Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 10–13 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 20.4% | 19.4–21.6% | 19.1–21.9% | 18.8–22.2% | 18.3–22.7% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.8% | 11.0–12.8% | 10.7–13.0% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.2–13.7% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5–11.2% | 9.3–11.5% | 9.1–11.7% | 8.8–12.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.3–9.3% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1–7.5% | 6.0–7.7% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.5–8.3% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.2–7.2% | 4.9–7.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.3% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.6–5.1% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.3–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9–2.7% | 1.8–2.8% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.5–3.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3–2.0% | 1.2–2.1% | 1.1–2.2% | 1.0–2.4% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.3% | 0.7–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.7% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3–0.7% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.2–0.8% | 0.2–0.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 28–32 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 18–22 | 16–22 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17–18 | 15–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10–12 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7–9 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 97% | 99.2% | Median |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 22 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 18 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 98% | 99.4% | Median |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 11 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 98.7% | 100% | Median |
| 9 | 0.3% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 97% | 99.3% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 97% | 99.7% | Median |
| 8 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 97% | 99.6% | Median |
| 7 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 98.5% | 99.7% | Median |
| 7 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 97% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 97% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 98% | 99.9% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.8% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 77 | 98% | 77 | 77 | 77 | 72–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 77 | 97% | 77 | 77 | 75–77 | 71–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 66 | 0% | 66 | 66 | 66 | 61–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 65 | 0% | 65 | 65 | 65 | 60–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 64 | 0% | 64 | 64 | 60–64 | 57–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 61 | 0% | 61 | 61 | 61 | 60–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 59 | 0% | 59 | 59 | 59 | 56–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 59 | 0% | 59 | 59 | 57–59 | 53–59 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57 | 55–57 | 51–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 55 | 0% | 55 | 55 | 55 | 51–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 48 | 0% | 48 | 48 | 48–49 | 47–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 43 | 0% | 43 | 43 | 43–45 | 43–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 43 | 0% | 43 | 43 | 43–44 | 43–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 42 | 0% | 42 | 42 | 42 | 40–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 41 | 41–42 | 39–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 41 | 41–42 | 39–45 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 39 | 0% | 39 | 39 | 36–39 | 32–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 37 | 0% | 37 | 37 | 37 | 35–40 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 28 | 0% | 28 | 28 | 25–28 | 22–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 24 | 0% | 24 | 24 | 24–25 | 24–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 17 | 17 | 17–18 | 17–20 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 97% | Majority |
| 77 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 78 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 99.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 97% | 98% | Median |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98.8% | |
| 61 | 0% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 97% | 98.9% | Median |
| 62 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 97% | 98.5% | Median |
| 60 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 98.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 59 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 60 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 58 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 97% | 98.5% | Median |
| 56 | 0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 97% | 99.3% | Median |
| 49 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 2% | |
| 51 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 43 | 97% | 99.6% | Median |
| 44 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 97% | 99.6% | Median |
| 44 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 2% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 97% | 99.2% | Median |
| 43 | 1.3% | 2% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 97% | 99.3% | Median |
| 42 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 97% | 99.3% | Median |
| 42 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 40 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 97% | 99.1% | Median |
| 38 | 0% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 28 | 97% | 97% | Median |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24 | 97% | 99.6% | Median |
| 25 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 97% | 99.6% | Median |
| 18 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10–13 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2207
- Simulations done: 131,072
- Error estimate: 2.38%