Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 10–13 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
20.4% |
19.4–21.6% |
19.1–21.9% |
18.8–22.2% |
18.3–22.7% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
11.8% |
11.0–12.8% |
10.7–13.0% |
10.5–13.2% |
10.2–13.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
10.3% |
9.5–11.2% |
9.3–11.5% |
9.1–11.7% |
8.8–12.1% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.7% |
7.0–8.5% |
6.8–8.7% |
6.7–8.9% |
6.3–9.3% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
6.8% |
6.1–7.5% |
6.0–7.7% |
5.8–7.9% |
5.5–8.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
6.1% |
5.5–6.8% |
5.3–7.0% |
5.2–7.2% |
4.9–7.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.2% |
4.6–5.9% |
4.5–6.1% |
4.4–6.2% |
4.1–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.8% |
4.3–5.4% |
4.1–5.6% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.7–6.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–6.0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
4.3% |
3.8–4.9% |
3.6–5.1% |
3.5–5.2% |
3.3–5.5% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.9% |
3.4–4.5% |
3.3–4.6% |
3.2–4.8% |
2.9–5.1% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
3.5% |
3.0–4.1% |
2.9–4.2% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
3.0% |
2.6–3.5% |
2.5–3.7% |
2.3–3.8% |
2.2–4.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.9–2.7% |
1.8–2.8% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.2% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
1.6% |
1.3–2.0% |
1.2–2.1% |
1.1–2.2% |
1.0–2.4% |
DENK |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.8–1.3% |
0.7–1.4% |
0.7–1.5% |
0.6–1.7% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.6% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.4–0.9% |
0.3–1.0% |
0.3–1.2% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.4% |
0.3–0.7% |
0.2–0.7% |
0.2–0.8% |
0.2–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
31 |
97% |
99.2% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
22 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
2% |
98% |
Last Result |
18 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
98% |
99.4% |
Median |
12 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.9% |
98.7% |
|
11 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
98.7% |
100% |
Median |
9 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
97% |
99.3% |
Median |
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
97% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
97% |
99.6% |
Median |
7 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
6 |
98.5% |
99.7% |
Median |
7 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
97% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
7 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
5 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
97% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
5 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
98% |
99.9% |
Median |
2 |
2% |
2% |
|
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
98% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
1 |
2% |
2% |
|
2 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.2% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
87 |
77 |
98% |
77 |
77 |
77 |
72–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
86 |
77 |
97% |
77 |
77 |
75–77 |
71–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
78 |
66 |
0% |
66 |
66 |
66 |
61–66 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
70 |
65 |
0% |
65 |
65 |
65 |
60–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
64 |
0% |
64 |
64 |
60–64 |
57–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
61 |
0% |
61 |
61 |
61 |
60–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
59 |
0% |
59 |
59 |
59 |
56–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
59 |
0% |
59 |
59 |
57–59 |
53–59 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
57 |
0% |
57 |
57 |
55–57 |
51–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
55 |
0% |
55 |
55 |
55 |
51–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
48 |
0% |
48 |
48 |
48–49 |
47–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
43 |
0% |
43 |
43 |
43–45 |
43–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
43 |
0% |
43 |
43 |
43–44 |
43–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
42 |
0% |
42 |
42 |
42 |
40–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
41 |
0% |
41 |
41 |
41–42 |
39–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
41 |
0% |
41 |
41 |
41–42 |
39–45 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
39 |
0% |
39 |
39 |
36–39 |
32–39 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
37 |
0% |
37 |
37 |
37 |
35–40 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
28 |
0% |
28 |
28 |
25–28 |
22–28 |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
29 |
24 |
0% |
24 |
24 |
24–25 |
24–28 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
17 |
0% |
17 |
17 |
17–18 |
17–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
98% |
Majority |
77 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
78 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
98.7% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
78 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
64 |
0% |
98% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
66 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
67 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
98% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
97% |
98% |
Median |
66 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
98.8% |
|
60 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
61 |
0% |
97% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
64 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
65 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
61 |
97% |
98.9% |
Median |
62 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
59 |
97% |
98.5% |
Median |
60 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
98.7% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
59 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
60 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
98.8% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
57 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
58 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
55 |
97% |
98.5% |
Median |
56 |
0% |
2% |
|
57 |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
97% |
99.3% |
Median |
49 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
50 |
0% |
2% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
43 |
97% |
99.6% |
Median |
44 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
97% |
99.6% |
Median |
44 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
46 |
2% |
2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
48 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
97% |
99.2% |
Median |
43 |
1.3% |
2% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
97% |
99.3% |
Median |
42 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
97% |
99.3% |
Median |
42 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
33 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
37 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
39 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
40 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
37 |
97% |
99.1% |
Median |
38 |
0% |
2% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
40 |
2% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
28 |
97% |
97% |
Median |
29 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
24 |
97% |
99.6% |
Median |
25 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
28 |
2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
97% |
99.6% |
Median |
18 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–13 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2207
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 2.38%