Opinion Poll by GfK for EenVandaag, 29 May 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.5–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 15.4% 14.4–16.4% 14.1–16.8% 13.8–17.0% 13.4–17.5%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
Democraten 66 12.2% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
GroenLinks 9.1% 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.7% 7.9–9.5% 7.7–9.8% 7.5–10.0% 7.1–10.4%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.6% 6.0–7.4% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.3–8.2%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.3% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.3% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5%
50Plus 3.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.2% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 2.0% 1.7–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1%
Piratenpartij 0.3% 0.7% 0.5–1.0% 0.4–1.1% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 29 29 29–31 29–31 29–33
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 25 25 24–25 21–25 21–26
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 17 17 17–18 17–18 17–20
Democraten 66 19 20 20 19–20 18–20 17–20
GroenLinks 14 16 16 14–16 14–16 13–17
Socialistische Partij 14 13 13 13 13 11–15
Partij van de Arbeid 9 10 10 10–11 10–12 8–12
ChristenUnie 5 5 5 5 4–5 4–5
Partij voor de Dieren 5 4 4 4–5 4–6 3–6
50Plus 4 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 3 3 3–4 2–4
Forum voor Democratie 2 3 3 3 3 2–3
DENK 3 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
Piratenpartij 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.2% 100%  
29 92% 99.8% Median
30 0.8% 8%  
31 5% 7%  
32 0.8% 2%  
33 0.6% 0.7% Last Result
34 0.2% 0.2%  
35 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0.2% 100% Last Result
21 4% 99.8%  
22 0.5% 96%  
23 0.3% 96%  
24 3% 95%  
25 92% 93% Median
26 0.7% 0.9%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.5% 100%  
17 93% 99.5% Median
18 4% 6%  
19 0.8% 2% Last Result
20 0.8% 0.9%  
21 0% 0.1%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.1% 100%  
17 0.6% 99.9%  
18 2% 99.3%  
19 4% 97% Last Result
20 93% 93% Median
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.6%  
14 4% 99.2% Last Result
15 1.5% 95%  
16 92% 93% Median
17 1.3% 1.5%  
18 0.1% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.8% 100%  
12 1.1% 99.2%  
13 97% 98% Median
14 0.4% 0.9% Last Result
15 0.5% 0.5%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.5% 100%  
9 1.0% 99.5% Last Result
10 92% 98.5% Median
11 1.2% 6%  
12 5% 5%  
13 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 5% 99.9%  
5 95% 95% Last Result, Median
6 0.2% 0.5%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.2% 100%  
4 93% 98.8% Median
5 2% 6% Last Result
6 4% 4%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 97% 100% Median
4 2% 3% Last Result
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 1.5% 99.9%  
3 94% 98% Last Result, Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 2% 99.9% Last Result
3 98% 98% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 3% 100%  
2 97% 97% Median
3 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Piratenpartij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Piratenpartij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 3%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 87 100% 87 86–87 86–88 84–91
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 81 100% 81 81–83 81–84 80–85
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 81 100% 81 80–81 79–81 76–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 77 99.5% 77 77 77–78 74–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 74 3% 74 74 73–76 72–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 71 0.1% 71 71 70–73 70–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 71 0.5% 71 71–72 71–72 70–76
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 68 0% 68 67–68 66–68 64–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 66 0% 66 66–68 66–68 66–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 59 0% 59 59–61 59–62 55–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 56 0% 56 56–60 56–61 56–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 55 0% 55 55–59 55–59 55–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 52 0% 52 52–55 52–56 52–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie 58 52 0% 52 52–55 52–55 52–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 49 0% 49 49–52 49–52 49–54
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 47 0% 47 47 47–49 45–49
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 46 0% 46 46–49 46–49 46–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 39 0% 39 39–43 39–43 38–44
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 37 0% 37 37 36–37 34–39
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 32 0% 32 32–34 32–34 31–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 27 0% 27 27–29 27–30 27–30

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0.5% 100%  
85 0.2% 99.4%  
86 5% 99.2%  
87 92% 95% Median
88 2% 3%  
89 0.1% 0.8%  
90 0.2% 0.8% Last Result
91 0.2% 0.6%  
92 0.4% 0.4%  
93 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.2% 99.8%  
80 0.1% 99.5%  
81 92% 99.4% Median
82 0.5% 7%  
83 2% 7%  
84 4% 5%  
85 0.6% 1.0% Last Result
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0.2% 0.2%  
89 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0.6% 100% Majority
77 0.9% 99.4%  
78 0.8% 98.5%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 3% 97% Last Result
81 92% 94% Median
82 1.2% 2%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0.5% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.5%  
76 0.2% 99.5% Majority
77 95% 99.3% Last Result, Median
78 2% 4%  
79 0.6% 2%  
80 0.7% 1.2%  
81 0.3% 0.6%  
82 0.2% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.5% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.5%  
73 3% 99.5%  
74 92% 96% Last Result, Median
75 1.3% 4%  
76 2% 3% Majority
77 0.4% 1.0%  
78 0.6% 0.6%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 3% 99.5%  
71 92% 96% Median
72 1.2% 4% Last Result
73 0.9% 3%  
74 1.2% 2%  
75 0.7% 0.8%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.7% 99.9%  
71 93% 99.1% Median
72 4% 6%  
73 0.6% 2%  
74 0.7% 2%  
75 0.3% 0.8%  
76 0.4% 0.5% Last Result, Majority
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 1.1% 99.9%  
65 0.6% 98.8%  
66 0.9% 98% Last Result
67 3% 97%  
68 92% 94% Median
69 1.3% 2%  
70 0.2% 0.4%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.2% 99.9%  
66 94% 99.7% Median
67 0.3% 6%  
68 4% 6%  
69 1.2% 2%  
70 0.3% 0.7%  
71 0.3% 0.4% Last Result
72 0% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 0.4% 99.8%  
56 0.1% 99.4%  
57 0% 99.3%  
58 0.2% 99.3%  
59 92% 99.1% Median
60 0.7% 7%  
61 2% 6% Last Result
62 4% 4%  
63 0.4% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 92% 100% Median
57 0.2% 8%  
58 0.7% 8%  
59 0.9% 7%  
60 2% 6%  
61 4% 4% Last Result
62 0% 0.2%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 92% 99.9% Median
56 1.0% 8%  
57 2% 7%  
58 0.1% 5%  
59 4% 5%  
60 0.7% 1.2%  
61 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
62 0.2% 0.4%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 92% 99.9% Median
53 0.5% 8%  
54 2% 7%  
55 0.6% 5%  
56 4% 5%  
57 0.2% 0.5% Last Result
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 92% 100% Median
53 0.5% 8%  
54 2% 8%  
55 4% 6%  
56 1.0% 2%  
57 0.5% 1.0%  
58 0.2% 0.6% Last Result
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100%  
49 92% 99.9% Median
50 1.1% 8%  
51 1.5% 7%  
52 5% 6%  
53 0.4% 1.1%  
54 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 0.4% 99.7%  
46 0.9% 99.3%  
47 94% 98% Last Result, Median
48 0.1% 4%  
49 4% 4%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 92% 100% Median
47 0.1% 8%  
48 2% 8%  
49 4% 6%  
50 0.9% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.3% 100%  
38 0.3% 99.7%  
39 92% 99.3% Median
40 0.5% 7%  
41 1.0% 7%  
42 0.6% 6% Last Result
43 4% 5%  
44 0.9% 1.0%  
45 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.5% 100%  
35 1.2% 99.5%  
36 1.4% 98%  
37 95% 97% Median
38 0.8% 1.5% Last Result
39 0.2% 0.6%  
40 0.3% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0% 100%  
31 0.4% 99.9%  
32 92% 99.5% Median
33 2% 7% Last Result
34 5% 6%  
35 0.8% 0.9%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 92% 99.8% Median
28 1.4% 7% Last Result
29 2% 6%  
30 4% 4%  
31 0.1% 0.2%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations