Opinion Poll by Kantar, 15–20 December 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.9% 20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–24.0%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 10.8% 11.8% 10.5–13.2% 10.2–13.5% 9.9–13.9% 9.3–14.6%
Democraten 66 15.0% 9.8% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
Socialistische Partij 6.0% 7.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.3%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 9.5% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.9% 5.9–8.0% 5.7–8.3% 5.5–8.6% 5.0–9.2%
GroenLinks 5.2% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.8% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Volt Europa 2.4% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
Juiste Antwoord 2021 2.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.7%
Forum voor Democratie 5.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
BoerBurgerBeweging 1.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.1–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%
50Plus 1.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
DENK 2.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
Bij1 0.8% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 34 30 29–30 29–30 29–31 28–35
Partij voor de Vrijheid 17 19 18–23 18–23 18–23 15–23
Democraten 66 24 17 14–17 14–19 14–19 12–19
Socialistische Partij 9 10 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–13
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 15 10 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–12
Partij van de Arbeid 9 11 9–11 8–11 8–11 8–13
GroenLinks 8 9 7–9 7–10 7–10 7–12
ChristenUnie 5 8 8–9 8–9 8–10 8–12
Partij voor de Dieren 6 6 6–8 6–8 6–8 5–10
Volt Europa 3 8 8 8–9 7–9 5–9
Juiste Antwoord 2021 3 7 7 7 5–7 4–8
Forum voor Democratie 8 4 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–6
BoerBurgerBeweging 1 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
50Plus 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
DENK 3 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Bij1 1 3 1–3 1–3 1–3 0–3

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0.2% 99.9%  
28 1.2% 99.7%  
29 19% 98.5%  
30 77% 80% Median
31 0.5% 3%  
32 0.2% 2%  
33 0.4% 2%  
34 0.1% 1.4% Last Result
35 0.9% 1.4%  
36 0.2% 0.5%  
37 0% 0.3%  
38 0.2% 0.2%  
39 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.6% 99.9%  
16 1.4% 99.3%  
17 0.4% 98% Last Result
18 9% 98%  
19 77% 88% Median
20 0.5% 11%  
21 0.2% 11%  
22 0% 11%  
23 11% 11%  
24 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.5% 100%  
13 0.1% 99.4%  
14 11% 99.3%  
15 2% 88%  
16 1.1% 87%  
17 78% 85% Median
18 0.2% 8%  
19 8% 8%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100%  
9 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
10 78% 99.4% Median
11 8% 21%  
12 12% 13%  
13 1.0% 1.3%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0.1%  
16 0% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 1.0% 99.9%  
10 85% 98.9% Median
11 12% 14%  
12 1.4% 2%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 8% 100%  
9 2% 92% Last Result
10 0.5% 90%  
11 89% 89% Median
12 0.1% 0.7%  
13 0.2% 0.6%  
14 0.4% 0.4%  
15 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 0% 99.9%  
7 11% 99.9%  
8 1.1% 89% Last Result
9 79% 88% Median
10 8% 9%  
11 0.1% 1.4%  
12 1.0% 1.3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.2% 99.9%  
8 86% 99.7% Median
9 11% 14%  
10 2% 3%  
11 0.9% 2%  
12 0.6% 0.6%  
13 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100%  
6 77% 99.3% Last Result, Median
7 2% 22%  
8 19% 20%  
9 0.4% 1.2%  
10 0.5% 0.8%  
11 0.3% 0.3%  
12 0% 0%  

Volt Europa

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9%  
6 0.7% 98%  
7 0.8% 98%  
8 88% 97% Median
9 8% 8%  
10 0.1% 0.2%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Juiste Antwoord 2021

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0.7% 100%  
5 2% 99.2%  
6 0.3% 97%  
7 96% 97% Median
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 8% 100%  
3 12% 92%  
4 79% 80% Median
5 0.4% 2%  
6 1.3% 1.3%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0% Last Result

BoerBurgerBeweging

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0.4% 100%  
3 88% 99.6% Median
4 9% 11%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.1% 100%  
2 13% 98.9%  
3 85% 86% Last Result, Median
4 0.6% 1.1%  
5 0.4% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 88% 99.1% Last Result, Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 11% 100%  
1 86% 89% Median
2 2% 3%  
3 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Bij1

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 11% 99.1% Last Result
2 11% 88%  
3 77% 77% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 87 76 80% 74–76 74–76 74–76 72–83
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – GroenLinks 86 74 10% 70–76 70–76 70–76 70–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 66 0% 66–68 62–68 62–68 62–71
Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – GroenLinks 70 65 0% 64–66 64–66 64–67 61–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 78 65 0% 63–66 63–66 63–66 62–72
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 63 0% 63–66 59–66 59–66 59–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 66 59 0% 59–63 57–63 57–63 55–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 73 57 0% 54–57 54–58 54–58 54–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 67 58 0% 54–58 54–58 54–58 52–63
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – GroenLinks 61 55 0% 52–55 52–55 52–55 52–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 58 51 0% 51 47–51 47–51 47–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus 61 48 0% 46–48 46–48 46–50 46–55
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 60 47 0% 45–47 44–47 44–49 44–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 45 0% 44–45 43–45 43–48 43–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 57 44 0% 43–44 41–44 41–46 41–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 49 40 0% 40 39–40 39–42 39–46
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 43 41 0% 40–41 37–41 37–41 37–47
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 48 38 0% 36–38 36–38 36–38 33–39
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 29 29 0% 29–31 26–31 26–31 26–35
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 39 27 0% 25–27 25–29 25–29 23–29
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 24 21 0% 21–22 18–22 18–22 18–25

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.7%  
72 0.2% 99.6%  
73 0.1% 99.5%  
74 18% 99.4%  
75 1.3% 81%  
76 77% 80% Median, Majority
77 0.2% 2%  
78 0.5% 2%  
79 0.3% 2%  
80 0.4% 1.3%  
81 0.2% 0.9%  
82 0.1% 0.7%  
83 0.2% 0.7%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie – GroenLinks

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 99.8%  
70 11% 99.6%  
71 0.1% 89%  
72 0.2% 89%  
73 0.1% 89%  
74 77% 88% Median
75 0.8% 11%  
76 8% 10% Majority
77 0.1% 2%  
78 0.9% 2%  
79 0.4% 1.4%  
80 0.2% 1.0%  
81 0.3% 0.7%  
82 0.4% 0.5%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.1% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.9%  
62 8% 99.5%  
63 0.4% 92%  
64 0.1% 91%  
65 1.1% 91%  
66 78% 90% Median
67 0.3% 12%  
68 11% 12%  
69 0.6% 1.3%  
70 0.2% 0.7%  
71 0.1% 0.5%  
72 0.1% 0.4%  
73 0.3% 0.3%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – GroenLinks

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.5% 99.9%  
62 0.1% 99.4%  
63 0.1% 99.3%  
64 11% 99.2%  
65 78% 88% Median
66 8% 10%  
67 0.6% 3%  
68 0.6% 2%  
69 0.9% 1.4%  
70 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
71 0% 0.4%  
72 0% 0.4%  
73 0.3% 0.3%  
74 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0.1% 99.7%  
62 0.1% 99.6%  
63 11% 99.5%  
64 0.1% 89%  
65 77% 88% Median
66 9% 12%  
67 0.8% 2%  
68 0.5% 2%  
69 0% 1.1%  
70 0.3% 1.1%  
71 0.1% 0.8%  
72 0.2% 0.7%  
73 0.4% 0.5%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 8% 99.9%  
60 0.6% 92%  
61 0.1% 91%  
62 0.2% 91%  
63 77% 91% Median
64 2% 14%  
65 0.1% 12%  
66 11% 12%  
67 0.2% 0.9%  
68 0.2% 0.7%  
69 0.1% 0.4%  
70 0% 0.3%  
71 0.3% 0.3%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0.4% 99.9%  
56 0.4% 99.4%  
57 8% 99.0%  
58 1.3% 91%  
59 77% 90% Median
60 0.4% 13%  
61 0.7% 13%  
62 0.3% 12%  
63 11% 12%  
64 0.1% 0.7%  
65 0.5% 0.5%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.8%  
54 11% 99.5%  
55 2% 89%  
56 0.4% 87%  
57 77% 87% Median
58 8% 10%  
59 0.4% 2%  
60 0.2% 1.3%  
61 0.1% 1.0%  
62 0.5% 1.0%  
63 0.4% 0.5%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 1.0% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 98.8%  
54 11% 98.5%  
55 0.4% 87%  
56 8% 87%  
57 0% 79%  
58 77% 79% Median
59 0.5% 2%  
60 0.2% 1.5%  
61 0.5% 1.3%  
62 0.1% 0.8%  
63 0.5% 0.7%  
64 0.2% 0.2%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie – GroenLinks

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0.1% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.8%  
51 0.2% 99.7%  
52 11% 99.5%  
53 1.1% 88%  
54 0.5% 87%  
55 85% 87% Median
56 0.4% 2%  
57 0.1% 2%  
58 0.4% 2%  
59 0.9% 1.3%  
60 0.4% 0.4%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.9%  
47 8% 99.8%  
48 0.5% 92%  
49 1.1% 92%  
50 0% 91%  
51 88% 91% Median
52 0.1% 2%  
53 0.3% 2%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.1% 1.2%  
56 0.2% 1.1%  
57 0.5% 0.8%  
58 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 19% 99.8%  
47 0.1% 81%  
48 77% 81% Median
49 0.7% 4%  
50 1.3% 3%  
51 0.5% 2%  
52 1.0% 2%  
53 0% 0.6%  
54 0.1% 0.6%  
55 0.4% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 8% 99.8%  
45 11% 92%  
46 0.1% 81%  
47 77% 81% Median
48 1.1% 4%  
49 1.0% 3%  
50 0.5% 2%  
51 0.3% 1.2%  
52 0.4% 0.9%  
53 0.3% 0.5%  
54 0% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.1% 100%  
43 8% 99.9%  
44 11% 92%  
45 77% 81% Median
46 0.4% 4%  
47 0.7% 3%  
48 1.2% 3%  
49 0.3% 2%  
50 0% 1.3%  
51 0.7% 1.2%  
52 0.2% 0.5%  
53 0.3% 0.3%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 8% 99.9%  
42 0.3% 92%  
43 11% 92%  
44 77% 81% Median
45 0.1% 3%  
46 1.4% 3%  
47 0.5% 2%  
48 0% 1.5%  
49 0.7% 1.4%  
50 0.3% 0.7%  
51 0.3% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0.1% 99.8%  
39 8% 99.7%  
40 89% 92% Median
41 0.1% 3%  
42 0.6% 3%  
43 0.6% 2%  
44 0% 1.5%  
45 0.5% 1.4%  
46 0.5% 0.9%  
47 0.2% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0.1% 99.9%  
37 9% 99.9%  
38 0.1% 91%  
39 0.5% 91%  
40 11% 91%  
41 77% 80% Median
42 0.5% 2%  
43 0.4% 2% Last Result
44 0.4% 2%  
45 0.1% 1.1%  
46 0.5% 1.0%  
47 0.2% 0.6%  
48 0.1% 0.3%  
49 0.2% 0.2%  
50 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.7%  
34 0.6% 99.3%  
35 0.5% 98.8%  
36 13% 98%  
37 8% 86%  
38 77% 78% Median
39 0.5% 1.0%  
40 0.1% 0.5%  
41 0.4% 0.4%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 8% 99.9%  
27 0.5% 92%  
28 1.0% 92%  
29 77% 91% Last Result, Median
30 0.7% 14%  
31 11% 13%  
32 1.4% 2%  
33 0.2% 0.9%  
34 0.2% 0.7%  
35 0.6% 0.6%  
36 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.8%  
23 0.2% 99.7%  
24 0.6% 99.5%  
25 12% 98.9%  
26 0.3% 87%  
27 79% 87% Median
28 0.5% 8%  
29 8% 8%  
30 0.1% 0.1%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0%  
39 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 8% 99.9%  
19 0.5% 92%  
20 1.1% 91%  
21 78% 90% Median
22 11% 12%  
23 0.3% 1.0%  
24 0.1% 0.7% Last Result
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations