Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 21.3% (General Election of 15 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 22.3% 20.5–24.4% 20.2–24.8% 19.9–25.1% 19.4–25.7%
16 March 2021 Peil.nl 21.2% 20.3–22.2% 20.0–22.5% 19.8–22.7% 19.3–23.2%
14–16 March 2021 Kantar Public 24.0% 23.0–25.0% 22.7–25.3% 22.4–25.6% 22.0–26.1%
15–16 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
23.2% 22.2–24.3% 21.9–24.6% 21.6–24.9% 21.1–25.5%
12–15 March 2021 I&O Research 21.0% 20.0–22.0% 19.8–22.3% 19.5–22.6% 19.1–23.1%
12–13 March 2021 Peil.nl 20.6% 19.7–21.6% 19.4–21.9% 19.2–22.1% 18.7–22.6%
6–8 March 2021 Kantar Public 26.6% 25.2–28.1% 24.8–28.5% 24.5–28.9% 23.9–29.6%
5–8 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
24.8% 23.6–26.0% 23.2–26.4% 22.9–26.7% 22.4–27.3%
5–8 March 2021 I&O Research 22.6% 21.5–23.6% 21.2–23.9% 21.0–24.2% 20.5–24.7%
5–6 March 2021 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
1–2 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
24.2% 23.0–25.4% 22.6–25.8% 22.3–26.1% 21.8–26.7%
1–2 March 2021 I&O Research 23.5% 22.4–24.5% 22.1–24.8% 21.9–25.1% 21.4–25.6%
26–27 February 2021 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
22–24 February 2021 Kantar Public 26.6% 25.0–28.3% 24.5–28.9% 24.1–29.3% 23.4–30.1%
19–20 February 2021 Peil.nl 22.2% 21.2–23.2% 21.0–23.5% 20.7–23.7% 20.3–24.2%
14–15 February 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
24.4% 22.8–26.2% 22.3–26.7% 21.9–27.2% 21.1–28.0%
12–15 February 2021 I&O Research 26.0% 24.9–27.1% 24.6–27.5% 24.3–27.7% 23.8–28.3%
12–13 February 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
5–6 February 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
29 January–2 February 2021 I&O Research
De Volkskrant
28.4% 27.2–29.7% 26.9–30.0% 26.6–30.3% 26.0–31.0%
29–30 January 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
23–26 January 2021 Kantar Public 27.9% 26.3–29.6% 25.8–30.1% 25.5–30.5% 24.7–31.4%
22–25 January 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
26.0% 24.3–27.8% 23.9–28.3% 23.5–28.8% 22.7–29.7%
22–25 January 2021 I&O Research 28.0% 26.7–29.2% 26.4–29.6% 26.1–29.9% 25.6–30.5%
22–23 January 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
15–16 January 2021 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
8–12 January 2021 Kantar Public 28.6% 26.7–30.6% 26.2–31.1% 25.8–31.6% 24.9–32.6%
8–11 January 2021 I&O Research 28.6% 27.5–29.9% 27.1–30.2% 26.8–30.5% 26.3–31.1%
8–9 January 2021 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
1–2 January 2021 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
18–21 December 2020 Kantar Public 27.9% 26.3–29.6% 25.8–30.0% 25.4–30.4% 24.7–31.3%
18–21 December 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
26.9% 25.1–28.7% 24.7–29.2% 24.3–29.6% 23.5–30.5%
18–19 December 2020 Peil.nl 22.6% 21.7–23.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.2–24.2% 20.7–24.7%
11–14 December 2020 I&O Research 28.6% 27.0–30.3% 26.6–30.8% 26.2–31.2% 25.5–32.0%
11–12 December 2020 Peil.nl 22.6% 21.7–23.6% 21.4–23.9% 21.2–24.2% 20.7–24.7%
4–5 December 2020 Peil.nl 24.0% 23.0–25.0% 22.7–25.3% 22.5–25.5% 22.0–26.0%
26–27 November 2020 Peil.nl 24.0% 23.0–25.0% 22.7–25.3% 22.5–25.5% 22.0–26.0%
20–23 November 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21.9% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.1% 19.5–24.6% 18.8–25.4%
20–21 November 2020 Peil.nl 23.9% 23.0–25.0% 22.7–25.3% 22.4–25.5% 22.0–26.0%
9–16 November 2020 I&O Research 29.3% 28.1–30.5% 27.7–30.8% 27.4–31.2% 26.9–31.8%
15 November 2020 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
7–15 November 2020 Kantar Public 28.0% 27.2–28.9% 26.9–29.1% 26.7–29.3% 26.3–29.7%
8 November 2020 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
1 November 2020 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.0–24.6% 21.8–24.8% 21.3–25.3%
23–26 October 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
27.1% 25.4–28.9% 24.9–29.4% 24.5–29.9% 23.7–30.7%
16–17 October 2020 Peil.nl 21.9% 21.0–22.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.0–23.9%
9–12 October 2020 I&O Research 26.9% 25.6–28.3% 25.3–28.7% 24.9–29.0% 24.3–29.7%
11 October 2020 Peil.nl 21.9% 21.0–22.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.0–23.9%
4 October 2020 Peil.nl 21.9% 21.0–22.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.0–23.9%
25–29 September 2020 Kantar Public 26.7% 25.1–28.4% 24.6–28.9% 24.2–29.3% 23.5–30.1%
27 September 2020 Peil.nl 21.9% 21.0–22.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.0–23.9%
25–27 September 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
25.6% 24.0–27.4% 23.5–27.9% 23.1–28.4% 22.3–29.2%
18–19 September 2020 Peil.nl 21.9% 21.0–22.9% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.0–23.9%
3–7 September 2020 I&O Research 26.0% 24.8–27.3% 24.4–27.6% 24.2–28.0% 23.6–28.6%
4–5 September 2020 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.3–22.3% 20.1–22.5% 19.8–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
28–29 August 2020 Peil.nl 20.6% 19.7–21.6% 19.4–21.9% 19.2–22.1% 18.7–22.6%
21–27 August 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
23.7% 22.1–25.5% 21.6–26.0% 21.2–26.4% 20.5–27.2%
23 August 2020 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
14–15 August 2020 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
9 August 2020 I&O Research 26.4% 24.9–28.0% 24.5–28.5% 24.1–28.9% 23.4–29.6%
26 July 2020 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
24–26 July 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
24.9% 23.2–26.6% 22.7–27.1% 22.3–27.6% 21.6–28.4%
19 July 2020 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
3–6 July 2020 I&O Research 24.9% 23.7–26.2% 23.4–26.5% 23.1–26.8% 22.5–27.4%
5 July 2020 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
27–30 June 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
26.4% 24.7–28.2% 24.2–28.7% 23.8–29.1% 23.0–30.0%
28 June 2020 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
23–26 June 2020 Kantar Public 26.6% 24.8–28.6% 24.3–29.1% 23.9–29.6% 23.0–30.6%
21 June 2020 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.7–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
5–9 June 2020 I&O Research 28.1% 27.1–29.1% 26.8–29.4% 26.6–29.6% 26.1–30.1%
31 May 2020 Peil.nl 23.3% 22.3–24.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.8–24.9% 21.4–25.3%
22–24 May 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
28.5% 26.8–30.4% 26.3–30.9% 25.9–31.4% 25.1–32.2%
15–16 May 2020 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
7–12 May 2020 I&O Research 28.4% 27.2–29.7% 26.8–30.1% 26.5–30.4% 25.9–31.0%
8–9 May 2020 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
1–2 May 2020 Peil.nl 20.6% 19.7–21.6% 19.4–21.9% 19.2–22.1% 18.7–22.6%
26 April 2020 Peil.nl 20.0% 19.1–20.9% 18.8–21.2% 18.6–21.4% 18.1–21.9%
24–26 April 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
24.7% 23.0–26.5% 22.5–27.0% 22.1–27.4% 21.3–28.3%
27–30 March 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
22.3% 20.7–24.1% 20.2–24.6% 19.8–25.0% 19.1–25.8%
26–30 March 2020 I&O Research 23.2% 22.1–24.4% 21.8–24.7% 21.6–25.0% 21.0–25.5%
5–10 March 2020 I&O Research 18.0% 16.9–19.1% 16.7–19.4% 16.4–19.7% 15.9–20.2%
1–6 March 2020 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
23 February–1 March 2020 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
21–24 February 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17.1% 15.6–18.7% 15.2–19.1% 14.9–19.5% 14.2–20.3%
18–23 February 2020 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.5–14.1% 12.3–14.4% 12.1–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
17–22 February 2020 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
9–14 February 2020 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
2–9 February 2020 Peil.nl 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
27 January–1 February 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
24–27 January 2020 Ipsos 18.1% 16.6–19.7% 16.2–20.1% 15.9–20.5% 15.2–21.3%
21–26 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
10–18 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
10–14 January 2020 I&O Research 17.6% 16.6–18.7% 16.3–19.0% 16.1–19.3% 15.6–19.8%
6–11 January 2020 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
16–21 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
19–21 December 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17.7% 16.3–19.3% 15.9–19.8% 15.5–20.2% 14.9–21.0%
9–14 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
2–7 December 2019 Peil.nl 12.7% 11.9–13.5% 11.7–13.7% 11.5–13.9% 11.2–14.3%
25–30 November 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
22–25 November 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17.2% 15.7–18.8% 15.3–19.3% 15.0–19.6% 14.3–20.4%
18–23 November 2019 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
11–16 November 2019 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
15 November 2019 Kantar Public 20.0% 18.4–21.8% 18.0–22.3% 17.6–22.7% 16.9–23.6%
7–13 November 2019 I&O Research 17.0% 15.8–18.4% 15.4–18.8% 15.1–19.1% 14.5–19.8%
4–9 November 2019 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
28 October–2 November 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21.6% 20.0–23.3% 19.6–23.8% 19.2–24.2% 18.4–25.1%
21–26 October 2019 Peil.nl 18.2% 17.3–19.1% 17.0–19.4% 16.8–19.6% 16.4–20.0%
14–19 October 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
15 October 2019 Kantar Public 20.7% 19.1–22.4% 18.6–22.9% 18.2–23.4% 17.5–24.2%
10–15 October 2019 I&O Research 19.3% 18.1–20.5% 17.8–20.9% 17.5–21.2% 17.0–21.8%
7–12 October 2019 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
30 September–5 October 2019 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
23–28 September 2019 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
20–23 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21.1% 19.5–22.8% 19.1–23.3% 18.7–23.7% 17.9–24.6%
16–21 September 2019 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
15 September 2019 Kantar Public 17.3% 15.8–19.0% 15.4–19.4% 15.0–19.9% 14.3–20.7%
9–14 September 2019 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
2–7 September 2019 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
29 August–3 September 2019 I&O Research 20.6% 19.3–21.9% 19.0–22.3% 18.7–22.6% 18.1–23.3%
30 August–2 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.9% 19.3–22.6% 18.9–23.1% 18.5–23.5% 17.7–24.4%
26–31 August 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
19–24 August 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
29 July–4 August 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
29 July 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
26–29 July 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.1% 18.6–21.8% 18.2–22.3% 17.8–22.7% 17.1–23.5%
5–9 July 2019 I&O Research 19.3% 18.3–20.4% 18.0–20.7% 17.7–21.0% 17.2–21.5%
1–7 July 2019 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
24–30 June 2019 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
21–24 June 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.0% 18.5–21.7% 18.1–22.2% 17.7–22.6% 17.0–23.4%
17–23 June 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
10–16 June 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
3–9 June 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
27 May–2 June 2019 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
20–26 May 2019 Peil.nl 16.8% 15.9–17.7% 15.7–17.9% 15.5–18.2% 15.1–18.6%
21 May 2019 Ipsos 18.7% 17.2–20.4% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.1%
13–19 May 2019 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
9–14 May 2019 I&O Research 17.2% 16.1–18.5% 15.8–18.8% 15.5–19.1% 15.0–19.8%
6–12 May 2019 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
29 April–5 May 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
26–29 April 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17.3% 15.8–18.9% 15.4–19.3% 15.1–19.7% 14.4–20.5%
22–28 April 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
17–25 April 2019 Kantar Public 18.0% 16.5–19.7% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.6% 15.0–21.4%
19–24 April 2019 I&O Research 17.3% 16.1–18.5% 15.8–18.9% 15.5–19.2% 15.0–19.8%
15–21 April 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
8–14 April 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
1–7 April 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
25–31 March 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
18–24 March 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
21 March 2019 Ipsos 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
18 March 2019 I&O Research 15.2% 14.0–16.5% 13.6–16.9% 13.3–17.2% 12.8–17.8%
11–16 March 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
8–12 March 2019 I&O Research 15.8% 14.8–16.9% 14.5–17.2% 14.3–17.4% 13.8–17.9%
4–10 March 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
25 February–3 March 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
22–26 February 2019 I&O Research 15.3% 14.3–16.4% 14.0–16.7% 13.8–17.0% 13.3–17.5%
18–24 February 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
22–24 February 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18.4% 16.9–20.1% 16.5–20.5% 16.2–20.9% 15.5–21.7%
11–17 February 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
12 February 2019 Kantar Public 18.7% 17.1–20.4% 16.7–20.9% 16.3–21.3% 15.6–22.1%
4–10 February 2019 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
28 January–3 February 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
25–28 January 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.5% 15.2–20.0% 14.6–20.7%
21–27 January 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
18–22 January 2019 I&O Research 16.3% 15.5–17.1% 15.3–17.3% 15.2–17.5% 14.8–17.9%
14–20 January 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
7–13 January 2019 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
12 January 2019 Kantar Public 18.6% 17.0–20.3% 16.6–20.7% 16.2–21.2% 15.5–22.0%
14–17 December 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18.6% 17.1–20.2% 16.6–20.7% 16.3–21.1% 15.6–21.9%
10–16 December 2018 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
7–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 19.9% 18.4–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.6–22.5% 16.9–23.3%
3–9 December 2018 Peil.nl 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
26 November–2 December 2018 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
22–27 November 2018 I&O Research 17.1% 16.3–18.0% 16.1–18.3% 15.9–18.5% 15.5–18.9%
23–26 November 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
18.7% 17.2–20.3% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.0%
19–25 November 2018 Peil.nl 15.3% 14.5–16.2% 14.3–16.5% 14.1–16.7% 13.7–17.1%
12–18 November 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
5–11 November 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
29 October–4 November 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
26–29 October 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.1% 18.6–21.8% 18.2–22.3% 17.8–22.7% 17.1–23.6%
22–28 October 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
15–21 October 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
8–14 October 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
1–7 October 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
24–30 September 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
17–23 September 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
21–23 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.1% 18.6–21.8% 18.2–22.3% 17.8–22.6% 17.1–23.5%
10–16 September 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
13–16 September 2018 Kantar Public 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.0% 15.8–20.4% 15.1–21.2%
7–11 September 2018 I&O Research 17.1% 16.0–18.2% 15.7–18.5% 15.5–18.8% 15.0–19.3%
3–9 September 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
31 August–3 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.3% 18.8–22.0% 18.3–22.4% 18.0–22.8% 17.2–23.7%
27 August–2 September 2018 Peil.nl 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
20–26 August 2018 Peil.nl 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
13–19 August 2018 Peil.nl 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
27–30 July 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21.5% 20.2–23.0% 19.8–23.4% 19.5–23.7% 18.9–24.4%
2–8 July 2018 Peil.nl 20.0% 19.1–21.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9%
25 June–1 July 2018 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
13–29 June 2018 I&O Research 17.5% 16.5–18.6% 16.2–18.9% 16.0–19.1% 15.5–19.6%
22–25 June 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.4% 19.0–22.0% 18.5–22.5% 18.2–22.9% 17.5–23.7%
18–24 June 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
11–17 June 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
13 June 2018 Kantar Public 21.3% 19.7–23.1% 19.2–23.6% 18.8–24.0% 18.1–24.9%
4–10 June 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
28 May–3 June 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
25–28 May 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.6% 18.1–23.0% 17.4–23.9%
21–27 May 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
14–20 May 2018 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
7–13 May 2018 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
30 April–6 May 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
23–29 April 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
20–23 April 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21.7% 20.2–23.3% 19.8–23.8% 19.4–24.2% 18.8–25.0%
16–22 April 2018 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
9–15 April 2018 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
2–8 April 2018 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
26 March–1 April 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
19–25 March 2018 Peil.nl 16.0% 15.2–16.9% 14.9–17.1% 14.7–17.4% 14.3–17.8%
19 March 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
21.0% 19.5–22.6% 19.1–23.0% 18.7–23.4% 18.0–24.2%
12–18 March 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
8–12 March 2018 I&O Research 17.7% 16.9–18.6% 16.6–18.8% 16.4–19.0% 16.0–19.4%
5–11 March 2018 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
26 February–4 March 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
27 February–4 March 2018 Kantar Public 20.0% 18.5–21.6% 18.0–22.1% 17.7–22.5% 17.0–23.3%
23–26 February 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
19.9% 18.4–21.6% 17.9–22.0% 17.5–22.5% 16.8–23.3%
19–25 February 2018 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
12–18 February 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
5–11 February 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
2–6 February 2018 I&O Research 18.9% 18.0–19.7% 17.8–20.0% 17.6–20.2% 17.2–20.6%
29 January–4 February 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
26–29 January 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
20.7% 19.1–22.3% 18.7–22.8% 18.3–23.2% 17.6–24.1%
22–28 January 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
25–28 January 2018 Kantar Public 18.7% 17.3–20.2% 16.9–20.7% 16.5–21.0% 15.9–21.8%
15–21 January 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
8–14 January 2018 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
18–24 December 2017 Peil.nl 18.0% 17.1–18.9% 16.9–19.2% 16.7–19.4% 16.2–19.9%
18 December 2017 Ipsos 19.8% 18.2–21.5% 17.8–22.0% 17.4–22.4% 16.7–23.2%
15–18 December 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
19.3% 18.2–20.5% 17.8–20.8% 17.6–21.1% 17.1–21.7%
17 December 2017 Peil.nl 16.7% 15.8–17.6% 15.6–17.8% 15.4–18.0% 15.0–18.5%
10 December 2017 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
3 December 2017 Peil.nl 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
30 November 2017 Ipsos 20.3% 18.7–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.7%
27 November 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
18.6% 17.5–19.8% 17.2–20.1% 17.0–20.4% 16.4–21.0%
26 November 2017 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
19 November 2017 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
12 November 2017 Peil.nl 18.7% 17.8–19.6% 17.5–19.9% 17.3–20.1% 16.9–20.6%
5 November 2017 Peil.nl 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
2 November 2017 Ipsos 20.3% 18.7–22.0% 18.3–22.5% 17.9–22.9% 17.2–23.7%
30 October 2017 I&O Research 19.2% 17.9–20.6% 17.5–21.0% 17.2–21.4% 16.6–22.1%
27–30 October 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.6–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
29 October 2017 Peil.nl 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
15 October 2017 Peil.nl 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
11–15 October 2017 Kantar Public 19.3% 17.7–21.0% 17.3–21.4% 16.9–21.9% 16.2–22.7%
11 October 2017 I&O Research 19.3% 17.9–20.7% 17.6–21.1% 17.2–21.5% 16.6–22.2%
5 October 2017 Ipsos 21.9% 20.3–23.7% 19.8–24.1% 19.4–24.6% 18.7–25.4%
1 October 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
22–25 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
19.3% 18.2–20.6% 17.8–20.9% 17.6–21.2% 17.0–21.8%
24 September 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
17 September 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
14 September 2017 Ipsos 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.6–25.0% 20.2–25.4% 19.4–26.3%
11 September 2017 I&O Research 19.5% 18.2–20.9% 17.8–21.4% 17.5–21.7% 16.8–22.4%
10 September 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
1–4 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.3–21.9% 17.7–22.5%
3 September 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
31 August 2017 Kantar Public 20.6% 19.0–22.4% 18.6–22.9% 18.2–23.4% 17.5–24.2%
27 August 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
20 August 2017 Peil.nl 20.7% 19.7–21.6% 19.5–21.9% 19.3–22.2% 18.8–22.6%
10 August 2017 Ipsos 22.2% 20.6–24.0% 20.1–24.4% 19.7–24.9% 19.0–25.7%
30 July 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
21–24 July 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
20.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.2–21.9% 17.7–22.5%
16 July 2017 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.8–23.3% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
13 July 2017 Ipsos 22.7% 21.1–24.5% 20.6–25.0% 20.2–25.4% 19.4–26.3%
12 July 2017 Kantar Public 20.6% 19.0–22.4% 18.6–22.9% 18.2–23.4% 17.5–24.2%
2 July 2017 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.8–23.3% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
29 June 2017 Ipsos 23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
23–26 June 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
22.7% 21.5–24.0% 21.1–24.3% 20.8–24.7% 20.2–25.3%
18 June 2017 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.8–23.3% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
18 June 2017 I&O Research 20.4% 19.0–21.9% 18.6–22.3% 18.3–22.6% 17.7–23.4%
15 June 2017 Ipsos 23.7% 22.0–25.5% 21.6–26.0% 21.2–26.4% 20.4–27.3%
4 June 2017 Peil.nl 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.8–23.3% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
1 June 2017 Ipsos 24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
29 May 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.5–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
21 May 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
19 May 2017 Ipsos 23.6% 21.9–25.4% 21.5–25.9% 21.1–26.3% 20.3–27.2%
14 May 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
7 May 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
4 May 2017 Ipsos 23.9% 22.2–25.7% 21.8–26.2% 21.4–26.6% 20.6–27.5%
24 April 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
21.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.8–23.0% 19.5–23.3% 18.9–23.9%
23 April 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
20 April 2017 Ipsos 24.3% 22.6–26.1% 22.1–26.6% 21.7–27.1% 21.0–27.9%
16 April 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
9 April 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
6 April 2017 Ipsos 22.0% 20.4–23.7% 19.9–24.2% 19.5–24.7% 18.8–25.5%
2 April 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%
26 March 2017 Peil.nl 21.3% 20.4–22.3% 20.1–22.6% 19.9–22.8% 19.4–23.3%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0.9% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 10% 99.1%  
20.5–21.5% 25% 89% Last Result
21.5–22.5% 18% 64% Median
22.5–23.5% 19% 46%  
23.5–24.5% 19% 27%  
24.5–25.5% 7% 7%  
25.5–26.5% 0.7% 0.7%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 33 seats (General Election of 15 March 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 35 33–39 32–41 31–41 30–41
16 March 2021 Peil.nl 37 36–37 32–37 32–37 30–37
14–16 March 2021 Kantar Public 39 35–41 35–41 35–41 35–41
15–16 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
33 33–38 33–38 33–38 33–39
12–15 March 2021 I&O Research 33 31–34 30–36 30–36 30–37
12–13 March 2021 Peil.nl 32 31–33 31–33 31–33 30–35
6–8 March 2021 Kantar Public 41 38–43 37–43 36–44 36–47
5–8 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
40 38–43 38–43 37–43 36–43
5–8 March 2021 I&O Research 34 34–36 33–37 33–37 33–39
5–6 March 2021 Peil.nl 35 31–35 30–35 30–35 30–36
1–2 March 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
38 37–39 37–39 37–39 35–39
1–2 March 2021 I&O Research 37 33–38 33–39 33–39 33–40
26–27 February 2021 Peil.nl 34 34 34 34 33–35
22–24 February 2021 Kantar Public 39 38–41 38–43 38–43 37–45
19–20 February 2021 Peil.nl 36 32–39 32–39 32–39 31–39
14–15 February 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
36 35–40 34–40 33–40 32–41
12–15 February 2021 I&O Research 39 39–42 38–42 38–42 37–43
12–13 February 2021 Peil.nl 37 35–37 35–37 35–37 35–39
5–6 February 2021 Peil.nl 33 33–37 33–38 31–39 31–39
29 January–2 February 2021 I&O Research
De Volkskrant
44 44 44 42–44 41–46
29–30 January 2021 Peil.nl 37 36–39 36–39 36–39 34–39
23–26 January 2021 Kantar Public 44 44–46 43–46 41–46 40–47
22–25 January 2021 Ipsos
EenVandaag
40 37–45 36–45 36–46 34–46
22–25 January 2021 I&O Research 44 40–45 40–46 40–46 39–48
22–23 January 2021 Peil.nl 36 36–37 36–37 36–37 36–38
15–16 January 2021 Peil.nl 35 35 35 35–39 34–39
8–12 January 2021 Kantar Public 44 43–46 43–46 41–46 39–48
8–11 January 2021 I&O Research 47 43–49 43–49 42–49 40–49
8–9 January 2021 Peil.nl 33 32–34 32–35 32–37 31–38
1–2 January 2021 Peil.nl 34 32–35 32–36 31–37 31–38
18–21 December 2020 Kantar Public 42 41–45 40–46 40–47 39–49
18–21 December 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
43 38–45 38–45 37–45 35–46
18–19 December 2020 Peil.nl 37 34–38 32–38 32–38 32–39
11–14 December 2020 I&O Research 45 40–47 39–47 39–49 39–49
11–12 December 2020 Peil.nl 33 33–36 33–36 33–37 32–38
4–5 December 2020 Peil.nl 38 34–39 34–39 34–39 33–40
26–27 November 2020 Peil.nl 39 37–39 36–39 35–42 34–42
20–23 November 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
32 31–34 31–35 31–36 28–38
20–21 November 2020 Peil.nl 37 36–40 35–40 35–40 34–41
9–16 November 2020 I&O Research 47 43–47 43–47 43–47 43–49
15 November 2020 Peil.nl 36 34–39 34–39 34–39 33–40
7–15 November 2020 Kantar Public 43 42–45 41–45 41–45 41–46
8 November 2020 Peil.nl 36 34–39 34–39 34–39 33–40
1 November 2020 Peil.nl 36 34–39 34–39 34–39 33–40
23–26 October 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
41 39–44 39–45 38–45 37–46
16–17 October 2020 Peil.nl 34 32–35 32–36 30–36 30–37
9–12 October 2020 I&O Research 42 42 42 40–44 39–44
11 October 2020 Peil.nl 32 32–36 32–36 32–36 32–36
4 October 2020 Peil.nl 32 32–36 32–36 32–36 32–36
25–29 September 2020 Kantar Public 39 39–41 39–42 39–44 39–44
27 September 2020 Peil.nl 32 32–36 32–36 32–36 32–36
25–27 September 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
38 36–41 36–42 34–43 33–44
18–19 September 2020 Peil.nl 32 32–36 32–36 32–36 32–36
3–7 September 2020 I&O Research 39 38–41 38–42 37–42 36–43
4–5 September 2020 Peil.nl 33 31–34 31–34 31–35 31–36
28–29 August 2020 Peil.nl 32 30–34 30–35 30–35 29–35
21–27 August 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
36 33–39 33–39 33–41 32–42
23 August 2020 Peil.nl 32 31–34 31–35 31–35 30–35
14–15 August 2020 Peil.nl 36 35–38 34–38 33–38 33–39
9 August 2020 I&O Research 41 41 41 39–42 37–44
26 July 2020 Peil.nl 34 33–34 32–34 32–35 31–36
24–26 July 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
39 35–42 35–42 35–42 34–42
19 July 2020 Peil.nl 34 33–34 32–34 32–35 31–36
3–6 July 2020 I&O Research 40 38–41 37–41 36–41 36–44
5 July 2020 Peil.nl 33 32–34 31–35 31–36 31–36
27–30 June 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
42 37–44 37–47 36–47 35–47
28 June 2020 Peil.nl 33 32–34 31–35 31–36 31–36
23–26 June 2020 Kantar Public 41 39–47 37–47 37–47 36–48
21 June 2020 Peil.nl 36 33–36 33–36 32–36 32–36
5–9 June 2020 I&O Research 43 43–45 43–45 42–45 42–46
31 May 2020 Peil.nl 35 35–38 34–38 34–38 34–38
22–24 May 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
44 40–47 40–48 40–49 39–50
15–16 May 2020 Peil.nl 34 33–35 32–35 32–35 31–35
7–12 May 2020 I&O Research 44 44–45 44–45 44–45 42–47
8–9 May 2020 Peil.nl 34 33–35 32–35 32–35 31–35
1–2 May 2020 Peil.nl 30 29–32 29–33 29–33 29–35
26 April 2020 Peil.nl 30 30–31 29–31 29–32 27–33
24–26 April 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
37 36–42 35–42 34–42 33–43
27–30 March 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
35 33–36 31–37 31–37 30–40
26–30 March 2020 I&O Research 37 34–39 33–39 33–39 32–39
5–10 March 2020 I&O Research 28 28 28 28 26–29
1–6 March 2020 Peil.nl 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 18–22
23 February–1 March 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–22 18–22 18–22
21–24 February 2020 Ipsos
EenVandaag
25 24–28 24–30 22–31 22–31
18–23 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–22 18–22 18–22
17–22 February 2020 Peil.nl 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 18–22
9–14 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 20–21 20–21 19–22 18–23
2–9 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 20–21 20–21 19–22 18–23
27 January–1 February 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–21
24–27 January 2020 Ipsos 28 27–30 26–30 24–30 24–32
21–26 January 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–21
10–18 January 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–21
10–14 January 2020 I&O Research 26 26 26–28 26–29 25–30
6–11 January 2020 Peil.nl 20 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–21
16–21 December 2019 Peil.nl 19 19–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
19–21 December 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
29 26–29 25–30 24–30 24–32
9–14 December 2019 Peil.nl 19 19–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
2–7 December 2019 Peil.nl 19 19–21 18–21 18–21 17–21
25–30 November 2019 Peil.nl 22 20–24 20–24 20–24 20–25
22–25 November 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
25 24–29 24–29 23–30 22–30
18–23 November 2019 Peil.nl 23 22–26 22–27 21–27 21–27
11–16 November 2019 Peil.nl 23 22–26 22–27 21–27 21–27
15 November 2019 Kantar Public 30 27–33 27–35 27–35 27–36
7–13 November 2019 I&O Research 27 25–28 24–29 24–29 23–30
4–9 November 2019 Peil.nl 27 24–28 24–28 24–28 24–29
28 October–2 November 2019 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–29 26–30 24–31
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
32 31–35 31–36 31–38 29–39
21–26 October 2019 Peil.nl 29 27–29 27–29 27–29 25–31
14–19 October 2019 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–29 26–30 24–31
15 October 2019 Kantar Public 31 27–32 27–34 27–35 26–37
10–15 October 2019 I&O Research 29 28–33 27–33 27–33 26–33
7–12 October 2019 Peil.nl 29 27–30 27–30 27–30 26–31
30 September–5 October 2019 Peil.nl 29 27–30 27–30 27–30 26–31
23–28 September 2019 Peil.nl 28 28–29 28–30 27–30 27–31
20–23 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
32 28–36 28–36 28–36 28–37
16–21 September 2019 Peil.nl 28 28–29 28–30 27–30 27–31
15 September 2019 Kantar Public 26 23–29 23–29 22–31 21–31
9–14 September 2019 Peil.nl 29 27–30 27–31 27–31 26–31
2–7 September 2019 Peil.nl 29 27–30 27–31 27–31 26–31
29 August–3 September 2019 I&O Research 33 28–35 28–35 28–35 28–36
30 August–2 September 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
31 28–35 28–35 28–35 27–37
26–31 August 2019 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–29 26–29 25–30
19–24 August 2019 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–29 26–29 25–30
29 July–4 August 2019 Peil.nl 27 26–30 25–30 25–30 25–31
29 July 2019 Peil.nl 27 26–30 25–30 25–30 25–31
26–29 July 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
31 29–32 29–34 28–35 26–35
5–9 July 2019 I&O Research 30 30–31 28–31 28–32 27–33
1–7 July 2019 Peil.nl 26 25–28 25–29 24–29 24–29
24–30 June 2019 Peil.nl 27 26–28 25–28 24–28 24–30
21–24 June 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
30 28–32 27–34 27–35 26–36
17–23 June 2019 Peil.nl 26 26–29 26–29 26–30 25–31
10–16 June 2019 Peil.nl 26 26–29 26–29 26–30 25–31
3–9 June 2019 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–30 26–30 25–30
27 May–2 June 2019 Peil.nl 28 27–29 26–30 26–30 25–30
20–26 May 2019 Peil.nl 26 26 25–27 25–27 24–28
21 May 2019 Ipsos 27 27–30 26–30 26–31 24–33
13–19 May 2019 Peil.nl 26 24–27 24–28 24–29 23–29
9–14 May 2019 I&O Research 27 25–28 24–28 24–29 23–30
6–12 May 2019 Peil.nl 25 23–25 23–26 23–26 23–27
29 April–5 May 2019 Peil.nl 24 22–25 22–26 22–26 21–26
26–29 April 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
27 24–27 24–28 23–29 21–30
22–28 April 2019 Peil.nl 21 21–23 21–23 20–24 20–25
17–25 April 2019 Kantar Public 26 23–30 23–32 23–32 21–32
19–24 April 2019 I&O Research 26 26–28 25–28 25–28 22–29
15–21 April 2019 Peil.nl 23 21–24 21–24 21–25 20–26
8–14 April 2019 Peil.nl 23 21–24 21–24 21–25 20–26
1–7 April 2019 Peil.nl 23 21–24 21–24 21–25 20–26
25–31 March 2019 Peil.nl 24 23–25 22–25 22–25 21–26
18–24 March 2019 Peil.nl 23 22–24 22–25 21–25 21–26
21 March 2019 Ipsos 27 24–29 22–29 21–30 21–31
18 March 2019 I&O Research 24 21–24 21–24 21–25 20–26
11–16 March 2019 Peil.nl 22 21–24 21–25 21–25 20–25
8–12 March 2019 I&O Research 25 23–26 23–27 22–28 21–28
4–10 March 2019 Peil.nl 24 23–25 22–25 22–26 21–26
25 February–3 March 2019 Peil.nl 24 23–26 22–26 21–26 20–27
22–26 February 2019 I&O Research 23 22–25 22–25 21–27 21–27
18–24 February 2019 Peil.nl 23 22–25 22–25 21–25 20–25
22–24 February 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
27 24–30 24–31 24–32 23–33
11–17 February 2019 Peil.nl 24 22–25 22–26 21–26 20–26
12 February 2019 Kantar Public 31 26–31 26–31 24–31 23–32
4–10 February 2019 Peil.nl 24 22–25 22–26 21–26 20–26
28 January–3 February 2019 Peil.nl 23 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–25
25–28 January 2019 Ipsos
EenVandaag
26 25–28 25–28 24–30 23–31
21–27 January 2019 Peil.nl 23 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–25
18–22 January 2019 I&O Research 25 24–27 24–27 24–27 23–27
14–20 January 2019 Peil.nl 23 21–24 20–25 20–25 19–25
7–13 January 2019 Peil.nl 22 21–23 21–23 21–24 20–24
12 January 2019 Kantar Public 26 26–31 26–31 26–31 25–33
14–17 December 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
29 26–29 24–31 24–31 23–33
10–16 December 2018 Peil.nl 22 21–23 21–23 21–24 20–24
7–11 December 2018 Kantar Public 33 29–33 29–33 29–33 27–34
3–9 December 2018 Peil.nl 22 21–23 21–23 21–24 20–24
26 November–2 December 2018 Peil.nl 24 22–24 22–24 22–24 21–26
22–27 November 2018 I&O Research 27 26–28 25–29 25–29 24–29
23–26 November 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
30 26–33 25–33 24–33 24–34
19–25 November 2018 Peil.nl 22 21–25 21–25 21–26 20–26
12–18 November 2018 Peil.nl 23 23–26 23–26 23–26 23–26
5–11 November 2018 Peil.nl 23 23–26 23–26 23–26 23–26
29 October–4 November 2018 Peil.nl 23 23–26 23–26 23–26 23–26
26–29 October 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
31 29–34 28–35 27–35 25–37
22–28 October 2018 Peil.nl 25 24–25 24–26 24–27 23–27
15–21 October 2018 Peil.nl 25 24–25 24–26 24–27 23–27
8–14 October 2018 Peil.nl 25 24–25 24–26 24–27 23–27
1–7 October 2018 Peil.nl 25 24–25 24–26 24–27 23–27
24–30 September 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–27 24–27 24–27 24–28
17–23 September 2018 Peil.nl 26 26 25–26 25–28 25–28
21–23 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
30 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
10–16 September 2018 Peil.nl 27 26–27 26–27 25–27 25–29
13–16 September 2018 Kantar Public 28 28 28–29 25–29 23–30
7–11 September 2018 I&O Research 26 25–28 24–28 24–28 23–30
3–9 September 2018 Peil.nl 28 25–28 25–29 25–30 24–31
31 August–3 September 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
30 29–34 29–34 28–34 27–37
27 August–2 September 2018 Peil.nl 30 30 30 30 29–31
20–26 August 2018 Peil.nl 30 30 30 30 29–31
13–19 August 2018 Peil.nl 29 27–30 27–31 27–32 27–33
27–30 July 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
32 29–35 29–37 28–37 28–37
2–8 July 2018 Peil.nl 31 30–31 30–34 29–34 29–34
25 June–1 July 2018 Peil.nl 29 29–30 28–30 27–30 27–30
13–29 June 2018 I&O Research 25 25–28 25–30 25–30 24–30
22–25 June 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
32 30–33 29–34 28–34 28–35
18–24 June 2018 Peil.nl 27 27–31 26–31 25–31 24–31
11–17 June 2018 Peil.nl 28 27–28 26–29 26–29 25–31
13 June 2018 Kantar Public 31 27–35 27–36 27–36 26–39
4–10 June 2018 Peil.nl 28 27–28 26–29 26–29 25–31
28 May–3 June 2018 Peil.nl 26 26 26–27 26–28 24–28
25–28 May 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
31 29–33 29–34 28–34 27–37
21–27 May 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–27 24–28 24–28 24–29
14–20 May 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–26 23–26 23–27 23–27
7–13 May 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–26 23–26 23–27 23–27
30 April–6 May 2018 Peil.nl 26 26 23–26 21–26 21–27
23–29 April 2018 Peil.nl 26 26 23–26 21–26 21–27
20–23 April 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
33 30–36 29–36 29–37 28–39
16–22 April 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–26 23–26 23–26 23–27
9–15 April 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–26 23–26 23–26 23–27
2–8 April 2018 Peil.nl 26 24–26 23–26 23–26 23–27
26 March–1 April 2018 Peil.nl 24 23–27 23–27 22–27 22–27
19–25 March 2018 Peil.nl 24 23–27 23–27 22–27 22–27
19 March 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
33 32–35 30–35 30–36 28–36
12–18 March 2018 Peil.nl 26 26 26 26–27 25–29
8–12 March 2018 I&O Research 28 28 26–28 26–29 24–29
5–11 March 2018 Peil.nl 25 24–26 24–27 24–27 24–28
26 February–4 March 2018 Peil.nl 24 24–28 24–28 24–28 24–29
27 February–4 March 2018 Kantar Public 32 30–32 28–32 27–33 27–35
23–26 February 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
29 28–33 27–33 27–35 26–38
19–25 February 2018 Peil.nl 24 24–28 24–28 24–28 24–29
12–18 February 2018 Peil.nl 27 27–29 27–29 27–29 26–29
5–11 February 2018 Peil.nl 26 26–28 26–30 26–30 25–30
2–6 February 2018 I&O Research 28 27–29 27–30 27–30 26–32
29 January–4 February 2018 Peil.nl 28 27–28 25–28 25–28 25–30
26–29 January 2018 Ipsos
EenVandaag
32 29–32 29–33 28–35 26–36
22–28 January 2018 Peil.nl 28 27–28 25–28 25–28 25–30
25–28 January 2018 Kantar Public 28 27–32 27–32 25–32 23–33
15–21 January 2018 Peil.nl 28 27–28 25–28 25–28 25–30
8–14 January 2018 Peil.nl 27 27–29 26–29 26–30 25–30
18–24 December 2017 Peil.nl 27 27–29 26–29 26–30 25–30
18 December 2017 Ipsos 31 28–33 27–35 26–35 26–37
15–18 December 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
30 30–31 30–31 30–31 27–32
17 December 2017 Peil.nl 25 25–26 25–26 25–26 23–28
10 December 2017 Peil.nl 28 28 25–28 24–28 24–28
3 December 2017 Peil.nl 28 28 25–28 24–28 24–28
30 November 2017 Ipsos 32 28–36 27–36 26–36 26–37
27 November 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
28 27–32 25–32 25–32 25–32
26 November 2017 Peil.nl 27 27–29 27–32 27–32 27–32
19 November 2017 Peil.nl 28 28–29 28–29 28–30 28–30
12 November 2017 Peil.nl 28 28–29 28–29 28–30 28–30
5 November 2017 Peil.nl 30 29–30 29–31 29–31 28–33
2 November 2017 Ipsos 30 30–31 29–33 27–34 26–36
30 October 2017 I&O Research 30 27–32 27–32 26–32 26–34
27–30 October 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
31 28–33 28–33 28–33 27–33
29 October 2017 Peil.nl 29 27–30 27–31 27–31 27–32
15 October 2017 Peil.nl 29 28–31 28–31 28–31 28–33
11–15 October 2017 Kantar Public 30 27–30 27–32 27–32 26–33
11 October 2017 I&O Research 29 27–32 27–32 26–32 26–33
5 October 2017 Ipsos 34 29–36 29–37 29–37 29–38
1 October 2017 Peil.nl 33 31–33 29–33 29–33 29–34
22–25 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
30 29–32 28–34 26–34 26–34
24 September 2017 Peil.nl 31 30–35 30–35 30–35 28–35
17 September 2017 Peil.nl 31 30–35 30–35 30–35 28–35
14 September 2017 Ipsos 34 32–36 30–37 30–38 30–38
11 September 2017 I&O Research 31 28–31 28–32 27–32 24–34
10 September 2017 Peil.nl 31 30–35 30–35 30–35 28–35
1–4 September 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
30 29–31 29–33 29–34 26–34
3 September 2017 Peil.nl 32 30–35 29–35 29–35 29–36
31 August 2017 Kantar Public 32 28–35 28–35 27–35 26–37
27 August 2017 Peil.nl 30 29–31 29–32 29–32 29–34
20 August 2017 Peil.nl 30 29–31 29–32 29–32 29–34
10 August 2017 Ipsos 34 30–37 30–38 30–38 30–41
30 July 2017 Peil.nl 34 32–34 31–35 30–37 30–37
21–24 July 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
32 27–32 27–32 27–33 27–33
16 July 2017 Peil.nl 33 32–35 32–35 32–35 32–36
13 July 2017 Ipsos 34 31–38 31–39 31–39 29–40
12 July 2017 Kantar Public 31 30–35 28–35 28–36 25–37
2 July 2017 Peil.nl 33 33 32–34 32–34 31–35
29 June 2017 Ipsos 35 32–36 32–38 32–39 30–40
23–26 June 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
35 33–37 32–38 32–38 31–39
18 June 2017 Peil.nl 34 33–37 32–37 32–37 31–37
18 June 2017 I&O Research 35 29–35 29–35 28–35 27–35
15 June 2017 Ipsos 38 34–40 33–40 33–40 32–41
4 June 2017 Peil.nl 33 33–35 32–35 30–37 30–38
1 June 2017 Ipsos 38 33–40 33–40 33–41 32–42
29 May 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
29 29 29–31 29–31 29–33
21 May 2017 Peil.nl 32 32–34 32–34 32–35 30–35
19 May 2017 Ipsos 35 35–37 35–38 34–39 33–42
14 May 2017 Peil.nl 32 32–34 32–34 32–35 30–35
7 May 2017 Peil.nl 32 32–34 32–34 32–35 30–35
4 May 2017 Ipsos 36 35–42 33–42 32–42 31–42
24 April 2017 GfK
EenVandaag
33 31–34 30–34 30–34 29–37
23 April 2017 Peil.nl 32 32–34 32–34 32–35 30–35
20 April 2017 Ipsos 39 34–39 33–39 32–39 32–43
16 April 2017 Peil.nl 32 32–34 32–34 32–35 30–35
9 April 2017 Peil.nl 33 33 33 33–34 31–34
6 April 2017 Ipsos 33 31–38 31–40 30–40 29–40
2 April 2017 Peil.nl 33 33 33 33–34 31–34
26 March 2017 Peil.nl 33 33 33 33–34 31–34

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0% 100%  
30 2% 99.9%  
31 3% 98%  
32 2% 95%  
33 35% 94% Last Result
34 4% 59%  
35 7% 55% Median
36 3% 48%  
37 23% 45%  
38 5% 22%  
39 9% 17%  
40 3% 8%  
41 5% 5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%