Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 1 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.9–12.8% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.6–7.1% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4–2.5% | 1.2–2.7% | 1.1–2.8% | 1.0–3.2% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 38 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 20 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 17 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 14–23 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 8 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 9% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 6% | 88% | |
| 35 | 6% | 82% | |
| 36 | 4% | 77% | |
| 37 | 22% | 72% | |
| 38 | 2% | 51% | Median | 
| 39 | 9% | 48% | |
| 40 | 35% | 39% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 2% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 17 | 7% | 97% | |
| 18 | 9% | 90% | |
| 19 | 9% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 44% | 72% | Median | 
| 21 | 21% | 27% | |
| 22 | 5% | 6% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 11% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 4% | 89% | |
| 17 | 43% | 85% | Median | 
| 18 | 6% | 41% | |
| 19 | 8% | 35% | |
| 20 | 18% | 28% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 7% | 9% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 15 | 5% | 94% | |
| 16 | 56% | 89% | Median | 
| 17 | 11% | 34% | |
| 18 | 12% | 23% | |
| 19 | 5% | 10% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 3% | 6% | |
| 21 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 13% | 99.1% | |
| 14 | 48% | 86% | Last Result, Median | 
| 15 | 9% | 38% | |
| 16 | 15% | 29% | |
| 17 | 4% | 14% | |
| 18 | 7% | 9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 8% | 95% | |
| 8 | 45% | 87% | Median | 
| 9 | 19% | 43% | |
| 10 | 18% | 23% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 39% | 98% | |
| 6 | 25% | 59% | Median | 
| 7 | 13% | 34% | |
| 8 | 14% | 20% | |
| 9 | 2% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 5% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 12% | 99.2% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 29% | 88% | |
| 7 | 42% | 58% | Median | 
| 8 | 13% | 17% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 9% | 98.7% | |
| 5 | 39% | 90% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 46% | 51% | Median | 
| 7 | 4% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 15% | 94% | |
| 5 | 31% | 79% | Median | 
| 6 | 44% | 48% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 31% | 96% | |
| 4 | 49% | 65% | Last Result, Median | 
| 5 | 10% | 16% | |
| 6 | 6% | 6% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 8% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 56% | 91% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 29% | 36% | |
| 5 | 6% | 7% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 33% | 98% | |
| 3 | 59% | 65% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 4% | 6% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 97 | 100% | 92–98 | 91–99 | 90–99 | 89–101 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 88 | 100% | 82–90 | 82–92 | 82–92 | 80–93 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 82 | 95% | 76–83 | 76–84 | 75–86 | 74–86 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 81 | 98% | 76–84 | 76–84 | 76–85 | 74–86 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 79 | 68% | 73–80 | 73–81 | 73–81 | 71–83 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 75 | 46% | 70–76 | 69–77 | 68–79 | 67–79 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 72 | 19% | 69–77 | 68–78 | 68–78 | 66–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 73 | 8% | 69–75 | 68–77 | 68–77 | 66–78 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 64 | 0% | 62–69 | 59–69 | 59–70 | 58–73 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 67 | 0% | 60–69 | 59–69 | 59–69 | 59–72 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 65 | 0% | 60–66 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 57–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 64 | 0% | 58–66 | 56–67 | 56–67 | 56–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 63 | 0% | 57–65 | 56–66 | 56–66 | 55–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 61 | 0% | 55–63 | 55–64 | 55–65 | 54–66 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 60 | 0% | 54–62 | 53–63 | 53–64 | 53–65 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 55 | 0% | 49–57 | 49–57 | 49–58 | 48–60 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 41 | 0% | 41–47 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–50 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 45 | 0% | 39–47 | 39–47 | 39–48 | 38–48 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 36 | 0% | 34–39 | 34–39 | 33–41 | 31–43 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 28 | 0% | 28–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 25–37 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 22 | 0% | 21–26 | 21–27 | 21–28 | 19–29 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0% | 100% | |
| 88 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 90 | 4% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 5% | 95% | |
| 92 | 12% | 90% | |
| 93 | 7% | 78% | |
| 94 | 4% | 71% | |
| 95 | 5% | 67% | Median | 
| 96 | 6% | 62% | |
| 97 | 41% | 55% | |
| 98 | 9% | 15% | |
| 99 | 4% | 5% | |
| 100 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 101 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 102 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 103 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 104 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 105 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 81 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 82 | 10% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 4% | 89% | |
| 84 | 7% | 85% | |
| 85 | 13% | 78% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 4% | 65% | |
| 87 | 3% | 61% | Median | 
| 88 | 39% | 58% | |
| 89 | 3% | 19% | |
| 90 | 8% | 16% | |
| 91 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 92 | 7% | 7% | |
| 93 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 94 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 75 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 76 | 11% | 95% | Majority | 
| 77 | 9% | 84% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 13% | 75% | |
| 79 | 3% | 62% | Median | 
| 80 | 3% | 59% | |
| 81 | 5% | 56% | |
| 82 | 39% | 51% | |
| 83 | 6% | 12% | |
| 84 | 2% | 6% | |
| 85 | 2% | 4% | |
| 86 | 3% | 3% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 76 | 11% | 98% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 8% | 87% | |
| 78 | 8% | 79% | |
| 79 | 9% | 72% | |
| 80 | 7% | 62% | |
| 81 | 7% | 55% | Median | 
| 82 | 2% | 48% | |
| 83 | 35% | 46% | |
| 84 | 8% | 11% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 14% | 99.0% | |
| 74 | 3% | 85% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 14% | 82% | |
| 76 | 7% | 68% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 4% | 61% | |
| 78 | 2% | 57% | |
| 79 | 39% | 55% | |
| 80 | 6% | 16% | |
| 81 | 8% | 10% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 11% | 93% | |
| 71 | 4% | 82% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 6% | 79% | |
| 73 | 11% | 72% | |
| 74 | 8% | 61% | Median | 
| 75 | 8% | 53% | |
| 76 | 41% | 46% | Majority | 
| 77 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 68 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 3% | 93% | |
| 70 | 36% | 90% | |
| 71 | 4% | 54% | Median | 
| 72 | 5% | 50% | |
| 73 | 4% | 45% | |
| 74 | 3% | 42% | |
| 75 | 19% | 38% | |
| 76 | 8% | 19% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 12% | |
| 78 | 7% | 10% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 69 | 11% | 93% | |
| 70 | 13% | 82% | |
| 71 | 7% | 69% | Median | 
| 72 | 4% | 62% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 39% | 58% | |
| 74 | 6% | 19% | |
| 75 | 5% | 13% | |
| 76 | 3% | 8% | Majority | 
| 77 | 4% | 5% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 95% | |
| 61 | 3% | 94% | |
| 62 | 41% | 92% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 51% | Median | 
| 64 | 10% | 50% | |
| 65 | 11% | 40% | |
| 66 | 11% | 29% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 4% | 18% | |
| 68 | 2% | 15% | |
| 69 | 9% | 12% | |
| 70 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 3% | 91% | |
| 61 | 8% | 89% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 2% | 80% | |
| 63 | 2% | 79% | |
| 64 | 6% | 77% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 71% | |
| 66 | 18% | 69% | Median | 
| 67 | 3% | 51% | |
| 68 | 8% | 48% | |
| 69 | 38% | 40% | |
| 70 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 2% | 96% | |
| 60 | 14% | 94% | |
| 61 | 8% | 80% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 5% | 72% | |
| 63 | 7% | 68% | |
| 64 | 6% | 61% | Median | 
| 65 | 36% | 55% | |
| 66 | 11% | 19% | |
| 67 | 2% | 8% | |
| 68 | 5% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 9% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 58 | 3% | 91% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 8% | 87% | |
| 60 | 1.4% | 80% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 78% | |
| 62 | 8% | 77% | |
| 63 | 9% | 69% | Median | 
| 64 | 13% | 60% | |
| 65 | 5% | 47% | |
| 66 | 36% | 42% | |
| 67 | 4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 5% | 90% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 5% | 85% | |
| 59 | 2% | 80% | |
| 60 | 11% | 78% | |
| 61 | 8% | 68% | |
| 62 | 4% | 60% | Median | 
| 63 | 8% | 56% | |
| 64 | 4% | 48% | |
| 65 | 39% | 44% | |
| 66 | 4% | 5% | |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 9% | 99.2% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 90% | |
| 57 | 4% | 89% | |
| 58 | 6% | 85% | |
| 59 | 6% | 79% | |
| 60 | 6% | 74% | Median | 
| 61 | 39% | 67% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 7% | 28% | |
| 63 | 13% | 21% | |
| 64 | 3% | 8% | |
| 65 | 4% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 91% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 6% | 90% | |
| 56 | 5% | 84% | |
| 57 | 2% | 79% | |
| 58 | 12% | 77% | |
| 59 | 8% | 65% | Median | 
| 60 | 9% | 57% | |
| 61 | 6% | 48% | |
| 62 | 36% | 43% | |
| 63 | 2% | 7% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 50 | 6% | 90% | |
| 51 | 3% | 84% | |
| 52 | 2% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 15% | 78% | |
| 54 | 4% | 63% | Median | 
| 55 | 9% | 59% | |
| 56 | 39% | 50% | |
| 57 | 6% | 11% | |
| 58 | 3% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 40 | 5% | 96% | |
| 41 | 43% | 90% | |
| 42 | 6% | 48% | Median | 
| 43 | 14% | 41% | |
| 44 | 8% | 28% | |
| 45 | 4% | 19% | |
| 46 | 2% | 15% | |
| 47 | 10% | 14% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 2% | 4% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 40 | 3% | 89% | |
| 41 | 5% | 86% | |
| 42 | 6% | 80% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 9% | 74% | |
| 44 | 3% | 65% | Median | 
| 45 | 44% | 62% | |
| 46 | 8% | 18% | |
| 47 | 7% | 10% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 3% | 98% | |
| 34 | 11% | 95% | |
| 35 | 6% | 84% | |
| 36 | 42% | 78% | Median | 
| 37 | 19% | 36% | |
| 38 | 2% | 17% | Last Result | 
| 39 | 11% | 15% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 5% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 94% | |
| 28 | 50% | 91% | |
| 29 | 5% | 42% | Median | 
| 30 | 4% | 37% | |
| 31 | 6% | 33% | |
| 32 | 15% | 27% | |
| 33 | 2% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 7% | 10% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.5% | 99.2% | |
| 21 | 40% | 98% | |
| 22 | 19% | 58% | Median | 
| 23 | 4% | 39% | |
| 24 | 10% | 35% | |
| 25 | 6% | 25% | |
| 26 | 13% | 19% | |
| 27 | 3% | 6% | |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 1 June 2017
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 3.69%