Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 15–16 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 22.6% | 21.6–23.6% | 21.4–23.9% | 21.1–24.1% | 20.7–24.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7–8.0% | 6.6–8.1% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.1–8.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 36 | 34–36 | 34–37 | 33–38 | 33–38 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 18 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 16 | 16–17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 7% | 97% | Last Result |
| 35 | 9% | 90% | |
| 36 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 37 | 0% | 5% | |
| 38 | 5% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 82% | 93% | Median |
| 19 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 20 | 3% | 10% | |
| 21 | 7% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 76% | 99.6% | Median |
| 17 | 16% | 24% | |
| 18 | 7% | 7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 2% | 93% | |
| 11 | 90% | 92% | Median |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 9 | 82% | 99.6% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 17% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 95% | 99.5% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 87% | 95% | Median |
| 9 | 7% | 7% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 86% | 91% | Median |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 10% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 77% | 90% | Median |
| 7 | 6% | 13% | |
| 8 | 7% | 7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 90% | 99.7% | Median |
| 6 | 3% | 10% | |
| 7 | 5% | 7% | |
| 8 | 1.5% | 1.5% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 92% | 94% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 5 | 15% | 98% | |
| 6 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 94% | Last Result |
| 4 | 86% | 86% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 8% | 100% | |
| 3 | 84% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15% | 100% | |
| 1 | 85% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 74 | 12% | 73–76 | 71–76 | 71–77 | 70–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 72 | 0.1% | 72–75 | 72–75 | 71–75 | 69–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 68 | 0% | 68–69 | 65–69 | 65–69 | 64–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 64 | 0% | 64–65 | 62–66 | 62–67 | 61–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 63 | 0% | 62–65 | 62–66 | 62–66 | 59–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 63 | 0% | 62–63 | 61–65 | 61–66 | 60–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 58–60 | 57–60 | 57–60 | 57–60 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 56 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–60 | 56–60 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57–59 | 55–59 | 53–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 48–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–50 | 48–51 | 48–51 | 46–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 50 | 0% | 48–50 | 48–51 | 48–51 | 46–52 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 47 | 0% | 47–48 | 47–51 | 47–51 | 46–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 46 | 0% | 44–46 | 44–48 | 44–49 | 44–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 57 | 46 | 0% | 44–46 | 44–48 | 44–49 | 44–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 47 | 0% | 45–47 | 43–48 | 43–49 | 43–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 41 | 0% | 39–41 | 39–41 | 38–42 | 38–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 32 | 0% | 32–33 | 32–33 | 32–33 | 31–34 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 22 | 0% | 22 | 19–24 | 19–24 | 19–24 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 21 | 0% | 21–22 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 21–23 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 15–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–17 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 2% | 100% | |
| 71 | 7% | 98% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 91% | |
| 73 | 2% | 91% | |
| 74 | 77% | 89% | Median |
| 75 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 76 | 7% | 12% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 85% | 97% | Median |
| 73 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 12% | |
| 75 | 12% | 12% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 65 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 91% | |
| 68 | 77% | 91% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 14% | |
| 70 | 2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 62 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 92% | |
| 64 | 78% | 92% | Median |
| 65 | 7% | 14% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 5% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 76% | 88% | Median |
| 64 | 0% | 12% | |
| 65 | 7% | 12% | |
| 66 | 5% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 7% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 63 | 84% | 90% | Median |
| 64 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 66 | 5% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 4% | 92% | |
| 59 | 76% | 88% | Median |
| 60 | 12% | 12% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 56 | 82% | 99.4% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 17% | |
| 58 | 2% | 10% | |
| 59 | 0% | 8% | |
| 60 | 7% | 8% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 91% | 97% | Median |
| 58 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 59 | 5% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 8% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 50 | 2% | 91% | |
| 51 | 9% | 90% | |
| 52 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 53 | 5% | 5% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 16% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0% | 83% | |
| 50 | 76% | 82% | Median |
| 51 | 5% | 6% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 16% | 98% | |
| 49 | 0% | 83% | |
| 50 | 76% | 82% | Median |
| 51 | 5% | 6% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 83% | 98% | Median |
| 48 | 6% | 15% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 51 | 8% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 7% | 90% | |
| 46 | 76% | 83% | Median |
| 47 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 5% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 7% | 90% | |
| 46 | 76% | 83% | Median |
| 47 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 6% | |
| 49 | 5% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 45 | 2% | 91% | |
| 46 | 9% | 90% | |
| 47 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 48 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 49 | 5% | 5% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 7% | 97% | |
| 40 | 9% | 90% | |
| 41 | 76% | 81% | Median |
| 42 | 5% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 89% | 99.5% | Median |
| 33 | 9% | 11% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 7% | 100% | |
| 20 | 2% | 93% | |
| 21 | 2% | 92% | |
| 22 | 81% | 90% | Median |
| 23 | 0.2% | 9% | |
| 24 | 8% | 8% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 81% | 99.5% | Median |
| 22 | 12% | 19% | |
| 23 | 7% | 7% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 7% | 100% | |
| 15 | 7% | 93% | |
| 16 | 85% | 87% | Median |
| 17 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–16 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%