Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 3–5 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 21.3% | 20.3–22.3% | 20.1–22.5% | 19.8–22.8% | 19.4–23.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 13.3% | 12.5–14.1% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.1–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 10.6% | 9.9–11.4% | 9.7–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1–7.3% | 5.9–7.4% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.5–7.9% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 34 | 32–35 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 29–35 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 20 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 18 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 4 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 11% | 94% | |
| 33 | 31% | 84% | |
| 34 | 9% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 43% | 44% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 3% | 97% | |
| 20 | 62% | 94% | Median |
| 21 | 17% | 33% | |
| 22 | 2% | 15% | |
| 23 | 13% | 13% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 10% | 93% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 83% | |
| 17 | 13% | 82% | |
| 18 | 66% | 69% | Median |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 48% | 98.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 26% | 51% | Median |
| 11 | 13% | 25% | |
| 12 | 12% | 12% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 8 | 12% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 9 | 17% | 87% | |
| 10 | 56% | 70% | Median |
| 11 | 14% | 15% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 43% | 100% | |
| 8 | 37% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 15% | 20% | |
| 10 | 2% | 5% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 12% | 100% | |
| 7 | 55% | 88% | Median |
| 8 | 24% | 33% | |
| 9 | 5% | 9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 72% | 99.7% | Median |
| 8 | 22% | 27% | |
| 9 | 5% | 5% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 59% | 99.3% | Median |
| 7 | 25% | 41% | |
| 8 | 15% | 15% | |
| 9 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 60% | 98.7% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 26% | 39% | |
| 7 | 12% | 13% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 18% | 100% | |
| 5 | 21% | 82% | |
| 6 | 55% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 6% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 13% | 100% | |
| 6 | 27% | 86% | |
| 7 | 54% | 59% | Median |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 93% | Median |
| 5 | 5% | 16% | |
| 6 | 9% | 11% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 15% | 100% | |
| 3 | 77% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 8% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 38% | 95% | Last Result |
| 4 | 57% | 57% | Median |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 100% | |
| 1 | 91% | 92% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 87 | 71 | 0% | 69–71 | 69–71 | 67–73 | 64–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 86 | 72 | 0% | 68–72 | 67–72 | 66–73 | 65–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 68 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–69 | 63–69 | 61–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 65 | 0% | 61–65 | 60–65 | 59–65 | 58–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 78 | 61 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–62 | 57–64 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 62 | 0% | 58–62 | 57–62 | 57–62 | 56–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 59 | 0% | 56–60 | 56–60 | 55–60 | 53–61 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 70 | 53 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 55 | 0% | 53–57 | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 46 | 0% | 45–49 | 45–49 | 45–50 | 41–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 48 | 0% | 47–49 | 45–49 | 45–49 | 43–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 47 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 43–48 | 42–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 47 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 43–48 | 42–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 44 | 0% | 41–45 | 41–45 | 40–45 | 39–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 57 | 44 | 0% | 41–45 | 41–45 | 40–45 | 39–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 44 | 0% | 43–44 | 41–45 | 40–45 | 39–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 39 | 0% | 36–39 | 36–39 | 35–39 | 33–40 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 31 | 0% | 30–34 | 30–34 | 30–35 | 27–35 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 22 | 0% | 20–22 | 19–23 | 19–25 | 18–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 29 | 20 | 0% | 18–23 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 14 | 0% | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–19 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 69 | 9% | 95% | |
| 70 | 9% | 86% | |
| 71 | 72% | 77% | Median |
| 72 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 14% | 91% | |
| 69 | 16% | 77% | |
| 70 | 2% | 61% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 59% | Median |
| 72 | 56% | 59% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 11% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 5% | 88% | |
| 65 | 2% | 83% | |
| 66 | 2% | 81% | |
| 67 | 27% | 79% | Median |
| 68 | 45% | 51% | |
| 69 | 6% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 7% | 95% | |
| 62 | 7% | 88% | |
| 63 | 2% | 81% | |
| 64 | 26% | 79% | Median |
| 65 | 52% | 53% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 9% | 97% | |
| 59 | 11% | 88% | |
| 60 | 15% | 76% | |
| 61 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 62 | 44% | 47% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 7% | 98% | |
| 58 | 7% | 91% | |
| 59 | 7% | 84% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 77% | |
| 61 | 14% | 76% | |
| 62 | 62% | 62% | Median |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 13% | 97% | |
| 57 | 9% | 85% | |
| 58 | 9% | 75% | Median |
| 59 | 45% | 67% | |
| 60 | 21% | 22% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 5% | 98% | |
| 52 | 12% | 93% | |
| 53 | 46% | 80% | |
| 54 | 2% | 34% | Median |
| 55 | 3% | 32% | |
| 56 | 5% | 30% | |
| 57 | 23% | 25% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 6% | 97% | |
| 53 | 12% | 91% | |
| 54 | 18% | 79% | |
| 55 | 14% | 61% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 47% | Median |
| 57 | 44% | 46% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 45 | 16% | 98% | |
| 46 | 50% | 82% | |
| 47 | 6% | 32% | Median |
| 48 | 3% | 26% | |
| 49 | 21% | 24% | |
| 50 | 3% | 3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 2% | 94% | |
| 47 | 15% | 93% | |
| 48 | 62% | 77% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 15% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 10% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 19% | 90% | |
| 45 | 2% | 71% | |
| 46 | 11% | 69% | |
| 47 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 48 | 49% | 50% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 43 | 10% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 19% | 90% | |
| 45 | 2% | 71% | |
| 46 | 11% | 69% | |
| 47 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 48 | 49% | 50% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 23% | 96% | |
| 42 | 5% | 74% | |
| 43 | 8% | 69% | |
| 44 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 44% | 45% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 41 | 23% | 96% | |
| 42 | 5% | 74% | |
| 43 | 8% | 69% | |
| 44 | 17% | 61% | Median |
| 45 | 44% | 45% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 2% | 93% | |
| 43 | 24% | 91% | Last Result |
| 44 | 57% | 67% | Median |
| 45 | 10% | 10% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 36 | 10% | 96% | |
| 37 | 30% | 86% | |
| 38 | 2% | 56% | Median |
| 39 | 54% | 54% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 30 | 15% | 98% | |
| 31 | 52% | 82% | |
| 32 | 14% | 31% | Median |
| 33 | 5% | 16% | |
| 34 | 8% | 11% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 20 | 15% | 92% | |
| 21 | 6% | 77% | |
| 22 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 23 | 3% | 6% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 25 | 3% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 18 | 45% | 98.5% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 53% | Median |
| 20 | 23% | 53% | |
| 21 | 16% | 30% | |
| 22 | 3% | 14% | |
| 23 | 9% | 10% | |
| 24 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 47% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 22% | 53% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 31% | |
| 16 | 19% | 21% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–5 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.25%