Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 26 March 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 21.3% | 20.4–22.3% | 20.1–22.6% | 19.9–22.8% | 19.4–23.3% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.6–14.2% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.2–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.9–13.5% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.2–14.3% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.9–13.5% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.2–14.3% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33–34 | 31–34 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 17–18 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–15 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 94% | 98.8% | Last Result, Median | 
| 34 | 5% | 5% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 10% | 99.8% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 20% | 90% | |
| 21 | 54% | 70% | Median | 
| 22 | 16% | 16% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 16% | 100% | |
| 18 | 79% | 84% | Median | 
| 19 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 5% | 5% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 19 | 16% | 99.1% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 83% | 83% | Median | 
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 96% | |
| 14 | 75% | 95% | Last Result, Median | 
| 15 | 0.3% | 21% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 17 | 20% | 20% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 58% | 99.9% | Median | 
| 14 | 41% | 42% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 20% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 70% | 79% | Last Result, Median | 
| 10 | 10% | 10% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 83% | 100% | Median | 
| 5 | 16% | 17% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 79% | 99.6% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 21% | 21% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 16% | 100% | |
| 4 | 79% | 84% | Last Result, Median | 
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10% | 100% | |
| 3 | 90% | 90% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 21% | 100% | |
| 3 | 26% | 79% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 54% | 54% | Median | 
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 94% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
| 3 | 5% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 92 | 100% | 90–94 | 89–94 | 89–94 | 89–94 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 87 | 100% | 85–88 | 85–88 | 85–88 | 84–88 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 81 | 100% | 81–83 | 80–83 | 78–83 | 78–83 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 76 | 79% | 74–76 | 74–77 | 74–80 | 74–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 78 | 99.3% | 77–79 | 76–79 | 76–79 | 75–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 73 | 5% | 71–73 | 71–74 | 71–78 | 71–78 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 71 | 0% | 69–71 | 69–71 | 69–75 | 69–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 74 | 0.1% | 73–74 | 72–74 | 72–74 | 69–74 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 68 | 0% | 67–69 | 66–69 | 65–69 | 65–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 62 | 0% | 61–62 | 61–63 | 61–64 | 58–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 63 | 0% | 61–64 | 61–64 | 61–64 | 60–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 62 | 0% | 60–62 | 60–62 | 60–63 | 59–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie | 58 | 59 | 0% | 57–59 | 57–60 | 57–61 | 57–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 58 | 0% | 57–58 | 57–58 | 57–59 | 55–59 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 55 | 0% | 54–55 | 54–55 | 54–57 | 53–57 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 53 | 0% | 52–53 | 52–53 | 52–54 | 50–54 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 50 | 0% | 48–50 | 48–50 | 48–50 | 47–50 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 42 | 0% | 41–42 | 41–43 | 41–44 | 40–44 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 41 | 0% | 39–41 | 39–41 | 39–41 | 38–41 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 32–33 | 32–34 | 32–34 | 31–34 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 28–29 | 28–30 | 28–30 | 27–30 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 90 | 5% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 0.5% | 90% | |
| 92 | 53% | 89% | Median | 
| 93 | 16% | 36% | |
| 94 | 20% | 20% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 85 | 20% | 99.2% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 5% | 79% | |
| 87 | 58% | 73% | Median | 
| 88 | 15% | 16% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 95% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 59% | 95% | Median | 
| 82 | 0.4% | 36% | |
| 83 | 36% | 36% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 16% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 5% | 84% | |
| 76 | 74% | 79% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 0.5% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 4% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 6% | 99.3% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 25% | 94% | |
| 78 | 53% | 69% | Median | 
| 79 | 15% | 16% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 16% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 84% | |
| 73 | 79% | 84% | Median | 
| 74 | 0.6% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 5% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 16% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 84% | |
| 71 | 79% | 84% | Median | 
| 72 | 0.4% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 75 | 4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 6% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 25% | 94% | |
| 74 | 69% | 69% | Median | 
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 6% | 95% | |
| 68 | 54% | 89% | Median | 
| 69 | 35% | 36% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 36% | 98.7% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 53% | 63% | Median | 
| 63 | 5% | 10% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 61 | 20% | 99.2% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 5% | 79% | |
| 63 | 58% | 74% | Median | 
| 64 | 16% | 16% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 16% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 84% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 78% | 83% | Median | 
| 63 | 5% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 16% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 84% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 74% | 83% | Median | 
| 60 | 5% | 10% | |
| 61 | 4% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 21% | 98.9% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 73% | 78% | Median | 
| 59 | 5% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 16% | 98.9% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 79% | 83% | Median | 
| 56 | 0.2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 4% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 16% | 98.8% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 79% | 83% | Median | 
| 54 | 4% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.7% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 21% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 10% | 78% | |
| 50 | 69% | 69% | Median | 
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 20% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 69% | 79% | Last Result, Median | 
| 43 | 6% | 10% | |
| 44 | 4% | 4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.8% | Last Result | 
| 39 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 40 | 20% | 89% | |
| 41 | 69% | 69% | Median | 
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 20% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 69% | 79% | Last Result, Median | 
| 34 | 10% | 10% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 36% | 99.0% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 54% | 63% | Median | 
| 30 | 9% | 9% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 26 March 2017
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.55%