Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 17–18 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.9% | 17.9% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.8–19.1% | 16.6–19.4% | 16.2–19.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.9–13.4% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.1–14.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.2–12.8% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| GroenLinks | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 2.4% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.6% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 4.9–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1.0% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 9.5% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| Volt Europa | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| Bij1 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| Belang van Nederland | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–0.9% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.4–1.0% | 0.4–1.2% |
| 50Plus | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.0–0.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 34 | 29 | 29 | 28–29 | 26–29 | 26–29 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 17 | 19 | 19 | 19–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| Democraten 66 | 24 | 20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 18–20 |
| GroenLinks | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–11 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9–10 | 7–10 |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 7–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 1 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–11 | 7–11 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 15 | 7 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Volt Europa | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Bij1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Belang van Nederland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 50Plus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 96% | |
| 28 | 3% | 96% | |
| 29 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 19 | 90% | 97% | Median |
| 20 | 7% | 7% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 9% | 98% | |
| 20 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 9 | 96% | 99.6% | Median |
| 10 | 3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 95% | 98.9% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 4% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 7 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 9 | 94% | 98.9% | Median |
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 9 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 10 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 11 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 93% | 99.7% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 7% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 89% | 99.6% | Median |
| 8 | 7% | 11% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 11 | 3% | 3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6% | 100% | |
| 7 | 89% | 94% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 92% | 97% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 4% | 93% | |
| 7 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 6 | 4% | 7% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 95% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7% | 100% | |
| 3 | 93% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Belang van Nederland
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Belang van Nederland page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 5% | 5% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 86 | 72 | 0% | 70–72 | 69–72 | 65–72 | 65–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 87 | 72 | 0% | 70–72 | 69–72 | 65–72 | 65–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 63 | 0% | 63 | 62–63 | 59–65 | 59–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 78 | 63 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–63 | 56–63 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 60 | 0% | 60 | 59–60 | 57–62 | 57–62 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 70 | 59 | 0% | 59 | 57–59 | 57–59 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 67 | 58 | 0% | 58 | 56–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 66 | 55 | 0% | 55 | 52–55 | 52–56 | 52–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 73 | 56 | 0% | 55–56 | 54–56 | 51–56 | 51–57 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 61 | 52 | 0% | 51–52 | 50–52 | 48–52 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 42–44 | 42–45 | 41–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 60 | 44 | 0% | 44 | 42–44 | 42–45 | 41–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 58 | 45 | 0% | 45 | 45 | 41–45 | 41–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 40–41 | 39–42 | 39–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 41 | 0% | 41 | 40–41 | 39–42 | 39–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 43 | 38 | 0% | 38 | 37–38 | 35–39 | 35–39 |
| Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 48 | 36 | 0% | 36 | 35–36 | 34–36 | 33–37 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 49 | 36 | 0% | 36 | 35–36 | 32–36 | 32–38 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 39 | 27 | 0% | 27 | 25–27 | 25–27 | 24–28 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 29 | 23 | 0% | 22–23 | 22–23 | 20–23 | 20–25 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 24 | 16 | 0% | 16 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 4% | 93% | |
| 71 | 0% | 89% | |
| 72 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 0% | 97% | |
| 69 | 5% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 92% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 89% | |
| 72 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 62 | 3% | 96% | |
| 63 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 64 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 60 | 7% | 96% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 63 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 61 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 4% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 59 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 4% | 96% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 92% | |
| 58 | 92% | 92% | Median |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 55 | 88% | 93% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 93% | |
| 56 | 89% | 89% | Median |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 96% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 3% | 93% | |
| 52 | 89% | 90% | Median |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 44 | 88% | 93% | Median |
| 45 | 4% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 93% | |
| 44 | 88% | 93% | Median |
| 45 | 4% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 45 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 46 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 3% | 96% | |
| 41 | 89% | 93% | Median |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 37 | 4% | 96% | |
| 38 | 89% | 92% | Median |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 3% | 96% | |
| 36 | 93% | 93% | Median |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 35 | 3% | 96% | |
| 36 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 27 | 92% | 93% | Median |
| 28 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 22 | 6% | 96% | |
| 23 | 89% | 90% | Median |
| 24 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 92% | 97% | Median |
| 17 | 4% | 4% | |
| 18 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–18 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%