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Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 13.1% (General Election of 15 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 12.7% 11.6–14.7% 11.4–15.1% 11.1–15.4% 10.7–15.9%
16 March 2021 Peil.nl 14.6% 13.8–15.4% 13.5–15.7% 13.3–15.9% 13.0–16.3%
14–16 March 2021 Kantar Public 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.8–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
15–16 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.6% 11.8–13.5% 11.6–13.7% 11.4–14.0% 11.0–14.4%
12–15 March 2021 I&O Research 12.5% 11.7–13.3% 11.5–13.5% 11.3–13.8% 10.9–14.2%
12–13 March 2021 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
6–8 March 2021 Kantar Public 11.3% 10.4–12.4% 10.1–12.7% 9.9–13.0% 9.4–13.5%
5–8 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13.3% 12.4–14.3% 12.1–14.6% 11.9–14.9% 11.5–15.4%
5–8 March 2021 I&O Research 11.8% 11.0–12.7% 10.8–12.9% 10.6–13.1% 10.2–13.5%
5–6 March 2021 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.1–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.8%
1–2 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13.1% 12.2–14.1% 11.9–14.4% 11.7–14.6% 11.3–15.1%
1–2 March 2021 I&O Research 11.8% 11.1–12.7% 10.9–12.9% 10.7–13.1% 10.3–13.5%
26–27 February 2021 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.1–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.8%
22–24 February 2021 Kantar Public 11.3% 10.2–12.6% 9.9–13.0% 9.6–13.3% 9.1–13.9%
19–20 February 2021 Peil.nl 15.0% 14.2–15.9% 14.0–16.1% 13.8–16.3% 13.4–16.8%
14–15 February 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
12–15 February 2021 I&O Research 12.7% 11.8–13.5% 11.6–13.8% 11.4–14.0% 11.0–14.4%
12–13 February 2021 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
5–6 February 2021 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.1–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.8%
29 January–2 February 2021 I&O Research
De Volkskrant
12.6% 11.7–13.5% 11.4–13.8% 11.2–14.0% 10.8–14.5%
29–30 January 2021 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.1–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.8%
23–26 January 2021 Kantar Public 11.3% 10.2–12.6% 9.9–12.9% 9.6–13.2% 9.1–13.9%
22–25 January 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.7% 11.5–14.1% 11.1–14.5% 10.8–14.9% 10.3–15.6%
22–25 January 2021 I&O Research 12.6% 11.8–13.6% 11.5–13.9% 11.3–14.1% 10.9–14.6%
22–23 January 2021 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.1–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.8%
15–16 January 2021 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
8–12 January 2021 Kantar Public 14.0% 12.6–15.6% 12.3–16.0% 11.9–16.4% 11.3–17.2%
8–11 January 2021 I&O Research 13.3% 12.4–14.3% 12.2–14.5% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2%
8–9 January 2021 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
1–2 January 2021 Peil.nl 16.6% 15.8–17.5% 15.5–17.8% 15.3–18.0% 14.9–18.5%
18–21 December 2020 Kantar Public 12.1% 11.0–13.4% 10.7–13.7% 10.4–14.1% 9.9–14.7%
18–21 December 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.9–17.5%
18–19 December 2020 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.4–18.2% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.1%
11–14 December 2020 I&O Research 14.6% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4% 12.8–16.7% 12.2–17.4%
11–12 December 2020 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.6% 17.5–19.8% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.5%
4–5 December 2020 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.8–19.2% 16.6–19.4% 16.2–19.8%
26–27 November 2020 Peil.nl 18.6% 17.7–19.6% 17.5–19.8% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.5%
20–23 November 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.4% 10.2–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.6–13.4% 9.0–14.1%
20–21 November 2020 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
9–16 November 2020 I&O Research 14.0% 13.1–15.0% 12.8–15.2% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–15.9%
15 November 2020 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
7–15 November 2020 Kantar Public 13.1% 12.5–13.8% 12.3–13.9% 12.1–14.1% 11.9–14.4%
8 November 2020 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
1 November 2020 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
23–26 October 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.6% 11.4–14.1% 11.1–14.4% 10.8–14.8% 10.2–15.5%
16–17 October 2020 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
9–12 October 2020 I&O Research 12.5% 11.6–13.6% 11.3–13.9% 11.1–14.1% 10.6–14.6%
11 October 2020 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
4 October 2020 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
25–29 September 2020 Kantar Public 11.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.4–13.6% 10.2–13.9% 9.6–14.5%
27 September 2020 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
25–27 September 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.9% 11.6–14.3% 11.3–14.7% 11.0–15.0% 10.4–15.7%
18–19 September 2020 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
3–7 September 2020 I&O Research 12.5% 11.6–13.5% 11.4–13.8% 11.2–14.0% 10.7–14.5%
4–5 September 2020 Peil.nl 15.9% 15.1–16.8% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.3% 14.3–17.7%
28–29 August 2020 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.4–16.1% 14.2–16.4% 14.0–16.6% 13.6–17.0%
21–27 August 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.6% 10.4–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.7% 9.3–14.4%
23 August 2020 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
14–15 August 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
9 August 2020 I&O Research 9.4% 8.5–10.5% 8.2–10.8% 8.0–11.1% 7.5–11.6%
26 July 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
24–26 July 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.3–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
19 July 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
3–6 July 2020 I&O Research 10.4% 9.6–11.3% 9.4–11.6% 9.2–11.8% 8.8–12.2%
5 July 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
27–30 June 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.4% 9.3–11.7% 9.0–12.1% 8.7–12.4% 8.2–13.1%
28 June 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
23–26 June 2020 Kantar Public 10.0% 8.8–11.4% 8.5–11.8% 8.2–12.1% 7.7–12.8%
21 June 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
5–9 June 2020 I&O Research 9.9% 9.3–10.6% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.0% 8.6–11.3%
31 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
22–24 May 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
15–16 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
7–12 May 2020 I&O Research 8.4% 7.6–9.2% 7.4–9.4% 7.3–9.7% 6.9–10.1%
8–9 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
1–2 May 2020 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.2–12.8% 11.0–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
26 April 2020 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
24–26 April 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 7.0–11.6%
27–30 March 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.5–11.6% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.6%
26–30 March 2020 I&O Research 9.9% 9.1–10.7% 8.9–11.0% 8.7–11.2% 8.4–11.6%
5–10 March 2020 I&O Research 11.0% 10.2–11.9% 10.0–12.2% 9.8–12.4% 9.4–12.8%
1–6 March 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
23 February–1 March 2020 Peil.nl 12.6% 11.9–13.4% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.1–14.3%
21–24 February 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.3–13.6% 10.0–14.0% 9.4–14.6%
18–23 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.6% 11.9–13.4% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.1–14.3%
17–22 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
9–14 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
2–9 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
27 January–1 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
24–27 January 2020 Ipsos 10.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–11.9% 8.6–12.3% 8.1–12.9%
21–26 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
10–18 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
10–14 January 2020 I&O Research 10.7% 9.9–11.6% 9.7–11.9% 9.5–12.1% 9.1–12.5%
6–11 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
16–21 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
19–21 December 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.4% 10.2–12.7% 9.9–13.1% 9.6–13.5% 9.1–14.1%
9–14 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
2–7 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
25–30 November 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
22–25 November 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
18–23 November 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
11–16 November 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
15 November 2019 Kantar Public 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.3–13.8% 10.0–14.2% 9.5–14.9%
7–13 November 2019 I&O Research 11.9% 10.8–13.1% 10.5–13.4% 10.2–13.7% 9.8–14.3%
4–9 November 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
28 October–2 November 2019 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.9–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.1–13.0%
21–26 October 2019 Peil.nl 11.1% 10.4–11.9% 10.2–12.1% 10.0–12.3% 9.7–12.7%
14–19 October 2019 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
15 October 2019 Kantar Public 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.0% 7.7–12.7%
10–15 October 2019 I&O Research 10.2% 9.3–11.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.9–11.7% 8.4–12.2%
7–12 October 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
30 September–5 October 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
23–28 September 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
20–23 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
16–21 September 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
15 September 2019 Kantar Public 10.0% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.0% 7.7–12.7%
9–14 September 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
2–7 September 2019 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
29 August–3 September 2019 I&O Research 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
30 August–2 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
26–31 August 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
19–24 August 2019 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
29 July–4 August 2019 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
29 July 2019 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
26–29 July 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
5–9 July 2019 I&O Research 6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.8–7.4%
1–7 July 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
24–30 June 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
21–24 June 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
7.1% 6.2–8.2% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.8% 5.3–9.4%
17–23 June 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
10–16 June 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
3–9 June 2019 Peil.nl 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
27 May–2 June 2019 Peil.nl 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
20–26 May 2019 Peil.nl 5.4% 4.9–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
21 May 2019 Ipsos 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
13–19 May 2019 Peil.nl 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
9–14 May 2019 I&O Research 8.6% 7.8–9.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.4–10.1% 7.0–10.5%
6–12 May 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
29 April–5 May 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
26–29 April 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.4% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
22–28 April 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
17–25 April 2019 Kantar Public 7.3% 6.3–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.8–9.1% 5.4–9.7%
19–24 April 2019 I&O Research 7.6% 6.8–8.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.4–9.0% 6.1–9.4%
15–21 April 2019 Peil.nl 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
8–14 April 2019 Peil.nl 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
1–7 April 2019 Peil.nl 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
25–31 March 2019 Peil.nl 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
18–24 March 2019 Peil.nl 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
21 March 2019 Ipsos 12.7% 11.4–14.1% 11.1–14.6% 10.8–14.9% 10.2–15.6%
18 March 2019 I&O Research 9.7% 8.7–10.8% 8.5–11.1% 8.2–11.4% 7.8–12.0%
11–16 March 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
8–12 March 2019 I&O Research 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 8.9–11.1% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
4–10 March 2019 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
25 February–3 March 2019 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
22–26 February 2019 I&O Research 11.1% 10.2–12.1% 10.0–12.4% 9.8–12.6% 9.4–13.1%
18–24 February 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
22–24 February 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.5% 9.9–15.2%
11–17 February 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
12 February 2019 Kantar Public 12.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.3–13.8% 10.0–14.2% 9.5–14.9%
4–10 February 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
28 January–3 February 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
25–28 January 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13.1% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
21–27 January 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
18–22 January 2019 I&O Research 11.8% 11.2–12.5% 11.0–12.7% 10.8–12.9% 10.5–13.2%
14–20 January 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
7–13 January 2019 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
12 January 2019 Kantar Public 11.3% 10.0–12.7% 9.7–13.1% 9.4–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
14–17 December 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.5% 11.3–14.0% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.7% 10.1–15.4%
10–16 December 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
7–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.5% 10.8–16.3%
3–9 December 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
26 November–2 December 2018 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
22–27 November 2018 I&O Research 11.8% 11.1–12.6% 10.9–12.8% 10.7–13.0% 10.4–13.4%
23–26 November 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.5%
19–25 November 2018 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
12–18 November 2018 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
5–11 November 2018 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
29 October–4 November 2018 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
26–29 October 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14.2% 12.9–15.7% 12.5–16.1% 12.2–16.5% 11.6–17.3%
22–28 October 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
15–21 October 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
8–14 October 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
1–7 October 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
24–30 September 2018 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
17–23 September 2018 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
21–23 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13.1% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–14.9% 11.2–15.2% 10.6–15.9%
10–16 September 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
13–16 September 2018 Kantar Public 13.4% 12.1–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
7–11 September 2018 I&O Research 9.7% 8.9–10.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.4–11.1% 8.1–11.5%
3–9 September 2018 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
31 August–3 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.9% 10.7–13.2% 10.3–13.6% 10.0–14.0% 9.5–14.7%
27 August–2 September 2018 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
20–26 August 2018 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
13–19 August 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
27–30 July 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
12.0% 11.0–13.2% 10.7–13.5% 10.4–13.8% 10.0–14.4%
2–8 July 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
25 June–1 July 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
13–29 June 2018 I&O Research 10.3% 9.5–11.2% 9.3–11.4% 9.1–11.6% 8.7–12.1%
22–25 June 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11.4% 10.3–12.7% 10.0–13.1% 9.7–13.4% 9.2–14.0%
18–24 June 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
11–17 June 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
13 June 2018 Kantar Public 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.2–15.9% 11.9–16.3% 11.3–17.1%
4–10 June 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
28 May–3 June 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
25–28 May 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.5% 9.4–11.8% 9.1–12.2% 8.8–12.5% 8.3–13.2%
21–27 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
14–20 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
7–13 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
30 April–6 May 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
23–29 April 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
20–23 April 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.4% 8.4–10.6% 8.1–10.9% 7.9–11.2% 7.4–11.8%
16–22 April 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
9–15 April 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
2–8 April 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
26 March–1 April 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
19–25 March 2018 Peil.nl 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
19 March 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.4% 9.3–11.6% 9.0–12.0% 8.8–12.3% 8.3–12.9%
12–18 March 2018 Peil.nl 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
8–12 March 2018 I&O Research 10.5% 9.8–11.2% 9.6–11.4% 9.5–11.6% 9.2–11.9%
5–11 March 2018 Peil.nl 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
26 February–4 March 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
27 February–4 March 2018 Kantar Public 10.6% 9.5–11.9% 9.2–12.3% 8.9–12.6% 8.4–13.3%
23–26 February 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%
19–25 February 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
12–18 February 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
5–11 February 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
2–6 February 2018 I&O Research 10.6% 9.9–11.3% 9.8–11.5% 9.6–11.6% 9.3–12.0%
29 January–4 February 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
26–29 January 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10.7% 9.5–12.0% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.7% 8.4–13.4%
22–28 January 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
25–28 January 2018 Kantar Public 12.0% 10.9–13.3% 10.5–13.7% 10.3–14.0% 9.7–14.7%
15–21 January 2018 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
8–14 January 2018 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
18–24 December 2017 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
18 December 2017 Ipsos 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–14.0% 9.4–14.7%
15–18 December 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.2%
17 December 2017 Peil.nl 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
10 December 2017 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
3 December 2017 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
30 November 2017 Ipsos 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
27 November 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
15.3% 14.3–16.4% 14.0–16.7% 13.8–17.0% 13.3–17.5%
26 November 2017 Peil.nl 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
19 November 2017 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
12 November 2017 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
5 November 2017 Peil.nl 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
2 November 2017 Ipsos 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
30 October 2017 I&O Research 11.9% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.3–13.8% 9.8–14.4%
27–30 October 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
29 October 2017 Peil.nl 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
15 October 2017 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
11–15 October 2017 Kantar Public 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.1%
11 October 2017 I&O Research 12.3% 11.2–13.5% 10.9–13.9% 10.7–14.2% 10.2–14.8%
5 October 2017 Ipsos 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.9–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
1 October 2017 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
22–25 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
15.4% 14.3–16.5% 14.0–16.8% 13.8–17.1% 13.3–17.6%
24 September 2017 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
17 September 2017 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
14 September 2017 Ipsos 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.3% 9.6–15.0%
11 September 2017 I&O Research 12.8% 11.7–14.0% 11.4–14.4% 11.1–14.7% 10.6–15.3%
10 September 2017 Peil.nl 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
1–4 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
15.4% 14.3–16.5% 14.0–16.8% 13.8–17.1% 13.3–17.6%
3 September 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
31 August 2017 Kantar Public 14.7% 13.3–16.2% 12.9–16.7% 12.6–17.1% 11.9–17.8%
27 August 2017 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
20 August 2017 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
10 August 2017 Ipsos 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
30 July 2017 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
21–24 July 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
17.3% 16.3–18.5% 16.0–18.8% 15.7–19.1% 15.2–19.7%
16 July 2017 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
13 July 2017 Ipsos 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
12 July 2017 Kantar Public 15.3% 13.9–16.9% 13.5–17.3% 13.2–17.7% 12.5–18.5%
2 July 2017 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
29 June 2017 Ipsos 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
23–26 June 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
16.0% 14.9–17.1% 14.6–17.5% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.3%
18 June 2017 Peil.nl 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
18 June 2017 I&O Research 15.2% 14.0–16.5% 13.6–16.9% 13.3–17.2% 12.8–17.8%
15 June 2017 Ipsos 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.4% 9.7–15.1%
4 June 2017 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
1 June 2017 Ipsos 12.1% 10.9–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.3% 9.6–15.0%
29 May 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
15.4% 14.4–16.4% 14.1–16.8% 13.8–17.0% 13.4–17.5%
21 May 2017 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
19 May 2017 Ipsos 12.9% 11.6–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.1% 10.4–15.9%
14 May 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
7 May 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
4 May 2017 Ipsos 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.8–15.4% 11.5–15.8% 10.9–16.5%
24 April 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
14.7% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.1% 13.1–16.4% 12.7–16.9%
23 April 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
20 April 2017 Ipsos 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
16 April 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
9 April 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
6 April 2017 Ipsos 13.1% 11.8–14.6% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.6–16.1%
2 April 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
26 March 2017 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij voor de Vrijheid.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.2% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 8% 99.8%  
11.5–12.5% 36% 91%  
12.5–13.5% 28% 55% Last Result, Median
13.5–14.5% 14% 27%  
14.5–15.5% 11% 13%  
15.5–16.5% 2% 2%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 20 seats (General Election of 15 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20 17–22 16–22 16–22 16–23
16 March 2021 Peil.nl 21 21–22 21–23 21–23 21–23
14–16 March 2021 Kantar Public 18 16–22 16–22 16–22 16–22
15–16 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20 18–20 17–20 17–20 16–20
12–15 March 2021 I&O Research 19 18–22 17–22 17–22 17–22
12–13 March 2021 Peil.nl 24 23–25 23–25 23–25 23–27
6–8 March 2021 Kantar Public 19 16–19 16–19 16–20 15–21
5–8 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21 19–21 18–21 18–22 18–23
5–8 March 2021 I&O Research 16 16–19 16–19 16–19 16–20
5–6 March 2021 Peil.nl 26 24–26 23–26 22–26 22–27
1–2 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20 19–20 19–20 19–20 18–22
1–2 March 2021 I&O Research 18 17–21 17–21 17–21 16–21
26–27 February 2021 Peil.nl 25 25 25–27 25–27 24–27
22–24 February 2021 Kantar Public 17 14–19 14–20 14–20 14–21
19–20 February 2021 Peil.nl 22 21–24 21–26 21–26 21–26
14–15 February 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21 20–23 19–24 19–26 18–26
12–15 February 2021 I&O Research 20 18–20 17–20 17–21 17–22
12–13 February 2021 Peil.nl 24 24–25 24–25 24–25 23–26
5–6 February 2021 Peil.nl 25 24–26 24–26 23–27 22–28
29 January–2 February 2021 I&O Research
De Volkskrant
20 20 20 19–20 18–21
29–30 January 2021 Peil.nl 24 24–25 24–25 24–27 23–27
23–26 January 2021 Kantar Public 18 17–18 16–18 16–18 16–20
22–25 January 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21 17–21 17–24 17–24 17–24
22–25 January 2021 I&O Research 20 17–21 17–21 17–21 16–22
22–23 January 2021 Peil.nl 25 25 25 24–25 23–26
15–16 January 2021 Peil.nl 25 25–26 25–26 25–26 23–28
8–12 January 2021 Kantar Public 22 19–23 18–23 18–23 17–26
8–11 January 2021 I&O Research 19 18–21 18–21 18–22 18–23
8–9 January 2021 Peil.nl 24 24–28 24–28 24–28 24–28
1–2 January 2021 Peil.nl 26 25–28 24–29 24–29 22–29
18–21 December 2020 Kantar Public 20 17–20 16–20 16–20 15–22
18–21 December 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21 20–23 20–24 19–25 18–26
18–19 December 2020 Peil.nl 26 26–27 26–27 26–28 25–28
11–14 December 2020 I&O Research 21 19–23 18–24 18–25 18–26
11–12 December 2020 Peil.nl 27 27–30 27–31 26–31 26–32
4–5 December 2020 Peil.nl 27 26–30 26–30 25–30 25–30
26–27 November 2020 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–29 26–29 25–31
20–23 November 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 17–19 17–20 15–20 14–20
20–21 November 2020 Peil.nl 24 21–26 21–26 21–27 21–27
9–16 November 2020 I&O Research 22 21–23 20–23 20–23 20–24
15 November 2020 Peil.nl 24 23–25 23–26 23–26 23–27
7–15 November 2020 Kantar Public 21 19–21 19–21 18–21 18–22
8 November 2020 Peil.nl 24 23–25 23–26 23–26 23–27
1 November 2020 Peil.nl 24 23–25 23–26 23–26 23–27
23–26 October 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18 18–20 18–22 17–22 15–23
16–17 October 2020 Peil.nl 24 23–26 23–26 23–28 23–28
9–12 October 2020 I&O Research 19 19 19 18–19 18–21
11 October 2020 Peil.nl 23 23–24 22–24 22–25 21–27
4 October 2020 Peil.nl 23 23–24 22–24 22–25 21–27
25–29 September 2020 Kantar Public 19 18–21 16–21 16–21 15–21
27 September 2020 Peil.nl 23 23–24 22–24 22–25 21–27
25–27 September 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
22 19–23 18–23 18–23 17–24
18–19 September 2020 Peil.nl 23 23–24 22–24 22–25 21–27
3–7 September 2020 I&O Research 19 18–22 17–22 16–22 16–22
4–5 September 2020 Peil.nl 24 23–26 22–26 22–26 22–27
28–29 August 2020 Peil.nl 24 22–25 21–25 21–25 21–25
21–27 August 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18 16–20 15–20 15–21 14–22
23 August 2020 Peil.nl 22 20–23 19–23 19–23 19–25
14–15 August 2020 Peil.nl 19 17–19 17–19 17–20 16–21
9 August 2020 I&O Research 13 13 13 12–14 12–15
26 July 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–20 17–20
24–26 July 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
15 14–18 14–18 13–18 12–18
19 July 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–20 17–20
3–6 July 2020 I&O Research 16 15–18 15–18 14–18 13–18
5 July 2020 Peil.nl 19 17–19 17–20 16–20 16–21
27–30 June 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 13–17 12–19 12–20 12–21
28 June 2020 Peil.nl 19 17–19 17–20 16–20 16–21
23–26 June 2020 Kantar Public 13 13–17 13–19 12–19 12–19
21 June 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–20 16–20
5–9 June 2020 I&O Research 15 14–15 14–15 14–16 13–17
31 May 2020 Peil.nl 18 17–19 17–20 17–20 16–21
22–24 May 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13 11–14 11–15 11–15 10–16
15–16 May 2020 Peil.nl 18 18–20 17–20 17–20 16–20
7–12 May 2020 I&O Research 13 13–14 13–14 13–14 12–14
8–9 May 2020 Peil.nl 18 18–20 17–20 17–20 16–20
1–2 May 2020 Peil.nl 19 17–21 17–21 17–21 15–21
26 April 2020 Peil.nl 15 15–17 15–19 15–19 15–19
24–26 April 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13 12–14 12–15 11–17 11–17
27–30 March 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 14–16 13–18 13–19 12–19
26–30 March 2020 I&O Research 14 13–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
5–10 March 2020 I&O Research 19 16–19 15–19 15–19 15–19
1–6 March 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–20 17–20
23 February–1 March 2020 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–20 17–20 17–21
21–24 February 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 16–19 16–19 16–20 15–21
18–23 February 2020 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–20 17–20 17–21
17–22 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–20 17–20
9–14 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 17–21 17–21 17–21
2–9 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 17–21 17–21 17–21
27 January–1 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–21 17–22
24–27 January 2020 Ipsos 15 14–16 14–17 13–18 13–19
21–26 January 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–21 17–22
10–18 January 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–21 17–22
10–14 January 2020 I&O Research 17 15–17 15–17 15–17 14–19
6–11 January 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–20 17–20 17–21 17–22
16–21 December 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 17–22 17–22
19–21 December 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18 16–19 16–19 15–19 14–20
9–14 December 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 17–22 17–22
2–7 December 2019 Peil.nl 20 19–20 18–20 18–20 18–20
25–30 November 2019 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–20 17–20 17–20
22–25 November 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 16–20 16–20 15–21 14–21
18–23 November 2019 Peil.nl 19 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–21
11–16 November 2019 Peil.nl 19 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–21
15 November 2019 Kantar Public 19 17–20 16–20 16–20 15–22
7–13 November 2019 I&O Research 19 17–20 16–20 15–21 15–22
4–9 November 2019 Peil.nl 18 18–19 17–19 17–20 16–21
28 October–2 November 2019 Peil.nl 17 16–18 16–19 15–19 15–20
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
15 14–17 13–17 13–18 12–19
21–26 October 2019 Peil.nl 17 16–18 16–19 15–19 15–19
14–19 October 2019 Peil.nl 17 16–18 16–19 15–19 15–20
15 October 2019 Kantar Public 15 14–17 13–17 13–19 12–19
10–15 October 2019 I&O Research 16 14–18 14–18 13–19 12–20
7–12 October 2019 Peil.nl 16 13–16 13–16 13–18 13–18
30 September–5 October 2019 Peil.nl 16 13–16 13–16 13–18 13–18
23–28 September 2019 Peil.nl 15 15–16 15–17 14–17 13–17
20–23 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 14–19 13–19 13–19 12–20
16–21 September 2019 Peil.nl 15 15–16 15–17 14–17 13–17
15 September 2019 Kantar Public 15 13–16 12–18 12–19 12–19
9–14 September 2019 Peil.nl 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
2–7 September 2019 Peil.nl 14 13–15 13–16 13–16 12–16
29 August–3 September 2019 I&O Research 13 12–15 11–15 10–15 10–16
30 August–2 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 13–18 12–19 12–19 11–19
26–31 August 2019 Peil.nl 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 11–15
19–24 August 2019 Peil.nl 13 12–14 11–15 11–15 11–15
29 July–4 August 2019 Peil.nl 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
29 July 2019 Peil.nl 11 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
26–29 July 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
10 9–11 9–12 8–13 8–14
5–9 July 2019 I&O Research 9 7–10 7–10 7–11 7–11
1–7 July 2019 Peil.nl 9 8–10 8–10 7–11 7–11
24–30 June 2019 Peil.nl 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
21–24 June 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
11 9–12 9–12 8–12 7–14
17–23 June 2019 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
10–16 June 2019 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–10 8–10 8–10
3–9 June 2019 Peil.nl 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 6–10
27 May–2 June 2019 Peil.nl 8 7–8 7–9 7–9 6–10
20–26 May 2019 Peil.nl 9 8–9 7–9 7–9 6–9
21 May 2019 Ipsos 11 11–13 10–14 10–14 9–16
13–19 May 2019 Peil.nl 8 7–8 7–9 6–9 6–10
9–14 May 2019 I&O Research 13 12–15 11–15 11–16 11–16
6–12 May 2019 Peil.nl 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 7–11
29 April–5 May 2019 Peil.nl 9 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
26–29 April 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
13 13–15 12–15 12–16 11–17
22–28 April 2019 Peil.nl 9 9–10 8–11 8–11 7–11
17–25 April 2019 Kantar Public 12 9–15 8–15 8–15 8–15
19–24 April 2019 I&O Research 11 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–14
15–21 April 2019 Peil.nl 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–9
8–14 April 2019 Peil.nl 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–9
1–7 April 2019 Peil.nl 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 6–9
25–31 March 2019 Peil.nl 8 8–9 8–10 8–10 7–10
18–24 March 2019 Peil.nl 11 9–11 9–11 8–11 8–12
21 March 2019 Ipsos 20 17–21 17–22 16–22 16–23
18 March 2019 I&O Research 15 14–16 13–17 13–17 12–18
11–16 March 2019 Peil.nl 16 14–17 14–17 14–18 13–18
8–12 March 2019 I&O Research 15 13–16 13–17 13–18 12–18
4–10 March 2019 Peil.nl 15 14–16 14–16 14–17 13–18
25 February–3 March 2019 Peil.nl 17 16–18 16–18 16–20 15–20
22–26 February 2019 I&O Research 17 15–17 15–18 13–18 13–20
18–24 February 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–19 17–19 17–19 16–20
22–24 February 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18 16–20 15–21 15–21 15–23
11–17 February 2019 Peil.nl 18 16–20 16–21 16–21 16–21
12 February 2019 Kantar Public 16 16–21 16–21 16–22 15–22
4–10 February 2019 Peil.nl 18 16–20 16–21 16–21 16–21
28 January–3 February 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–19 17–20 16–21 16–22
25–28 January 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
19 17–22 17–23 17–25 17–25
21–27 January 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–19 17–20 16–21 16–22
18–22 January 2019 I&O Research 18 17–19 17–19 17–20 16–20
14–20 January 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–19 17–20 16–21 16–22
7–13 January 2019 Peil.nl 18 17–18 17–19 17–19 17–20
12 January 2019 Kantar Public 16 16–17 16–19 16–19 14–19
14–17 December 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20 18–21 17–21 16–22 16–23
10–16 December 2018 Peil.nl 18 17–18 17–19 17–19 17–20
7–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 22 21–22 20–23 19–23 18–23
3–9 December 2018 Peil.nl 18 17–18 17–19 17–19 17–20
26 November–2 December 2018 Peil.nl 18 18–20 18–21 18–22 17–23
22–27 November 2018 I&O Research 18 16–20 16–20 16–20 16–21
23–26 November 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21 19–23 18–23 17–23 16–24
19–25 November 2018 Peil.nl 20 20–21 19–21 19–21 18–22
12–18 November 2018 Peil.nl 19 18–19 17–20 17–21 17–22
5–11 November 2018 Peil.nl 19 18–19 17–20 17–21 17–22
29 October–4 November 2018 Peil.nl 19 18–19 17–20 17–21 17–22
26–29 October 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20 20–24 19–25 18–25 18–26
22–28 October 2018 Peil.nl 19 19–20 19–20 19–21 17–21
15–21 October 2018 Peil.nl 19 19–20 19–20 19–21 17–21
8–14 October 2018 Peil.nl 19 19–20 19–20 19–21 17–21
1–7 October 2018 Peil.nl 19 19–20 19–20 19–21 17–21
24–30 September 2018 Peil.nl 17 17–18 17–19 17–20 17–20
17–23 September 2018 Peil.nl 16 16–19 16–19 16–19 16–20
21–23 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20 19–23 18–24 17–24 16–24
10–16 September 2018 Peil.nl 17 16–17 15–17 15–17 13–17
13–16 September 2018 Kantar Public 22 21–22 21–22 21–22 19–23
7–11 September 2018 I&O Research 14 13–16 13–16 12–16 12–18
3–9 September 2018 Peil.nl 16 15–17 15–18 14–18 14–18
31 August–3 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 17–20 15–20 15–20 15–22
27 August–2 September 2018 Peil.nl 17 17 17 16–17 15–17
20–26 August 2018 Peil.nl 17 17 17 16–17 15–17
13–19 August 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–16 13–17 13–18 13–18
27–30 July 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
16 16–19 16–19 16–20 15–21
2–8 July 2018 Peil.nl 15 14–15 14–15 14–16 13–17
25 June–1 July 2018 Peil.nl 15 15–16 15–16 15–16 13–16
13–29 June 2018 I&O Research 16 15–17 15–17 14–17 14–18
22–25 June 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 16–18 15–20 14–20 13–20
18–24 June 2018 Peil.nl 13 13–15 13–15 13–16 12–16
11–17 June 2018 Peil.nl 14 14–15 14–15 13–16 13–17
13 June 2018 Kantar Public 22 19–24 18–24 17–24 16–25
4–10 June 2018 Peil.nl 14 14–15 14–15 13–16 13–17
28 May–3 June 2018 Peil.nl 14 14 14 14–15 12–15
25–28 May 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 15–17 15–18 14–20 13–20
21–27 May 2018 Peil.nl 13 12–13 12–14 12–15 11–15
14–20 May 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–14 11–14 11–15
7–13 May 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–14 11–14 11–15
30 April–6 May 2018 Peil.nl 13 13 13 12–13 12–15
23–29 April 2018 Peil.nl 13 13 13 12–13 12–15
20–23 April 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
14 13–16 12–17 11–17 11–18
16–22 April 2018 Peil.nl 11 11–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
9–15 April 2018 Peil.nl 11 11–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
2–8 April 2018 Peil.nl 11 11–13 10–14 10–14 10–14
26 March–1 April 2018 Peil.nl 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 9–13
19–25 March 2018 Peil.nl 11 9–13 9–13 9–13 9–13
19 March 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17 15–20 14–20 14–20 13–20
12–18 March 2018 Peil.nl 13 13 13 13 11–13
8–12 March 2018 I&O Research 17 16–17 16–17 15–17 15–18
5–11 March 2018 Peil.nl 13 12–13 12–15 12–15 11–15
26 February–4 March 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–15 13–15 12–16
27 February–4 March 2018 Kantar Public 17 16–19 14–19 14–19 13–19
23–26 February 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
15 12–17 12–18 12–18 11–19
19–25 February 2018 Peil.nl 14 13–14 13–15 13–15 12–16
12–18 February 2018 Peil.nl 13 13 13 13–15 13–15
5–11 February 2018 Peil.nl 14 14–16 14–16 14–16 13–16
2–6 February 2018 I&O Research 18 16–18 15–18 15–18 14–18
29 January–4 February 2018 Peil.nl 15 14–16 14–16 14–16 13–18
26–29 January 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
15 14–18 13–19 11–19 11–20
22–28 January 2018 Peil.nl 15 14–16 14–16 14–16 13–18
25–28 January 2018 Kantar Public 18 15–21 14–21 14–21 14–22
15–21 January 2018 Peil.nl 15 14–16 14–16 14–16 13–18
8–14 January 2018 Peil.nl 15 13–15 13–15 13–15 13–17
18–24 December 2017 Peil.nl 15 13–15 13–15 13–15 13–17
18 December 2017 Ipsos 17 15–19 15–21 15–21 14–21
15–18 December 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
21 19–22 19–22 19–22 18–24
17 December 2017 Peil.nl 14 14 13–14 13–14 13–15
10 December 2017 Peil.nl 16 15–16 15–16 14–17 13–17
3 December 2017 Peil.nl 16 15–16 15–16 14–17 13–17
30 November 2017 Ipsos 20 17–21 16–22 15–22 15–24
27 November 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
23 22–24 22–24 22–25 20–27
26 November 2017 Peil.nl 14 14–15 14–15 14–17 14–18
19 November 2017 Peil.nl 15 15–17 15–17 15–17 15–19
12 November 2017 Peil.nl 15 15–17 15–17 15–17 15–19
5 November 2017 Peil.nl 16 15–17 14–17 14–17 14–18
2 November 2017 Ipsos 17 17–21 17–21 17–21 15–22
30 October 2017 I&O Research 18 16–19 16–20 16–20 15–21
27–30 October 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
21 20–23 20–23 19–23 18–24
29 October 2017 Peil.nl 17 16–18 15–19 15–19 15–19
15 October 2017 Peil.nl 18 16–19 16–21 16–21 15–21
11–15 October 2017 Kantar Public 20 20–23 20–24 20–24 18–25
11 October 2017 I&O Research 19 17–20 17–21 17–21 16–22
5 October 2017 Ipsos 18 16–18 16–19 14–21 14–21
1 October 2017 Peil.nl 17 17–18 17–20 16–20 16–21
22–25 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
23 21–25 21–26 21–26 20–27
24 September 2017 Peil.nl 18 17–21 15–21 15–21 15–21
17 September 2017 Peil.nl 18 17–21 15–21 15–21 15–21
14 September 2017 Ipsos 19 17–22 16–22 15–22 15–22
11 September 2017 I&O Research 18 17–22 17–22 17–22 16–22
10 September 2017 Peil.nl 18 17–21 15–21 15–21 15–21
1–4 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
23 20–24 20–24 20–26 20–26
3 September 2017 Peil.nl 19 18–21 16–22 16–22 16–22
31 August 2017 Kantar Public 23 20–24 20–24 19–24 18–26
27 August 2017 Peil.nl 20 20–22 19–22 19–22 18–22
20 August 2017 Peil.nl 20 20–22 19–22 19–22 18–22
10 August 2017 Ipsos 20 19–21 18–23 17–23 17–25
30 July 2017 Peil.nl 21 20–22 19–23 19–23 19–24
21–24 July 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
26 25–27 25–27 25–28 24–30
16 July 2017 Peil.nl 23 21–23 21–23 21–23 20–24
13 July 2017 Ipsos 19 16–23 16–23 16–23 15–23
12 July 2017 Kantar Public 23 21–26 21–26 20–26 19–27
2 July 2017 Peil.nl 21 21–22 21–22 21–22 20–23
29 June 2017 Ipsos 21 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–23
23–26 June 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
24 22–25 21–27 20–27 20–28
18 June 2017 Peil.nl 20 20–22 20–22 19–23 19–23
18 June 2017 I&O Research 22 22–24 21–25 20–26 19–27
15 June 2017 Ipsos 18 17–19 15–21 15–21 15–23
4 June 2017 Peil.nl 20 19–22 19–22 19–22 17–22
1 June 2017 Ipsos 17 15–20 15–21 15–21 14–23
29 May 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
25 25 24–25 21–25 21–26
21 May 2017 Peil.nl 22 18–22 18–22 18–22 18–23
19 May 2017 Ipsos 21 21 19–21 18–22 17–22
14 May 2017 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 18–21 17–22
7 May 2017 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 18–21 17–22
4 May 2017 Ipsos 20 18–23 18–23 18–24 16–25
24 April 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
22 20–25 19–25 19–25 19–26
23 April 2017 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 18–21 17–22
20 April 2017 Ipsos 20 18–20 17–21 16–22 15–23
16 April 2017 Peil.nl 19 18–20 18–21 18–21 17–22
9 April 2017 Peil.nl 18 17–18 17–20 17–21 17–21
6 April 2017 Ipsos 20 17–21 17–22 16–24 16–24
2 April 2017 Peil.nl 18 17–18 17–20 17–21 17–21
26 March 2017 Peil.nl 18 17–18 17–20 17–21 17–21

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij voor de Vrijheid.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 9% 100%  
17 3% 91%  
18 13% 87%  
19 18% 75%  
20 23% 57% Last Result, Median
21 23% 34%  
22 9% 11%  
23 2% 2%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%