Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 3–5 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
21.3% |
20.3–22.3% |
20.1–22.5% |
19.8–22.8% |
19.4–23.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
13.3% |
12.5–14.1% |
12.3–14.4% |
12.1–14.6% |
11.8–15.0% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
10.6% |
9.9–11.4% |
9.7–11.6% |
9.6–11.8% |
9.3–12.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.6% |
6.1–7.3% |
5.9–7.4% |
5.8–7.6% |
5.5–7.9% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.6% |
5.3–6.7% |
5.2–6.9% |
4.9–7.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
6.0% |
5.4–6.6% |
5.3–6.7% |
5.2–6.9% |
4.9–7.2% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.0% |
4.5–6.2% |
4.3–6.4% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
Belang van Nederland |
0.0% |
0.7% |
0.5–0.9% |
0.5–1.0% |
0.4–1.0% |
0.4–1.2% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.2% |
0.1–0.3% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.1–0.4% |
0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
30 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
31 |
3% |
97% |
|
32 |
11% |
94% |
|
33 |
31% |
84% |
|
34 |
9% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
35 |
43% |
44% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
18 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
3% |
97% |
|
20 |
62% |
94% |
Median |
21 |
17% |
33% |
|
22 |
2% |
15% |
|
23 |
13% |
13% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
10% |
93% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
83% |
|
17 |
13% |
82% |
|
18 |
66% |
69% |
Median |
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
48% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
10 |
26% |
51% |
Median |
11 |
13% |
25% |
|
12 |
12% |
12% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
8 |
12% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
9 |
17% |
87% |
|
10 |
56% |
70% |
Median |
11 |
14% |
15% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
7 |
43% |
100% |
|
8 |
37% |
57% |
Median |
9 |
15% |
20% |
|
10 |
2% |
5% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
12% |
100% |
|
7 |
55% |
88% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
33% |
|
9 |
5% |
9% |
Last Result |
10 |
4% |
4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
72% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
22% |
27% |
|
9 |
5% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
6 |
59% |
99.3% |
Median |
7 |
25% |
41% |
|
8 |
15% |
15% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
60% |
98.7% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
26% |
39% |
|
7 |
12% |
13% |
|
8 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
18% |
100% |
|
5 |
21% |
82% |
|
6 |
55% |
61% |
Median |
7 |
6% |
6% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
13% |
100% |
|
6 |
27% |
86% |
|
7 |
54% |
59% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
7% |
100% |
|
4 |
77% |
93% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
16% |
|
6 |
9% |
11% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
15% |
100% |
|
3 |
77% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
8% |
8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
5% |
100% |
|
3 |
38% |
95% |
Last Result |
4 |
57% |
57% |
Median |
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
8% |
100% |
|
1 |
91% |
92% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
29% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
71% |
71% |
Median |
2 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.9% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
87 |
71 |
0% |
69–71 |
69–71 |
67–73 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
86 |
72 |
0% |
68–72 |
67–72 |
66–73 |
65–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
68 |
0% |
63–68 |
63–69 |
63–69 |
61–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
65 |
0% |
61–65 |
60–65 |
59–65 |
58–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
78 |
61 |
0% |
58–62 |
58–62 |
57–64 |
55–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
62 |
0% |
58–62 |
57–62 |
57–62 |
56–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
59 |
0% |
56–60 |
56–60 |
55–60 |
53–61 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
70 |
53 |
0% |
52–57 |
51–57 |
51–57 |
50–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
55 |
0% |
53–57 |
52–57 |
51–57 |
50–58 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
46 |
0% |
45–49 |
45–49 |
45–50 |
41–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
48 |
0% |
47–49 |
45–49 |
45–49 |
43–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
47 |
0% |
43–48 |
43–48 |
43–48 |
42–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
47 |
0% |
43–48 |
43–48 |
43–48 |
42–48 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
44 |
0% |
41–45 |
41–45 |
40–45 |
39–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
57 |
44 |
0% |
41–45 |
41–45 |
40–45 |
39–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
44 |
0% |
43–44 |
41–45 |
40–45 |
39–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
39 |
0% |
36–39 |
36–39 |
35–39 |
33–40 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
31 |
0% |
30–34 |
30–34 |
30–35 |
27–35 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
22 |
0% |
20–22 |
19–23 |
19–25 |
18–25 |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
29 |
20 |
0% |
18–23 |
18–23 |
18–23 |
17–24 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
14 |
0% |
13–16 |
13–16 |
13–16 |
13–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
98.6% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
98.5% |
|
67 |
3% |
98% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
69 |
9% |
95% |
|
70 |
9% |
86% |
|
71 |
72% |
77% |
Median |
72 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
2% |
98% |
|
67 |
5% |
96% |
|
68 |
14% |
91% |
|
69 |
16% |
77% |
|
70 |
2% |
61% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
59% |
Median |
72 |
56% |
59% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
11% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
5% |
88% |
|
65 |
2% |
83% |
|
66 |
2% |
81% |
|
67 |
27% |
79% |
Median |
68 |
45% |
51% |
|
69 |
6% |
7% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
3% |
97% |
|
61 |
7% |
95% |
|
62 |
7% |
88% |
|
63 |
2% |
81% |
|
64 |
26% |
79% |
Median |
65 |
52% |
53% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
58 |
9% |
97% |
|
59 |
11% |
88% |
|
60 |
15% |
76% |
|
61 |
14% |
61% |
Median |
62 |
44% |
47% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
65 |
2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
7% |
98% |
|
58 |
7% |
91% |
|
59 |
7% |
84% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
77% |
|
61 |
14% |
76% |
|
62 |
62% |
62% |
Median |
63 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
13% |
97% |
|
57 |
9% |
85% |
|
58 |
9% |
75% |
Median |
59 |
45% |
67% |
|
60 |
21% |
22% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
5% |
98% |
|
52 |
12% |
93% |
|
53 |
46% |
80% |
|
54 |
2% |
34% |
Median |
55 |
3% |
32% |
|
56 |
5% |
30% |
|
57 |
23% |
25% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
52 |
6% |
97% |
|
53 |
12% |
91% |
|
54 |
18% |
79% |
|
55 |
14% |
61% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
47% |
Median |
57 |
44% |
46% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
98.7% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
45 |
16% |
98% |
|
46 |
50% |
82% |
|
47 |
6% |
32% |
Median |
48 |
3% |
26% |
|
49 |
21% |
24% |
|
50 |
3% |
3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
46 |
2% |
94% |
|
47 |
15% |
93% |
|
48 |
62% |
77% |
Median |
49 |
13% |
15% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
10% |
99.3% |
|
44 |
19% |
90% |
|
45 |
2% |
71% |
|
46 |
11% |
69% |
|
47 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
48 |
49% |
50% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
43 |
10% |
99.3% |
|
44 |
19% |
90% |
|
45 |
2% |
71% |
|
46 |
11% |
69% |
|
47 |
8% |
57% |
Median |
48 |
49% |
50% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
41 |
23% |
96% |
|
42 |
5% |
74% |
|
43 |
8% |
69% |
|
44 |
17% |
61% |
Median |
45 |
44% |
45% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
39 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
41 |
23% |
96% |
|
42 |
5% |
74% |
|
43 |
8% |
69% |
|
44 |
17% |
61% |
Median |
45 |
44% |
45% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
41 |
4% |
97% |
|
42 |
2% |
93% |
|
43 |
24% |
91% |
Last Result |
44 |
57% |
67% |
Median |
45 |
10% |
10% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
36 |
10% |
96% |
|
37 |
30% |
86% |
|
38 |
2% |
56% |
Median |
39 |
54% |
54% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
98.6% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
30 |
15% |
98% |
|
31 |
52% |
82% |
|
32 |
14% |
31% |
Median |
33 |
5% |
16% |
|
34 |
8% |
11% |
|
35 |
2% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
7% |
98.6% |
|
20 |
15% |
92% |
|
21 |
6% |
77% |
|
22 |
65% |
71% |
Median |
23 |
3% |
6% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
25 |
3% |
3% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
1.5% |
100% |
|
18 |
45% |
98.5% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
53% |
Median |
20 |
23% |
53% |
|
21 |
16% |
30% |
|
22 |
3% |
14% |
|
23 |
9% |
10% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
47% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
22% |
53% |
Median |
15 |
10% |
31% |
|
16 |
19% |
21% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
1.3% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–5 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%