Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 17–20 December 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.9% |
19.6% |
18.1–21.3% |
17.7–21.8% |
17.3–22.2% |
16.6–23.0% |
Democraten 66 |
15.0% |
13.1% |
11.8–14.6% |
11.5–15.0% |
11.2–15.3% |
10.6–16.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
10.8% |
11.5% |
10.3–12.9% |
10.0–13.3% |
9.7–13.7% |
9.2–14.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.8% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.6–7.1% |
4.5–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
9.5% |
5.5% |
4.7–6.6% |
4.5–6.9% |
4.3–7.1% |
3.9–7.6% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021 |
2.4% |
5.4% |
4.6–6.4% |
4.4–6.7% |
4.2–7.0% |
3.8–7.5% |
GroenLinks |
5.2% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.3% |
4.3–6.6% |
4.1–6.9% |
3.7–7.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
6.0% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.7% |
3.6–7.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
5.0% |
4.0% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
BoerBurgerBeweging |
1.0% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.7% |
3.0–5.0% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.7% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.7% |
3.1–4.6% |
2.9–4.9% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.5–5.6% |
Volt Europa |
2.4% |
3.2% |
2.5–4.0% |
2.4–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
2.0–4.9% |
DENK |
2.0% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.3% |
1.6–3.5% |
1.4–3.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
Bij1 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.6–1.4% |
0.5–1.6% |
0.5–1.7% |
0.4–2.0% |
50Plus |
1.0% |
0.5% |
0.3–0.9% |
0.2–1.0% |
0.2–1.2% |
0.1–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
1.4% |
98.8% |
|
29 |
19% |
97% |
|
30 |
48% |
79% |
Median |
31 |
5% |
31% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
26% |
|
33 |
9% |
26% |
|
34 |
17% |
17% |
Last Result |
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
46% |
99.8% |
|
18 |
21% |
54% |
Median |
19 |
1.3% |
33% |
|
20 |
19% |
32% |
|
21 |
2% |
12% |
|
22 |
10% |
10% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
14 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
16 |
9% |
97% |
|
17 |
18% |
89% |
Last Result |
18 |
65% |
70% |
Median |
19 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
20 |
4% |
4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
4% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
10 |
2% |
94% |
|
11 |
64% |
93% |
Median |
12 |
27% |
28% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
15 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
7 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
8 |
26% |
98% |
|
9 |
18% |
72% |
|
10 |
2% |
54% |
|
11 |
50% |
52% |
Median |
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
17% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
83% |
|
7 |
47% |
82% |
Median |
8 |
5% |
35% |
|
9 |
28% |
30% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
18% |
100% |
|
7 |
48% |
82% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
34% |
|
9 |
30% |
31% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
19% |
91% |
|
8 |
5% |
72% |
Last Result |
9 |
66% |
67% |
Median |
10 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
6 |
10% |
99.1% |
|
7 |
18% |
89% |
|
8 |
52% |
71% |
Median |
9 |
18% |
19% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
18% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
32% |
82% |
Median |
6 |
47% |
50% |
|
7 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
Last Result |
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
9% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.4% |
91% |
|
5 |
22% |
90% |
|
6 |
21% |
68% |
Median |
7 |
47% |
47% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
48% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
26% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
19% |
25% |
|
7 |
6% |
6% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
14% |
98% |
|
5 |
47% |
84% |
Median |
6 |
36% |
36% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
84% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
10% |
11% |
|
5 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
67% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
9% |
27% |
|
5 |
18% |
18% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
1 |
50% |
98.8% |
Last Result, Median |
2 |
48% |
49% |
|
3 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
52% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
48% |
48% |
Last Result |
2 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
3 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
87 |
73 |
13% |
69–78 |
69–81 |
69–81 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
86 |
70 |
1.2% |
67–75 |
67–75 |
67–75 |
67–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
78 |
63 |
0% |
58–66 |
58–69 |
58–69 |
58–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
64 |
0% |
64–66 |
64–67 |
61–67 |
59–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
67 |
58 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–67 |
58–67 |
55–67 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
70 |
56 |
0% |
56–62 |
56–62 |
56–65 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
61 |
0% |
59–63 |
59–64 |
59–64 |
56–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
73 |
57 |
0% |
54–61 |
54–64 |
54–64 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
66 |
55 |
0% |
55–58 |
55–58 |
53–59 |
51–60 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
61 |
49 |
0% |
48–54 |
48–55 |
48–56 |
48–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
58 |
48 |
0% |
48–51 |
48–54 |
47–54 |
43–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus |
61 |
47 |
0% |
46–49 |
46–52 |
46–52 |
44–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
60 |
46 |
0% |
46–49 |
46–51 |
45–51 |
43–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
43 |
0% |
43–47 |
43–48 |
43–48 |
40–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
57 |
43 |
0% |
42–47 |
42–47 |
42–47 |
39–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
43 |
41 |
0% |
41–45 |
40–45 |
40–45 |
35–45 |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
48 |
35 |
0% |
34–41 |
34–43 |
34–43 |
34–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
49 |
38 |
0% |
37–39 |
37–42 |
37–42 |
34–42 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
39 |
24 |
0% |
23–30 |
23–31 |
23–31 |
23–32 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
29 |
22 |
0% |
22–26 |
22–26 |
22–28 |
21–28 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
24 |
18 |
0% |
16–21 |
16–21 |
16–21 |
15–24 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
46% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
54% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
53% |
Median |
72 |
0.3% |
53% |
|
73 |
5% |
52% |
|
74 |
17% |
48% |
|
75 |
17% |
30% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
13% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
13% |
|
78 |
2% |
11% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
81 |
8% |
8% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
46% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
54% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
53% |
Median |
70 |
18% |
52% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
34% |
|
72 |
21% |
34% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
13% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
12% |
|
75 |
10% |
11% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
46% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
54% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
54% |
Median |
61 |
0.8% |
53% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
53% |
|
63 |
36% |
52% |
|
64 |
4% |
16% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
13% |
|
66 |
2% |
12% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
10% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
69 |
8% |
9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.1% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
97% |
Median |
64 |
64% |
96% |
|
65 |
18% |
32% |
|
66 |
5% |
15% |
|
67 |
9% |
10% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
50% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
49% |
Median |
60 |
2% |
49% |
|
61 |
18% |
47% |
|
62 |
2% |
29% |
|
63 |
18% |
27% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
9% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
66 |
0% |
8% |
|
67 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
56 |
64% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
36% |
|
58 |
4% |
35% |
Median |
59 |
0.3% |
31% |
|
60 |
8% |
31% |
|
61 |
2% |
23% |
|
62 |
18% |
21% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
65 |
2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
98.9% |
|
59 |
18% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
80% |
Median |
61 |
47% |
79% |
|
62 |
18% |
32% |
|
63 |
9% |
15% |
|
64 |
4% |
5% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
46% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
54% |
Median |
56 |
0.8% |
53% |
|
57 |
21% |
52% |
|
58 |
18% |
31% |
|
59 |
3% |
13% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
10% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
64 |
8% |
8% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
53 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
55 |
64% |
97% |
Median |
56 |
1.4% |
32% |
|
57 |
18% |
31% |
|
58 |
9% |
13% |
|
59 |
3% |
4% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
46 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
46% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
17% |
53% |
|
50 |
4% |
36% |
Median |
51 |
0.4% |
32% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
32% |
|
53 |
17% |
30% |
|
54 |
8% |
13% |
|
55 |
2% |
5% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
57 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
48 |
50% |
97% |
Median |
49 |
1.2% |
48% |
|
50 |
35% |
47% |
|
51 |
2% |
11% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
9% |
|
53 |
0% |
9% |
|
54 |
9% |
9% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
Median |
46 |
46% |
98% |
|
47 |
6% |
51% |
|
48 |
35% |
46% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
52 |
8% |
9% |
|
53 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
98% |
Median |
46 |
50% |
97% |
|
47 |
36% |
47% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
11% |
|
49 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
51 |
8% |
9% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
Median |
43 |
64% |
98% |
|
44 |
2% |
34% |
|
45 |
21% |
32% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
48 |
9% |
9% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
18% |
98.7% |
Median |
43 |
47% |
81% |
|
44 |
23% |
34% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
11% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
10% |
|
47 |
9% |
10% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
40 |
5% |
98% |
|
41 |
65% |
93% |
Median |
42 |
2% |
28% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
26% |
Last Result |
44 |
0.6% |
26% |
|
45 |
25% |
25% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
34 |
17% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
50% |
82% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
33% |
Median |
37 |
0.5% |
32% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
32% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
31% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
31% |
|
41 |
20% |
30% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
10% |
|
43 |
9% |
10% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
37 |
47% |
98% |
Median |
38 |
17% |
51% |
|
39 |
24% |
34% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
10% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
42 |
9% |
9% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
17% |
100% |
|
24 |
46% |
83% |
|
25 |
0% |
37% |
Median |
26 |
4% |
37% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
33% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
32% |
|
29 |
19% |
31% |
|
30 |
3% |
12% |
|
31 |
9% |
10% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
63% |
98.6% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
35% |
Median |
24 |
5% |
34% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
30% |
|
26 |
25% |
29% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
28 |
3% |
4% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
30 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
18% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
4% |
82% |
|
18 |
47% |
78% |
Median |
19 |
1.2% |
31% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
29% |
|
21 |
27% |
29% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
25 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 17–20 December 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 1014
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.62%