Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 10–11 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 24.6% | 23.6–25.6% | 23.3–25.9% | 23.1–26.2% | 22.6–26.7% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 39 | 38–42 | 38–42 | 38–42 | 37–42 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 3–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 19% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 64% | 80% | Median |
| 40 | 0.2% | 16% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 42 | 15% | 15% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 15% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 8% | 85% | |
| 19 | 11% | 76% | |
| 20 | 65% | 65% | Median |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 15 | 64% | 99.6% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 36% | |
| 17 | 5% | 16% | Last Result |
| 18 | 11% | 11% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 79% | 99.9% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 21% | |
| 12 | 5% | 9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 9 | 20% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 10 | 78% | 79% | Median |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 8 | 16% | 96% | Last Result |
| 9 | 79% | 79% | Median |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 11% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 8 | 68% | 89% | Median |
| 9 | 20% | 21% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 94% | 99.8% | Median |
| 6 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 20% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 6 | 75% | 80% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 68% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 31% | 31% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 5 | 16% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 87% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 13% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 64% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 36% | 36% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16% | 100% | |
| 3 | 20% | 84% | Last Result |
| 4 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 76% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 24% | 24% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 80 | 100% | 79–80 | 79–81 | 79–81 | 79–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 79 | 96% | 77–79 | 77–79 | 74–79 | 74–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 65 | 0% | 65–71 | 65–71 | 65–71 | 65–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 70 | 0% | 68–70 | 68–70 | 68–70 | 66–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 69 | 0% | 68–69 | 68–69 | 68–69 | 66–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 63 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–68 | 63–68 | 63–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 64 | 0% | 62–64 | 62–64 | 61–64 | 61–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 59–63 | 59–63 | 59–63 | 58–63 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 60 | 0% | 55–60 | 55–60 | 55–60 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 54 | 0% | 54–57 | 54–57 | 54–57 | 53–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–55 | 50–55 | 50–55 | 50–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 50 | 0% | 50–55 | 50–55 | 50–55 | 50–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 49 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–52 | 49–52 | 47–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 48–52 | 48–52 | 47–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 48–52 | 48–52 | 47–52 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 50 | 0% | 45–50 | 45–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 44 | 0% | 43–47 | 43–47 | 43–47 | 43–47 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 35 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 32–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 25 | 0% | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 22–26 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 21 | 0% | 20–22 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 20–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 15 | 0% | 15–16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 79 | 27% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 68% | 73% | Median |
| 81 | 4% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 4% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0% | 96% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 30% | 95% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 65% | |
| 79 | 64% | 65% | Median |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 63% | 99.9% | Median |
| 66 | 0.6% | 37% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 36% | |
| 68 | 9% | 36% | |
| 69 | 12% | 27% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 71 | 15% | 15% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 19% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 16% | 80% | |
| 70 | 64% | 65% | Median |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 68 | 16% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 83% | 84% | Median |
| 70 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 64% | 99.9% | Median |
| 64 | 0.1% | 36% | |
| 65 | 9% | 36% | |
| 66 | 12% | 27% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 68 | 15% | 15% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 11% | 96% | |
| 63 | 5% | 84% | |
| 64 | 78% | 80% | Median |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 64% | 99.5% | Median |
| 60 | 4% | 36% | |
| 61 | 16% | 32% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 16% | |
| 63 | 15% | 15% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 15% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 57 | 0% | 85% | |
| 58 | 4% | 85% | |
| 59 | 12% | 81% | |
| 60 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 74% | 99.3% | Median |
| 55 | 0.1% | 25% | |
| 56 | 4% | 25% | |
| 57 | 20% | 20% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 64% | 99.7% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 36% | |
| 52 | 5% | 21% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 55 | 15% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 64% | 99.7% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 36% | |
| 52 | 5% | 21% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 55 | 15% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 75% | 99.2% | Median |
| 50 | 5% | 25% | |
| 51 | 4% | 20% | |
| 52 | 16% | 16% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 79% | 99.4% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 21% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 52 | 15% | 15% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 79% | 99.4% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 21% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 16% | |
| 52 | 15% | 15% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 15% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 49 | 4% | 85% | |
| 50 | 75% | 80% | Median |
| 51 | 4% | 5% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 15% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 64% | 84% | Median |
| 45 | 5% | 21% | |
| 46 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 47 | 15% | 15% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 15% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 85% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 85% | |
| 35 | 75% | 85% | Median |
| 36 | 4% | 10% | |
| 37 | 5% | 6% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 22 | 15% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 4% | 85% | |
| 24 | 11% | 81% | |
| 25 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 15% | 100% | |
| 21 | 64% | 85% | Median |
| 22 | 11% | 21% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 10% | |
| 24 | 5% | 9% | |
| 25 | 4% | 4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 79% | 100% | Median |
| 16 | 11% | 21% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 18 | 5% | 9% | |
| 19 | 4% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–11 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%