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.7% 100% Last Result
44 0.6% 99.3%  
45 0% 98.7%  
46 97% 98.7% Median
47 2% 2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 98.6% 99.9% Median
45 1.3% 1.4%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.6% 100%  
39 0% 99.4%  
40 98.6% 99.4% Median
41 0% 0.8%  
42 0.8% 0.8%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 97% 100% Median
31 2% 3%  
32 0% 0.7%  
33 0% 0.7%  
34 0.7% 0.7%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 2% 100%  
20 0% 98%  
21 0% 98%  
22 97% 98% Median
23 0.8% 0.8%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 2% 100%  
16 0% 98%  
17 0.6% 98%  
18 97% 97% Median
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations