Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 29–30 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 22.6% | 21.6–23.6% | 21.4–23.9% | 21.1–24.1% | 20.7–24.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1–7.3% | 5.9–7.4% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.5–7.9% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 34 | 34–36 | 34–38 | 33–38 | 33–38 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 22 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 18 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 8–12 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–7 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 73% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 3% | 23% | |
| 36 | 13% | 21% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 8% | |
| 38 | 8% | 8% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 7% | 80% | |
| 22 | 73% | 73% | Median |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 74% | 99.6% | Median |
| 19 | 3% | 26% | |
| 20 | 23% | 23% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 85% | 88% | Median |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 80% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 16% | 20% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 97% | |
| 9 | 13% | 94% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 81% | |
| 11 | 80% | 80% | Median |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 86% | 100% | Median |
| 8 | 14% | 14% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 14% | 100% | |
| 7 | 73% | 86% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 13% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 88% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 12% | 12% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 88% | 99.7% | Median |
| 7 | 12% | 12% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 12% | 92% | |
| 5 | 4% | 80% | |
| 6 | 76% | 76% | Median |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 93% | 99.7% | Median |
| 5 | 5% | 7% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 22% | 100% | |
| 3 | 78% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11% | 100% | |
| 3 | 89% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 15% | 16% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.2% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 74 | 22% | 74–76 | 74–77 | 74–77 | 73–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 71 | 3% | 71–75 | 71–75 | 71–76 | 71–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 70 | 0% | 67–70 | 67–70 | 67–70 | 67–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 63 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–68 | 63–68 | 62–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 67 | 0% | 65–67 | 65–67 | 64–67 | 64–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 63 | 0% | 63–65 | 63–67 | 63–67 | 63–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 62 | 0% | 60–62 | 60–62 | 60–62 | 60–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 58 | 0% | 58–60 | 58–61 | 58–61 | 57–61 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 55 | 0% | 55–56 | 55–58 | 55–61 | 53–61 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 48 | 0% | 48–49 | 47–50 | 47–53 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 51 | 0% | 51 | 50–51 | 49–52 | 49–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 48 | 0% | 47–48 | 47–48 | 46–48 | 46–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 48 | 0% | 47–48 | 47–48 | 46–48 | 46–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 45 | 0% | 45–47 | 45–48 | 43–48 | 43–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 45–46 | 43–46 | 43–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 45–46 | 43–46 | 43–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 40 | 0% | 40 | 40–41 | 39–41 | 39–41 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 35 | 0% | 35 | 33–36 | 33–36 | 31–36 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 24 | 0% | 24 | 23–24 | 23–26 | 22–26 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 22 | 0% | 20–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 15–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 73% | 98.6% | Median |
| 75 | 4% | 26% | |
| 76 | 14% | 22% | Majority |
| 77 | 8% | 8% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 73% | 99.7% | Median |
| 72 | 0.2% | 27% | |
| 73 | 3% | 27% | |
| 74 | 13% | 23% | |
| 75 | 8% | 11% | |
| 76 | 3% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 15% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 10% | 84% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 74% | |
| 70 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 71 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 76% | 98.6% | Median |
| 64 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 65 | 0% | 22% | |
| 66 | 3% | 22% | |
| 67 | 12% | 19% | Last Result |
| 68 | 8% | 8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 12% | 96% | |
| 66 | 10% | 84% | |
| 67 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 68 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 73% | 99.6% | Median |
| 64 | 3% | 27% | |
| 65 | 16% | 24% | |
| 66 | 0% | 8% | |
| 67 | 8% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 15% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 10% | 84% | |
| 62 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 73% | 99.5% | Median |
| 59 | 7% | 26% | |
| 60 | 12% | 20% | |
| 61 | 8% | 8% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 55 | 81% | 98.8% | Median |
| 56 | 12% | 18% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 6% | |
| 59 | 0% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 3% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 48 | 73% | 91% | Median |
| 49 | 12% | 18% | |
| 50 | 3% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 3% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 51 | 92% | 95% | Median |
| 52 | 3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 15% | 96% | |
| 48 | 80% | 82% | Median |
| 49 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 15% | 96% | |
| 48 | 80% | 82% | Median |
| 49 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 44 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 45 | 73% | 95% | Median |
| 46 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 47 | 14% | 22% | |
| 48 | 8% | 8% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 87% | 96% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 45 | 87% | 96% | Median |
| 46 | 9% | 9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 87% | 96% | Median |
| 41 | 9% | 9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 98.9% | |
| 33 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 91% | |
| 35 | 85% | 90% | Median |
| 36 | 6% | 6% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 9% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 87% | 91% | Median |
| 25 | 0% | 3% | |
| 26 | 3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 12% | 91% | |
| 21 | 0% | 79% | |
| 22 | 79% | 79% | Median |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 9% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 15 | 12% | 91% | |
| 16 | 4% | 79% | |
| 17 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29–30 October 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.40%