Opinion Poll by GfK for EenVandaag, 24 April 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 21.3% | 20.1–22.6% | 19.8–23.0% | 19.5–23.3% | 18.9–23.9% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 14.7% | 13.6–15.8% | 13.4–16.1% | 13.1–16.4% | 12.7–16.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.2–14.3% | 10.8–14.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.4–14.0% | 11.2–14.3% | 10.8–14.8% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.1–10.7% | 7.7–11.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.4–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.7% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 33 | 31–34 | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–37 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 22 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 19–26 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–23 | 17–23 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–18 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 2–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 98% | |
| 31 | 8% | 95% | |
| 32 | 25% | 87% | |
| 33 | 41% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 19% | 21% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 18% | 91% | Last Result |
| 21 | 20% | 73% | |
| 22 | 16% | 52% | Median |
| 23 | 7% | 37% | |
| 24 | 5% | 29% | |
| 25 | 24% | 25% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17 | 12% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 17% | 88% | |
| 19 | 8% | 71% | Last Result |
| 20 | 51% | 63% | Median |
| 21 | 10% | 12% | |
| 22 | 3% | 3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 34% | 93% | |
| 19 | 4% | 59% | Last Result |
| 20 | 27% | 55% | Median |
| 21 | 24% | 28% | |
| 22 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 23 | 3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 8% | 80% | |
| 14 | 33% | 72% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 35% | 39% | |
| 16 | 3% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 15% | 94% | |
| 14 | 35% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 37% | 44% | |
| 16 | 7% | 7% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 43% | 96% | |
| 8 | 22% | 53% | Median |
| 9 | 31% | 32% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 21% | 100% | |
| 4 | 30% | 79% | Median |
| 5 | 45% | 49% | Last Result |
| 6 | 2% | 4% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 45% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 13% | 50% | Last Result |
| 6 | 36% | 37% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 14% | 98% | |
| 4 | 75% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 5% | 9% | |
| 6 | 4% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 25% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 63% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 12% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 36% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 3 | 54% | 63% | Median |
| 4 | 9% | 9% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 29% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 68% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 90 | 100% | 88–92 | 87–92 | 87–94 | 84–95 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 84 | 100% | 81–86 | 81–86 | 81–86 | 79–88 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 79 | 98% | 77–81 | 77–82 | 77–84 | 74–84 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 79 | 98.8% | 78–83 | 76–83 | 76–83 | 75–84 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 76 | 64% | 75–80 | 74–80 | 74–80 | 73–81 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 76 | 63% | 74–78 | 72–78 | 72–79 | 71–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 73 | 28% | 72–78 | 72–78 | 72–78 | 70–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 72 | 0.5% | 70–73 | 67–73 | 67–73 | 66–75 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 65 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–70 | 63–70 | 61–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 62 | 0% | 58–63 | 58–64 | 58–64 | 57–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 60 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–62 | 57–64 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 60 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–62 | 57–63 | 56–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie | 58 | 59 | 0% | 56–60 | 56–60 | 56–60 | 53–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 58 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–60 | 54–60 | 53–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 55 | 0% | 52–56 | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 52 | 0% | 50–53 | 49–53 | 49–54 | 48–56 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 46 | 0% | 45–49 | 43–50 | 43–50 | 42–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 40 | 0% | 39–42 | 38–42 | 38–43 | 36–45 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 38 | 0% | 37–41 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 34–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 31 | 0% | 30–34 | 29–35 | 29–35 | 29–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 27 | 0% | 26–29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 24–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 85 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 98.8% | |
| 87 | 6% | 98.5% | |
| 88 | 3% | 92% | |
| 89 | 29% | 89% | |
| 90 | 46% | 61% | Last Result |
| 91 | 2% | 15% | Median |
| 92 | 9% | 13% | |
| 93 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 94 | 3% | 3% | |
| 95 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 97 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 81 | 27% | 98% | |
| 82 | 1.2% | 70% | |
| 83 | 3% | 69% | |
| 84 | 23% | 66% | |
| 85 | 32% | 43% | Last Result, Median |
| 86 | 8% | 10% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 90 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 91 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 24% | 98% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 74% | |
| 79 | 32% | 74% | |
| 80 | 29% | 42% | Last Result, Median |
| 81 | 5% | 13% | |
| 82 | 3% | 8% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 5% | 5% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 6% | 98.8% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 78 | 25% | 91% | |
| 79 | 29% | 66% | |
| 80 | 8% | 37% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 29% | Median |
| 82 | 4% | 28% | |
| 83 | 24% | 24% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 6% | 98% | Last Result |
| 75 | 28% | 92% | |
| 76 | 28% | 64% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 36% | |
| 78 | 5% | 34% | Median |
| 79 | 2% | 29% | |
| 80 | 26% | 27% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 5% | 98% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 74 | 23% | 91% | |
| 75 | 5% | 68% | |
| 76 | 27% | 63% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 36% | Median |
| 78 | 20% | 23% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 34% | 98% | Last Result |
| 73 | 21% | 64% | |
| 74 | 12% | 43% | |
| 75 | 3% | 31% | Median |
| 76 | 3% | 28% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 25% | |
| 78 | 21% | 21% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 3% | 90% | |
| 71 | 37% | 88% | Last Result |
| 72 | 22% | 51% | |
| 73 | 28% | 30% | Median |
| 74 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 27% | 98% | |
| 64 | 18% | 72% | |
| 65 | 21% | 53% | |
| 66 | 17% | 33% | Last Result, Median |
| 67 | 5% | 16% | |
| 68 | 5% | 11% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 5% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 11% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 3% | 89% | |
| 60 | 2% | 86% | |
| 61 | 8% | 84% | Last Result |
| 62 | 65% | 77% | |
| 63 | 2% | 11% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 10% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 24% | 96% | |
| 59 | 10% | 72% | |
| 60 | 31% | 62% | |
| 61 | 9% | 31% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 17% | 22% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 64 | 3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 58 | 10% | 97% | |
| 59 | 26% | 87% | |
| 60 | 41% | 61% | |
| 61 | 6% | 20% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 11% | 15% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 12% | 98% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 58 | 6% | 85% | Last Result |
| 59 | 62% | 80% | |
| 60 | 15% | 18% | Median |
| 61 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 11% | 98% | |
| 55 | 2% | 88% | |
| 56 | 6% | 86% | |
| 57 | 2% | 80% | Last Result |
| 58 | 62% | 79% | |
| 59 | 5% | 17% | Median |
| 60 | 11% | 12% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 52 | 10% | 96% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 86% | |
| 54 | 7% | 85% | Last Result |
| 55 | 58% | 78% | |
| 56 | 14% | 21% | Median |
| 57 | 5% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 10% | 95% | |
| 51 | 6% | 85% | |
| 52 | 40% | 79% | Last Result |
| 53 | 34% | 39% | Median |
| 54 | 4% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 6% | 99.4% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 45 | 24% | 92% | |
| 46 | 19% | 68% | |
| 47 | 11% | 50% | Last Result |
| 48 | 26% | 38% | Median |
| 49 | 5% | 12% | |
| 50 | 7% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 38 | 6% | 98% | |
| 39 | 20% | 92% | |
| 40 | 27% | 72% | |
| 41 | 9% | 45% | Median |
| 42 | 32% | 36% | Last Result |
| 43 | 2% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 94% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 37 | 4% | 93% | |
| 38 | 47% | 89% | Last Result |
| 39 | 6% | 42% | |
| 40 | 7% | 36% | Median |
| 41 | 26% | 29% | |
| 42 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 38% | 95% | |
| 31 | 8% | 57% | |
| 32 | 25% | 50% | Median |
| 33 | 6% | 25% | Last Result |
| 34 | 12% | 19% | |
| 35 | 6% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 3% | 98% | |
| 26 | 24% | 94% | |
| 27 | 42% | 70% | |
| 28 | 9% | 28% | Last Result, Median |
| 29 | 11% | 19% | |
| 30 | 8% | 8% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GfK
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 24 April 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1834
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.28%