Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 3–6 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 18.2% | 17.2–19.4% | 16.9–19.7% | 16.6–20.0% | 16.1–20.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 10.0–12.8% | 9.6–13.2% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.2% | 4.8–7.6% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 6.1% | 5.5–6.8% | 5.3–7.0% | 5.1–7.2% | 4.8–7.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2–6.5% | 5.0–6.7% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.6–7.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 5.6% | 5.0–6.3% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6–5.9% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.1–6.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.5% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2–3.1% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.6% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1–1.8% | 1.1–1.9% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9–1.5% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6–1.1% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.5–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 29 | 27–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 24–30 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 17% | 93% | |
| 28 | 22% | 75% | |
| 29 | 5% | 54% | Median |
| 30 | 48% | 49% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 69% | 96% | Median |
| 17 | 12% | 27% | |
| 18 | 6% | 15% | |
| 19 | 2% | 9% | |
| 20 | 4% | 7% | |
| 21 | 2% | 2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 14% | 97% | |
| 15 | 75% | 82% | Median |
| 16 | 4% | 8% | |
| 17 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 24% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 12% | 76% | |
| 10 | 60% | 64% | Median |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 25% | 89% | |
| 10 | 63% | 65% | Median |
| 11 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 20% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 73% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 46% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 17% | 54% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 37% | |
| 10 | 2% | 31% | |
| 11 | 28% | 28% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 48% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 9 | 8% | 46% | |
| 10 | 6% | 38% | |
| 11 | 32% | 32% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 4% | 95% | |
| 8 | 78% | 91% | Median |
| 9 | 13% | 13% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 26% | 97% | |
| 8 | 9% | 71% | |
| 9 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 45% | 45% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 48% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 8 | 37% | 43% | |
| 9 | 4% | 6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 58% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 41% | Last Result |
| 6 | 28% | 29% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12% | 100% | |
| 3 | 75% | 88% | Median |
| 4 | 11% | 13% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 26% | 100% | |
| 3 | 11% | 74% | Last Result |
| 4 | 60% | 63% | Median |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 2 | 94% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 33% | 98% | Last Result |
| 2 | 65% | 66% | Median |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 47% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 53% | 53% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 76% | Median |
| 2 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 66 | 0% | 64–72 | 64–72 | 64–73 | 62–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 66 | 0% | 66–70 | 66–71 | 65–71 | 62–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 57 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–62 | 55–63 | 53–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 59 | 0% | 58–59 | 56–60 | 55–61 | 53–63 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 70 | 55 | 0% | 51–61 | 51–61 | 51–61 | 51–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 53 | 0% | 53–55 | 52–56 | 51–58 | 48–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 55 | 0% | 54–57 | 53–57 | 52–57 | 50–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 55 | 0% | 52–55 | 52–56 | 51–56 | 50–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 52 | 0% | 51–54 | 50–54 | 48–54 | 46–55 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 47 | 0% | 43–53 | 43–53 | 43–53 | 43–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 46 | 0% | 45–48 | 43–48 | 41–48 | 39–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 46 | 0% | 44–46 | 42–46 | 41–47 | 38–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 44 | 0% | 43–44 | 41–44 | 39–46 | 37–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 42 | 0% | 41–43 | 39–43 | 38–43 | 36–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 40 | 0% | 40–42 | 38–42 | 36–42 | 35–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 38 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–39 | 33–41 | 33–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 33 | 0% | 32–36 | 32–37 | 32–39 | 31–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 37 | 0% | 36–39 | 35–39 | 32–39 | 32–40 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 24 | 0% | 23–28 | 23–28 | 23–30 | 22–31 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 22 | 0% | 20–26 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 18–27 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 17 | 0% | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 13–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 45% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 66 | 3% | 50% | |
| 67 | 13% | 47% | |
| 68 | 3% | 34% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 31% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 31% | |
| 71 | 2% | 30% | |
| 72 | 23% | 28% | |
| 73 | 4% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 47% | 97% | Median |
| 67 | 14% | 50% | |
| 68 | 4% | 36% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 32% | |
| 70 | 25% | 31% | |
| 71 | 5% | 6% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 51% | 97% | Median |
| 58 | 2% | 47% | |
| 59 | 13% | 44% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 61 | 21% | 30% | |
| 62 | 7% | 10% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 12% | 91% | |
| 59 | 73% | 78% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 45% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 55% | |
| 53 | 2% | 55% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 53% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 50% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 49% | |
| 57 | 14% | 48% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 34% | |
| 59 | 3% | 33% | |
| 60 | 6% | 30% | |
| 61 | 23% | 24% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 6% | 97% | |
| 53 | 47% | 91% | Median |
| 54 | 1.0% | 44% | |
| 55 | 33% | 43% | |
| 56 | 6% | 10% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 58 | 3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 53 | 4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 15% | 93% | |
| 55 | 47% | 78% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 31% | |
| 57 | 26% | 27% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 51 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 12% | 97% | |
| 53 | 23% | 85% | |
| 54 | 4% | 62% | Median |
| 55 | 51% | 58% | |
| 56 | 6% | 7% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98.6% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 49 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 96% | |
| 51 | 3% | 92% | |
| 52 | 61% | 89% | Median |
| 53 | 5% | 28% | |
| 54 | 22% | 23% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 45% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 55% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 55% | Median |
| 46 | 1.3% | 54% | |
| 47 | 2% | 52% | |
| 48 | 12% | 50% | |
| 49 | 4% | 38% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 34% | |
| 51 | 2% | 34% | |
| 52 | 5% | 32% | |
| 53 | 25% | 27% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 44 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 45 | 5% | 94% | |
| 46 | 61% | 88% | Median |
| 47 | 3% | 27% | |
| 48 | 23% | 24% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 42 | 4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 44 | 3% | 93% | |
| 45 | 28% | 89% | |
| 46 | 57% | 61% | Median |
| 47 | 4% | 5% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 41 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 42 | 3% | 95% | |
| 43 | 5% | 92% | |
| 44 | 82% | 87% | Median |
| 45 | 2% | 5% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 39 | 3% | 96% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 41 | 3% | 92% | |
| 42 | 61% | 89% | Median |
| 43 | 26% | 28% | |
| 44 | 2% | 2% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 96% | |
| 38 | 2% | 96% | |
| 39 | 2% | 94% | |
| 40 | 64% | 92% | Median |
| 41 | 0.5% | 28% | |
| 42 | 25% | 28% | |
| 43 | 2% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 17% | 95% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 79% | |
| 37 | 27% | 78% | |
| 38 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 39 | 46% | 49% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 41 | 2% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 47% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 34 | 0.5% | 50% | |
| 35 | 5% | 49% | |
| 36 | 36% | 44% | |
| 37 | 3% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 5% | 5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 3% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 35 | 2% | 95% | |
| 36 | 5% | 94% | |
| 37 | 50% | 89% | Median |
| 38 | 17% | 39% | |
| 39 | 21% | 22% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 47% | 98% | |
| 24 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 25 | 2% | 49% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 47% | |
| 27 | 27% | 46% | |
| 28 | 14% | 19% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 5% | |
| 30 | 2% | 4% | |
| 31 | 2% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 45% | 99.1% | |
| 21 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 22 | 4% | 51% | |
| 23 | 21% | 48% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 25 | 4% | 26% | |
| 26 | 21% | 22% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 47% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 18 | 5% | 43% | |
| 19 | 14% | 38% | |
| 20 | 23% | 24% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–6 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 2053
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.33%