Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9–12 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 21.5% | 20.4–22.7% | 20.1–23.0% | 19.8–23.3% | 19.3–23.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.8–14.7% | 12.5–15.0% | 12.3–15.3% | 11.9–15.7% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6–11.3% | 9.4–11.6% | 9.2–11.8% | 8.8–12.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5–8.0% | 6.3–8.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 5.9–8.7% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.7–7.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.6–6.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.1% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.7% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.3% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.4% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.4% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.0–1.6% | 0.9–1.7% | 0.8–1.8% | 0.7–2.0% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.5% | 0.2–0.6% | 0.1–0.6% | 0.1–0.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 33 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 30–37 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 20 | 20–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 11% | 98% | |
| 32 | 26% | 87% | |
| 33 | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 34 | 1.0% | 45% | Last Result |
| 35 | 12% | 44% | |
| 36 | 31% | 32% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 20 | 46% | 94% | Median |
| 21 | 2% | 48% | |
| 22 | 3% | 46% | |
| 23 | 28% | 43% | |
| 24 | 15% | 15% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 27% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 73% | |
| 15 | 45% | 70% | Median |
| 16 | 22% | 25% | |
| 17 | 2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 34% | 95% | |
| 12 | 34% | 62% | Median |
| 13 | 1.4% | 28% | |
| 14 | 27% | 27% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 33% | 89% | |
| 9 | 21% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 28% | 35% | |
| 11 | 6% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 5% | 84% | Last Result |
| 9 | 37% | 79% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 42% | |
| 11 | 25% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 22% | 94% | Last Result |
| 7 | 56% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 15% | 15% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 5 | 13% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 45% | 86% | Median |
| 7 | 40% | 41% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 25% | 98% | |
| 5 | 7% | 74% | |
| 6 | 63% | 67% | Median |
| 7 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 11% | 100% | |
| 5 | 27% | 89% | |
| 6 | 56% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 36% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 17% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 43% | 46% | |
| 7 | 2% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 22% | 97% | |
| 6 | 40% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 35% | 35% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 29% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 50% | 71% | Median |
| 5 | 19% | 21% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 98.5% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 10% | 12% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 33% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 60% | 67% | Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16% | 100% | |
| 2 | 65% | 84% | Median |
| 3 | 18% | 18% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 56% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 42% | 42% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 79 | 87% | 74–81 | 74–81 | 74–81 | 72–81 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 76 | 69% | 72–78 | 72–78 | 72–78 | 70–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 66 | 0% | 63–70 | 63–70 | 63–70 | 62–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 67 | 0% | 62–68 | 62–69 | 62–69 | 62–70 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 62 | 0% | 60–67 | 60–67 | 59–67 | 57–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 62 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–66 | 59–66 | 59–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 62 | 0% | 56–63 | 56–63 | 56–65 | 56–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 56–62 | 56–62 | 56–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 55 | 0% | 51–57 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 51–60 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 54 | 0% | 52–57 | 52–57 | 50–57 | 48–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 51 | 0% | 48–57 | 48–57 | 48–57 | 46–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 46 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 46 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 45 | 0% | 43–50 | 43–50 | 42–50 | 41–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 43 | 0% | 41–46 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 40–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 43 | 0% | 41–46 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 40–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 39 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 36–43 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 40 | 0% | 37–42 | 37–42 | 36–42 | 34–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 27 | 0% | 25–30 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 24–30 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 19–26 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 18 | 0% | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 14–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 11% | 98.9% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 88% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 87% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 8% | 86% | |
| 78 | 27% | 78% | |
| 79 | 6% | 52% | |
| 80 | 17% | 46% | |
| 81 | 28% | 29% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 12% | 98.8% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 87% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 86% | |
| 75 | 15% | 84% | |
| 76 | 38% | 69% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 32% | |
| 78 | 28% | 29% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 11% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 89% | |
| 65 | 2% | 86% | Median |
| 66 | 36% | 84% | |
| 67 | 4% | 48% | Last Result |
| 68 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 69 | 15% | 43% | |
| 70 | 27% | 29% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 10% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 89% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 88% | Median |
| 65 | 2% | 87% | |
| 66 | 6% | 85% | |
| 67 | 58% | 78% | |
| 68 | 15% | 21% | |
| 69 | 4% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 12% | 97% | |
| 61 | 9% | 86% | Median |
| 62 | 29% | 76% | |
| 63 | 15% | 48% | |
| 64 | 8% | 33% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 25% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 25% | |
| 67 | 25% | 25% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 11% | 100% | |
| 60 | 25% | 89% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 64% | Median |
| 62 | 43% | 63% | |
| 63 | 2% | 20% | |
| 64 | 5% | 18% | |
| 65 | 5% | 12% | |
| 66 | 6% | 7% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 90% | |
| 58 | 2% | 90% | |
| 59 | 2% | 87% | Median |
| 60 | 0.8% | 86% | |
| 61 | 32% | 85% | |
| 62 | 8% | 53% | |
| 63 | 42% | 45% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 56 | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 25% | 89% | |
| 58 | 4% | 64% | Median |
| 59 | 41% | 60% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 19% | |
| 61 | 5% | 18% | |
| 62 | 11% | 13% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 10% | 100% | |
| 52 | 2% | 90% | |
| 53 | 26% | 88% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 62% | Median |
| 55 | 16% | 60% | |
| 56 | 29% | 45% | |
| 57 | 7% | 15% | |
| 58 | 7% | 8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 7% | 96% | Median |
| 53 | 19% | 89% | |
| 54 | 42% | 69% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 28% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 27% | |
| 57 | 25% | 25% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 48 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 28% | 89% | |
| 50 | 2% | 61% | |
| 51 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 43% | |
| 53 | 7% | 41% | |
| 54 | 8% | 34% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 27% | |
| 56 | 0% | 27% | |
| 57 | 27% | 27% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 26% | 89% | |
| 46 | 14% | 63% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 49% | |
| 48 | 2% | 44% | |
| 49 | 28% | 42% | |
| 50 | 13% | 14% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 26% | 89% | |
| 46 | 15% | 63% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 48% | |
| 48 | 2% | 44% | |
| 49 | 28% | 42% | |
| 50 | 13% | 14% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 35% | 97% | Last Result |
| 44 | 3% | 62% | |
| 45 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 46 | 7% | 43% | |
| 47 | 7% | 36% | |
| 48 | 2% | 29% | |
| 49 | 0% | 27% | |
| 50 | 27% | 27% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 26% | 89% | |
| 43 | 18% | 63% | Median |
| 44 | 1.3% | 45% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 46 | 34% | 42% | |
| 47 | 8% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 26% | 89% | |
| 43 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 44 | 0.4% | 44% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 43% | |
| 46 | 34% | 42% | |
| 47 | 8% | 8% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 90% | |
| 38 | 27% | 87% | |
| 39 | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 40 | 1.0% | 44% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 42 | 15% | 43% | |
| 43 | 28% | 28% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 37 | 13% | 97% | |
| 38 | 11% | 84% | Median |
| 39 | 3% | 73% | |
| 40 | 26% | 70% | |
| 41 | 30% | 45% | |
| 42 | 14% | 15% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 8% | 88% | Median |
| 27 | 34% | 80% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 46% | |
| 29 | 29% | 44% | |
| 30 | 15% | 15% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 99.1% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 8% | 95% | |
| 23 | 50% | 87% | Median |
| 24 | 3% | 37% | |
| 25 | 34% | 34% | |
| 26 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98% | |
| 17 | 39% | 95% | |
| 18 | 21% | 56% | Median |
| 19 | 8% | 35% | |
| 20 | 1.0% | 28% | |
| 21 | 26% | 27% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–12 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2129
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.23%