Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 8–11 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 21.2% | 20.1–22.4% | 19.8–22.7% | 19.5–23.0% | 18.9–23.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9–10.6% | 8.7–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.1–11.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 9.3% | 8.5–10.2% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.8–11.1% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.5% | 5.9–8.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4–7.9% | 6.2–8.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.8–8.7% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.6% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4–3.3% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.1–3.6% | 2.0–3.9% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.4–1.1% | 0.3–1.3% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4–0.9% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.3–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.8% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.2–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 32 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 28–37 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 11 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| DENK | 3 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 7% | 98% | |
| 31 | 10% | 91% | |
| 32 | 41% | 81% | Median |
| 33 | 8% | 40% | |
| 34 | 12% | 32% | Last Result |
| 35 | 18% | 20% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 35% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 27% | 63% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 36% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 27% | |
| 17 | 23% | 26% | Last Result |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 16% | 95% | |
| 14 | 21% | 79% | |
| 15 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 16 | 42% | 43% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 9 | 7% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 93% | |
| 11 | 46% | 89% | Median |
| 12 | 4% | 43% | |
| 13 | 29% | 40% | |
| 14 | 11% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 11% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 10 | 17% | 89% | |
| 11 | 27% | 72% | Median |
| 12 | 38% | 44% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 49% | 99.0% | Median |
| 9 | 29% | 50% | Last Result |
| 10 | 20% | 21% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 25% | 89% | |
| 8 | 41% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 22% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 6 | 42% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 7 | 31% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 25% | |
| 9 | 12% | 13% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 34% | 97% | |
| 6 | 26% | 63% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 38% | |
| 8 | 2% | 13% | |
| 9 | 11% | 11% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 6 | 48% | 94% | Median |
| 7 | 43% | 46% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 35% | 96% | |
| 6 | 30% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 31% | |
| 8 | 25% | 28% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 20% | 100% | |
| 5 | 40% | 80% | Median |
| 6 | 29% | 40% | |
| 7 | 10% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 34% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 56% | 65% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 10% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 22% | 100% | |
| 3 | 27% | 78% | Last Result |
| 4 | 29% | 51% | Median |
| 5 | 22% | 22% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 1 | 58% | 99.5% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 42% | 42% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | |
| 1 | 66% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 79% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 16% | 16% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 71 | 15% | 68–76 | 67–76 | 66–76 | 66–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 71 | 0.1% | 69–75 | 67–75 | 67–75 | 67–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 62 | 0% | 58–68 | 58–68 | 58–68 | 58–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 58 | 0% | 56–64 | 55–65 | 54–65 | 54–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 60 | 0% | 57–63 | 56–63 | 55–63 | 55–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 59 | 0% | 56–63 | 54–63 | 54–63 | 54–63 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 59 | 0% | 56–62 | 55–62 | 55–62 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 53 | 0% | 51–59 | 50–60 | 49–60 | 49–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 53 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–57 | 48–57 | 48–58 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 50 | 0% | 47–53 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 45–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 50 | 0% | 48–53 | 46–53 | 46–53 | 46–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 47 | 0% | 44–51 | 44–51 | 44–51 | 44–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 47 | 0% | 44–51 | 44–51 | 44–51 | 44–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 43 | 0% | 42–48 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 43 | 0% | 42–48 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 43 | 0% | 41–47 | 41–47 | 40–47 | 39–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 38 | 0% | 37–43 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 35–43 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 32 | 0% | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–34 | 28–36 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 24 | 0% | 23–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 21 | 0% | 19–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 18 | 0% | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 5% | 93% | |
| 69 | 16% | 88% | |
| 70 | 8% | 72% | Median |
| 71 | 23% | 64% | |
| 72 | 5% | 41% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 37% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 36% | |
| 75 | 21% | 36% | |
| 76 | 15% | 15% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 2% | 92% | |
| 69 | 9% | 90% | |
| 70 | 21% | 82% | Median |
| 71 | 26% | 61% | |
| 72 | 11% | 34% | |
| 73 | 7% | 24% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 75 | 16% | 16% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 24% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 15% | 76% | |
| 60 | 5% | 61% | |
| 61 | 4% | 56% | Median |
| 62 | 6% | 51% | |
| 63 | 20% | 46% | |
| 64 | 11% | 26% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 15% | |
| 66 | 2% | 15% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 68 | 12% | 12% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 34% | 93% | |
| 57 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 58 | 23% | 51% | |
| 59 | 2% | 28% | |
| 60 | 11% | 26% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 15% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 15% | |
| 63 | 2% | 14% | |
| 64 | 2% | 12% | |
| 65 | 9% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 5% | 97% | |
| 57 | 6% | 92% | |
| 58 | 12% | 86% | |
| 59 | 5% | 74% | Median |
| 60 | 26% | 69% | |
| 61 | 17% | 43% | |
| 62 | 9% | 26% | |
| 63 | 15% | 17% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 56 | 16% | 94% | |
| 57 | 21% | 77% | |
| 58 | 5% | 56% | Median |
| 59 | 25% | 51% | |
| 60 | 3% | 25% | |
| 61 | 7% | 23% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 16% | |
| 63 | 15% | 15% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 8% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 7% | 91% | |
| 57 | 5% | 85% | Median |
| 58 | 12% | 80% | |
| 59 | 35% | 68% | |
| 60 | 4% | 33% | |
| 61 | 16% | 29% | |
| 62 | 12% | 12% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 97% | |
| 51 | 28% | 93% | |
| 52 | 14% | 65% | Median |
| 53 | 5% | 51% | |
| 54 | 20% | 46% | |
| 55 | 11% | 26% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 16% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 58 | 2% | 14% | |
| 59 | 2% | 11% | |
| 60 | 9% | 9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 3% | 100% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 94% | |
| 51 | 2% | 89% | |
| 52 | 13% | 86% | |
| 53 | 25% | 73% | Median |
| 54 | 15% | 48% | |
| 55 | 7% | 33% | |
| 56 | 10% | 26% | |
| 57 | 16% | 16% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 5% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 94% | |
| 48 | 9% | 88% | |
| 49 | 2% | 78% | Median |
| 50 | 32% | 76% | |
| 51 | 14% | 45% | |
| 52 | 14% | 31% | |
| 53 | 16% | 17% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 48 | 37% | 94% | |
| 49 | 6% | 57% | Median |
| 50 | 12% | 51% | |
| 51 | 6% | 39% | |
| 52 | 5% | 33% | |
| 53 | 27% | 28% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 26% | 100% | |
| 45 | 5% | 74% | |
| 46 | 5% | 69% | |
| 47 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 48 | 6% | 40% | |
| 49 | 2% | 34% | |
| 50 | 18% | 31% | |
| 51 | 12% | 13% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 26% | 100% | |
| 45 | 7% | 74% | |
| 46 | 14% | 67% | |
| 47 | 15% | 53% | Median |
| 48 | 6% | 39% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 32% | |
| 50 | 18% | 31% | |
| 51 | 12% | 13% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 30% | 95% | |
| 43 | 15% | 64% | Median |
| 44 | 15% | 50% | |
| 45 | 21% | 34% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 47 | 3% | 13% | |
| 48 | 9% | 11% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 3% | 96% | |
| 42 | 30% | 93% | |
| 43 | 26% | 63% | Median |
| 44 | 3% | 37% | |
| 45 | 21% | 34% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 47 | 2% | 13% | |
| 48 | 9% | 11% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 11% | 95% | |
| 42 | 3% | 84% | |
| 43 | 35% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 44 | 19% | 46% | |
| 45 | 5% | 28% | |
| 46 | 3% | 22% | |
| 47 | 18% | 19% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 6% | 96% | |
| 37 | 27% | 90% | |
| 38 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 39 | 15% | 50% | |
| 40 | 4% | 34% | |
| 41 | 19% | 30% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 11% | |
| 43 | 10% | 11% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 3% | 98% | |
| 30 | 6% | 96% | |
| 31 | 23% | 90% | |
| 32 | 32% | 67% | Median |
| 33 | 12% | 35% | |
| 34 | 20% | 22% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 22 | 2% | 97% | |
| 23 | 43% | 95% | Median |
| 24 | 25% | 52% | |
| 25 | 21% | 27% | |
| 26 | 4% | 5% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 5% | 96% | |
| 19 | 4% | 91% | |
| 20 | 11% | 87% | |
| 21 | 34% | 77% | Median |
| 22 | 38% | 42% | |
| 23 | 3% | 4% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 16 | 37% | 97% | |
| 17 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 18 | 25% | 50% | |
| 19 | 23% | 25% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–11 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2052
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%