Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 24–25 September 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 23.3% | 22.3–24.3% | 22.0–24.6% | 21.8–24.8% | 21.3–25.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 36 | 36–37 | 35–38 | 33–38 | 33–39 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 19 | 19–20 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 17–22 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 17 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 17–18 | 15–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–13 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 35 | 2% | 95% | |
| 36 | 67% | 93% | Median |
| 37 | 19% | 26% | |
| 38 | 6% | 6% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 19 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 20 | 14% | 22% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 22 | 8% | 8% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 84% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 18 | 13% | 14% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 81% | 88% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 9% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 75% | 91% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 16% | |
| 11 | 12% | 13% | |
| 12 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8% | 100% | |
| 8 | 7% | 92% | |
| 9 | 69% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 2% | 16% | |
| 11 | 12% | 14% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 79% | 99.7% | Median |
| 7 | 12% | 20% | |
| 8 | 7% | 9% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 13% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 11% | 87% | |
| 8 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 18% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 3% | 81% | |
| 8 | 5% | 78% | |
| 9 | 8% | 74% | |
| 10 | 66% | 66% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 9% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 87% | 91% | Median |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 91% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 9% | |
| 7 | 7% | 7% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 11% | 100% | |
| 5 | 14% | 89% | |
| 6 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 84% | 99.6% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 14% | 16% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 77% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 17% | 23% | Last Result |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 96% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | |
| 1 | 80% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 77 | 96% | 77–80 | 77–81 | 73–81 | 73–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 76 | 95% | 76–79 | 76–79 | 72–79 | 72–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 67 | 0% | 65–69 | 65–71 | 64–71 | 64–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 67 | 0% | 67–70 | 66–71 | 62–71 | 62–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 65 | 0% | 65–67 | 65–69 | 62–69 | 62–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 65 | 0% | 63–66 | 63–67 | 61–67 | 61–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 61 | 0% | 61–63 | 59–63 | 56–63 | 55–63 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 59 | 0% | 59–62 | 59–62 | 59–62 | 59–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 58–60 | 57–61 | 54–61 | 54–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 52 | 0% | 51–52 | 51–54 | 48–54 | 48–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 47–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 50 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 47–54 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–52 | 50–52 | 50–53 | 49–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 48 | 0% | 46–48 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 44–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 57 | 48 | 0% | 46–48 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 44–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 46 | 0% | 46–47 | 45–48 | 44–48 | 44–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 42 | 0% | 41–42 | 40–44 | 37–44 | 37–44 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 35 | 0% | 34–36 | 34–36 | 33–36 | 33–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 25 | 0% | 25 | 24–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 22 | 0% | 20–22 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 20–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–18 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 4% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 96% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 76 | 0% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 78% | 96% | Median |
| 78 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 80 | 10% | 16% | |
| 81 | 5% | 6% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 3% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 76 | 67% | 95% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 1.0% | 28% | |
| 78 | 3% | 27% | |
| 79 | 24% | 25% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 64 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 9% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 88% | |
| 67 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 68 | 0.5% | 18% | |
| 69 | 12% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0% | 6% | |
| 71 | 6% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 4% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 96% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 67% | 95% | Median |
| 68 | 12% | 28% | |
| 69 | 2% | 17% | |
| 70 | 10% | 15% | |
| 71 | 6% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 4% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 65 | 68% | 96% | Median |
| 66 | 12% | 27% | |
| 67 | 6% | 15% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 69 | 8% | 9% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 63 | 10% | 96% | |
| 64 | 2% | 86% | |
| 65 | 67% | 84% | Median |
| 66 | 12% | 18% | |
| 67 | 5% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 57 | 0% | 96% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 68% | 94% | Median |
| 62 | 13% | 26% | |
| 63 | 13% | 13% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 80% | 99.7% | Median |
| 60 | 0.9% | 19% | |
| 61 | 2% | 19% | |
| 62 | 16% | 17% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 10% | 94% | |
| 59 | 67% | 84% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 18% | |
| 61 | 6% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 3% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 97% | |
| 50 | 2% | 97% | |
| 51 | 21% | 96% | |
| 52 | 67% | 74% | Median |
| 53 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 54 | 6% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 8% | 96% | |
| 49 | 2% | 87% | |
| 50 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 51 | 13% | 19% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 6% | |
| 54 | 5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 8% | 96% | |
| 49 | 2% | 87% | |
| 50 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 51 | 13% | 19% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 6% | |
| 54 | 5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 69% | 99.4% | Median |
| 51 | 20% | 31% | |
| 52 | 8% | 11% | |
| 53 | 2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 8% | 95% | |
| 47 | 2% | 87% | |
| 48 | 78% | 85% | Median |
| 49 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 50 | 6% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 97% | |
| 46 | 8% | 95% | |
| 47 | 2% | 87% | |
| 48 | 78% | 85% | Median |
| 49 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 50 | 6% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 3% | 97% | |
| 46 | 79% | 94% | Median |
| 47 | 8% | 15% | |
| 48 | 6% | 7% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 3% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 39 | 2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 41 | 10% | 94% | |
| 42 | 79% | 85% | Median |
| 43 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 44 | 6% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 4% | 100% | |
| 34 | 12% | 96% | |
| 35 | 73% | 84% | Median |
| 36 | 10% | 11% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 95% | |
| 25 | 84% | 94% | Median |
| 26 | 10% | 10% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 11% | 100% | |
| 21 | 8% | 89% | |
| 22 | 71% | 81% | Median |
| 23 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 24 | 7% | 9% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 19% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 81% | |
| 16 | 75% | 77% | Median |
| 17 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 24–25 September 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%