Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 20–21 August 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 23.9% | 23.0–25.0% | 22.7–25.3% | 22.4–25.5% | 22.0–26.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 41 | 36–41 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 35–41 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 5 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 23% | 95% | |
| 37 | 2% | 72% | |
| 38 | 7% | 71% | |
| 39 | 7% | 64% | |
| 40 | 5% | 57% | |
| 41 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 26% | 97% | |
| 18 | 56% | 71% | Median |
| 19 | 9% | 15% | |
| 20 | 2% | 6% | |
| 21 | 4% | 4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 50% | 99.9% | Median |
| 17 | 39% | 50% | Last Result |
| 18 | 5% | 11% | |
| 19 | 5% | 6% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 35% | 98% | |
| 11 | 9% | 63% | |
| 12 | 52% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 9% | 95% | |
| 9 | 29% | 87% | Last Result |
| 10 | 8% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 49% | 49% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 8 | 16% | 95% | |
| 9 | 52% | 79% | Median |
| 10 | 4% | 27% | |
| 11 | 23% | 23% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 55% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 45% | |
| 7 | 5% | 43% | |
| 8 | 38% | 38% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 83% | 98.8% | Median |
| 7 | 10% | 16% | |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 54% | 98% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 44% | |
| 7 | 32% | 36% | |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 36% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 6 | 7% | 63% | |
| 7 | 53% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 56% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 40% | 44% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 63% | 99.6% | Median |
| 5 | 9% | 36% | |
| 6 | 27% | 27% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 34% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 55% | 65% | Median |
| 6 | 6% | 10% | |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 97% | |
| 3 | 77% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 12% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 59% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 40% | 41% | Last Result |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 33% | 33% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 85% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 83 | 77% | 75–83 | 75–83 | 75–83 | 75–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 76 | 66% | 73–77 | 73–79 | 73–79 | 72–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 69 | 0% | 69–70 | 67–71 | 67–74 | 67–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 71 | 0% | 65–71 | 65–72 | 65–72 | 65–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 71 | 0% | 63–71 | 63–71 | 63–71 | 63–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 66 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–70 | 64–70 | 64–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 64 | 0% | 60–65 | 60–66 | 60–66 | 59–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 62 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–65 | 60–66 | 59–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 58 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–59 | 55–60 | 54–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 58 | 0% | 53–58 | 52–58 | 51–59 | 51–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 53 | 0% | 52–53 | 50–54 | 48–56 | 48–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 53 | 0% | 52–53 | 50–54 | 48–56 | 48–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 50 | 0% | 48–51 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 50 | 0% | 48–51 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 52 | 0% | 46–53 | 46–53 | 45–53 | 45–53 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 47 | 0% | 47–50 | 46–50 | 45–50 | 45–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 46 | 0% | 43–46 | 42–47 | 41–48 | 41–48 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 35 | 0% | 34–37 | 34–37 | 33–37 | 32–37 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 23 | 0% | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 24 | 0% | 22–24 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 16–17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 14–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 23% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 77% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 77% | |
| 78 | 3% | 72% | |
| 79 | 5% | 68% | |
| 80 | 2% | 63% | |
| 81 | 2% | 61% | |
| 82 | 7% | 59% | |
| 83 | 52% | 52% | Median |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 2% | 100% | |
| 73 | 25% | 98% | |
| 74 | 2% | 73% | |
| 75 | 4% | 71% | |
| 76 | 51% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 15% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 8% | |
| 79 | 7% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 93% | |
| 69 | 75% | 92% | Median |
| 70 | 8% | 17% | |
| 71 | 5% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 5% | |
| 74 | 5% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 65 | 23% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 77% | |
| 67 | 9% | 77% | |
| 68 | 2% | 68% | |
| 69 | 5% | 65% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 61% | |
| 71 | 54% | 59% | Median |
| 72 | 5% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 23% | 100% | |
| 64 | 4% | 77% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 73% | |
| 66 | 7% | 73% | |
| 67 | 2% | 66% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.5% | 64% | |
| 69 | 9% | 64% | |
| 70 | 3% | 54% | |
| 71 | 51% | 51% | Median |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 8% | 97% | |
| 66 | 77% | 90% | Median |
| 67 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 68 | 4% | 12% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 70 | 8% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 23% | 99.0% | |
| 61 | 3% | 76% | |
| 62 | 10% | 73% | |
| 63 | 3% | 63% | |
| 64 | 50% | 60% | Median |
| 65 | 3% | 10% | |
| 66 | 7% | 7% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 30% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 69% | |
| 62 | 54% | 67% | Median |
| 63 | 4% | 12% | |
| 64 | 3% | 8% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 66 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 56 | 31% | 95% | |
| 57 | 5% | 65% | Median |
| 58 | 49% | 59% | |
| 59 | 5% | 10% | |
| 60 | 4% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 23% | 93% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 70% | |
| 55 | 3% | 69% | |
| 56 | 7% | 66% | |
| 57 | 6% | 59% | |
| 58 | 49% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 59 | 4% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 50 | 2% | 95% | |
| 51 | 2% | 93% | |
| 52 | 25% | 91% | |
| 53 | 58% | 65% | Median |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 56 | 4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 50 | 2% | 95% | |
| 51 | 2% | 93% | |
| 52 | 25% | 91% | |
| 53 | 58% | 65% | Median |
| 54 | 3% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 56 | 4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 29% | 89% | |
| 50 | 50% | 60% | Median |
| 51 | 2% | 10% | |
| 52 | 5% | 8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 95% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 29% | 89% | |
| 50 | 50% | 60% | Median |
| 51 | 3% | 10% | |
| 52 | 5% | 8% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 5% | 100% | |
| 46 | 23% | 95% | |
| 47 | 3% | 72% | |
| 48 | 3% | 70% | |
| 49 | 2% | 66% | |
| 50 | 3% | 64% | |
| 51 | 9% | 61% | |
| 52 | 2% | 52% | |
| 53 | 49% | 49% | Median |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 48 | 4% | 21% | |
| 49 | 6% | 18% | |
| 50 | 11% | 12% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 43 | 27% | 95% | |
| 44 | 3% | 68% | |
| 45 | 5% | 65% | |
| 46 | 53% | 60% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 7% | |
| 48 | 4% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 24% | 96% | |
| 35 | 56% | 71% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 15% | |
| 37 | 11% | 12% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 56% | 98.8% | Median |
| 24 | 25% | 42% | |
| 25 | 4% | 17% | |
| 26 | 8% | 13% | |
| 27 | 4% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 22 | 29% | 94% | |
| 23 | 5% | 65% | |
| 24 | 55% | 60% | Median |
| 25 | 6% | 6% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 16 | 8% | 98% | |
| 17 | 81% | 90% | Median |
| 18 | 4% | 9% | |
| 19 | 5% | 5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 20–21 August 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 1.69%