Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 23–24 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 23.3% | 22.3–24.3% | 22.0–24.6% | 21.8–24.8% | 21.3–25.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 14.6% | 13.8–15.5% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.0–16.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1–7.3% | 5.9–7.4% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.5–7.9% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 37 | 35–40 | 35–40 | 35–40 | 35–40 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 22–23 | 21–23 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 17–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–10 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 19% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 37 | 63% | 80% | Median |
| 38 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 39 | 0% | 17% | |
| 40 | 17% | 17% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 36% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 35% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 18 | 64% | 65% | Median |
| 19 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 36% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 37% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 10 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 98% | 99.9% | Median |
| 9 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 17% | 100% | |
| 6 | 63% | 83% | Median |
| 7 | 20% | 20% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 63% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 37% | |
| 6 | 20% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 64% | 99.8% | Median |
| 7 | 36% | 36% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 99.6% | 99.7% | Median |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19% | 100% | |
| 5 | 80% | 81% | Median |
| 6 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 5 | 81% | 99.1% | Median |
| 6 | 18% | 18% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 80% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 20% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 64% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 36% | 36% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19% | 100% | |
| 1 | 81% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.0% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 81 | 100% | 80–84 | 80–84 | 80–84 | 78–84 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 76 | 99.9% | 76–79 | 76–79 | 76–79 | 76–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 70 | 0% | 70–74 | 70–74 | 70–74 | 69–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 71 | 0% | 67–72 | 67–72 | 67–72 | 65–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 66 | 0% | 65–69 | 65–69 | 65–69 | 65–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 64 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–67 | 63–67 | 62–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 64 | 0% | 62–67 | 62–67 | 62–67 | 62–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–62 | 58–62 | 58–62 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 60 | 0% | 58–61 | 58–61 | 58–61 | 58–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 52 | 0% | 51–55 | 51–55 | 51–55 | 50–55 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 50 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–52 | 49–52 | 49–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 48–52 | 48–52 | 48–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 48–52 | 48–52 | 48–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 46 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 45–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 46 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 45–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 48 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–50 | 45–50 | 44–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 41 | 0% | 41–45 | 41–45 | 41–45 | 41–45 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 38 | 0% | 37–38 | 37–38 | 37–38 | 36–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 27 | 0% | 27–28 | 27–28 | 27–28 | 27–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 21 | 0% | 21–23 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 21–23 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 15 | 0% | 15–16 | 15–16 | 15–16 | 15–16 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 98.9% | |
| 80 | 19% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 63% | 80% | Median |
| 82 | 0% | 17% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 84 | 17% | 17% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 64% | 99.9% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 19% | 36% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 18% | |
| 79 | 17% | 17% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 81% | 98.9% | Median |
| 71 | 0.3% | 18% | |
| 72 | 0% | 17% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 74 | 17% | 17% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 18% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 68 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 71 | 63% | 80% | Median |
| 72 | 17% | 17% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 18% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 63% | 82% | Median |
| 67 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 68 | 0% | 18% | |
| 69 | 18% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 18% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 64% | 81% | Median |
| 65 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 66 | 0% | 17% | |
| 67 | 17% | 17% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 18% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 82% | |
| 64 | 64% | 82% | Median |
| 65 | 0.1% | 18% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 67 | 17% | 17% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 18% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 63% | 82% | Median |
| 60 | 2% | 19% | |
| 61 | 0% | 17% | |
| 62 | 17% | 17% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 60 | 64% | 81% | Median |
| 61 | 18% | 18% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 18% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 64% | 81% | Median |
| 53 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 55 | 17% | 17% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 64% | 83% | Median |
| 51 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 52 | 18% | 18% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 49 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 51 | 0% | 17% | |
| 52 | 17% | 17% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 81% | 99.9% | Median |
| 49 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 51 | 0% | 17% | |
| 52 | 17% | 17% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 18% | 100% | |
| 46 | 64% | 82% | Median |
| 47 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 49 | 0% | 17% | |
| 50 | 17% | 17% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 18% | 100% | |
| 46 | 64% | 82% | Median |
| 47 | 1.0% | 18% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 49 | 0% | 17% | |
| 50 | 17% | 17% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 18% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 81% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 80% | |
| 48 | 63% | 80% | Median |
| 49 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 50 | 17% | 17% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 82% | 100% | Median |
| 42 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 44 | 0% | 17% | |
| 45 | 17% | 17% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 17% | 98.8% | |
| 38 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 81% | 99.8% | Median |
| 28 | 19% | 19% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 63% | 99.8% | Median |
| 22 | 19% | 37% | |
| 23 | 18% | 18% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 81% | 99.8% | Median |
| 16 | 19% | 19% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 23–24 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.08%