Opinion Poll by Kantar, 17–20 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.6–24.6% | 18.8–25.5% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.7–15.2% | 11.4–15.5% | 10.8–16.2% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.7–15.2% | 11.4–15.5% | 10.8–16.2% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.6% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.3–1.4% | 0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 31 | 31–33 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 30–35 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 21 | 21–22 | 21–22 | 20–22 | 18–26 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 19 | 18–21 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–23 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 9–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–12 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 5 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 84% | 99.4% | Median |
| 32 | 2% | 15% | |
| 33 | 3% | 13% | |
| 34 | 9% | 9% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 20 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 21 | 51% | 95% | Median |
| 22 | 42% | 44% | |
| 23 | 0% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 2% | |
| 26 | 2% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 18 | 42% | 99.4% | |
| 19 | 44% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 21 | 3% | 13% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 23 | 9% | 9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 12 | 12% | 97% | |
| 13 | 84% | 84% | Median |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 43% | 91% | Median |
| 9 | 43% | 49% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 44% | 99.5% | |
| 6 | 9% | 55% | Median |
| 7 | 3% | 46% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 43% | |
| 9 | 42% | 42% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 4% | 91% | |
| 8 | 44% | 87% | Median |
| 9 | 43% | 43% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 52% | 99.9% | Median |
| 6 | 0.7% | 48% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 47% | |
| 8 | 46% | 47% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 14% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 6 | 42% | 86% | Median |
| 7 | 43% | 44% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 56% | 99.4% | Median |
| 6 | 0.1% | 43% | Last Result |
| 7 | 43% | 43% | |
| 8 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 42% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 57% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 5 | 43% | 99.2% | |
| 6 | 48% | 56% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 4 | 55% | 97% | Median |
| 5 | 0.1% | 42% | |
| 6 | 42% | 42% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 54% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 56% | 99.0% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 42% | 43% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 3% | 46% | Last Result |
| 2 | 42% | 43% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 88% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 1.5% | 12% | Last Result |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 77 | 55% | 75–78 | 75–80 | 75–80 | 72–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 73 | 4% | 70–75 | 70–75 | 70–76 | 70–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 67 | 0% | 67–68 | 67–68 | 66–68 | 63–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 64 | 0% | 62–66 | 62–68 | 62–68 | 61–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 65 | 0% | 64–65 | 64–65 | 64–65 | 60–66 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 60 | 0% | 59–64 | 59–64 | 59–64 | 58–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 58 | 0% | 58–64 | 58–64 | 58–64 | 58–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 58 | 0% | 55–61 | 55–63 | 55–63 | 55–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 61 | 0% | 58–61 | 58–61 | 58–61 | 57–63 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 53 | 0% | 52–55 | 52–55 | 52–55 | 50–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 47 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 44–50 | 44–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 47 | 0% | 45–48 | 45–48 | 44–48 | 44–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 46 | 0% | 45–46 | 45–47 | 44–47 | 43–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 44 | 0% | 42–46 | 42–46 | 42–46 | 41–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 44 | 0% | 42–44 | 42–44 | 42–44 | 40–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 40 | 0% | 39–41 | 39–42 | 39–43 | 38–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 40 | 0% | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–41 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 36 | 0% | 32–36 | 32–36 | 32–38 | 32–39 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 27 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–29 | 24–29 | 24–29 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 20 | 0% | 20–24 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 18–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 13 | 0% | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 98% | |
| 74 | 0% | 98% | |
| 75 | 42% | 98% | Median |
| 76 | 0.5% | 55% | Majority |
| 77 | 42% | 55% | |
| 78 | 3% | 12% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 9% | |
| 80 | 9% | 9% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 42% | 99.9% | Median |
| 71 | 2% | 58% | |
| 72 | 0% | 56% | |
| 73 | 42% | 56% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 75 | 9% | 13% | |
| 76 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98.9% | Median |
| 66 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 67 | 84% | 95% | |
| 68 | 9% | 11% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 42% | 98% | Median |
| 63 | 0.1% | 56% | |
| 64 | 42% | 56% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 13% | |
| 66 | 3% | 13% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 68 | 8% | 9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.3% | Median |
| 63 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 45% | 98% | |
| 65 | 51% | 53% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 9% | 98% | |
| 60 | 43% | 89% | Median |
| 61 | 0.6% | 47% | |
| 62 | 3% | 46% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 43% | |
| 64 | 42% | 42% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 84% | 99.6% | Median |
| 59 | 0.1% | 16% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 16% | |
| 61 | 2% | 15% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 13% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 64 | 11% | 13% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 42% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 0.5% | 56% | |
| 58 | 42% | 55% | |
| 59 | 0% | 13% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 13% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 63 | 9% | 9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 43% | 99.4% | Median |
| 59 | 0.5% | 57% | |
| 60 | 4% | 56% | |
| 61 | 51% | 53% | |
| 62 | 0% | 2% | |
| 63 | 2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 42% | 98% | Median |
| 53 | 9% | 56% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 47% | |
| 55 | 45% | 46% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 42% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 58% | Median |
| 46 | 0.3% | 58% | |
| 47 | 11% | 58% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 47% | |
| 49 | 42% | 47% | |
| 50 | 4% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 2% | 99.7% | Median |
| 45 | 42% | 97% | |
| 46 | 4% | 55% | |
| 47 | 9% | 52% | |
| 48 | 42% | 43% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 98% | Median |
| 45 | 43% | 97% | |
| 46 | 45% | 55% | |
| 47 | 9% | 9% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.7% | Median |
| 42 | 42% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 44 | 12% | 55% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 43% | |
| 46 | 42% | 43% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 98% | Median |
| 42 | 43% | 98% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 54% | |
| 44 | 54% | 54% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 42% | 99.5% | Median |
| 40 | 42% | 57% | |
| 41 | 9% | 15% | |
| 42 | 2% | 6% | |
| 43 | 3% | 5% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 42% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 58% | Median |
| 38 | 0.9% | 56% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 55% | |
| 40 | 54% | 54% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 42% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 58% | Median |
| 34 | 3% | 58% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 36 | 51% | 55% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 38 | 3% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 44% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 0.4% | 55% | |
| 27 | 43% | 55% | |
| 28 | 3% | 12% | |
| 29 | 9% | 9% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 8% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 20 | 44% | 91% | Median |
| 21 | 0.8% | 48% | |
| 22 | 3% | 47% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 44% | |
| 24 | 42% | 43% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 51% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 49% | Median |
| 15 | 2% | 49% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 47% | |
| 17 | 3% | 46% | |
| 18 | 42% | 43% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–20 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1037
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%