Opinion Poll by Kantar, 5–9 November 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.0–23.3% | 18.7–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.1% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 33 | 30–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 28–39 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 17–25 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 16 | 15–16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 12–20 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 6 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 7 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 25% | 99.2% | |
| 31 | 2% | 74% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 72% | |
| 33 | 48% | 72% | Median |
| 34 | 1.0% | 23% | Last Result |
| 35 | 2% | 22% | |
| 36 | 18% | 20% | |
| 37 | 0% | 3% | |
| 38 | 2% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17% | 100% | |
| 18 | 3% | 83% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 80% | |
| 20 | 34% | 79% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 46% | |
| 22 | 5% | 28% | |
| 23 | 23% | 24% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 25 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 16% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 74% | 83% | Median |
| 17 | 0.8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 5% | 8% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 72% | 99.7% | Median |
| 9 | 23% | 28% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 37% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 63% | Last Result |
| 9 | 42% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 20% | |
| 11 | 15% | 17% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 9 | 19% | 96% | Last Result |
| 10 | 53% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 1.1% | 24% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 13 | 22% | 22% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 59% | 99.8% | Median |
| 7 | 18% | 41% | |
| 8 | 4% | 23% | |
| 9 | 18% | 19% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 6 | 15% | 97% | Last Result |
| 7 | 3% | 82% | |
| 8 | 4% | 79% | |
| 9 | 75% | 75% | Median |
| 10 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 7 | 4% | 82% | |
| 8 | 26% | 78% | |
| 9 | 33% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 18% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 21% | 100% | |
| 5 | 25% | 79% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 54% | |
| 7 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 18% | Last Result |
| 9 | 15% | 15% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 18% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 27% | 82% | |
| 6 | 53% | 55% | Median |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 55% | 97% | Median |
| 6 | 23% | 42% | |
| 7 | 18% | 19% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 78% | 98.5% | Median |
| 5 | 1.2% | 21% | Last Result |
| 6 | 18% | 20% | |
| 7 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 99.5% | |
| 3 | 17% | 77% | Last Result |
| 4 | 59% | 59% | Median |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 46% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 53% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 77% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 17% | 19% | |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 59% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 39% | 40% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 87 | 75 | 47% | 75–78 | 75–79 | 72–82 | 72–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 86 | 74 | 41% | 72–77 | 72–78 | 72–80 | 72–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 65 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–69 | 65–73 | 62–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 68 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–71 | 63–72 | 63–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 64 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–68 | 59–70 | 59–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 61 | 0% | 61–62 | 61–65 | 61–69 | 58–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 63 | 0% | 63–66 | 62–66 | 59–66 | 58–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 57 | 0% | 54–61 | 54–62 | 54–65 | 54–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 60 | 0% | 55–63 | 55–63 | 55–63 | 55–67 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–57 | 49–57 | 49–57 | 49–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 53 | 0% | 48–55 | 48–55 | 48–56 | 46–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 58 | 51 | 0% | 50–55 | 50–55 | 46–56 | 46–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 52 | 0% | 47–53 | 47–53 | 47–54 | 46–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 49 | 0% | 44–52 | 44–52 | 44–54 | 44–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 48 | 0% | 43–50 | 43–50 | 43–52 | 43–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 41 | 0% | 38–45 | 38–45 | 38–47 | 38–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 43 | 0% | 42–46 | 42–46 | 37–46 | 37–48 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 48 | 38 | 0% | 36–44 | 36–44 | 36–44 | 36–44 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 28 | 0% | 26–31 | 26–31 | 26–33 | 26–35 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 29 | 22 | 0% | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–27 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 24 | 18 | 0% | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 75 | 48% | 96% | Median |
| 76 | 0.7% | 47% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.5% | 47% | |
| 78 | 40% | 46% | |
| 79 | 2% | 6% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 33% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 67% | |
| 74 | 23% | 67% | Median |
| 75 | 3% | 44% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 41% | Majority |
| 77 | 33% | 40% | |
| 78 | 4% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 3% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 65 | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 66 | 16% | 41% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 25% | |
| 68 | 18% | 25% | |
| 69 | 2% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 23% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 76% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 76% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 67 | 17% | 75% | |
| 68 | 49% | 57% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 5% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 22% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 77% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 77% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 76% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 75% | |
| 64 | 33% | 75% | Median |
| 65 | 36% | 42% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 70 | 4% | 4% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 61 | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 62 | 33% | 40% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 7% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 7% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 3% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 66% | 94% | Median |
| 64 | 0.1% | 28% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 66 | 26% | 28% | |
| 67 | 1.0% | 2% | Last Result |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 23% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 77% | |
| 56 | 16% | 76% | |
| 57 | 36% | 60% | Median |
| 58 | 0.9% | 25% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 61 | 18% | 23% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0% | 4% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 33% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 67% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 64% | Median |
| 58 | 0.1% | 64% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 64% | |
| 60 | 35% | 64% | |
| 61 | 3% | 28% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 25% | |
| 63 | 23% | 24% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 34% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 66% | |
| 51 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 3% | 46% | |
| 53 | 16% | 44% | |
| 54 | 3% | 28% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 25% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 24% | |
| 57 | 23% | 24% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 77% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 51 | 4% | 76% | |
| 52 | 17% | 71% | |
| 53 | 33% | 54% | Median |
| 54 | 0.3% | 20% | |
| 55 | 17% | 20% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 50 | 16% | 96% | |
| 51 | 56% | 79% | Median |
| 52 | 0.5% | 23% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 23% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 22% | |
| 55 | 18% | 22% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 2% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 22% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 77% | |
| 49 | 2% | 77% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 75% | |
| 51 | 20% | 74% | |
| 52 | 33% | 53% | Median |
| 53 | 17% | 21% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 77% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 77% | |
| 47 | 4% | 76% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 73% | |
| 49 | 33% | 72% | Median |
| 50 | 18% | 38% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 52 | 16% | 20% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 22% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 78% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 77% | |
| 46 | 2% | 77% | |
| 47 | 3% | 75% | |
| 48 | 34% | 72% | Median |
| 49 | 17% | 38% | |
| 50 | 16% | 21% | |
| 51 | 2% | 5% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 22% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 4% | 78% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 73% | |
| 41 | 49% | 73% | Median |
| 42 | 0.6% | 24% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 23% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 23% | |
| 45 | 18% | 22% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 47 | 4% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 96% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 42 | 17% | 95% | |
| 43 | 56% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 44 | 2% | 22% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 20% | |
| 46 | 17% | 20% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 17% | 99.5% | |
| 37 | 3% | 82% | |
| 38 | 51% | 79% | Median |
| 39 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 26% | |
| 43 | 2% | 26% | |
| 44 | 23% | 24% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 17% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 3% | 82% | |
| 28 | 33% | 80% | Median |
| 29 | 16% | 46% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 30% | |
| 31 | 26% | 30% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 33 | 2% | 4% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 16% | 97% | |
| 22 | 34% | 81% | Median |
| 23 | 3% | 47% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 45% | |
| 25 | 42% | 44% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 15% | 97% | |
| 18 | 35% | 82% | Median |
| 19 | 21% | 47% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 26% | |
| 21 | 25% | 25% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–9 November 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 986
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.59%