Partij van de Arbeid

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 5.7% (General Election of 15 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.4% 6.5–8.3% 6.2–8.5% 6.1–8.7% 5.8–9.1%
16 March 2021 Peil.nl 6.6% 6.1–7.3% 5.9–7.4% 5.8–7.6% 5.5–7.9%
14–16 March 2021 Kantar Public 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4%
15–16 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.3% 6.7–8.0% 6.5–8.2% 6.3–8.4% 6.1–8.7%
12–15 March 2021 I&O Research 7.4% 6.8–8.1% 6.6–8.3% 6.5–8.4% 6.2–8.8%
12–13 March 2021 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.7–8.0% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.3% 6.1–8.6%
6–8 March 2021 Kantar Public 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.1% 7.0–10.6%
5–8 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.5–8.4% 6.3–8.6% 6.0–9.0%
5–8 March 2021 I&O Research 8.5% 7.9–9.3% 7.7–9.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1%
5–6 March 2021 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
1–2 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.7% 7.0–8.5% 6.8–8.7% 6.6–9.0% 6.3–9.4%
1–2 March 2021 I&O Research 8.1% 7.5–8.8% 7.3–9.0% 7.1–9.2% 6.8–9.6%
26–27 February 2021 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
22–24 February 2021 Kantar Public 8.7% 7.7–9.8% 7.4–10.2% 7.2–10.5% 6.7–11.0%
19–20 February 2021 Peil.nl 8.5% 7.8–9.2% 7.7–9.4% 7.5–9.5% 7.2–9.9%
14–15 February 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.6% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
12–15 February 2021 I&O Research 8.6% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2%
12–13 February 2021 Peil.nl 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
5–6 February 2021 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
29 January–2 February 2021 I&O Research
De Volkskrant
8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.6% 7.5–9.8% 7.1–10.3%
29–30 January 2021 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
23–26 January 2021 Kantar Public 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2%
22–25 January 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.7% 6.7–8.8% 6.4–9.1% 6.2–9.4% 5.8–10.0%
22–25 January 2021 I&O Research 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.2% 6.6–9.6%
22–23 January 2021 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
15–16 January 2021 Peil.nl 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
8–12 January 2021 Kantar Public 6.6% 5.7–7.8% 5.4–8.1% 5.2–8.4% 4.8–9.0%
8–11 January 2021 I&O Research 7.3% 6.7–8.1% 6.5–8.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.0–8.8%
8–9 January 2021 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
1–2 January 2021 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
18–21 December 2020 Kantar Public 9.4% 8.4–10.5% 8.1–10.8% 7.9–11.1% 7.4–11.7%
18–21 December 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.7–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
18–19 December 2020 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
11–14 December 2020 I&O Research 8.7% 7.7–9.8% 7.5–10.1% 7.2–10.4% 6.8–10.9%
11–12 December 2020 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
4–5 December 2020 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
26–27 November 2020 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
20–23 November 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.3% 7.3–9.5% 7.0–9.8% 6.8–10.1% 6.3–10.7%
20–21 November 2020 Peil.nl 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
9–16 November 2020 I&O Research 8.6% 7.9–9.4% 7.7–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.2–10.3%
15 November 2020 Peil.nl 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
7–15 November 2020 Kantar Public 9.9% 9.4–10.5% 9.2–10.7% 9.1–10.8% 8.8–11.1%
8 November 2020 Peil.nl 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
1 November 2020 Peil.nl 8.6% 8.0–9.3% 7.8–9.5% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.0%
23–26 October 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.0% 6.9–10.3% 6.5–10.9%
16–17 October 2020 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.6–10.0% 8.5–10.2% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.7%
9–12 October 2020 I&O Research 8.7% 7.9–9.6% 7.7–9.9% 7.5–10.1% 7.1–10.5%
11 October 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
4 October 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
25–29 September 2020 Kantar Public 8.5% 7.5–9.6% 7.3–10.0% 7.0–10.2% 6.6–10.8%
27 September 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
25–27 September 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.3%
18–19 September 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
3–7 September 2020 I&O Research 8.4% 7.6–9.2% 7.4–9.4% 7.3–9.7% 6.9–10.1%
4–5 September 2020 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.6–10.0% 8.5–10.2% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.7%
28–29 August 2020 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 8.9–11.1% 8.6–11.5%
21–27 August 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.6–10.5% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
23 August 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
14–15 August 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
9 August 2020 I&O Research 8.6% 7.7–9.6% 7.4–10.0% 7.2–10.2% 6.8–10.7%
26 July 2020 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
24–26 July 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.2–10.6% 6.7–11.2%
19 July 2020 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
3–6 July 2020 I&O Research 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.6%
5 July 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
27–30 June 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.9% 6.9–9.0% 6.6–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 5.9–10.2%
28 June 2020 Peil.nl 10.6% 9.9–11.4% 9.7–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
23–26 June 2020 Kantar Public 8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.6% 6.4–10.0% 5.9–10.6%
21 June 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
5–9 June 2020 I&O Research 8.7% 8.1–9.3% 7.9–9.5% 7.8–9.7% 7.5–10.0%
31 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.6% 11.9–13.4% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.1–14.3%
22–24 May 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.4% 6.6–11.1%
15–16 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.6% 11.9–13.4% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.1–14.3%
7–12 May 2020 I&O Research 9.7% 8.9–10.6% 8.7–10.8% 8.5–11.0% 8.1–11.5%
8–9 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.6% 11.9–13.4% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.1–14.3%
1–2 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
26 April 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
24–26 April 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%
27–30 March 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.1%
26–30 March 2020 I&O Research 9.5% 8.8–10.3% 8.6–10.6% 8.4–10.8% 8.0–11.2%
5–10 March 2020 I&O Research 9.5% 8.7–10.3% 8.5–10.6% 8.3–10.8% 8.0–11.2%
1–6 March 2020 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
23 February–1 March 2020 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
21–24 February 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.1% 7.1–11.8%
18–23 February 2020 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
17–22 February 2020 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
9–14 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
2–9 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
27 January–1 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
24–27 January 2020 Ipsos 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.0% 7.8–11.3% 7.3–12.0%
21–26 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
10–18 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
10–14 January 2020 I&O Research 8.8% 8.0–9.6% 7.8–9.8% 7.7–10.0% 7.3–10.4%
6–11 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
16–21 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
19–21 December 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
9–14 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
2–7 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
25–30 November 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
22–25 November 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.8% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.2–10.7% 6.8–11.4%
18–23 November 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
11–16 November 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
15 November 2019 Kantar Public 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
7–13 November 2019 I&O Research 9.9% 8.9–11.1% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.7% 8.0–12.2%
4–9 November 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
28 October–2 November 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.2%
21–26 October 2019 Peil.nl 13.1% 12.4–14.0% 12.1–14.2% 12.0–14.4% 11.6–14.8%
14–19 October 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
15 October 2019 Kantar Public 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
10–15 October 2019 I&O Research 10.6% 9.7–11.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.2–12.1% 8.8–12.6%
7–12 October 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
30 September–5 October 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
23–28 September 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
20–23 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
16–21 September 2019 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
15 September 2019 Kantar Public 8.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.3–10.4% 7.1–10.7% 6.6–11.3%
9–14 September 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
2–7 September 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
29 August–3 September 2019 I&O Research 10.2% 9.3–11.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.8–11.8% 8.4–12.3%
30 August–2 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
26–31 August 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
19–24 August 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
29 July–4 August 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
29 July 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
26–29 July 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.5–10.4% 7.3–10.8% 6.8–11.4%
5–9 July 2019 I&O Research 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7%
1–7 July 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
24–30 June 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
21–24 June 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
17–23 June 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
10–16 June 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
3–9 June 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
27 May–2 June 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
20–26 May 2019 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.5% 9.8–11.7% 9.7–11.9% 9.3–12.3%
21 May 2019 Ipsos 7.0% 6.1–8.2% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.8% 5.2–9.3%
13–19 May 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
9–14 May 2019 I&O Research 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.8%
6–12 May 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
29 April–5 May 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
26–29 April 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.1% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–8.9%
22–28 April 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
17–25 April 2019 Kantar Public 8.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
19–24 April 2019 I&O Research 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4%
15–21 April 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
8–14 April 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
1–7 April 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
25–31 March 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
18–24 March 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
21 March 2019 Ipsos 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
18 March 2019 I&O Research 7.6% 6.8–8.6% 6.5–8.9% 6.3–9.2% 5.9–9.7%
11–16 March 2019 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
8–12 March 2019 I&O Research 6.8% 6.1–7.6% 6.0–7.8% 5.8–8.0% 5.5–8.4%
4–10 March 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
25 February–3 March 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
22–26 February 2019 I&O Research 6.5% 5.8–7.3% 5.6–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.2–8.1%
18–24 February 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
22–24 February 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
6.1% 5.3–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
11–17 February 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
12 February 2019 Kantar Public 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.6–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
4–10 February 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
28 January–3 February 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
25–28 January 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.7% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
21–27 January 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
18–22 January 2019 I&O Research 7.5% 7.0–8.1% 6.8–8.2% 6.7–8.4% 6.4–8.7%
14–20 January 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
7–13 January 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
12 January 2019 Kantar Public 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.8–9.0%
14–17 December 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.7–7.2% 4.5–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
10–16 December 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
7–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
3–9 December 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
26 November–2 December 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
22–27 November 2018 I&O Research 6.4% 5.9–7.0% 5.7–7.2% 5.6–7.3% 5.4–7.6%
23–26 November 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
19–25 November 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
12–18 November 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
5–11 November 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
29 October–4 November 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
26–29 October 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
22–28 October 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
15–21 October 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
8–14 October 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
1–7 October 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
24–30 September 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
17–23 September 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
21–23 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.2–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
10–16 September 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
13–16 September 2018 Kantar Public 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.3–8.3% 4.9–8.9%
7–11 September 2018 I&O Research 7.4% 6.7–8.2% 6.5–8.4% 6.3–8.6% 6.0–9.0%
3–9 September 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
31 August–3 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.4% 4.6–6.4% 4.3–6.6% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.4%
27 August–2 September 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
20–26 August 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
13–19 August 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
27–30 July 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–6.0% 3.9–6.2% 3.6–6.6%
2–8 July 2018 Peil.nl 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
25 June–1 July 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
13–29 June 2018 I&O Research 7.0% 6.4–7.8% 6.2–8.0% 6.0–8.2% 5.7–8.5%
22–25 June 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
18–24 June 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
11–17 June 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
13 June 2018 Kantar Public 6.7% 5.8–7.9% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.5% 4.9–9.1%
4–10 June 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
28 May–3 June 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
25–28 May 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.3% 4.5–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.1–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
21–27 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
14–20 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
7–13 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
30 April–6 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
23–29 April 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
20–23 April 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.2% 4.5–6.2% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.7% 3.7–7.1%
16–22 April 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
9–15 April 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
2–8 April 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
26 March–1 April 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
19–25 March 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
19 March 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–7.0%
12–18 March 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
8–12 March 2018 I&O Research 7.6% 7.1–8.2% 6.9–8.4% 6.8–8.6% 6.5–8.9%
5–11 March 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
26 February–4 March 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
27 February–4 March 2018 Kantar Public 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.4–8.2%
23–26 February 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
19–25 February 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
12–18 February 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
5–11 February 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
2–6 February 2018 I&O Research 6.7% 6.2–7.3% 6.0–7.4% 5.9–7.6% 5.7–7.8%
29 January–4 February 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
26–29 January 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
22–28 January 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
25–28 January 2018 Kantar Public 7.4% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 6.0–9.0% 5.6–9.6%
15–21 January 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
8–14 January 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
18–24 December 2017 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
18 December 2017 Ipsos 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
15–18 December 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
17 December 2017 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
10 December 2017 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
3 December 2017 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
30 November 2017 Ipsos 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
27 November 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.3–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
26 November 2017 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
19 November 2017 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
12 November 2017 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
5 November 2017 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
2 November 2017 Ipsos 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–7.0% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
30 October 2017 I&O Research 6.9% 6.1–7.8% 5.8–8.1% 5.6–8.4% 5.3–8.9%
27–30 October 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
29 October 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
15 October 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
11–15 October 2017 Kantar Public 6.7% 5.8–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.3–8.4% 4.9–9.0%
11 October 2017 I&O Research 6.4% 5.6–7.4% 5.4–7.6% 5.2–7.9% 4.9–8.4%
5 October 2017 Ipsos 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
1 October 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
22–25 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
6.6% 5.9–7.5% 5.7–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3%
24 September 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
17 September 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
14 September 2017 Ipsos 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
11 September 2017 I&O Research 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.8%
10 September 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
1–4 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.6%
3 September 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
31 August 2017 Kantar Public 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.6–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
27 August 2017 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
20 August 2017 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
10 August 2017 Ipsos 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
30 July 2017 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
21–24 July 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3%
16 July 2017 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
13 July 2017 Ipsos 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.4–6.8% 4.3–7.1% 3.9–7.6%
12 July 2017 Kantar Public 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4% 4.6–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
2 July 2017 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
29 June 2017 Ipsos 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
23–26 June 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3%
18 June 2017 Peil.nl 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
18 June 2017 I&O Research 6.5% 5.7–7.5% 5.5–7.7% 5.3–8.0% 4.9–8.4%
15 June 2017 Ipsos 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
4 June 2017 Peil.nl 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
1 June 2017 Ipsos 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.0–6.5%
29 May 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
6.6% 6.0–7.4% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2%
21 May 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
19 May 2017 Ipsos 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
14 May 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
7 May 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
4 May 2017 Ipsos 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–6.0% 3.6–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
24 April 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.1–6.8%
23 April 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
20 April 2017 Ipsos 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
16 April 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
9 April 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
6 April 2017 Ipsos 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
2 April 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
26 March 2017 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.1% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 13% 99.9% Last Result
6.5–7.5% 48% 87% Median
7.5–8.5% 35% 40%  
8.5–9.5% 4% 4%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 0%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 15 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11 8–13 8–13 8–13 8–14
16 March 2021 Peil.nl 8 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–11
14–16 March 2021 Kantar Public 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–14
15–16 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12 10–13 10–13 10–13 10–13
12–15 March 2021 I&O Research 11 11 11–12 10–12 9–13
12–13 March 2021 Peil.nl 10 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–13
6–8 March 2021 Kantar Public 13 11–14 11–15 11–15 9–16
5–8 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12 10–13 10–13 9–13 9–13
5–8 March 2021 I&O Research 13 12–15 12–15 11–15 11–15
5–6 March 2021 Peil.nl 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
1–2 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–13
1–2 March 2021 I&O Research 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–16
26–27 February 2021 Peil.nl 12 12 12–13 12–14 12–14
22–24 February 2021 Kantar Public 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–16
19–20 February 2021 Peil.nl 13 12–15 11–15 11–15 11–16
14–15 February 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11 10–16 10–16 10–16 9–16
12–15 February 2021 I&O Research 14 12–14 12–14 12–15 10–15
12–13 February 2021 Peil.nl 14 12–14 12–14 12–14 12–14
5–6 February 2021 Peil.nl 13 13–14 12–15 12–16 11–16
29 January–2 February 2021 I&O Research
De Volkskrant
12 12 12 12–15 12–16
29–30 January 2021 Peil.nl 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
23–26 January 2021 Kantar Public 11 11 11–12 10–13 10–14
22–25 January 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12 11–13 9–14 9–15 8–15
22–25 January 2021 I&O Research 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 9–15
22–23 January 2021 Peil.nl 9 9–11 9–11 9–12 9–12
15–16 January 2021 Peil.nl 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 9–11
8–12 January 2021 Kantar Public 9 8–10 8–11 8–12 7–13
8–11 January 2021 I&O Research 12 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
8–9 January 2021 Peil.nl 10 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–13
1–2 January 2021 Peil.nl 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–14
18–21 December 2020 Kantar Public 14 12–16 12–16 12–16 11–17
18–21 December 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–16
18–19 December 2020 Peil.nl 13 13–14 12–14 12–14 11–14
11–14 December 2020 I&O Research 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 10–16
11–12 December 2020 Peil.nl 15 13–15 13–15 11–16 11–16
4–5 December 2020 Peil.nl 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
26–27 November 2020 Peil.nl 12 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
20–23 November 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
15 11–15 10–15 10–15 9–16
20–21 November 2020 Peil.nl 13 13–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
9–16 November 2020 I&O Research 13 13–14 11–14 11–15 11–16
15 November 2020 Peil.nl 13 11–13 11–13 11–14 11–15
7–15 November 2020 Kantar Public 15 14–17 14–17 14–17 13–17
8 November 2020 Peil.nl 13 11–13 11–13 11–14 11–15
1 November 2020 Peil.nl 13 11–13 11–13 11–14 11–15
23–26 October 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
15 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
16–17 October 2020 Peil.nl 13 13–16 13–16 13–16 13–16
9–12 October 2020 I&O Research 14 14 13–14 13–14 12–14
11 October 2020 Peil.nl 17 15–18 14–18 14–18 14–18
4 October 2020 Peil.nl 17 15–18 14–18 14–18 14–18
25–29 September 2020 Kantar Public 13 13–14 13–14 12–14 11–15
27 September 2020 Peil.nl 17 15–18 14–18 14–18 14–18
25–27 September 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13 12–15 11–16 11–16 11–17
18–19 September 2020 Peil.nl 17 15–18 14–18 14–18 14–18
3–7 September 2020 I&O Research 13 12–14 11–14 10–15 10–15
4–5 September 2020 Peil.nl 14 12–14 12–15 12–16 12–17
28–29 August 2020 Peil.nl 16 13–16 13–17 13–17 13–18
21–27 August 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 12–14 12–15 12–15 11–16
23 August 2020 Peil.nl 16 14–18 13–18 13–18 13–18
14–15 August 2020 Peil.nl 15 14–17 14–17 14–18 14–18
9 August 2020 I&O Research 13 13 13 12–14 11–16
26 July 2020 Peil.nl 15 15–16 15–16 15–16 14–17
24–26 July 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 12–15 11–15 11–15 10–17
19 July 2020 Peil.nl 15 15–16 15–16 15–16 14–17
3–6 July 2020 I&O Research 12 11–13 11–13 10–14 10–14
5 July 2020 Peil.nl 16 16–17 15–18 15–19 14–19
27–30 June 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11 10–13 10–14 10–15 9–15
28 June 2020 Peil.nl 16 16–17 15–18 15–19 14–19
23–26 June 2020 Kantar Public 12 11–13 10–13 8–14 8–16
21 June 2020 Peil.nl 18 18–19 18–20 17–20 17–20
5–9 June 2020 I&O Research 13 12–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
31 May 2020 Peil.nl 18 18–20 17–21 17–21 17–21
22–24 May 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 11–15 11–15 11–16 10–16
15–16 May 2020 Peil.nl 20 17–21 17–21 17–23 17–23
7–12 May 2020 I&O Research 14 14–15 14–15 14–15 14–15
8–9 May 2020 Peil.nl 20 17–21 17–21 17–23 17–23
1–2 May 2020 Peil.nl 20 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–22
26 April 2020 Peil.nl 19 18–20 17–21 17–21 16–21
24–26 April 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 12–18 12–18 12–18 11–18
27–30 March 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 13–16 13–16 12–16 11–17
26–30 March 2020 I&O Research 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
5–10 March 2020 I&O Research 15 14–15 14–16 13–16 12–16
1–6 March 2020 Peil.nl 16 16–18 16–18 16–18 16–19
23 February–1 March 2020 Peil.nl 18 16–18 15–18 15–18 15–19
21–24 February 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 13–14 11–15 11–16 11–16
18–23 February 2020 Peil.nl 18 16–18 15–18 15–18 15–19
17–22 February 2020 Peil.nl 16 16–18 16–18 16–18 16–19
9–14 February 2020 Peil.nl 17 17–19 16–20 16–20 16–21
2–9 February 2020 Peil.nl 17 17–19 16–20 16–20 16–21
27 January–1 February 2020 Peil.nl 17 17–19 16–20 16–21 16–21
24–27 January 2020 Ipsos 15 13–15 12–16 12–17 11–18
21–26 January 2020 Peil.nl 17 17–19 16–20 16–21 16–21
10–18 January 2020 Peil.nl 17 17–19 16–20 16–21 16–21
10–14 January 2020 I&O Research 14 13–14 12–14 12–14 11–15
6–11 January 2020 Peil.nl 17 17–19 16–20 16–21 16–21
16–21 December 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–20 18–21 17–21 17–22
19–21 December 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 13–17 13–17 13–18 12–18
9–14 December 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–20 18–21 17–21 17–22
2–7 December 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 18–21
25–30 November 2019 Peil.nl 19 17–20 17–21 17–21 17–22
22–25 November 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 11–14 11–15 11–16 10–17
18–23 November 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–22 18–22 18–22 18–23
11–16 November 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–22 18–22 18–22 18–23
15 November 2019 Kantar Public 17 15–17 15–18 15–18 13–19
7–13 November 2019 I&O Research 15 14–16 13–18 13–18 13–18
4–9 November 2019 Peil.nl 21 20–21 20–22 19–24 18–24
28 October–2 November 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–22 19–22 19–22 18–23
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 13–15 12–16 12–17 11–18
21–26 October 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–21 19–21 19–22 18–23
14–19 October 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–22 19–22 19–22 18–23
15 October 2019 Kantar Public 16 13–18 13–19 13–19 11–20
10–15 October 2019 I&O Research 15 14–17 14–17 13–17 13–19
7–12 October 2019 Peil.nl 21 19–21 18–22 18–22 18–22
30 September–5 October 2019 Peil.nl 21 19–21 18–22 18–22 18–22
23–28 September 2019 Peil.nl 21 20–21 20–21 19–21 18–24
20–23 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 11–15 10–16 10–17 9–17
16–21 September 2019 Peil.nl 21 20–21 20–21 19–21 18–24
15 September 2019 Kantar Public 15 12–17 12–17 11–17 10–17
9–14 September 2019 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
2–7 September 2019 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
29 August–3 September 2019 I&O Research 15 15–16 14–17 13–18 13–18
30 August–2 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13 12–16 12–16 11–17 10–18
26–31 August 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–21 19–21 18–21 17–22
19–24 August 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–21 19–21 18–21 17–22
29 July–4 August 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–21 18–21 17–22 17–22
29 July 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–21 18–21 17–22 17–22
26–29 July 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 12–16 11–16 11–16 10–16
5–9 July 2019 I&O Research 14 14–15 13–16 13–17 12–18
1–7 July 2019 Peil.nl 20 17–21 17–21 17–21 16–22
24–30 June 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 18–22 17–22
21–24 June 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13 12–16 12–17 11–17 10–17
17–23 June 2019 Peil.nl 18 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
10–16 June 2019 Peil.nl 18 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
3–9 June 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–21 17–21 17–21 16–21
27 May–2 June 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–21 17–21 17–21 16–21
20–26 May 2019 Peil.nl 15 15–17 15–17 15–18 14–18
21 May 2019 Ipsos 11 10–12 9–13 9–13 8–14
13–19 May 2019 Peil.nl 15 14–16 14–16 13–17 12–17
9–14 May 2019 I&O Research 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–15
6–12 May 2019 Peil.nl 16 14–16 14–16 14–16 14–17
29 April–5 May 2019 Peil.nl 13 13–15 13–15 13–15 12–17
26–29 April 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9 9–11 9–12 8–12 8–12
22–28 April 2019 Peil.nl 14 14 13–15 13–16 13–17
17–25 April 2019 Kantar Public 12 10–15 9–15 9–15 9–16
19–24 April 2019 I&O Research 12 10–13 9–13 9–14 9–15
15–21 April 2019 Peil.nl 14 12–14 12–15 12–15 11–15
8–14 April 2019 Peil.nl 14 12–14 12–15 12–15 11–15
1–7 April 2019 Peil.nl 14 12–14 12–15 12–15 11–15
25–31 March 2019 Peil.nl 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–15
18–24 March 2019 Peil.nl 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–15
21 March 2019 Ipsos 10 7–11 7–12 7–12 6–12
18 March 2019 I&O Research 13 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
11–16 March 2019 Peil.nl 12 11–13 11–14 11–14 10–14
8–12 March 2019 I&O Research 10 9–12 9–12 8–12 8–12
4–10 March 2019 Peil.nl 13 12–14 12–14 12–15 11–15
25 February–3 March 2019 Peil.nl 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 12–16
22–26 February 2019 I&O Research 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
18–24 February 2019 Peil.nl 14 13–15 13–15 12–15 12–16
22–24 February 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10 8–11 7–11 7–12 7–12
11–17 February 2019 Peil.nl 14 12–16 12–16 12–16 12–16
12 February 2019 Kantar Public 8 7–9 7–10 7–11 6–11
4–10 February 2019 Peil.nl 14 12–16 12–16 12–16 12–16
28 January–3 February 2019 Peil.nl 14 14–16 14–17 14–17 12–17
25–28 January 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8 7–10 7–10 6–11 6–11
21–27 January 2019 Peil.nl 14 14–16 14–17 14–17 12–17
18–22 January 2019 I&O Research 10 10–12 10–13 10–13 10–13
14–20 January 2019 Peil.nl 14 14–16 14–17 14–17 12–17
7–13 January 2019 Peil.nl 17 15–17 14–18 14–18 13–18
12 January 2019 Kantar Public 10 9–10 9–10 9–11 8–12
14–17 December 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9 7–9 7–10 7–10 6–11
10–16 December 2018 Peil.nl 17 15–17 14–18 14–18 13–18
7–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 8 8–9 8–10 8–10 6–10
3–9 December 2018 Peil.nl 17 15–17 14–18 14–18 13–18
26 November–2 December 2018 Peil.nl 15 15 13–15 12–16 12–17
22–27 November 2018 I&O Research 10 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–11
23–26 November 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
19–25 November 2018 Peil.nl 16 15–16 14–18 14–18 13–18
12–18 November 2018 Peil.nl 17 14–17 14–17 14–17 13–17
5–11 November 2018 Peil.nl 17 14–17 14–17 14–17 13–17
29 October–4 November 2018 Peil.nl 17 14–17 14–17 14–17 13–17
26–29 October 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11 9–13 9–13 8–13 7–14
22–28 October 2018 Peil.nl 14 14 14 14–15 13–16
15–21 October 2018 Peil.nl 14 14 14 14–15 13–16
8–14 October 2018 Peil.nl 14 14 14 14–15 13–16
1–7 October 2018 Peil.nl 14 14 14 14–15 13–16
24–30 September 2018 Peil.nl 13 13 13 12–14 12–15
17–23 September 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–14 13–14 11–16
21–23 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7 6–9 6–10 6–11 5–12
10–16 September 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–12 11–14 11–14 10–14
13–16 September 2018 Kantar Public 11 10–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
7–11 September 2018 I&O Research 11 10–13 10–13 10–13 8–14
3–9 September 2018 Peil.nl 12 12–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
31 August–3 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
27 August–2 September 2018 Peil.nl 11 11 11 11 11–12
20–26 August 2018 Peil.nl 11 11 11 11 11–12
13–19 August 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–12 10–12 10–12 9–13
27–30 July 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8 6–9 6–9 6–9 5–10
2–8 July 2018 Peil.nl 11 10–11 10–11 10–11 8–12
25 June–1 July 2018 Peil.nl 12 9–12 9–12 9–12 9–12
13–29 June 2018 I&O Research 10 10–11 10–12 10–12 9–12
22–25 June 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8 7–8 7–8 6–9 6–9
18–24 June 2018 Peil.nl 10 9–11 9–12 9–12 9–12
11–17 June 2018 Peil.nl 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
13 June 2018 Kantar Public 10 8–13 8–13 7–13 7–13
4–10 June 2018 Peil.nl 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
28 May–3 June 2018 Peil.nl 11 11 11 11–12 9–12
25–28 May 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7 7–9 6–10 6–10 5–10
21–27 May 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–13 10–13 10–14 10–14
14–20 May 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–14
7–13 May 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–14 10–14 10–14 10–14
30 April–6 May 2018 Peil.nl 11 11 11 11–12 10–13
23–29 April 2018 Peil.nl 11 11 11 11–12 10–13
20–23 April 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9 6–10 6–10 6–10 5–10
16–22 April 2018 Peil.nl 10 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–14
9–15 April 2018 Peil.nl 10 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–14
2–8 April 2018 Peil.nl 10 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–14
26 March–1 April 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–12 11–12 11–13 10–14
19–25 March 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–12 11–12 11–13 10–14
19 March 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7 6–9 6–9 6–9 6–10
12–18 March 2018 Peil.nl 12 12 12 12 10–13
8–12 March 2018 I&O Research 12 12 11–12 11–12 10–12
5–11 March 2018 Peil.nl 12 12–13 11–13 11–13 11–14
26 February–4 March 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–12 11–13 11–13 10–14
27 February–4 March 2018 Kantar Public 7 7–9 7–10 7–11 7–12
23–26 February 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
8 6–8 6–9 6–10 5–10
19–25 February 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–12 11–13 11–13 10–14
12–18 February 2018 Peil.nl 13 12–13 12–13 11–13 11–13
5–11 February 2018 Peil.nl 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
2–6 February 2018 I&O Research 11 9–11 9–11 9–11 8–12
29 January–4 February 2018 Peil.nl 14 12–14 11–14 11–16 11–16
26–29 January 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10 8–11 7–12 7–12 6–13
22–28 January 2018 Peil.nl 14 12–14 11–14 11–16 11–16
25–28 January 2018 Kantar Public 10 9–13 9–14 9–14 8–14
15–21 January 2018 Peil.nl 14 12–14 11–14 11–16 11–16
8–14 January 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–16 13–16 12–16 12–16
18–24 December 2017 Peil.nl 14 13–16 13–16 12–16 12–16
18 December 2017 Ipsos 10 7–12 7–14 7–14 6–14
15–18 December 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
9 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–13
17 December 2017 Peil.nl 17 14–17 14–17 14–17 13–17
10 December 2017 Peil.nl 15 15 15–16 13–16 13–18
3 December 2017 Peil.nl 15 15 15–16 13–16 13–18
30 November 2017 Ipsos 9 8–11 8–13 8–13 7–14
27 November 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
10 10–13 10–13 10–13 9–14
26 November 2017 Peil.nl 15 14–15 13–16 13–16 13–16
19 November 2017 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–14 13–14 12–14
12 November 2017 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–14 13–14 12–14
5 November 2017 Peil.nl 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 11–14
2 November 2017 Ipsos 10 8–10 8–10 6–10 6–11
30 October 2017 I&O Research 10 9–12 8–12 8–12 7–13
27–30 October 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
12 11–13 10–13 10–14 10–14
29 October 2017 Peil.nl 12 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
15 October 2017 Peil.nl 13 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–14
11–15 October 2017 Kantar Public 9 8–10 8–10 8–12 8–13
11 October 2017 I&O Research 10 8–12 8–12 8–12 7–12
5 October 2017 Ipsos 7 6–9 6–9 5–10 5–10
1 October 2017 Peil.nl 13 12–13 12–13 11–13 11–14
22–25 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
10 9–12 9–12 9–12 8–13
24 September 2017 Peil.nl 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
17 September 2017 Peil.nl 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
14 September 2017 Ipsos 7 6–10 6–10 5–10 5–11
11 September 2017 I&O Research 10 8–10 7–11 7–11 6–11
10 September 2017 Peil.nl 12 10–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
1–4 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
9 8–10 8–12 8–12 7–12
3 September 2017 Peil.nl 12 11–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
31 August 2017 Kantar Public 9 7–11 7–11 7–11 6–12
27 August 2017 Peil.nl 11 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–13
20 August 2017 Peil.nl 11 10–12 10–12 9–12 9–13
10 August 2017 Ipsos 7 7–8 6–8 6–9 5–10
30 July 2017 Peil.nl 10 10–12 10–12 9–13 9–13
21–24 July 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
12 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–12
16 July 2017 Peil.nl 11 11–13 11–13 11–13 10–13
13 July 2017 Ipsos 8 7–10 7–10 6–10 6–11
12 July 2017 Kantar Public 9 8–11 8–11 7–11 6–12
2 July 2017 Peil.nl 12 12 12–13 10–14 10–14
29 June 2017 Ipsos 8 7–10 6–10 6–10 5–11
23–26 June 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
11 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–13
18 June 2017 Peil.nl 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–12
18 June 2017 I&O Research 8 8–10 8–12 7–12 7–14
15 June 2017 Ipsos 9 8–10 7–10 7–11 6–11
4 June 2017 Peil.nl 10 9–10 8–11 8–11 8–11
1 June 2017 Ipsos 6 5–8 5–10 5–10 4–11
29 May 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
10 10 10–11 10–12 8–12
21 May 2017 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
19 May 2017 Ipsos 8 7–8 7–8 7–8 6–10
14 May 2017 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
7 May 2017 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
4 May 2017 Ipsos 6 5–8 5–9 5–9 5–10
24 April 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
8 7–9 7–9 6–9 6–10
23 April 2017 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
20 April 2017 Ipsos 5 5–7 4–7 4–7 4–8
16 April 2017 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–11 7–11
9 April 2017 Peil.nl 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
6 April 2017 Ipsos 7 6–8 6–9 6–9 5–10
2 April 2017 Peil.nl 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
26 March 2017 Peil.nl 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 23% 100%  
9 2% 77% Last Result
10 5% 76%  
11 34% 71% Median
12 24% 37%  
13 11% 13%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0% 0%