Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 1 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
24.0% |
22.3–25.8% |
21.9–26.3% |
21.4–26.7% |
20.7–27.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
12.8% |
11.5–14.3% |
11.2–14.7% |
10.9–15.0% |
10.3–15.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.1% |
10.9–13.5% |
10.5–13.9% |
10.2–14.3% |
9.6–15.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
11.4% |
10.2–12.8% |
9.9–13.2% |
9.6–13.5% |
9.0–14.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.1% |
9.0–11.4% |
8.6–11.8% |
8.4–12.1% |
7.9–12.8% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.6–7.1% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.0–6.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
3.4% |
2.8–4.3% |
2.6–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.2–5.2% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.6–4.2% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.8% |
1.4–2.5% |
1.2–2.7% |
1.1–2.8% |
1.0–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
33 |
9% |
98% |
Last Result |
34 |
6% |
88% |
|
35 |
6% |
82% |
|
36 |
4% |
77% |
|
37 |
22% |
72% |
|
38 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
39 |
9% |
48% |
|
40 |
35% |
39% |
|
41 |
2% |
4% |
|
42 |
2% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
17 |
7% |
97% |
|
18 |
9% |
90% |
|
19 |
9% |
81% |
Last Result |
20 |
44% |
72% |
Median |
21 |
21% |
27% |
|
22 |
5% |
6% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
11% |
99.4% |
|
16 |
4% |
89% |
|
17 |
43% |
85% |
Median |
18 |
6% |
41% |
|
19 |
8% |
35% |
|
20 |
18% |
28% |
Last Result |
21 |
7% |
9% |
|
22 |
2% |
2% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
5% |
99.4% |
|
15 |
5% |
94% |
|
16 |
56% |
89% |
Median |
17 |
11% |
34% |
|
18 |
12% |
23% |
|
19 |
5% |
10% |
Last Result |
20 |
3% |
6% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
22 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
13% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
48% |
86% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
9% |
38% |
|
16 |
15% |
29% |
|
17 |
4% |
14% |
|
18 |
7% |
9% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
8% |
95% |
|
8 |
45% |
87% |
Median |
9 |
19% |
43% |
|
10 |
18% |
23% |
|
11 |
5% |
5% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
39% |
98% |
|
6 |
25% |
59% |
Median |
7 |
13% |
34% |
|
8 |
14% |
20% |
|
9 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result |
10 |
5% |
5% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
12% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
6 |
29% |
88% |
|
7 |
42% |
58% |
Median |
8 |
13% |
17% |
|
9 |
3% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
9% |
98.7% |
|
5 |
39% |
90% |
Last Result |
6 |
46% |
51% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
5% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
4 |
15% |
94% |
|
5 |
31% |
79% |
Median |
6 |
44% |
48% |
|
7 |
3% |
4% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
4% |
100% |
|
3 |
31% |
96% |
|
4 |
49% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
10% |
16% |
|
6 |
6% |
6% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
8% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
56% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
29% |
36% |
|
5 |
6% |
7% |
|
6 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
33% |
98% |
|
3 |
59% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
4% |
6% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
97 |
100% |
92–98 |
91–99 |
90–99 |
89–101 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
88 |
100% |
82–90 |
82–92 |
82–92 |
80–93 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
82 |
95% |
76–83 |
76–84 |
75–86 |
74–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
81 |
98% |
76–84 |
76–84 |
76–85 |
74–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
79 |
68% |
73–80 |
73–81 |
73–81 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
75 |
46% |
70–76 |
69–77 |
68–79 |
67–79 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
19% |
69–77 |
68–78 |
68–78 |
66–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
73 |
8% |
69–75 |
68–77 |
68–77 |
66–78 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
64 |
0% |
62–69 |
59–69 |
59–70 |
58–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
67 |
0% |
60–69 |
59–69 |
59–69 |
59–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
65 |
0% |
60–66 |
59–68 |
58–68 |
57–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
64 |
0% |
58–66 |
56–67 |
56–67 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
63 |
0% |
57–65 |
56–66 |
56–66 |
55–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
55–63 |
55–64 |
55–65 |
54–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
60 |
0% |
54–62 |
53–63 |
53–64 |
53–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
55 |
0% |
49–57 |
49–57 |
49–58 |
48–60 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
41 |
0% |
41–47 |
40–47 |
39–48 |
38–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
45 |
0% |
39–47 |
39–47 |
39–48 |
38–48 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
36 |
0% |
34–39 |
34–39 |
33–41 |
31–43 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
28 |
0% |
28–33 |
26–34 |
26–35 |
25–37 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
22 |
0% |
21–26 |
21–27 |
21–28 |
19–29 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0% |
100% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
90 |
4% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
91 |
5% |
95% |
|
92 |
12% |
90% |
|
93 |
7% |
78% |
|
94 |
4% |
71% |
|
95 |
5% |
67% |
Median |
96 |
6% |
62% |
|
97 |
41% |
55% |
|
98 |
9% |
15% |
|
99 |
4% |
5% |
|
100 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
101 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
102 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
103 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
104 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
105 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
82 |
10% |
98.7% |
|
83 |
4% |
89% |
|
84 |
7% |
85% |
|
85 |
13% |
78% |
Last Result |
86 |
4% |
65% |
|
87 |
3% |
61% |
Median |
88 |
39% |
58% |
|
89 |
3% |
19% |
|
90 |
8% |
16% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
92 |
7% |
7% |
|
93 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
94 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
95 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
75 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
76 |
11% |
95% |
Majority |
77 |
9% |
84% |
Last Result |
78 |
13% |
75% |
|
79 |
3% |
62% |
Median |
80 |
3% |
59% |
|
81 |
5% |
56% |
|
82 |
39% |
51% |
|
83 |
6% |
12% |
|
84 |
2% |
6% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
|
86 |
3% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
76 |
11% |
98% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
8% |
87% |
|
78 |
8% |
79% |
|
79 |
9% |
72% |
|
80 |
7% |
62% |
|
81 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
82 |
2% |
48% |
|
83 |
35% |
46% |
|
84 |
8% |
11% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
14% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
3% |
85% |
Last Result |
75 |
14% |
82% |
|
76 |
7% |
68% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
4% |
61% |
|
78 |
2% |
57% |
|
79 |
39% |
55% |
|
80 |
6% |
16% |
|
81 |
8% |
10% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
11% |
93% |
|
71 |
4% |
82% |
Last Result |
72 |
6% |
79% |
|
73 |
11% |
72% |
|
74 |
8% |
61% |
Median |
75 |
8% |
53% |
|
76 |
41% |
46% |
Majority |
77 |
1.4% |
5% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
68 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
3% |
93% |
|
70 |
36% |
90% |
|
71 |
4% |
54% |
Median |
72 |
5% |
50% |
|
73 |
4% |
45% |
|
74 |
3% |
42% |
|
75 |
19% |
38% |
|
76 |
8% |
19% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
12% |
|
78 |
7% |
10% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
80 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
69 |
11% |
93% |
|
70 |
13% |
82% |
|
71 |
7% |
69% |
Median |
72 |
4% |
62% |
Last Result |
73 |
39% |
58% |
|
74 |
6% |
19% |
|
75 |
5% |
13% |
|
76 |
3% |
8% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
95% |
|
61 |
3% |
94% |
|
62 |
41% |
92% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
51% |
Median |
64 |
10% |
50% |
|
65 |
11% |
40% |
|
66 |
11% |
29% |
Last Result |
67 |
4% |
18% |
|
68 |
2% |
15% |
|
69 |
9% |
12% |
|
70 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
1.5% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
3% |
91% |
|
61 |
8% |
89% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
80% |
|
63 |
2% |
79% |
|
64 |
6% |
77% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
71% |
|
66 |
18% |
69% |
Median |
67 |
3% |
51% |
|
68 |
8% |
48% |
|
69 |
38% |
40% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
59 |
2% |
96% |
|
60 |
14% |
94% |
|
61 |
8% |
80% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
72% |
|
63 |
7% |
68% |
|
64 |
6% |
61% |
Median |
65 |
36% |
55% |
|
66 |
11% |
19% |
|
67 |
2% |
8% |
|
68 |
5% |
6% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
9% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
58 |
3% |
91% |
Last Result |
59 |
8% |
87% |
|
60 |
1.4% |
80% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
78% |
|
62 |
8% |
77% |
|
63 |
9% |
69% |
Median |
64 |
13% |
60% |
|
65 |
5% |
47% |
|
66 |
36% |
42% |
|
67 |
4% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
5% |
90% |
Last Result |
58 |
5% |
85% |
|
59 |
2% |
80% |
|
60 |
11% |
78% |
|
61 |
8% |
68% |
|
62 |
4% |
60% |
Median |
63 |
8% |
56% |
|
64 |
4% |
48% |
|
65 |
39% |
44% |
|
66 |
4% |
5% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
9% |
99.2% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
90% |
|
57 |
4% |
89% |
|
58 |
6% |
85% |
|
59 |
6% |
79% |
|
60 |
6% |
74% |
Median |
61 |
39% |
67% |
Last Result |
62 |
7% |
28% |
|
63 |
13% |
21% |
|
64 |
3% |
8% |
|
65 |
4% |
5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
53 |
9% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
91% |
Last Result |
55 |
6% |
90% |
|
56 |
5% |
84% |
|
57 |
2% |
79% |
|
58 |
12% |
77% |
|
59 |
8% |
65% |
Median |
60 |
9% |
57% |
|
61 |
6% |
48% |
|
62 |
36% |
43% |
|
63 |
2% |
7% |
|
64 |
4% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
9% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
6% |
90% |
|
51 |
3% |
84% |
|
52 |
2% |
81% |
Last Result |
53 |
15% |
78% |
|
54 |
4% |
63% |
Median |
55 |
9% |
59% |
|
56 |
39% |
50% |
|
57 |
6% |
11% |
|
58 |
3% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
40 |
5% |
96% |
|
41 |
43% |
90% |
|
42 |
6% |
48% |
Median |
43 |
14% |
41% |
|
44 |
8% |
28% |
|
45 |
4% |
19% |
|
46 |
2% |
15% |
|
47 |
10% |
14% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
4% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
10% |
98.9% |
|
40 |
3% |
89% |
|
41 |
5% |
86% |
|
42 |
6% |
80% |
Last Result |
43 |
9% |
74% |
|
44 |
3% |
65% |
Median |
45 |
44% |
62% |
|
46 |
8% |
18% |
|
47 |
7% |
10% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
99.3% |
|
33 |
3% |
98% |
|
34 |
11% |
95% |
|
35 |
6% |
84% |
|
36 |
42% |
78% |
Median |
37 |
19% |
36% |
|
38 |
2% |
17% |
Last Result |
39 |
11% |
15% |
|
40 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
5% |
98.8% |
|
27 |
2% |
94% |
|
28 |
50% |
91% |
|
29 |
5% |
42% |
Median |
30 |
4% |
37% |
|
31 |
6% |
33% |
|
32 |
15% |
27% |
|
33 |
2% |
12% |
Last Result |
34 |
7% |
10% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
20 |
1.5% |
99.2% |
|
21 |
40% |
98% |
|
22 |
19% |
58% |
Median |
23 |
4% |
39% |
|
24 |
10% |
35% |
|
25 |
6% |
25% |
|
26 |
13% |
19% |
|
27 |
3% |
6% |
|
28 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
29 |
1.2% |
1.5% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1 June 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.69%