Opinion Poll by Kantar, 17–20 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
22.0% |
20.4–23.7% |
20.0–24.2% |
19.6–24.6% |
18.8–25.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
13.3% |
12.0–14.8% |
11.7–15.2% |
11.4–15.5% |
10.8–16.2% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
13.3% |
12.0–14.8% |
11.7–15.2% |
11.4–15.5% |
10.8–16.2% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.9–9.1% |
5.5–9.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.8% |
3.1–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.6% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.4–1.1% |
0.4–1.3% |
0.3–1.4% |
0.2–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
84% |
99.4% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
15% |
|
33 |
3% |
13% |
|
34 |
9% |
9% |
Last Result |
35 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
20 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
21 |
51% |
95% |
Median |
22 |
42% |
44% |
|
23 |
0% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
25 |
0% |
2% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
18 |
42% |
99.4% |
|
19 |
44% |
57% |
Median |
20 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
21 |
3% |
13% |
|
22 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
23 |
9% |
9% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
99.2% |
|
11 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
12 |
12% |
97% |
|
13 |
84% |
84% |
Median |
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
9% |
100% |
|
8 |
43% |
91% |
Median |
9 |
43% |
49% |
Last Result |
10 |
5% |
6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
5 |
44% |
99.5% |
|
6 |
9% |
55% |
Median |
7 |
3% |
46% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
43% |
|
9 |
42% |
42% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
4% |
91% |
|
8 |
44% |
87% |
Median |
9 |
43% |
43% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
52% |
99.9% |
Median |
6 |
0.7% |
48% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
47% |
|
8 |
46% |
47% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
14% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
42% |
86% |
Median |
7 |
43% |
44% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
5 |
56% |
99.4% |
Median |
6 |
0.1% |
43% |
Last Result |
7 |
43% |
43% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
42% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
57% |
58% |
Median |
7 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
5 |
43% |
99.2% |
|
6 |
48% |
56% |
Median |
7 |
9% |
9% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
4 |
55% |
97% |
Median |
5 |
0.1% |
42% |
|
6 |
42% |
42% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
46% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
54% |
54% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
56% |
99.0% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
42% |
43% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
54% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
3% |
46% |
Last Result |
2 |
42% |
43% |
|
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
88% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
1.5% |
12% |
Last Result |
2 |
10% |
10% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
86 |
77 |
55% |
75–78 |
75–80 |
75–80 |
72–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
73 |
4% |
70–75 |
70–75 |
70–76 |
70–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
67 |
0% |
67–68 |
67–68 |
66–68 |
63–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
64 |
0% |
62–66 |
62–68 |
62–68 |
61–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
65 |
0% |
64–65 |
64–65 |
64–65 |
60–66 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
60 |
0% |
59–64 |
59–64 |
59–64 |
58–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
58 |
0% |
58–64 |
58–64 |
58–64 |
58–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
58 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–63 |
55–63 |
55–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
61 |
0% |
58–61 |
58–61 |
58–61 |
57–63 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
61 |
53 |
0% |
52–55 |
52–55 |
52–55 |
50–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
47 |
0% |
44–49 |
44–49 |
44–50 |
44–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
47 |
0% |
45–48 |
45–48 |
44–48 |
44–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
46 |
0% |
45–46 |
45–47 |
44–47 |
43–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
44 |
0% |
42–46 |
42–46 |
42–46 |
41–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
44 |
0% |
42–44 |
42–44 |
42–44 |
40–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
40 |
0% |
39–41 |
39–42 |
39–43 |
38–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
40 |
0% |
36–40 |
36–40 |
36–40 |
36–41 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
36 |
0% |
32–36 |
32–36 |
32–38 |
32–39 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
27 |
0% |
24–28 |
24–29 |
24–29 |
24–29 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
20 |
0% |
20–24 |
18–24 |
18–24 |
18–25 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
13 |
0% |
13–18 |
13–18 |
13–18 |
13–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
98% |
|
74 |
0% |
98% |
|
75 |
42% |
98% |
Median |
76 |
0.5% |
55% |
Majority |
77 |
42% |
55% |
|
78 |
3% |
12% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
80 |
9% |
9% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
42% |
99.9% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
58% |
|
72 |
0% |
56% |
|
73 |
42% |
56% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
14% |
|
75 |
9% |
13% |
|
76 |
3% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
98.9% |
Median |
66 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
67 |
84% |
95% |
|
68 |
9% |
11% |
|
69 |
2% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
62 |
42% |
98% |
Median |
63 |
0.1% |
56% |
|
64 |
42% |
56% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
66 |
3% |
13% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
68 |
8% |
9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
99.3% |
Median |
63 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
64 |
45% |
98% |
|
65 |
51% |
53% |
|
66 |
2% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
9% |
98% |
|
60 |
43% |
89% |
Median |
61 |
0.6% |
47% |
|
62 |
3% |
46% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
43% |
|
64 |
42% |
42% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
84% |
99.6% |
Median |
59 |
0.1% |
16% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
16% |
|
61 |
2% |
15% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
13% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
13% |
|
64 |
11% |
13% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
1.1% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
Last Result |
68 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
42% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
2% |
57% |
Median |
57 |
0.5% |
56% |
|
58 |
42% |
55% |
|
59 |
0% |
13% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
13% |
|
61 |
3% |
13% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
63 |
9% |
9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
43% |
99.4% |
Median |
59 |
0.5% |
57% |
|
60 |
4% |
56% |
|
61 |
51% |
53% |
|
62 |
0% |
2% |
|
63 |
2% |
2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
52 |
42% |
98% |
Median |
53 |
9% |
56% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
47% |
|
55 |
45% |
46% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
42% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
58% |
Median |
46 |
0.3% |
58% |
|
47 |
11% |
58% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
47% |
|
49 |
42% |
47% |
|
50 |
4% |
4% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
44 |
2% |
99.7% |
Median |
45 |
42% |
97% |
|
46 |
4% |
55% |
|
47 |
9% |
52% |
|
48 |
42% |
43% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
43 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
98% |
Median |
45 |
43% |
97% |
|
46 |
45% |
55% |
|
47 |
9% |
9% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.7% |
Median |
42 |
42% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
55% |
|
44 |
12% |
55% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
43% |
|
46 |
42% |
43% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
98% |
Median |
42 |
43% |
98% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
54% |
|
44 |
54% |
54% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
42% |
99.5% |
Median |
40 |
42% |
57% |
|
41 |
9% |
15% |
|
42 |
2% |
6% |
|
43 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
42% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
2% |
58% |
Median |
38 |
0.9% |
56% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
55% |
|
40 |
54% |
54% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
42% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
58% |
Median |
34 |
3% |
58% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
55% |
|
36 |
51% |
55% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
38 |
3% |
4% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
44% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
56% |
Median |
26 |
0.4% |
55% |
|
27 |
43% |
55% |
|
28 |
3% |
12% |
|
29 |
9% |
9% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
8% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
92% |
|
20 |
44% |
91% |
Median |
21 |
0.8% |
48% |
|
22 |
3% |
47% |
|
23 |
0.6% |
44% |
|
24 |
42% |
43% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
51% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
49% |
Median |
15 |
2% |
49% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
47% |
|
17 |
3% |
46% |
|
18 |
42% |
43% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–20 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1037
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.45%