Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–26 July 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
23.3% |
21.7–25.1% |
21.2–25.6% |
20.8–26.0% |
20.0–26.9% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
13.7% |
12.4–15.2% |
12.1–15.7% |
11.8–16.0% |
11.1–16.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
10.5% |
9.3–11.8% |
9.0–12.2% |
8.7–12.5% |
8.2–13.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
6.2% |
5.3–7.3% |
5.0–7.6% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.5–8.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.9% |
5.0–7.0% |
4.8–7.2% |
4.6–7.5% |
4.2–8.1% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.7% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.2–6.6% |
4.1–6.8% |
3.7–7.4% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.4–7.0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.5% |
3.7–5.4% |
3.5–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.0–6.4% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.5% |
2.9–4.4% |
2.7–4.6% |
2.5–4.8% |
2.2–5.3% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.2% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
0.5–1.8% |
0.4–2.1% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.3–1.2% |
0.3–1.3% |
0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
95% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
39 |
88% |
91% |
Median |
40 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
41 |
4% |
4% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
18 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
88% |
96% |
Median |
20 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
21 |
2% |
8% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
5% |
Last Result |
25 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
26 |
4% |
4% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
88% |
99.6% |
Median |
15 |
2% |
12% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
9% |
Last Result |
18 |
8% |
9% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
9 |
89% |
98.7% |
Median |
10 |
6% |
10% |
|
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
4% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.5% |
96% |
|
9 |
94% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
8 |
4% |
97% |
|
9 |
2% |
94% |
Last Result |
10 |
88% |
92% |
Median |
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
89% |
99.5% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
11% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
6% |
|
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
7 |
5% |
95% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
89% |
Last Result |
9 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
10 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
6 |
4% |
98% |
|
7 |
4% |
93% |
|
8 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
9 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
92% |
99.9% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
8% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
7 |
3% |
3% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
92% |
99.6% |
Median |
5 |
7% |
8% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
4% |
100% |
|
4 |
94% |
96% |
Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
3 |
93% |
99.4% |
Median |
4 |
6% |
6% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
90% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
4% |
5% |
|
5 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
7% |
95% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
5 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
98.7% |
99.7% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
3 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
87 |
81 |
99.9% |
81 |
80–82 |
79–85 |
77–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
86 |
80 |
99.6% |
80 |
78–80 |
78–81 |
77–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
70 |
4% |
70 |
65–70 |
65–76 |
64–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
71 |
1.2% |
71 |
71–72 |
71–74 |
68–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
65 |
0% |
65 |
63–67 |
63–73 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
67 |
0% |
67 |
67–68 |
64–70 |
63–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
68 |
0% |
68 |
65–68 |
63–70 |
62–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
62 |
0% |
62 |
59–63 |
59–70 |
57–70 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
70 |
60 |
0% |
60 |
60–62 |
58–64 |
57–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
58 |
58 |
0% |
58 |
51–58 |
49–63 |
49–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
56 |
0% |
56 |
50–56 |
47–58 |
47–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
56 |
0% |
56 |
49–56 |
47–58 |
47–58 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
61 |
51 |
0% |
51 |
51–54 |
51–55 |
48–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
51 |
0% |
51 |
47–51 |
45–55 |
45–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
51 |
0% |
51 |
46–51 |
45–55 |
45–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
48 |
0% |
48 |
43–48 |
41–52 |
41–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
49 |
0% |
49 |
41–49 |
39–52 |
39–52 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
48 |
38 |
0% |
38–40 |
38–40 |
38–44 |
35–44 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
28 |
0% |
28–29 |
28–32 |
28–36 |
27–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
29 |
23 |
0% |
23 |
23–25 |
23–26 |
21–26 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
24 |
19 |
0% |
19 |
18–19 |
16–22 |
16–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
74 |
0% |
100% |
|
75 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
4% |
97% |
|
81 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
82 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
84 |
0% |
4% |
|
85 |
4% |
4% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
Majority |
77 |
1.1% |
99.5% |
|
78 |
4% |
98% |
|
79 |
1.4% |
94% |
|
80 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
81 |
4% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
4% |
98% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
70 |
88% |
92% |
Median |
71 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
72 |
0% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
75 |
0% |
4% |
|
76 |
4% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
89% |
98% |
Median |
72 |
4% |
9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
74 |
4% |
5% |
|
75 |
0% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
1.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
79 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
63 |
4% |
98% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
94% |
|
65 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
66 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
69 |
0% |
4% |
|
70 |
0% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
72 |
0% |
4% |
|
73 |
4% |
4% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
67 |
91% |
96% |
Median |
68 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
70 |
4% |
5% |
|
71 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
65 |
4% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
67 |
0% |
93% |
Last Result |
68 |
89% |
93% |
Median |
69 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
70 |
4% |
4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
59 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
62 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
63 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
66 |
0% |
4% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
4% |
|
68 |
0% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
70 |
4% |
4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
96% |
|
60 |
88% |
95% |
Median |
61 |
1.0% |
7% |
|
62 |
2% |
6% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
64 |
4% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
58 |
88% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
59 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
60 |
0% |
4% |
|
61 |
0% |
4% |
|
62 |
0% |
4% |
|
63 |
4% |
4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0% |
96% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
50 |
2% |
96% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
56 |
88% |
91% |
Median |
57 |
0% |
4% |
|
58 |
4% |
4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
49 |
2% |
96% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
52 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
56 |
88% |
91% |
Median |
57 |
0% |
4% |
|
58 |
4% |
4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
51 |
92% |
98.9% |
Median |
52 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
47 |
3% |
96% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
93% |
|
51 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
52 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
54 |
0% |
4% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
2% |
96% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
51 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
52 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
53 |
0% |
4% |
|
54 |
0% |
4% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
43 |
2% |
95% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
47 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
48 |
88% |
92% |
Median |
49 |
0.1% |
4% |
Last Result |
50 |
0% |
4% |
|
51 |
0% |
4% |
|
52 |
4% |
4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0% |
100% |
|
39 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
41 |
2% |
96% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
43 |
1.0% |
94% |
Last Result |
44 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
92% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
92% |
|
49 |
88% |
91% |
Median |
50 |
0% |
4% |
|
51 |
0% |
4% |
|
52 |
4% |
4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
0.9% |
99.0% |
|
38 |
88% |
98% |
Median |
39 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
40 |
5% |
10% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
4% |
|
43 |
0% |
4% |
|
44 |
4% |
4% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
88% |
99.4% |
Median |
29 |
4% |
11% |
|
30 |
1.2% |
7% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
34 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
36 |
4% |
4% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
23 |
93% |
98.5% |
Median |
24 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
5% |
|
26 |
5% |
5% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
16 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
18 |
4% |
97% |
|
19 |
89% |
93% |
Median |
20 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
22 |
4% |
4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 July 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1004
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 4.86%