Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | VVD | PVV | CDA | D66 | GL | SP | PvdA | CU | PvdD | 50+ | SGP | DENK | FvD | PP | B1 | PvdT | JA21 | CO | Volt | BBB | Spl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 March 2017 | General Election | 21.3% 33 |
13.1% 20 |
12.4% 19 |
12.2% 19 |
9.1% 14 |
9.1% 14 |
5.7% 9 |
3.4% 5 |
3.2% 5 |
3.1% 4 |
2.1% 3 |
2.1% 3 |
1.8% 2 |
0.3% 0 |
0.3% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 20–25% 31–41 |
11–15% 16–22 |
9–12% 13–19 |
10–14% 15–20 |
5–8% 9–13 |
6–9% 9–14 |
6–9% 8–13 |
3–5% 5–8 |
3–5% 4–7 |
0–1% 0–2 |
2–3% 2–4 |
1–2% 1–2 |
3–4% 4–6 |
0% 0 |
0–1% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 1–3 |
0% 0 |
1–4% 1–5 |
0–1% 0–2 |
0–1% 0–1 |
| 16 March 2021 | Peil.nl | 20–23% 32–37 |
13–16% 21–23 |
10–12% 15–18 |
11–14% 19 |
5–6% 7–10 |
6–8% 11–12 |
6–8% 8–10 |
3–5% 5–7 |
3–5% 5–7 |
0% 0 |
2–3% 2–3 |
1–2% 1–2 |
3–5% 5–6 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–3% 3–4 |
0% 0 |
2–3% 2–3 |
0–1% 0–1 |
0% 0 |
| 14–16 March 2021 | Kantar Public | 22–26% 35–41 |
11–13% 16–22 |
9–11% 13–16 |
10–13% 15–20 |
5–7% 8–10 |
7–9% 10–14 |
7–9% 11–14 |
3–5% 5–7 |
3–5% 4–7 |
0–1% 0–1 |
2–3% 2–4 |
1–2% 1–2 |
3–4% 4–6 |
N/A N/A |
0–1% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 1–2 |
N/A N/A |
2–3% 2–4 |
0–1% 0–1 |
0–1% 0–1 |
| 15–16 March 2021 | Ipsos EenVandaag |
22–25% 33–38 |
11–14% 17–20 |
10–13% 15–19 |
11–14% 18–20 |
6–8% 10–13 |
6–8% 10–13 |
6–8% 10–13 |
3–5% 5–8 |
3–5% 5–7 |
0% 0 |
2–3% 2–3 |
1–2% 2 |
3–4% 4–5 |
N/A N/A |
0% 0 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 2 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 1–2 |
0–1% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
| 12–15 March 2021 | I&O Research | 20–23% 30–36 |
11–14% 17–22 |
9–11% 13–19 |
11–13% 17–20 |
6–8% 9–13 |
6–8% 8–13 |
6–8% 10–12 |
3–5% 5–6 |
3–4% 3–6 |
1% 0–2 |
2–3% 2–4 |
1–2% 1–2 |
3–4% 4–6 |
0% 0 |
0–1% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
1–2% 1–3 |
0–1% 0 |
3–4% 4–5 |
1% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
| 15 March 2017 | General Election | 21.3% 33 |
13.1% 20 |
12.4% 19 |
12.2% 19 |
9.1% 14 |
9.1% 14 |
5.7% 9 |
3.4% 5 |
3.2% 5 |
3.1% 4 |
2.1% 3 |
2.1% 3 |
1.8% 2 |
0.3% 0 |
0.3% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Tweede Kamer (95% confidence interval)
- VVD: Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
- PVV: Partij voor de Vrijheid
- CDA: Christen-Democratisch Appèl
- D66: Democraten 66
- GL: GroenLinks
- SP: Socialistische Partij
- PvdA: Partij van de Arbeid
- CU: ChristenUnie
- PvdD: Partij voor de Dieren
- 50+: 50Plus
- SGP: Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
- DENK: DENK
- FvD: Forum voor Democratie
- PP: Piratenpartij
- B1: Bij1
- PvdT: Partij voor de Toekomst
- JA21: Juiste Antwoord 2021
- CO: Code Oranje
- Volt: Volt Europa
- BBB: BoerBurgerBeweging
- Spl: Splinter
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 22.3% | 20.5–24.4% | 20.2–24.8% | 19.9–25.1% | 19.4–25.7% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.6–14.7% | 11.4–15.1% | 11.1–15.4% | 10.7–15.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.4–12.1% | 9.2–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.0–13.2% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.7% | 10.1–14.1% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.5–8.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.2–8.7% | 5.9–9.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.2–8.5% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.8–9.1% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1–4.4% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1–1.1% | 0.1–1.2% | 0.1–1.3% | 0.1–1.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.6% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.4–3.1% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.7% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.5% | 2.5–4.8% |
| Piratenpartij | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1–0.2% | 0.1–0.3% | 0.0–0.3% | 0.0–0.4% |
| Bij1 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.1–1.2% |
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.3% | 1.0–2.4% | 0.9–2.6% |
| Code Oranje | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1–0.4% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.5% | 0.1–0.6% |
| Volt Europa | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.3–3.3% | 1.2–3.5% | 1.1–3.7% | 0.9–4.0% |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.0% | 0.5–1.1% | 0.4–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% |
| Splinter | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.0% | 0.1–1.1% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 25% | 89% | Last Result |
| 21.5–22.5% | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 19% | 46% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 19% | 27% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 36% | 91% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 28% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 14% | 27% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 11% | 13% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 36% | 92% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 39% | 56% | Median |
| 11.5–12.5% | 16% | 17% | Last Result |
| 12.5–13.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 24% | 97% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 43% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 27% | 31% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 20% | 99.4% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 30% | 79% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 35% | 49% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 14% | 14% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 51% | 90% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 34% | 39% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 13% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 48% | 87% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 35% | 40% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 11% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 82% | 89% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 28% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 66% | 72% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 45% | 46% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 87% | 98% | Last Result, Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 10% | 10% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 81% | 100% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 19% | 19% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2.5–3.5% | 58% | 99.4% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 40% | 41% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 0% |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 64% | 64% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 43% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 56% | 57% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 0% |
Code Oranje
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 21% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 53% | 79% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 22% | 26% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 13% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 87% | 87% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 0% |
Splinter
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Splinter page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 59% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 0.5–1.5% | 41% | 41% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 35 | 33–39 | 32–41 | 31–41 | 30–41 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 20 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 14–17 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 19 | 17–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–21 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 10 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 7–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–7 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Piratenpartij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bij1 | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| Partij voor de Toekomst | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Juiste Antwoord 2021 | 0 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| Code Oranje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Volt Europa | 0 | 2 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
| BoerBurgerBeweging | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Splinter | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 2% | 95% | |
| 33 | 35% | 94% | Last Result |
| 34 | 4% | 59% | |
| 35 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 48% | |
| 37 | 23% | 45% | |
| 38 | 5% | 22% | |
| 39 | 9% | 17% | |
| 40 | 3% | 8% | |
| 41 | 5% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 9% | 100% | |
| 17 | 3% | 91% | |
| 18 | 13% | 87% | |
| 19 | 18% | 75% | |
| 20 | 23% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 23% | 34% | |
| 22 | 9% | 11% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 10% | 96% | |
| 15 | 30% | 86% | |
| 16 | 45% | 56% | Median |
| 17 | 3% | 11% | |
| 18 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 6% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 17 | 21% | 93% | |
| 18 | 10% | 73% | |
| 19 | 35% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 27% | 27% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 31% | 98% | |
| 10 | 24% | 67% | Median |
| 11 | 2% | 42% | |
| 12 | 21% | 40% | |
| 13 | 19% | 19% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 98% | |
| 10 | 16% | 96% | |
| 11 | 44% | 80% | Median |
| 12 | 29% | 35% | |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 23% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 77% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 76% | |
| 11 | 34% | 71% | Median |
| 12 | 24% | 37% | |
| 13 | 11% | 13% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 18% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 6 | 55% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 23% | 26% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 98% | |
| 5 | 72% | 93% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 13% | 21% | |
| 7 | 8% | 8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 58% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 25% | 42% | |
| 2 | 18% | 18% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 30% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 64% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 6% | 6% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 100% | |
| 2 | 71% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 34% | 99.4% | |
| 5 | 32% | 65% | Median |
| 6 | 33% | 33% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Piratenpartij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Bij1
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Bij1 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 61% | 62% | Median |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Toekomst
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Toekomst page.
Juiste Antwoord 2021
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Juiste Antwoord 2021 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 11% | 100% | |
| 2 | 58% | 89% | Median |
| 3 | 29% | 30% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Code Oranje
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Code Oranje page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Volt Europa
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volt Europa page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 49% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 20% | 46% | |
| 4 | 6% | 26% | |
| 5 | 20% | 20% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
BoerBurgerBeweging
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the BoerBurgerBeweging page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 60% | 65% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Splinter
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Splinter page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 65% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 35% | 35% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 86 | 100% | 82–90 | 82–91 | 82–93 | 78–93 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 87 | 100% | 83–89 | 83–90 | 81–93 | 79–93 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 77 | 79 | 63% | 75–83 | 75–83 | 74–83 | 71–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 76 | 59% | 71–79 | 71–80 | 71–81 | 67–81 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 76 | 55% | 72–80 | 72–80 | 71–80 | 69–80 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 72 | 24% | 69–80 | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 71 | 0.1% | 67–74 | 67–74 | 67–74 | 63–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 69 | 0.1% | 65–73 | 65–73 | 65–73 | 62–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 60–70 | 60–70 | 59–70 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 61 | 0% | 58–68 | 57–68 | 57–69 | 56–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 61 | 0% | 59–66 | 59–67 | 58–67 | 54–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 61 | 60 | 0% | 55–64 | 55–65 | 55–65 | 52–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie | 57 | 59 | 0% | 55–63 | 55–64 | 55–64 | 51–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie | 58 | 57 | 0% | 53–61 | 53–61 | 53–61 | 50–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 56 | 0% | 53–60 | 53–60 | 52–60 | 49–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 52 | 0% | 48–54 | 48–55 | 47–55 | 43–55 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 43 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 43–52 | 42–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 45 | 0% | 44–52 | 42–52 | 41–52 | 41–53 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 32 | 0% | 30–35 | 30–36 | 30–39 | 29–39 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 35 | 0% | 32–36 | 30–37 | 30–39 | 30–39 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 26 | 0% | 24–28 | 24–30 | 24–32 | 24–32 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 98.7% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 82 | 16% | 98% | |
| 83 | 2% | 82% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 81% | |
| 85 | 9% | 80% | Last Result |
| 86 | 22% | 71% | |
| 87 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 88 | 24% | 43% | |
| 89 | 7% | 19% | |
| 90 | 4% | 12% | |
| 91 | 4% | 8% | |
| 92 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 93 | 3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 98.5% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 83 | 17% | 96% | |
| 84 | 4% | 79% | |
| 85 | 13% | 74% | |
| 86 | 3% | 61% | Median |
| 87 | 29% | 58% | |
| 88 | 0.6% | 28% | |
| 89 | 21% | 28% | |
| 90 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 91 | 0% | 4% | |
| 92 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 93 | 3% | 3% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 98% | |
| 75 | 32% | 96% | |
| 76 | 4% | 63% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 60% | Last Result |
| 78 | 4% | 56% | |
| 79 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 80 | 10% | 41% | |
| 81 | 7% | 31% | |
| 82 | 2% | 24% | |
| 83 | 22% | 22% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 16% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 82% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 81% | |
| 74 | 8% | 80% | |
| 75 | 13% | 72% | |
| 76 | 19% | 59% | Last Result, Median, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 40% | |
| 78 | 28% | 39% | |
| 79 | 4% | 11% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 98% | |
| 72 | 16% | 95% | |
| 73 | 17% | 80% | |
| 74 | 5% | 63% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 57% | |
| 76 | 18% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 37% | |
| 78 | 10% | 35% | |
| 79 | 3% | 25% | |
| 80 | 22% | 22% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 7% | 100% | |
| 69 | 29% | 93% | |
| 70 | 4% | 64% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 60% | |
| 72 | 21% | 59% | |
| 73 | 2% | 38% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 36% | |
| 75 | 4% | 28% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 24% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 23% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 20% | |
| 79 | 4% | 20% | |
| 80 | 16% | 17% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 98% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 67 | 18% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 80% | |
| 69 | 17% | 79% | |
| 70 | 8% | 62% | |
| 71 | 9% | 54% | Median |
| 72 | 16% | 45% | Last Result |
| 73 | 5% | 29% | |
| 74 | 24% | 24% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 2% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 65 | 16% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 83% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 82% | |
| 68 | 5% | 81% | |
| 69 | 27% | 75% | |
| 70 | 8% | 48% | Median |
| 71 | 1.1% | 40% | Last Result |
| 72 | 23% | 39% | |
| 73 | 15% | 16% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 16% | 94% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 78% | |
| 63 | 3% | 78% | |
| 64 | 23% | 75% | |
| 65 | 19% | 52% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 33% | |
| 67 | 19% | 31% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 69 | 2% | 11% | |
| 70 | 9% | 9% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 5% | 98% | |
| 58 | 23% | 92% | |
| 59 | 6% | 69% | |
| 60 | 7% | 63% | |
| 61 | 19% | 56% | |
| 62 | 10% | 37% | Median |
| 63 | 0.8% | 27% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 27% | |
| 65 | 3% | 26% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 23% | Last Result |
| 67 | 2% | 22% | |
| 68 | 17% | 20% | |
| 69 | 3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 16% | 96% | |
| 60 | 3% | 80% | |
| 61 | 42% | 77% | Last Result |
| 62 | 6% | 35% | Median |
| 63 | 2% | 29% | |
| 64 | 3% | 26% | |
| 65 | 4% | 23% | |
| 66 | 12% | 19% | |
| 67 | 7% | 7% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 17% | 98% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 81% | |
| 57 | 7% | 80% | |
| 58 | 19% | 73% | |
| 59 | 3% | 54% | Median |
| 60 | 7% | 51% | |
| 61 | 8% | 44% | Last Result |
| 62 | 23% | 36% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 13% | |
| 64 | 7% | 12% | |
| 65 | 5% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 55 | 17% | 98% | |
| 56 | 17% | 80% | |
| 57 | 11% | 64% | Last Result |
| 58 | 2% | 53% | |
| 59 | 2% | 51% | Median |
| 60 | 9% | 49% | |
| 61 | 4% | 40% | |
| 62 | 23% | 35% | |
| 63 | 8% | 13% | |
| 64 | 5% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 53 | 17% | 98% | |
| 54 | 8% | 80% | |
| 55 | 18% | 72% | |
| 56 | 3% | 55% | Median |
| 57 | 3% | 51% | |
| 58 | 7% | 48% | Last Result |
| 59 | 28% | 41% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 61 | 12% | 12% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 53 | 33% | 97% | |
| 54 | 11% | 64% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0.6% | 53% | |
| 56 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 57 | 2% | 49% | |
| 58 | 11% | 48% | |
| 59 | 24% | 37% | |
| 60 | 13% | 13% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 16% | 97% | |
| 49 | 21% | 81% | |
| 50 | 8% | 60% | |
| 51 | 2% | 53% | Median |
| 52 | 3% | 50% | Last Result |
| 53 | 26% | 47% | |
| 54 | 14% | 21% | |
| 55 | 7% | 7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 50% | 98% | |
| 44 | 8% | 48% | |
| 45 | 6% | 40% | |
| 46 | 3% | 34% | Median |
| 47 | 7% | 31% | Last Result |
| 48 | 20% | 24% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 4% | 100% | |
| 42 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 44 | 18% | 94% | |
| 45 | 39% | 76% | |
| 46 | 2% | 37% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 34% | |
| 48 | 3% | 24% | |
| 49 | 2% | 20% | |
| 50 | 2% | 18% | |
| 51 | 4% | 17% | |
| 52 | 12% | 13% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 29% | 98% | |
| 31 | 4% | 68% | |
| 32 | 23% | 64% | |
| 33 | 5% | 41% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 12% | 36% | |
| 35 | 18% | 24% | |
| 36 | 2% | 6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 39 | 3% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 2% | 93% | |
| 32 | 23% | 91% | |
| 33 | 6% | 68% | |
| 34 | 3% | 62% | |
| 35 | 32% | 59% | Median |
| 36 | 18% | 26% | |
| 37 | 4% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 4% | Last Result |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24 | 24% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 11% | 76% | |
| 26 | 22% | 65% | |
| 27 | 10% | 43% | Median |
| 28 | 25% | 33% | Last Result |
| 29 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 7% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 32 | 3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 4
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 1,048,576
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 2.93%