Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 4 May 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.8–15.4% | 11.5–15.8% | 10.9–16.5% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.7–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.1–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 36 | 35–42 | 33–42 | 32–42 | 31–42 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 20 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 16–25 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 16–25 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 17 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 11–18 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 5 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–8 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 34 | 2% | 93% | |
| 35 | 6% | 91% | |
| 36 | 44% | 85% | Median |
| 37 | 11% | 41% | |
| 38 | 4% | 30% | |
| 39 | 12% | 26% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 15% | |
| 41 | 3% | 13% | |
| 42 | 10% | 10% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 13% | 98% | |
| 19 | 8% | 86% | |
| 20 | 43% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 8% | 34% | |
| 22 | 13% | 26% | |
| 23 | 10% | 13% | |
| 24 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 2% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 18 | 2% | 98% | |
| 19 | 18% | 96% | Last Result |
| 20 | 11% | 78% | |
| 21 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 22 | 2% | 48% | |
| 23 | 38% | 46% | |
| 24 | 7% | 8% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 5% | 87% | |
| 15 | 7% | 82% | |
| 16 | 12% | 75% | |
| 17 | 49% | 63% | Median |
| 18 | 5% | 14% | |
| 19 | 8% | 9% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 13 | 8% | 98% | |
| 14 | 47% | 90% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 15% | 43% | |
| 16 | 13% | 28% | |
| 17 | 13% | 15% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 19% | 88% | |
| 8 | 56% | 69% | Median |
| 9 | 8% | 13% | |
| 10 | 5% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 49% | 89% | Median |
| 7 | 24% | 40% | |
| 8 | 9% | 16% | |
| 9 | 6% | 7% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 56% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 29% | 42% | |
| 7 | 10% | 13% | |
| 8 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 47% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 28% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 16% | 24% | |
| 7 | 7% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 38% | 92% | |
| 5 | 41% | 54% | Median |
| 6 | 7% | 13% | |
| 7 | 5% | 6% | |
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 55% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 18% | 25% | |
| 5 | 7% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 70% | 90% | Median |
| 4 | 18% | 20% | Last Result |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 37% | 96% | |
| 3 | 51% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 7% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 95 | 100% | 92–99 | 90–99 | 90–102 | 88–102 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 87 | 100% | 83–90 | 83–91 | 81–91 | 80–91 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 81 | 94% | 76–84 | 75–84 | 75–86 | 73–86 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 81 | 99.7% | 79–85 | 78–85 | 76–85 | 76–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 78 | 92% | 76–82 | 75–82 | 73–83 | 72–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 76 | 59% | 71–78 | 69–79 | 68–81 | 67–81 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 73 | 21% | 71–77 | 70–78 | 68–78 | 68–79 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 73 | 6% | 68–75 | 67–76 | 67–77 | 67–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 65 | 0% | 61–69 | 61–70 | 60–70 | 58–70 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 65 | 0% | 60–68 | 60–69 | 59–69 | 59–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus | 61 | 64 | 0% | 62–67 | 60–68 | 59–68 | 57–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 57–64 | 57–65 | 54–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 57–64 | 56–65 | 55–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 59 | 0% | 58–62 | 57–63 | 56–64 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 58 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–61 | 53–61 | 52–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 53 | 0% | 51–56 | 49–57 | 49–58 | 47–58 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 45 | 0% | 41–47 | 39–50 | 39–50 | 39–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 42 | 0% | 42–47 | 41–49 | 40–49 | 39–49 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 38 | 0% | 34–40 | 32–43 | 32–43 | 32–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 28 | 0% | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 25–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 23 | 0% | 20–26 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 20–28 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 89 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 90 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 91 | 2% | 95% | |
| 92 | 10% | 93% | |
| 93 | 11% | 83% | Median |
| 94 | 6% | 72% | |
| 95 | 36% | 66% | |
| 96 | 4% | 30% | |
| 97 | 4% | 26% | |
| 98 | 11% | 22% | |
| 99 | 7% | 11% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 102 | 4% | 4% | |
| 103 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 83 | 7% | 96% | |
| 84 | 11% | 89% | |
| 85 | 4% | 78% | Last Result, Median |
| 86 | 4% | 74% | |
| 87 | 39% | 70% | |
| 88 | 3% | 30% | |
| 89 | 16% | 27% | |
| 90 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 91 | 9% | 10% | |
| 92 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 4% | 98% | |
| 76 | 8% | 94% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 86% | |
| 78 | 7% | 83% | |
| 79 | 8% | 75% | Median |
| 80 | 5% | 67% | |
| 81 | 35% | 62% | |
| 82 | 9% | 27% | |
| 83 | 5% | 18% | |
| 84 | 8% | 12% | |
| 85 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 86 | 3% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 3% | 99.7% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 95% | |
| 79 | 10% | 93% | |
| 80 | 6% | 83% | |
| 81 | 41% | 78% | Median |
| 82 | 4% | 36% | |
| 83 | 13% | 33% | |
| 84 | 8% | 20% | |
| 85 | 11% | 12% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 97% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 95% | |
| 76 | 4% | 92% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 89% | |
| 78 | 36% | 76% | Median |
| 79 | 22% | 40% | |
| 80 | 3% | 18% | |
| 81 | 4% | 15% | |
| 82 | 7% | 11% | |
| 83 | 4% | 4% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 95% | |
| 71 | 9% | 92% | Last Result |
| 72 | 12% | 83% | |
| 73 | 2% | 71% | |
| 74 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 75 | 4% | 63% | |
| 76 | 41% | 59% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 18% | |
| 78 | 5% | 12% | |
| 79 | 5% | 8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 3% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | |
| 71 | 4% | 93% | |
| 72 | 10% | 90% | Last Result |
| 73 | 43% | 80% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 37% | |
| 75 | 13% | 34% | |
| 76 | 6% | 21% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 15% | |
| 78 | 7% | 9% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 7% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 87% | |
| 70 | 2% | 87% | |
| 71 | 11% | 85% | Median |
| 72 | 17% | 74% | |
| 73 | 35% | 56% | |
| 74 | 8% | 22% | |
| 75 | 7% | 14% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 7% | 96% | Last Result |
| 62 | 7% | 90% | |
| 63 | 7% | 83% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 76% | |
| 65 | 39% | 67% | |
| 66 | 7% | 28% | |
| 67 | 5% | 21% | |
| 68 | 3% | 16% | |
| 69 | 4% | 12% | |
| 70 | 7% | 8% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 8% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 89% | |
| 62 | 2% | 86% | |
| 63 | 5% | 84% | Median |
| 64 | 17% | 79% | |
| 65 | 41% | 62% | |
| 66 | 8% | 21% | Last Result |
| 67 | 1.1% | 14% | |
| 68 | 3% | 13% | |
| 69 | 9% | 10% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 91% | |
| 63 | 11% | 86% | |
| 64 | 45% | 76% | Median |
| 65 | 8% | 31% | |
| 66 | 5% | 23% | |
| 67 | 10% | 18% | |
| 68 | 6% | 7% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 58 | 3% | 93% | |
| 59 | 5% | 90% | |
| 60 | 9% | 86% | |
| 61 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 29% | |
| 63 | 8% | 21% | |
| 64 | 10% | 13% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 2% | 92% | Last Result |
| 59 | 11% | 90% | |
| 60 | 8% | 79% | |
| 61 | 36% | 71% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 35% | |
| 63 | 13% | 27% | |
| 64 | 9% | 14% | |
| 65 | 4% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 4% | 97% | |
| 58 | 6% | 93% | |
| 59 | 48% | 87% | Median |
| 60 | 6% | 39% | |
| 61 | 6% | 33% | Last Result |
| 62 | 20% | 27% | |
| 63 | 4% | 7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 5% | 97% | Last Result |
| 55 | 3% | 92% | |
| 56 | 8% | 89% | |
| 57 | 9% | 81% | |
| 58 | 37% | 72% | Median |
| 59 | 14% | 35% | |
| 60 | 13% | 21% | |
| 61 | 7% | 8% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 50 | 3% | 94% | |
| 51 | 4% | 91% | |
| 52 | 11% | 87% | Last Result |
| 53 | 43% | 76% | Median |
| 54 | 6% | 33% | |
| 55 | 13% | 27% | |
| 56 | 6% | 14% | |
| 57 | 4% | 8% | |
| 58 | 4% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 93% | |
| 41 | 16% | 92% | |
| 42 | 7% | 76% | |
| 43 | 5% | 69% | |
| 44 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 45 | 7% | 53% | |
| 46 | 35% | 46% | |
| 47 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 50 | 6% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 5% | 95% | |
| 42 | 41% | 90% | Last Result, Median |
| 43 | 11% | 49% | |
| 44 | 5% | 38% | |
| 45 | 11% | 33% | |
| 46 | 9% | 22% | |
| 47 | 4% | 13% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 8% | |
| 49 | 7% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 32 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 94% | |
| 34 | 11% | 92% | |
| 35 | 8% | 81% | |
| 36 | 11% | 73% | |
| 37 | 5% | 62% | |
| 38 | 10% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 39 | 4% | 48% | |
| 40 | 36% | 44% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 42 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 43 | 6% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 15% | 93% | |
| 27 | 5% | 78% | |
| 28 | 36% | 73% | Median |
| 29 | 11% | 37% | |
| 30 | 7% | 26% | |
| 31 | 10% | 19% | |
| 32 | 5% | 8% | |
| 33 | 1.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 6% | 83% | |
| 22 | 6% | 77% | |
| 23 | 46% | 71% | Median |
| 24 | 10% | 25% | |
| 25 | 4% | 15% | |
| 26 | 9% | 10% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.6% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 4 May 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%